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MLN – September 2020 monthly update

Operational Update10 September 2020MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance for August was +6.7%, while the

Adjusted NAV return for the month was +5.9%. These returns

were ahead of our global benchmark which gained +4.7%.

The MSCI All-Country World index was up 6% in August (the

sharpest gain in August since 1988) and Wall Street’s S&P

500 index gained 7% for the month, wiping out the last of its

pandemic losses and reaching an all-time high.

In the US, August marked the end of the second-quarter

earnings season, which surprised on the upside relative to

market expectations. Even though corporate earnings were

down 33% compared to the prior year, 84% of companies

beat expectations and a large number revised their earnings

guidance higher. Unsurprisingly, the healthcare and information

technology sectors were particularly strong.

While we are still identifying areas of value in the market, the

recent rally has resulted in pockets of the market that appear

increasingly irrational. For example, Apple added the value of

Walmart (the 13th largest company in the world) in August,

after adding the value of Johnston & Johnston (the 12th

largest company in the world) in July. Tesla, which produces

around 400,000 cars a year has reached the combined market

capitalisation of Toyota, VW, Daimler, BMW, GM and Ford, who

together produce roughly 40 million vehicles a year. There has

also been a huge jump in the number of share trading account

openings on retail platforms like Robinhood this year, which

has led to some irrational trading in parts of the market.

Market valuation of Tesla overtakes combined market

valuation of its largest peers

Portfolio Company Developments

Facebook (+16%) was the top contributor to fund

performance in August, benefiting from market enthusiasm

for Facebook Shop and a proposed TikTok ban in the US.

Facebook Shop allows retailers to build a storefront, sell

merchandise and receive payments directly on Facebook.

On top of this Facebook has also extended its Instagram

Checkout pilot from a select group of brands to all US

businesses. The push into ecommerce will allow small

businesses to reach new customers and provides another

avenue for Facebook to monetise its social media properties.

President Trump’s Executive Order to ban Chinese short

video platform TikTok, as well as Facebook launching its own

short video product (called Reels) also provided a boost to

the stock. Reels has been built into Instagram and has seen

good engagement from users since its launch in August.

Hilton (+20%) played a little catch-up in August. It should

be no surprise that the hotelier has lagged other quality

companies given the direct impact coronavirus has had of

Hilton hotel franchisees. The company reported earnings

during the month, which showed a recovery in hotel

occupancy is underway from very low levels. China occupancy

is currently leading the US, providing a good indication of the

roadmap to recovery ahead. Management were also positive

on the sustainability of cost reductions they have taken

and their ability to capture market share from independent

operators as travellers look for brands they can trust.

Alibaba (+14%) had a strong month following a good

earnings report and the announcement of the upcoming

listing of its Ant Group subsidiary. Sales rose 34% last

quarter, with core marketplace growth fully recovering to pre-

COVID levels. However, the bigger news this month was the

upcoming IPO of Ant Group. Ant Group operates the leading

digital payments app Alipay which has over 1 billion users

with around 50% share in China’s digital payments market.

Ant Group also offers a financial service marketplace, where

users can access a range of third-party financial services

such as loans, wealth management and insurance. This is

the fastest growing segment of the business. Alibaba owns

33% of Ant Group which is expected to list with a valuation

of between $200b to $300b, well above previous estimates.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

September 2020

MLN NAVWarrant Price

$

1. 1 3

$

0.21

$

1. 1 9

Share Price

PREMIUM

1

10

%


as at 31 August 2020

Aug

2019

Sept

2019

Oct

2019

Nov

2019

Dec

2019

Jan

2020

Mar

2020

Feb

2020

US $ Billions

Toyota, VW, Daimler, BMW, GM, Ford Mkt Cap

Tesla market capitalisation

Source: Bloomberg

Apr

2020

0.2

0.1

0

0.3

May

2020

Jun

2020

0.6

Jul

2020

0.5

0.4

Aug

2020

2
SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 August 2020

KEY DETAILS

as at 31 August 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.03

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

152m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$181m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

36

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

5

%

FINANCIALS

19

%


HEALTH CARE


ASIA

20

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 31 August 2020

10

%

WEST

EUROPE

73

%

NORTH AMERICA

5

%

INDUSTRIALS

4

%


SOUTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

12

%

13

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

Towards the end of the month Abbott Labs (+9%)

announced a new coronavirus test. The company plans to

sell the test for $5 and it can produce results in 15 minutes.

The test is portable and suitable for settings such as doctor’s

offices or schools. Abbott shares rose +8% on the news.

Signature Bank (-5%) fell with the broader banking sector.

The KBW US Bank Index is down 31% year-to-date,

compared to the S&P 500 which is up 8%. The reasons for the

underperformance of banking stocks include COVID-19 related

credit losses and a difficult operating environment due to the

recent drop in interest rates. We expect Signature Bank can

continue to grow despite the tough operating environment as

the bank captures market share by hiring banking teams away

from other banks and expands on the West Coast of the US.

Exits

During the month we exited our position in Zoetis, the global

leader in animal health medicines and vaccines. We added

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

Zoetis to the portfolio in 2016 and since then the company has

successfully launched a number of blockbuster pharmaceutical

products, grown sales rapidly and streamlined its operations.

This has resulted in a near doubling of Zoetis’s earnings and a

materially higher share price. Our investment thesis has played

out, Zoetis’s valuation now looks stretched, and we would

rather reinvest the proceeds elsewhere in the portfolio.

3
AUGUST’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

HILTON WORLDWIDE

HOLDINGS

+20

%

MASTERCARD

+16

%

FACEBOOK

+16

%

ALIBABA GROUP

+14

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 August 2020

FACEBOOK

8

%

ALIBABA

7

%

ALPHABET

7

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

PAYPAL

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 20 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

3.50

$

2.00

Nov

2018

$

2.50

Nov

2019

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 August 2020

PERFORMANCE to 31 August 2020

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+11.4%+26.1%+43.7%+28.2%+18.2%

Adjusted NAV Return+5.9%+9.7%+20.5%+16.9%+12.6%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +6.7%+11.8%+25.9%+20.7%+16.7%

Benchmark Index^+4.7%+8.4%+6.5%+7.4%+7.9%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

HEICO CORP

+14

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised financial adviser

should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund

performance can and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August

2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 17 October 2019, a new issue of warrants (MLNWD)

was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for every four

Marlin shares held

»Exercise Price = $0.94 per warrant, to be adjusted

down for dividends declared during the period up to the

Exercise Date

»Exercise Date = 6 November 2020

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be sent to warrant holders in

September 2020


MANAGEMENT

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe; and Carmel

Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.