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KFL – September 2020 monthly update

Operational Update10 September 2020KFLFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

In August Kingfish returned gross performance of +2.7%

and an Adjusted NAV return of +2.6%. This compares to our

benchmark (S&P/NZX50G) which was up +1.8%.

a2 Milk delivered its fiscal 2020 result in line with the middle

of its guidance range but slightly behind expectations, as

investors have become accustomed to the company over-

delivering. This was a result of more pantry destocking than

expected, following the impact of COVID in China, which had

constrained sales. The company guided towards “continued

strong revenue growth” supported by increased marketing

and initiatives to improve performance in the mother and

baby store channel in China.

We added Contact Energy to the portfolio during the month.

Contact is an example of “quality on sale” and is a solid

defensive business with an improving track record. Rio Tinto

has terminated its power supply contract and announced it

will close the Tiwai Point aluminium smelter in August 2021

(a “hard exit”), which has impacted Contact’s share price.

Following the closure of the smelter, Contact will shut its

breakeven Taranaki Combined Cycle gas power plant and

move to 100% renewable baseload electricity generation,

supplemented with gas generation to satisfy peak demand

(which will become more valuable over time with more

renewables). We believe the “hard exit” scenario was largely

reflected in the Contact share price, limiting downside risk.

However, we think there is significant upside value in the case

the smelter negotiates a longer timeframe for exit. We think

this has recently become a higher probability after a multi-

year offer of lower electricity prices from Meridian, which

has rekindled Rio Tinto and government interest. Longer-term,

Contact will benefit from being able to move hydro power

northwards as grid upgrades take place. The company

also has an attractive generation development option in its

Central North Island geothermal field at Tauhara. Contact has

historically traded at a discounted valuation versus its pure-

renewable sector peers (Meridian and Mercury), which we

think also has the potential to narrow over time.

Delegat delivered a strong fiscal 2020 result, with case sales

boosted by COVID related lockdowns. Initial guidance for

next fiscal year is for net profit of $60-65 million, in line with

our expectations. We think Delegat can continue to grow

case sales in its key markets as New Zealand sauvignon

blanc continues to grow off a low base in the US and the

company increasingly sells other varietals like pinot gris,

leveraging its strong brand recognition.

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare provided an update at its Annual

Shareholders’ Meeting. Sales in July accelerated versus the

June quarter results, with hospital hardware sales for the

first four months of +390% (versus over +300% for the June

quarter) and consumables of +48% (versus over +33% in

the June quarter). We had expected this continued strong

performance as the global COVID infections and deaths

have sadly not tracked down in line with the company’s

“assumptions”.

Freightways reported its fiscal 2020 result and provided

a solid update on trading in its New Zealand express

package business. Network courier volumes has grown

at a strong +11% year on year in the first 7 weeks of the

new financial year. Firstly, Freightways has gained market

share from competitors who performed poorly during the

COVID affected period as their shippers experienced long

delays. Secondly, there has been a wave of new shippers

who are now increasingly trying to reach their customers via

ecommerce as part of a permanent shift post COVID.

Summerset announced its first half 2020 results. The key

positive was a very strong uplift in sales from mid May until

the start of August (before Auckland moved to COVID Alert

Level 3). The duration of the uplift gives confidence that

Summerset’s success in keeping residents safe during COVID

is driving a permanent uplift in penetration for retirement

villages which will be positive in the medium term.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places)

MONTHLY UPDATE

September 2020

KFL NAV

$

1. 7 7

$

1. 7 5

Share Price

PREMIUM

1

WARRANT PRICE

0.6

%$

0 .1 4

as at 31 August 2020

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 31 August 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand

companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

10-25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the NZ

90 Day Bank Bill Index with a

floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.34

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

250m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$438m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 August 2020

6

%

29

%

HEALTH CARE

17

%


UTILITIES

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

32

%

INDUSTRIALS

14

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

The Kingfish portfolio also holds cash

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

Vista reported, as expected, a weak first half 2020 result, as

cinemas around the world were closed due to COVID. The

company had hunkered down and reduced monthly cash

burn to $3-4 million with an unexpectedly high $75 million

net cash on the balance sheet at the end of June. The outlook

is more positive, with 70-80% of cinemas globally now open.

Vista has stayed close to its customers during this period,

including deploying a “reopening kit” to facilitate social

distancing and contactless purchasing for its moviegoers. We

think that the company is likely to continue to take market

share from weakened competitors over the next few years.

33
TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 August 2020

Mar

2004

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2013

Mar

2016

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$

3.00

$

4.00

$

5.00

$

6.00

$

7.00

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

$

1.00

$

2.00

$

0.00

Mar

2017

Mar

2018

Mar

2019

Mar

2020

Mar

2005

AUGUST’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Kingfish portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 9 stocks and cash.

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 August 2020

VISTA GROUP

+43

%

SUMMERSET

+11

%

PUSHPAY HOLDINGS

+10

%

DELEGAT GROUP

+8

%

A2 MILK

-11

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

17

%

MAINFREIGHT

17

%

INFRATIL

13

%

THE A2 MILK

COMPANY

11

%

SUMMERSET

9

%

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+4.3%+13.3%+35.1%+22.8%+16.3%

Adjusted NAV Return+2.6%+13.2%+25.4%+18.5%+17.9%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return+2.7%+14.4%+29.3%+21.7%+21.1%

S&P/NZX50G Index+1.8%+9.7%+11.0%+15.2%+16.1%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money), at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Kingfish Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

PERFORMANCE to 31 August 2020

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or

completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised

financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that

fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT KINGFISH

Kingfish is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 10 and 25 quality

growing New Zealand companies

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Kingfish is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place

allowing it (if it elects to do so) to acquire its shares

on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

MANAGEMENT

Kingfish’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Matt Peek (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Michael

Bacon (Senior Investment Analyst)

have prime responsibility for

managing the Kingfish portfolio with

the assistance of Luke O’Donovan

(Quantitative Analyst). Together they

have around 50 years combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in the

quality New Zealand companies that

Kingfish targets. Fisher Funds is based

in Takapuna, Auckland.

BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Kingfish comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe and Carmel

Fisher.

Warrants

»On 5 February 2020 a new issue of warrants

(KFLWF) was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for every

four Kingfish shares held

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on 9

March 2020 and the warrants were listed on the

NZX Main Board from 10 March 2020. (Information

pertaining to the warrants was mailed/emailed to

shareholders in February 2020)

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $1.64, to be

adjusted down for dividends declared during the

period up to the announcement of the Exercise Price.

»The Exercise Date for the new warrants (KFLWF) is

12 March 2021

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be sent to warrant holders in late

January 2021

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.