Chorus Limited/Announcement
Chorus Limited logo

Investor presentation – UBS Australasia Investor Conference

Investor Presentation16 November 2020CNUCommunication Services

Chorus Limited
Level 10, 1 Willis Street

P O Box 632

Wellington

New Zealand


Email: company.secretary@chorus.co.nz







STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT


17 November 2020


Investor presentation - UBS Australasia Virtual Investor Conference


The attached Chorus presentation will be referenced at the UBS Australasia

Virtual Investor Conference.


Authorised by:


David Collins

Chief Financial Officer


ENDS


For further information:


Brett Jackson

Investor Relations Manager

Phone: +64 4 896 4039

Mobile: +64 (27) 488 7808

Email: Brett.Jackson@chorus.co.nz


Steve Pettigrew

Head of External Communications

Mobile +64 (27) 258 6257

Email: Steve.Pettigrew@chorus.co.nz

---

Introducing Chorus
17 November 2020

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An Overview Of Chorus
17 November 2020

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AgencyRatingOutlook

S&PBBBStable

Moody’sBaa2Stable

New Zealand’s largest fixed line communications infrastructure business

▪Established in December 2011 following demerger from Telecom NZ

▪~870 employees, supported by service company contractors and subcontractors

▪Listed on NZX and ASX: CNU

▪~$3.7 billion market capitalisation (as at 31/10/20)

A nationwide copper and growing fibre network

▪Wholesale network operator with ~100 retailer customers

▪~1.4m connections, including ~1.2m broadband

▪90% of way through 11-year fibre to premises rollout

▪62% fibre uptake, well ahead of initial rollout target of 20% by 2020

▪Streaming video services and working from home driving significant data

consumption

2

17 November 2020
Our Network Infrastructure

Fibre to pass ~1.36m end customers by end 2022

~40,000km duct network

~600

exchanges

~12,000 cabinets

~300,000 poles

Exchange co-location:

wireless co-location and

network edge computing

Offices and apartments

Fibre to smart locations:

CCTV, traffic lights

Fibre backhaul:to

mobile towers,

small cells

FTTP: enabling unlimited

data, enhanced Wi-Fi and

TV broadcast capability

Bridging the digital divide:

providing free broadband

connections to 12,000 student

households

IoT: pole and

cabinet assets

provide coverage and

power infrastructure

UBS AUSTRALASIA VIRTUAL CONFERENCE

~54,000km fibre; ~130,000km copper cable

3

>Ultra-fast broadband (UFB): a Government objective
▪Originalobjective(UFB1):fibretopremisescovering75%

ofpopulationby2020

▪Subsequentagreements(UFB2andUFB2+)extended

coveragegoalto87%ofpopulationbytheendof2022

▪Choruswasawarded~75%ofthefibrerollout.The

remaining25%includesgovernmentpartnershipswith

threeotherfibrecompanies:Enable,Northpower,Ultrafast

Fibre

The Ultra-fast Broadband Initiative

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17 November 2020

UFB rollout rapidly nearing completion

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

FY21FY22FY23

UFB2 rollout (premises)

ULTRAFAST FIBRE

4

UFB uptake reaches 62%
>UFB uptake increased from 60% to 62% within

completed footprint in Q1

▪uptake in UFB1 areas grew from 63% to 65%

▪uptake in UFB2 areas grew from 37% to 38%

(note: uptake includes some UFB2 areas that have been partially built, but not

yet submitted for Crown sign-off)

▪757,000 connections (Q4: 725,000) now within completed

footprint, including business premium connections

▪1,226,000customers able to connect (Q4: 1,209,000)

▪947,000premises passed* (Q4: 931,000) out of

1,054,000 target = UFB rollout 90% complete

>47,000 fibre installations completed in Q1 (Q4: 31k)

▪customer satisfaction increased from 8.1 to 8.2

*under the UFB contract, a multi-dwelling unit or single office block is one premises

Uptake

17 November 2020

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

Sep-19Dec-19Mar-20Jun-20Sep-20

ADSLVDSLFibre

Fibrenow 76% of Chorus broadband

connections in planned UFB zone

No. of

connections

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17 November 2020
Making New Zealand better

We take a long term view of our network infrastructure investments and our people take pride in delivering an asset

for New Zealand’s ongoing social and economic betterment. Chorus is included in the Dow Jones Sustainability

Australia Index.

>Environment

▪Target of 80% reduction in scope 1 and 2 emissions, from our FY12 base year, by

2030. Achieved 37% reduction against target in FY20.

▪B-rating from CDP for FY19 reporting.

▪Extensive waste minimisation: 195 tonnes of waste ducting and 37 tonnes metal

network components recycled in FY20.

>Social

▪FTTH estimated (2012) to contribute $32 billion in economic benefits to NZ over 20

years. Social benefits estimated (2017) at $2 billion annually.

▪Winner of Broadband World Forum’s Broadband delivering social impact award2018

for rural broadband rollout.

▪Employee engagement 8.5 out of 10 in June 2020 (7.6 in FY19).

>Governance

▪Director gender ratio of 43% women, 57% men at 31 October 2020.

▪Target of 40:40:20 (male:female:any/either) gender ratio achieved for Chorus’

people leader community in FY20. Largest gender pay gap by career level is 4.1%.

Objective to achieve 0% gender career level pay gap.

▪Minimum Shareholding Policy for directors and executives introduced in 2019.

▪Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate decreased from 2.67 to 2.43 in FY20 with an

overall reduction in injuries requiring medical treatment.

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Broadband: the 4
th

utility

17 November 2020

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17 November 2020
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A new world of data demand

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

Mar-16Sep-16Mar-17Sep-17Mar-18Sep-18Mar-19Sep-19Mar-20Sep-20

Peak Traffic (Tbps)

Fibre

Network

Copper

Network

FortniteSeason 5

Rugby World Cup

COVID-19 Lockdowns

8

Forecasting 1,000 Gigabytes per month by 2023...
17 November 2020

Monthly average data usage per connection on

our network

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0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

J U N E 2 0 2 0J U N E 2 0 2 1J U N E 2 0 2 2J U N E 2 0 2 3J U N E 2 0 2 4

CopperFibre

Chorus Forecast: Average Monthly Broadband Usage

ActualForecast

<<>>

9

17 November 2020
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The shift to remote working

Reliable broadband becomes a necessity

85

74

56

54

53

48

40

31

16

13

8

7

2

Laptop or desktop PC

High-speed connectivity to internet

Computer monitors

Smartphone

Video conferencing

Wi-Fi router

Headset

Virtual network access

Dedicated camera

Wi-Fi expander/extender

VOIP

Tablet

Other

Which of the following workplace technologies do you

consider as ‘must have’ when working from home or

remotely in general?

>Commerce Commission report (May 2020) noted

reliability of fixed line services through lockdown vs fixed

wireless (average download speeds decreased by around

25% and 96% of latency tests were above 30ms)

Source: Measuring Broadband New Zealand, Winter Report, August 2020

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17 November 2020
An Open Access Wholesale Network

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17 November 2020
Power and pay TV operators are new entrants

35

18

15

8

7

17

Source: IDC market data

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38

24

13

7

5

13

%

48

29

12

1

10

Broadband market share by retailer

(Q2 2020 vs Q1 2013)

Fibre market share by retailer

(Q2 2020)

Q1 2013

Q2 2020

Open access enables increased retail diversity

12

17 November 2020
-

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,000

Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2013Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2014Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2015Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2016Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2017Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2018Q1 2019Q2 2019Q3 2019Q4 2019Q1 2020Q2 2020

Broadband uptake by retailer (all technology)

SparkVodafoneOrconVocus2degreesTrustpowerROM

Source: IDCSource: IDC

-

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,000

Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2013Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2014Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2015Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2016Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2017Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2018Q1 2019Q2 2019Q3 2019Q4 2019Q1 2020Q2 2020

NZ broadband market –by technology

Chorus xDSLChorus mass market fibreChorus premium fibre

Local fibre companies (UFB)Other fibre networksOther xDSL

Vodafone cableFixed (mobile) wirelessLegacy fixed wireless, satellite

Connectionandmarkettrends

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13

33,000mass market fibre connections added in
Q1 2020

▪1Gbps connections grew from 115k to 128k

(i.e. 40% of 33k increase in total fibre

connections in Q1 2020)

▪1Gbps demand represents ~20% of new fibre

connection orders in recent weeks

▪Small business connections grew from 3k to 4k

▪UFB prices capped to 2022 with annual CPI

adjustment

▪New Hyperfibreproducts 2 & 4 Gbps services

launched early 2020

Total mass market fibre uptake by plan type

50Mbps

100Mbps

1Gbps

17 November 2020

Active wholesaler campaigns driving ARPU growth

200Mbps

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GPON
Hyperfibre

Fibre

Technology

Wi-Fi

Technology

Wi-Fi 5Wi-Fi 6

Wi-Fi 6 Speedtest

HyperFibre8000 Speedtest

Fibre capability keeps advancing

17 November 2020

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15

0
200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

30-Sep-1931-Dec-1931-Mar-2030-Jun-2030-Sep-20

17 November 2020

30 Sept

2019

31 Dec

2019

31 March

2020

30 June

2020

30 Sept

2020

Unbundled copper

(no broadband)

21,00018,00017,00015,00014,000

Baseband copper

(no broadband)

201,000192,000185,000179,000169,000

Copper ADSL

(includes naked)

304,000283,000261,000245,000218,000

VDSL

(includes naked)

257,000242,000228,000221,000202,000

Fibre broadband

(GPON)

645,000681,000713,000740,000773,000

Data services

(copper)

4,0004,0004,0004,0003,000

Fibre premium

(P2P)

12,00012,00011,00011,00011,000

Total connections

1,444,0001,432,0001,419,0001,415,0001,390,000

Fibre (GPON)

VDSL

Copper ADSL

Unbundled copper

Baseband copper

Fibre comprises 56% of Chorus connections

>1,193,000 broadband connections comprises:

▪773,000 fibre (GPON) connections

▪420,000 VDSL/ADSL (copper) connections

Business premium

Note: 11,000 free education connections are excluded from this data

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17 November 2020
Connection changes by Zone (indicative)

Chorus UFB

zone*

Non-UFB

zone

Local Fibre

Company

UFB zone

Total connections at

30 September**

1,087,000192,00097,000

Broadband connections978,000153,00062,000

Copper (no broadband)

connections

109,00039,00035,000

* Includes planned Chorus UFB1, 2 and 2+ coverage

**Excludes 14k fibre premium and data services (copper) connections

-2

8

3

7

-2

1

-9

-4

-8

-7

-8

-5

-5

-8

-1

-1

-1

-2

-2

-2

-2

-2

-15-5515

Q1 FY21

Q4 FY20

Q3 FY20

Q2 FY20

Q1 FY21

Q4 FY20

Q3 FY20

Q2 FY20

Q1 FY21

Q4 FY20

Q3 FY20

Q2 FY20

Broadband connections

Copper (no broadband) connections

LFC

Zone

Non-

UFB

Zone

Chorus

UFB Zone

N/C

Change in connections (‘000s) by zone**

>Chorus UFB zone: reduction in broadband reflecting RSP

copper broadband billing clean-up and catch-up of copper

migration delayed by Q4 lockdown period, as well as renewed

inertia selling campaigns by fixed wireless providers

>LFC zone: disconnections returned to pre-lockdown (Q4 FY20)

levels

>Non-UFB zone: fibre connections now 22k; some increased

rural wireless competition through mobile network expansion

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17 November 2020
Our strategic

focus in FY21

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17 November 2020
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1. Winning in our core fibre business

We’re lifting our connections intensity in FY21

~420,000

UFB1 + 2

addresses

already

passed, with

no ONT

installed

~80,000

UFB1 + 2

addresses

passed and

ONT already

installed

~80,000

UFB2

addresses

to pass in

FY21

25,000

greenfield

properties

under

contract

▪growth strongest in Auckland, good demand outside UFB zone

▪uptake continues to track at ~30% within 6 months of network build;

stronger in some UFB2 areas (e.g. Whatawhata80%)

▪~50% of fibre orders are now from intact addresses as our migration/incentive

programmes generate new uptake and consumers move premises

▪COVID-19 driving awareness of fibre reliability and capacity

▪new marketing and incentive campaigns launching

▪uplift in managed migration volumes

19

▪Q1 installation volumes increased significantly on prior
quarters (Q4 FY20 affected by COVID-19) as migration

activity ramps up

▪migration activity drove 7k connections in Q1 and

continues to result in ~50% uptake within 6 months of

installation

▪COVID-19 restrictions on door-to-door activity in

Auckland affected Q1 connection initiatives

▪Fibre, it’s how we internet now advertisingcampaign

creating strong awareness among late adopters and

helping drive migration activity

17 November 2020

Managed migration activity lifts fibre connections

More than 15k installations completed in Q1

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

Q3 FY20Q4 FY20Q1 FY21

Managed migration programme

InstallationsConnections

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20

17 November 2020
2. Grow new revenues

Smart locations (e.g. CCTV, traffic lights)

▪streamlined our processes to help realise market growth

opportunity

▪new 50Mbps symmetrical plan to support connectivity of urban

infrastructure (e.g. poles, traffic lights) $55 per month

Wi-Fi ONT service

▪co-developed service with retailers

▪launching with $1.30 monthly fee; providing upfront credits to

support retailers switching systems

▪will enhance customer experience with shorter connection time

for homes with fibre already installed

▪potential to broaden fibre market by lowering router costs to

connect customers on short term contracts

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17 November 2020
3. Optimise non-fibre assets

Detailed review underway of existing network infrastructure

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>Focus on reducing ongoing network costs

▪20 network sitesexitedin FY20 (e.g. New Plymouth site –LFC

zone; Whangarei Heads rural site)

▪reshaping proactive maintenance programme in UFB zone to

reflect shift to fibre

▪reviewing copper broadband network assets in UFB zone

o~20 copper broadband cabinets with no customers

o~30 cabinets with <10 customers

BEFORE

AFTER

22

17 November 2020
4. Develop long term future of the business

Reviewing our operating model, including flexible working

UBS AUSTRALASIA VIRTUAL CONFERENCE

0

5

10

15

20

25

100% at

home

80% at

home

60% at

home

50% at

home

40% at

home

20% at

home

100% at

office

Employee preference for % of working

week at home vs office

% of

responses

23

Regulatory framework
17 November 2020

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87%of population where fibre will be available by end of 2022 →Remaining 13% of population →
Fibre accessnetwork –in Chorus UFB

areas

▪Revenue cap determined by Commission based on

regulated asset base (RAB) and regulatory rate of

return (WACC)

▪Accumulated unrecovered returns on investment

between 2011 and 2022 capitalisedinto initial RAB

and recoverable in future prices

▪Contracted price caps on fibreproducts to continue

until 2022, with annual inflation adjustment. Price

caps then only apply to specified ‘anchor services’;

fibrevoice service, entry level fibrebroadband

service and direct fibreaccess services

▪Unbundled fibre(commercial price) available in

UFB1 areas from 2020 and UFB2 areas from 2026

▪Three years after new regime commences, the

Commission can review the revenue cap model and

anchor products, subject to specified conditions and

statutory criteria

Copper –where fibre is available:

▪Copper network to be deregulated and

Telecommunications Service Obligation (TSO)

removed

▪Chorus can withdraw copper service subject to

minimum consumer protection requirements being

developed by the Commission and due in December

2020

Copper –where fibre is notavailable:

▪Copper remains regulated and TSO applies

▪Copper pricing capped at 2019 levels with CPI

adjustments

▪Commission required to review pricing framework

no later than 31 December 2025

17 November 2020

Legislation passed in November 2018

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17 November 2020
Overview of current RAB implementation

On 13 October and 3 November 2020, the Commerce

Commission released its final Input Methodology

determinations, following extensive submissions from

Chorus and investors.

The determinations establish the rules that will apply to

how the Maximum Allowable Revenue (MAR) will be

derived.

Chorus will continue to work with the Commission through

the next stage of the process where the MAR for the 3

year period from 1 January 2022 will be set.

These decisions, referred to as ‘price-quality’ decisions are

expected in the 2nd half of 2021.

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17 November 2020
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Input methodologies: key parameters

Pre January 2022 period (financial loss

asset)

First regulatory period

Risk free rate5-year rate, 1 month average, calculated as at

middle of year, or mid each part year for 2012

and 2021

3-year rate, 3 months average,

calculated as at 1 June 2021

TAMRP7% until Oct 2020 then 7.5%7.5%

Debt risk premiumBBB, 7-year term, 1 month averageBBB, 5-year term, 5-year trailing

average

Leverage29%29%

Debt issuance cost0.14%0.33%

Asset beta0.50.5

WACC upliftnone –50

th

percentilenone –50

th

percentile

Asymmetric stranding riskno allowance10 basis points

Crown financingFinancing rate reflecting Chorus’ actual senior

debt/subordinated debt/equity mix

Financing rate reflecting Chorus’

actual senior debt/subordinated

debt/equity mix

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17 November 2020
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Cost allocation parameters

Pre-December 2011 assets▪included to the extent assets are employed to provide fibre fixed line access

services under the UFB initiative.

▪valued as per Chorus financial accounts.

UFB costs from 1 December

2011 to 2022 (financial loss

asset)

▪shared costs are allocated using accounting-based allocation approach.

▪list of default allocators, with the Commission having the final decision:

number of customers, end-users, or premises (intact, connected or passed);

number of ports;

▪revenue; central office space; peak traffic; average traffic; used length of

linear assets; power usage; and number of events.

▪cost allocation calculations to be updated annually.

▪cap limiting the allocation of re-used assets to that which cannot be avoided

in providing UFB.

▪cost allocations to be applied consistently across costs and between years.

Fibre costs post 2022▪cost allocators to remain consistent with initial RAB unless there is a

justifiable reason to change.

28

17 November 2020
Regulated Asset Base implementation

Building block

cost stack

▪Commerce Commission will determine the starting value of the RAB, regulatory WACC, cost allocations, expenditure

allowances and maximum allowable revenue

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Illustrative Only

29

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Financial overview and

capital management

17 November 2020

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17 November 2020
FY21 guidance summary

>Fibre $530m-$560m

▪$275m-$295m fibre connections & layer 2

(based on mass market 145,000 –165,000 fibre

connections, 9,000 backbone builds and including

service desk costs)

▪$125m-$145m spend for UFB2 communal

▪includes ~$30m for West Coast fibre rollout in

FY21 (3-year project ~$50m, largely government

funded)

▪UFB1 CPPC $1,025 -$1,175*

▪UFB2 CPPC $1,200 -$1,350*

*excluding layer 2 and including standard installations and

some non-standard single dwellings and service desk costs

>Copper $35m-$55m

>Common $50m-$65m

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Gross capex: $630m to $670m

EBITDA: $640m to $660m

▪subject to no material changes in expected

regulatory and competitive outlook

▪includes ~$10m allowance for ongoing COVID-19

impact and broader economic uncertainty

Dividend: 25cps, subject to no

material adverse changes in

circumstances or outlook

31

17 November 2020
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▪Capex peaked in FY18 & FY19, leverage

peaked in FY20

▪UFB1 completed in November 2019

▪UFB2 scheduled to complete in CY22

▪Leverage will reduce in line with lower

capex/growing free cash flow in future

years

▪FY21 gross capex guidance:

▪$630-670m

▪FY21 EBITDA guidance:

▪$640-660m

* Mid guidance

Key Financial ratios:

▪Bank covenant -Net Senior Debt/EBITDA 4.75x

▪Credit rating downdriver -Net Senior Debt/EBITDA on a sustained basis

▪> 4.25x (S&P)

▪> 4.20x (Moody’s)

681

679

597

593

689

810

804

663

650

2.9

2.7

3.13.1

2.98

3.43

3.92

4.14

4.11

FY13FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21*

Capex & Leverage

CapexSenior ND/EBITDA

* FY21 valuescalculated at

mid guidance levels

We’ve passed our capex peak

Net senior debt/EBITDA

32

17 November 2020
Transition to free cash flow based dividend policy

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

FY20FY21*FY22FY23

UFB capex demands reducing

Communal spend

Connection & layer 2 spend

$m

*based on midpoint of FY21 guidance

UFB2 rollout

ends Dec 2022

Illustrative only

>from FY22 we will transition to a dividend policy based on a

pay-out range of free cash flow

▪free cash flow will be defined as net cash flows from

operating activities minus sustaining capex

>dividend levels through the transition period will reflect the

following considerations:

•maintenance of a BBB credit rating

•UFB related capital expenditure remains elevated

initially, reducing as the UFB rollout winds down (ends

Dec 2022)

•fibreconnection spend tapers off gradually, subject to

ongoing demand and timing of copper migration in

selected areas

•copper capex is declining as connections reduce

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17 November 2020
Defining sustaining capex

$186m of FY20 capex was sustaining

Fibrecapex: sustaining$m

Layer 231

Fibre products & systems14

Other fibre connections 20

Customer retention costs*7

Subtotal72

Coppercapex: sustaining$m

Network sustain31

Copperconnections1

Copper layer27

Customer retention costs*15

Subtotal54

Commoncapex: sustaining$m

Informationtechnology43

Building& engineering services17

Subtotal60

▪UFB communal $170m

▪Fibre connections $251m

▪Greenfield growth $42m

▪Customer retention$14m

▪Sub total$477m

▪FY20 Sustaining Capex$186m

>Sustaining capex is defined as total capex excluding:

▪UFB communal & future footprint expansion

▪Fibre connections & greenfield growth

▪Customer retention spend (incentives related)

>Exclusions within FY20 Capex of $663m were:

>Fibre sustaining capex is expected to increase over time as the

asset ages

UBS AUSTRALASIA VIRTUAL CONFERENCE

*Relates to provisioning, systems and service desk costs

34

17 November 2020
FY22 capital allocation framework driven by shareholder value

Net cash flow from operating activities

Sustaining capital

expenditure

Dividend

distribution

Surplus

capital

>Transition from FY22 to dividend distribution based on pay-

out range of free cash flow to reflect:

•a focus on providing shareholders with dividend

predictability, stability and sustainable growth

•comparable Australasian infrastructure and utility-like

businesses that pay out the majority of FCF

•robust management of sustaining capital expenditure

•transition period based on completion of UFB2 communal by

December 2022 and ongoing tapering of connection capex

>Surplus capital after dividend to be allocated based on

maximising shareholder value, and guided by:

▪debt levels consistent with existing credit rating, noting potential

re-gearing from any relaxation of rating thresholds

▪discretionary capex will only be pursued where:

•greater shareholder value is created compared to share buy

backs and/or additional dividends; and

•regulatory incentives are appropriate (e.g. regulatory WACC

vs Chorus WACC)

Discretionary

capex *

Additional

dividends

Share buy

backs

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* Examples include fibre footprint expansion, greenfield connections & customer retention spend

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17 November 2020
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Financial snapshot

▪Revenue has reduced due to:

▪copper line loss in areas where Chorus is not

building the fibre network

▪fixed wireless competition

▪Revenue loss partially offset by:

▪strong fibre uptake

▪customers moving to higher priced plans

(e.g. 1Gbps, enhanced business plans)

* New accounting standards IFRS 9, 15 and 16 were adopted from FY18

▪Expect continued Fibre ARPU growth

▪Ongoing focus on cost reduction

1,040

990

970

959

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

FY17FY18*FY19FY20

Revenue ($m)

652

653

636

648

500

520

540

560

580

600

620

640

660

680

FY17FY18*FY19FY20FY21

EBITDA ($m)

FY21guidance

$640m -$660m

36

Income statement
17 November 2020

FY20

$m

FY19

$m

Operating revenue959970

Operating expenses(311)(334)

Earnings before interest, tax,

depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA)

648636

Depreciation and amortisation(402)(393)

Earnings before interest and income tax246243

Net finance expense(173)(165)

Net earnings before income tax7378

Income tax expense(21)(25)

Net earnings for the year5253

>Increasing with fibre asset; Crown funding offset

increased from $25m to $27m

>EUR300m bond issued in Dec 2019; average

interest rate on debt was 5.16%

>~$3m COVID-19 impact from industry hardship

fund ($2m) and migrations/connections

>~$9m COVID-19 impact across labour, other

network (sercos$5m) and provisioning lines

UBS AUSTRALASIA VIRTUAL CONFERENCE

37

17 November 2020
FY20

$m

FY19

$m

Fibre broadband (GPON)393294

Fibre premium (P2P)7374

Copper based voice82106

Copper based broadband271344

Data services copper1618

Field Services6574

Value added network

services

2930

Infrastructure2424

Other66

Total959970

Copper revenues declining as customers migrate to Chorus fibre or

competing fibre/wireless networks

>Reduced demand largely due to COVID-19 restrictions on activity

>Growing fibre uptake and ARPU: June FY20 $48.42* vs June FY19:

$47.50

>Direct fibre and backhaul growth helping offset legacy churn

Revenue

>Commercial co-lo growth offsetting reduced copper unbundling demand

UBS AUSTRALASIA VIRTUAL CONFERENCE

*FY20 ARPU adjusted to exclude COVID-19 related industry credits

38

>Included $5m COVID-19 sercosupport payments
17 November 2020

FY20

$m

FY19

$m

Labour 8074

Network maintenance6475

Other network costs2933

IT4750

Rent, rates and property

maintenance

2530

Regulatory levies716

Electricity1517

Provisioning56

Consultants97

Insurance33

Other2723

Total311334

>5% reduction in staff numbers, offset by COVID-19 impact on capitalisation

rates and annual leave costs, plus investment in regulatory capability

Expenses

>New platforms enabling lower IT maintenance and support costs

>Increase in external advice related to new regulatory framework

>Lower fault volumes due to favourable weather, fibre uptake and COVID-19

restrictions on activity

>Property maintenance activity reduced, partly COVID-19 related

>Reduction in annual Telecommunications Development Levy

>Lower electricity prices and consumption

UBS AUSTRALASIA VIRTUAL CONFERENCE

>Increased marketing to support copper to fibre migration

39

▪reactive maintenance spend in H2 FY20 was affected by COVID-
19 with lower reported fault volumes

▪copper (fixed and variable) fault volumes reduced due to drought

conditions in upper North Island and the ongoing reduction in

total copper connections

▪fibre maintenance increasing as share of connections grows, but

fault rate is lower on fibre (although costlier to fix)

▪long run annual saving from full copper to fibre migration in

Chorus UFB areas estimated at ~$10m p.afor fixed fault costs

17 November 2020

Reactive maintenance: Chorus network

Key drivers for $58m spend

0

5

10

15

20

FibreCopper - fixedCopper -

variable

Reactive spend by type

H1 FY19H2 FY19H1 FY20H2 FY20

0

5

10

15

Chorus UFB Rural (Non UFB) LFC UFB

Copper -reactive spend by area

Note:

▪reactive maintenance excludesspend on proactive maintenance and

customer networks (i.e. premises wiring, no fault found, cancellations)

▪‘fixed’ faults: occur in parts of the network that affect multiple customers

(e.g. cable between exchange and cabinet)

▪‘variable’ faults: only affect one customer (e.g. cable on customer property)

$m

$m

UBS AUSTRALASIA VIRTUAL CONFERENCE

40

17 November 2020
Net debt/EBITDA

As at

30 June 2020

$m

Borrowings2,234

+ PV of CIP debt

securities (senior)

183

+ Net leases payable263

Sub total2,680

-Cash0

Total net debt2,680

Net debt/EBITDA*4.14 times

>S&PND/EBITDA threshold 4.25xon a sustained basis

>Moody’sintend to review 4.2xthreshold once there is

further clarity on regulatory framework and portion of

revenue regulated

>Financial covenants require senior debt ratio to be no

greater than 4.75 times

>The Board considers that a ‘BBB’ credit rating or

equivalent credit rating is appropriate for a company

such as Chorus.

*Based on S&P and bank covenant methodologies

UBS AUSTRALASIA VIRTUAL CONFERENCE

41

>up to $1.33 billion CIP financing
available by 2023 (57:43 equity/debt)

>$1,067m drawn at 30 June 2020

>At 30 June, debt of $2,234m comprised:

▪Long term bank facilities of $550m ($30m drawn); $5m OD

▪NZ bond: $400m and $500m

▪Euro Medium Term Notes $1,299m (NZ$ equivalent at hedged rates)

NZ

$M

17 November 2020

400

500

785

514

85

86

128

163

20

39

46

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

CIP debt securities available

Face value of CIP debt securities issued

EUR EMTN

NZ Bond

GBP EMTN

Crown financing and debt profile

462462

143

161

105

U F B 1

E Q U I T Y

U F B 1 D E B TU F B 2 / 2 +

E Q U I T Y

U F B 2 / 2 +

D E B T

drawnundrawn

NZ

$M

UBS AUSTRALASIA VIRTUAL CONFERENCE

42

17 November 2020
Crown financing

UBS AUSTRALASIA VIRTUAL CONFERENCE

▪CIP equity securities

•unique class of security with no right to vote at

shareholder meetings, but entitle the holder to a

right to repayment preference on liquidation

•an increasing portion of the securities will attract

dividend payments from 30 June 2025 onwards

•the dividend rate is based on 180 day NZ bank bill

rate, plus 6% p.a. margin

•may be redeemed at any time by cash payment of

total issue price or the issue of Chorus shares (at a

5% discount to the 20-day VWAP for Chorus

shares)

▪CIP debt securities

•unsecured, non-interest bearing and carry no voting

rights at shareholder meetings

•Chorus is required to redeem the securities in

tranches from 30 June 2025 to 2036 by repaying

the issue price to the holder

Debt

securities

maturity

profile

30 June

2025

30 June

2030

30 June

2033

30 June

2036TOTAL

UFB1 & 2$85.3m$104.7m$166.7m$210.2m$566.9m

Equity

securities

subject to

paying

dividends

(cumulative)

30 June

2025

30 June

2030

30 June

2033

30 June

2036TOTAL

UFB1 & 2$85.3m$197.1m$377.7m$766.4m$766.4m

43

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.