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MLN – November 2020 monthly update

Operational Update17 November 2020MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance for October was down 1.2%, while

the adjusted NAV was down 1.3%. This compared with our

global benchmark, which was down 1.4%.

The headlines over the month were dominated by the

pandemic and US elections. The MSCI Europe index was

down 5.4% as a “second-wave” of COVID-19 runs through

Europe. Many countries including UK, Germany and France

are implementing lockdowns or other restrictive measures

to control the virus. Conversely, China was one of the better

performing markets as economic data showed a continuing

recovery, with the economy returning to growth in Q3.

The US S&P 500 index was down 2.7%, having ended

the month with the largest weekly decline since March on

the reacceleration of daily COVID-19 cases. This drove

underperformance in areas such as discretionary retail and

airlines. The US market performance also reflected increasing

odds of a Biden election win. The prospect of fiscal stimulus

and infrastructure spend provided a boost to renewable energy

and infrastructure stocks.

Lastly, earnings season is well underway with around 60% of

S&P 500 companies having reported. 80% of these companies

beat sales estimates, with revenue declining 3% on average.

Based on share price reactions, investors largely appear to be

looking through this quarter and focussing more on Q4 and

2021 commentary from management teams.

Portfolio Company Developments

Alphabet (+10.3%) continues to deliver strong advertising

growth despite a weak economic backdrop. Group revenue

grew 14% in the third quarter, driven by strong search

advertising and YouTube growth, combined with 45% growth

in its Cloud business. Its advertising business is benefitting

from the continual shift of ad budgets from traditional media to

digital – a trend that has accelerated in 2020.

We saw this trend across the broader digital advertising

space, with Facebook, Snapchat and Pinterest also

delivering better than expected results. The US Department

of Justice also filed its long-expected antitrust lawsuit

against Google, accusing the tech giant of using

anticompetitive tactics to preserve its search engine

monopoly. The lawsuit did not have much share market

impact given it was narrowly focused on its deals to be

default search provider with mobile device manufacturers

(like Apple). There were no calls to break up Google and

YouTube or its advertising network business.

Tencent (+15.5%) and Alibaba (+3.7%) were the other

top contributors this month. In addition to strong Chinese

economic data, both companies were buoyed by the highly

anticipated Ant Group IPO.

Investor demand for Ant Group has been strong to say the

least. Chinese retail investors alone subscribed for nearly

$3 trillion of stock, 870 times the shares reserved for retail

investors and well above the $37 billion being raised in total.

Hong Kong retail investors (only 389 oversubscribed) and

institutional investors further bolstered demand. This in turn

has driven valuation expectations well above the $250b

originally being discussed.

While Alibaba is the obvious beneficiary via its 33%

shareholding, this also shone the spotlight on Tencent’s

underappreciated fintech business, which has around 40%

share of the Chinese payments market.

Mastercard (-14.5%) was the biggest drag on performance

in October after hitting all-time highs in recent months.

Mastercard’s third quarter results showed that while

ecommerce and contactless payments are benefitting parts

of its business, weak cross-border travel activity is still

materially impacting its business. Cross-border payment

fees are likely to remain under pressure until there is a widely

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

November 2020

MLN NAVWarrant Price

$

1. 0 7

$

0.25

$

1. 1 8

Share Price

PREMIUM

1

16

%


as at 31 October 2020

2
SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 October 2020

KEY DETAILS

as at 31 October 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.01

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

153m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$181m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

38

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

6

%

FINANCIALS

19

%


HEALTH CARE


ASIA

21

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 31 October 2020

10

%

WEST

EUROPE

71

%

NORTH AMERICA

5

%

INDUSTRIALS

4

%


SOUTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

11

%

15

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

available vaccine and travellers are again feeling confident –

which is unlikely to be until 2022.

Despite these near-term headwinds, the long-term outlook for

digital payment adoption has only been strengthened by the

pandemic.

As discussed, the resurgence of coronavirus and risk of further

lockdowns and restrictions hurt discretionary retail names like

TJX (-8.7%), Essilor (-8.6%) and Adidas (-7.6%).

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

3
OCTOBER’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

TENCENT HOLDINGS

+16

%

TYLER

TECHNOLOGIES

+10

%

ALPHABET

+10

%

MASTERCARD

-10

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 October 2020

ALIBABA

8

%

FACEBOOK

8

%

ALPHABET

7

%

SIGNATURE BANK

6

%

TENCENT HOLDINGS

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 20 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

3.50

$

4.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

$

2.50

Nov

2019

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 October 2020

PERFORMANCE to 31 October 2020

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+8.2%+13.2%+41.5%+26.3%+18.4%

Adjusted NAV Return(1.3%)+2.1%+15.7%+13.5%+12.1%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (1.2%)+2.8%+20.0%+16.8%+15.8%

Benchmark Index^(1.4%)+1.6%(0.1%)+3.8%+7.6%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

EDWARDS

LIFESCIENCES

-15

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised financial adviser

should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund

performance can and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August

2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place

allowing it (if it elects to do so) to acquire its

shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»The previous Marlin Global Limited warrants MLNWD

were exercised on 6 November 2020 and new Marlin

Global shares were allotted to those who had exercised

their warrants.

»All MLNWD warrants that were not exercised, lapsed on

6 November 2020, and all rights in regard to them have

now expired.

»Details pertaining to the exercise of MLNWD warrants

were announced to the market via the NZX in early

November 2020.

»Warrants put Marlin Global in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently, and pursue other capital

structure initiatives as appropriate.

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to purchase an

ordinary share in Marlin Global at a fixed price on a fixed

date.

»There are now no Marlin Global warrants on issue.


MANAGEMENT

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe; and Carmel

Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.