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KFL – December 2020 monthly update

Operational Update14 December 2020KFLFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

In November Kingfish returned gross performance of +6.7%

and an Adjusted NAV return of +6.4%. This compared with

our local market which was up 5.7% (S&P/NZX50G).

Global COVID new cases plateaued (after spiking the

month before) and there were some encouraging COVID

vaccine efficacy trial results. This caused significant

outperformance by companies that had been hardest hit

by COVID. On the flipside, we saw companies that had

outperformed during COVID lag. For example, the US

airline sector was up +26% for the month while US large

cap technology shares were only up +4-5% for the month.

The environment was already conducive enough for global

equities but this was supercharged by the fact global bond

yields stayed largely flat for the month.

NZ outperformed in October due to its defensive qualities

and subsequently underperformed in the sharp global stock

market rally in November.

The Portfolio

a2 Milk (+1%) maintained its first half 2021 and full year

2021 guidance at its AGM. During the Singles Day festival,

a2 grew volumes +24% year on year which was in line with

expectations. Management have pointed to "green shoots"

of a recovery in the daigou sales channel, however we have

reduced our position size as the recovery in the daigou

channel is developing slower than we had anticipated.

Auckland Airport (+9%) was boosted by the news of

three successful vaccine trials (Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna

and AstraZeneca/Oxford). All had 90%+ efficacy under

certain dosage regimens. This increases the probability of

a traffic recovery that is earlier and stronger than previous

expectations.

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare (+3%) reported a strong first

half 2021 result. The assumptions underpinning guidance

predictably proved to be too conservative given the

prevalence of second waves of COVID in Europe, the

US, and Asia. However, given the stock was a COVID

beneficiary, it has been sold off in conjunction with news of

multiple COVID vaccines emerging. We have been focused

on the key medium-term growth drivers. The installed base

of Airvo devices continues to grow strongly (positive) and

is being well utilised (positive), plus further clinical studies

have reinforced the efficacy of the company’s nasal high

flow therapies (positive). This suggests the company will see

a long tail of consumables sales and continued growth in

penetration of its addressable market.

Mainfreight (+16%) reported its first half 2021 result, which

layered some more detail onto what was pre-announced at

October's investor day. Momentum has continued and the

company has increased confidence this will continue heading

into the important Christmas period. Volumes look strong

with a lot of freight in the system, including in New Zealand.

For example, despite the NZ team working hard they are

struggling to clear all freight off the cross dock by week end,

which is highly unusual. Management pointed to signs of

improved momentum in the US and European businesses.

Mainfreight has performed very well through COVID and still

has significant momentum.

Pushpay (-22%) announced its first half 2021 result and also

hosted a mini virtual investor event in lieu of a full investor

day in the US. As expected, the result was strong and full

year EBITDA guidance was upgraded from US$50-54m to

US$54-58m. The strong result featured strong cost control

and higher gross margins in addition to a COVID-related

uplift in revenues. However, revenue growth was impacted

by fewer new customers net of losses. The immediate outlook

for customer growth is more positive following the launch of

the company’s new combined ChurchStaq product. The stock

was also caught up in the acute global rotation out of COVID

winners into COVID losers.

Ryman (+7%) reported first half 2021 earnings which were

impacted by lockdowns in Victoria and Auckland. Underlying

net profit was -14% vs last year. Gearing increased to 46%

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places)

MONTHLY UPDATE

December 2020

KFL NAV

$

1. 8 7

$

2.0 0

Share Price

PREMIUM

1

WARRANT PRICE

10.8

%$

0.3 1

as at 30 November 2020

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 30 November 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand

companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

10-25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the NZ

90 Day Bank Bill Index with a

floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.30

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

252m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$505m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 30 November 2020

5

%

29

%

INDUSTRIALS

17

%


UTILITIES

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

31

%

HEALTH CARE

15

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

The Kingfish portfolio also holds cash

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

from 42%. Whilst gearing is high, Ryman is the sector leader

with a high-quality offering and strong sales track record. The

removal of lockdown restrictions in Victoria should boost sales

for Ryman, similar to the experience in New Zealand.

Summerset (+3%) announced the retirement of CEO Julian

Cook, to be replaced by current CFO and Deputy CEO Scott

Scoular. Julian had been CEO since 2014, the same year

Scott joined as CFO. This transition is well-planned (Scott

was appointed Deputy CEO in 2018) and has parallels with

Ryman's Gordon McLeod promotion from Deputy CEO to

CEO. The leadership transition represents sensible long-term

planning. Julian has done an excellent job. We think Scott will

perform well in the role.

33
TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 30 November 2020

Mar

2004

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2013

Mar

2016

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$

3.00

$

4.00

$

5.00

$

6.00

$

7.00

$

8.00

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

$

1.00

$

2.00

$

0.00

Mar

2017

Mar

2018

Mar

2019

Mar

2020

Mar

2005

NOVEMBER’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Kingfish portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 9 stocks and cash.

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 30 November 2020

MERIDIAN ENERGY

+21

%

VISTA GROUP

+16

%

MAINFREIGHT

+16

%

INFRATIL

+11

%

PUSHPAY HOLDINGS

-22

%

MAINFREIGHT

18

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

15

%

INFRATIL

13

%

THE A2 MILK

COMPANY

12

%

SUMMERSET

8

%

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+13.3%+18.5%+42.6%+27.7%+21.2%

Adjusted NAV Return+6.4%+7.7%+23.5%+19.6%+17.7%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return+6.7%+8.2%+26.6%+22.7%+20.8%

S&P/NZX50G Index+5.7%+7.0%+12.8%+16.0%+15.9%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money), at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Kingfish Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

PERFORMANCE to 30 November 2020

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or

completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised

financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that

fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT KINGFISH

Kingfish is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 10 and 25 quality

growing New Zealand companies

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Kingfish is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place

allowing it (if it elects to do so) to acquire its shares

on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

MANAGEMENT

Kingfish’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Matt Peek (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Michael

Bacon (Senior Investment Analyst)

have prime responsibility for

managing the Kingfish portfolio with

the assistance of Luke O’Donovan

(Quantitative Analyst). Together they

have around 50 years combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in the

quality New Zealand companies that

Kingfish targets. Fisher Funds is based

in Takapuna, Auckland.

BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Kingfish comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe and Carmel

Fisher.

Warrants

»On 5 February 2020 a new issue of warrants

(KFLWF) was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for every

four Kingfish shares held

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on 9

March 2020 and the warrants were listed on the

NZX Main Board from 10 March 2020. (Information

pertaining to the warrants was mailed/emailed to

shareholders in February 2020)

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $1.64, to be

adjusted down for dividends declared during the

period up to the announcement of the Exercise Price.

(Dividends totaling 13.01 cents per share have now

been declared and there are no more dividends

to be declared in the remaining period up to the

announcement of the 12 March 2021 exercise price).

»The Exercise Date for the new warrants (KFLWF) is

12 March 2021

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be sent to warrant holders in late

January 2021

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.