Marlin Global Limited logo

MLN – December 2020 monthly update

Operational Update14 December 2020MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance for November was up 8.3%, while

the adjusted NAV was up 7.0%. This compared with our global

benchmark, which was up 9.7%.

November was the month of the vaccine. Three vaccines were

announced that are effective against the COVID-19. This drove

a risk-on mood

2

in global equity markets, adding fuel to the

post-US election rally. This eclipsed worries about the near-

term economic outlook.

Equity markets cheered the light at the end of the COVID-19

tunnel, with this year’s biggest losers gaining the most in

November. MSCI Europe ex-UK and FTSE All-Share indices

returned 14.2% and 12.7%, respectively as the financial and

energy sectors, which are large contributors to those indices

rallied strongly.

The year-to-date star performers, Asia ex-Japan and the US,

still made impressive monthly gains of 8.0% and 11.0%. .

Portfolio Company Developments

During the month we were rewarded by companies in what we

term our ‘old habits return’ bucket. This group of businesses

includes airplane component manufacturers Hexcel (+48%)

and Heico (18%), conference and research provider Gartner

(+27%), and hotel brand franchisor Hilton (+18%). The

latter three of these companies were added to the portfolio

during March when equity markets had fallen significantly.

Our investment thesis at the time was simple, these are

quality growth companies, with strong balance sheets whose

businesses had been decimated by COVID-19. Our thought

process was that in a return to a more normal environment

the share prices of these quality companies should perform

strongly. Concurrently, Hexcel, benefited from US regulators

clearing Boeing’s 737 Max plane to fly again after imposing a

grounding order in March 2019.

After consecutive months of being a laggard, Signature

Bank (+39%), which is now our largest holding, had a

very strong month. A substantial amount of the share price

appreciation occurred early in the month on the announcement

of COVID-19 vaccines. This dampened concerns the market

had around Signature Bank’s lending exposure to New York

real estate, particularly retail. At the same time management

provided upbeat commentary for net interest income growth.

Dollar Tree (+21%) posted a strong quarterly earnings

report. The discount retailer operates under two banners,

Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. At Dollar Tree every item is sold

for US$1. The company has been testing US$3 and US$5

items over the past year. On the quarterly earnings call the

new CEO explained the test had being going well and Dollar

Tree intended to expand the multi price point test from 100

stores to 500 stores. If Dollar Tree commits to roll out multi

price point items to all stores, these higher priced items could

have a material benefit to company sales and profit margins.

Alibaba (-14%) was our worst performer for the month

as the ecommerce and fintech industries in China face

increasing regulatory scrutiny. Firstly, the IPO of Ant Group,

of which Alibaba owns 33%, was cancelled just two days

before the proposed listing date as regulators proposed a

slate of new guidelines in areas such as consumer lending.

Later in the month, regulators announced draft antimonopoly

rules targeted at internet companies. The regulations are

aimed at driving a healthier competitive environment. Alibaba

believe they are compliant with the new regulations, and

having spoken to antitrust expert in China we do not expect

the new regulations to have a major impact on the business.

We still like the long-term growth story and Alibaba’s strong

position in the digital economy.

Additions

We added First Republic Bank (-4%) during the month.

The bank is a high quality, founder run company with a best-

in-class business model. First Republic provides services

to high net worth households in select markets. The bank

has consistently generated superior loan growth, while

maintaining extremely prudent lending standards. In addition,

by providing its customers with exceptional personalised

service, the company has built more profitable relationships

by offering other products including its wealth management

services. The company is also working to broaden its

reach to emerging professionals and younger millennial

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (using NAV to four decimal places).

2

In ‘risk-on’ situations investors have a higher risk appetite and bid up the prices of assets in the market

MONTHLY UPDATE

December 2020

MLN NAV

$

1.1 0

$

1. 3 0

Share Price

PREMIUM

1

18.6

%


as at 30 November 2020

2
SECTOR SPLIT

as at 30 November 2020

KEY DETAILS

as at 30 November 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.98

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

186m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$242m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

34

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

10

%

FINANCIALS

17

%


HEALTH CARE


WEST

EUROPE

20

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 30 November 2020

10

%

ASIA

74

%

NORTH AMERICA

6

%

INDUSTRIALS

4

%


SOUTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

11

%

12

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

households, which should add to its overall growth rate.

Exits

We added Starbucks (+9%) to the portfolio in March 2020

in the depths of the COVID-19 sell-off. Our thesis was simply

that Starbucks was a great business with a reliable growth

algorithm and was oversold because of the pandemic.

Starbucks stores would ultimately reopen, they would take

share from independents and return to their growth algorithm

of c.6% pa store growth (largely China and US drive-through

stores). We have been positively surprised by the recovery with

shares up 60% since purchase. With the strong performance

we have taken the opportunity to exit Starbucks and reallocate

capital into ideas where we have higher conviction around

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

future return potential – Signature Bank and First Republic

Bank.

3
NOVEMEBR’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

HEXCEL CORP

+48

%

STONECO

+39

%

SIGNATURE BANK

+39

%

TJX COMPANIES INC

+27

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 30 November 2020

SIGNATURE BANK

8

%

ALPHABET

7

%

FACEBOOK

6

%

ALIBABA

5

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 20 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

3.50

$

4.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

$

2.50

Nov

2019

Nov

2020

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 30 November 2020

PERFORMANCE to 30 November 2020

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+11.4%+13.2%+47.2%+29.4%+19.9%

Adjusted NAV Return+7.0%+3.2%+20.1%+15.6%+13.0%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +8.3%+4.3%+25.5%+19.3%+17.0%

Benchmark Index^+9.7%+6.5%+6.6%+6.4%+9.2%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

GARTNER

+25

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised financial adviser

should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund

performance can and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August

2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin Global in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently, and pursue other capital

structure initiatives as appropriate.

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to purchase an

ordinary share in Marlin Global at a fixed price on a fixed

date.

»There are now no Marlin Global warrants on issue.


MANAGEMENT

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe and Carmel

Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.