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KFL – November 2020 monthly update

Operational Update17 November 2020KFLFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Market action

In October Kingfish returned gross performance of +5.3%,

outperforming the local market at +2.9% (S&P/NZX50G).

New Zealand equities outperformed global equities, which

fell by 2–3%. The pullback in global equities was primarily

driven by the acceleration in COVID cases in early to mid-

October and the subsequent reintroductions of lockdowns in

many countries.

New Zealand has long been recognised as a more

defensive equity market than most global markets.

The Portfolio

Auckland International Airport (–4% return for the month) held

its AGM during the month. Given the high level of uncertainty

around the outlook for international travel, the company

elected not to provide FY21 earnings guidance. AIA thinks a

full recovery of international travel will take more than three

years. However, the company expects an earlier recovery

in domestic travel to pre-COVID levels and a resumption in

quarantine-free travel to Australia and the Pacific Islands.

Right now, the stronger than expected return of domestic

travel and ongoing strength in AIA’s property business means

earnings are tracking above its expectations.

As a reminder, Kingfish added Contact Energy to the portfolio

in August. The utilities sector in general was strong during

October, up +7%, as the market continues to anticipate a

higher likelihood that Rio Tinto remains in NZ medium-term.

Rio Tinto owns and operates the Tiwai Point smelter which

is the largest electricity user in NZ. Contact Energy (+11%)

outperformed the sector as it is relatively well positioned if the

smelter remains.

Freightways (+8%) provided its usual quarterly update at its

Annual Shareholders Meeting. Headline results were strong

(net profit +43%), primarily driven by its acquisition of Big

Chill. Volumes in the Express Package division remain up

+11%, the same rate as at its August results update. This

reflects a step up in business to consumer (B2C) deliveries

and some market share gains in business to business (B2B)

following poor service by its major competitor NZ Post.

Information Management continues to deliver more subdued

growth with underlying revenue growth of around +3%.

Infratil (+9%) held an investor day focused on its Canberra

Data Centres (CDC) and Vodafone New Zealand

investments. CDC provided increased capacity guidance,

reflecting ongoing acceleration in data usage. On the

flipside, Vodafone expects COVID to negatively impact FY21

earnings by $60–75m, due to lower roaming and prepaid

revenues. Vodafone’s management reiterated significant

profit improvement opportunities in IT transformation (lower

costs), customer experience (customer retention) and 5G fixed

broadband (revenue growth).

During the month Infratil also announced the acquisition

of Qscan, a diagnostic imaging business in Australia. It

is early days but we like the fact the diagnostic imaging

market is growing +5–7% and Qscan’s focus on higher-

value services. While most of Qscan’s business is typical

diagnostic imaging like X-ray and ultrasound, it is a market

leader in the faster growing positron emissions tomography

(‘PET’). PET is commonly used to detect cancer and pricing

is typically 7–8x more than traditional diagnostic imaging

technologies like X-ray.

We attended Mainfreight’s (+17%) investor day and the

opening of its new Mount Maunganui cross dock. A cross

dock is a trucking interchange building where long-haul

trucks and pickup-and-delivery trucks exchange freight.

It was fantastic to see the latest iteration of a Mainfreight

facility and compare and contrast it to others we have

visited both in New Zealand and around the world. The new

cross dock is around five times the size of the old facility.

The company also delivered an impressive update for the

first 26 weeks of the fiscal year. Sales continue to be up

around +5% in constant currency terms and profit before tax

growth accelerated to +23% versus +20% at the last update.

Australia continues to be the key success story, with market

share gains combining with improved line-haul utilisation and

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places)

MONTHLY UPDATE

November 2020

KFL NAV

$

1. 7 6

$

1. 7 9

Share Price

PREMIUM

1

WARRANT PRICE

4.0

%$

0 .1 7

as at 31 October 2020

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 31 October 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand

companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

10–25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the NZ

90 Day Bank Bill Index with a

floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.30

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

252m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$452m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 October 2020

6

%

30

%

INDUSTRIALS

17

%


UTILITIES

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

30

%

HEALTH CARE

15

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

The Kingfish portfolio also holds cash

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

shrewd control of costs driving strong profit growth. Although

the Australian division is now really hitting its straps, it is still

considerably smaller than the New Zealand division despite

being in a much larger market. We should continue to see the

benefits of this long runway for growth unfold over time.

Summerset (+16%) announced the purchase of 2.8 hectares

of land in Half Moon Bay, Auckland. The development will

meet the needs of a rapidly growing catchment area and will

be the company’s largest to date ($300 million build cost).

Summerset also announced its third quarter sales, which

were the highest on record and up +36% year-on-year. This

reflected strong underlying property market conditions and

how well Summerset looked after its vulnerable residents

during COVID.

33
TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 October 2020

Mar

2004

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2013

Mar

2016

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$

3.00

$

4.00

$

5.00

$

6.00

$

7.00

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

$

1.00

$

2.00

$

0.00

Mar

2017

Mar

2018

Mar

2019

Mar

2020

Mar

2005

OCTOBER’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Kingfish portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 9 stocks and cash.

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 October 2020

MAINFREIGHT

+17

%

SUMMERSET

+16

%

CONTACT ENERGY

+11

%

INFRATIL

+9

%

VISTA GROUP

-8

%

MAINFREIGHT

18

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

15

%

INFRATIL

13

%

THE A2 MILK

COMPANY

12

%

SUMMERSET

8

%

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+9.2%+9.1%+33.4%+23.4%+18.9%

Adjusted NAV Return+5.1%+3.8%+25.2%+18.3%+16.5%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return+5.3%+4.2%+29.0%+21.5%+19.7%

S&P/NZX50G Index+2.9%+3.0%+12.0%+14.0%+15.1%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money), at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Kingfish Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

PERFORMANCE to 31 October 2020

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or

completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised

financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that

fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT KINGFISH

Kingfish is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 10 and 25 quality

growing New Zealand companies

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Kingfish is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place

allowing it (if it elects to do so) to acquire its shares

on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

MANAGEMENT

Kingfish’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Matt Peek (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Michael

Bacon (Senior Investment Analyst)

have prime responsibility for

managing the Kingfish portfolio with

the assistance of Luke O’Donovan

(Quantitative Analyst). Together they

have around 50 years combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in the

quality New Zealand companies that

Kingfish targets. Fisher Funds is based

in Takapuna, Auckland.

BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Kingfish comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe and Carmel

Fisher.

Warrants

»On 5 February 2020 a new issue of warrants

(KFLWF) was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for every

four Kingfish shares held

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on 9

March 2020 and the warrants were listed on the

NZX Main Board from 10 March 2020. (Information

pertaining to the warrants was mailed/emailed to

shareholders in February 2020)

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $1.64, to be

adjusted down for dividends declared during the

period up to the announcement of the Exercise Price.

»The Exercise Date for the new warrants (KFLWF) is

12 March 2021

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be sent to warrant holders in late

January 2021

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.