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MLN – February 2021 monthly update

Operational Update14 February 2021MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance for January was down (0.7%),

while the adjusted NAV was down (0.8%). This compared

with our global benchmark, which was up 0.5%.

By region, emerging markets were the leading performers,

up 3.1%, while developed markets generally declined (US

-1.0%, EU -1.1%, UK -0.8%).

It was a month of two-halves. The global roll out of

coronavirus vaccines and the increased likelihood of

substantial fiscal stimulus in the US drove markets higher at

the start of the month. However, these gains were reversed

in the second half due to concerns around the vaccine roll-

out and efficacy, coupled with delays to the stimulus as the

two political parties spar over key aspects of the proposed

legislation.

We continue to see signs of excess in the market. The

news this month was dominated by companies like

Gamestop (a video game retailer) and AMC (a cinema chain)

which saw their share prices increase by 17 times and 6

times, respectively. Both companies are facing structural

challenges as gaming purchases and movie consumption

shift online. Coupled with ongoing lockdowns, there was

a real possibility of these companies going bankrupt.

However, both names got the attention of retail investors,

who have been aggressively buying, pushing stock

prices well above fundamentals. We do not see this as

sustainable, and even as we write this, Gamestop has fallen

70% from highs.

But even beyond these names there are many more high-

growth and unprofitable technology companies that also

look stretched. One example is the recently listed Snowflake

(SNOW), which now trades at 129x last twelve-months

revenue.

Saying that, we still see pockets of value in this market,

particularly in large-cap tech, but also new names we

added in December (Greggs and Boston Scientific).

Portfolio Company Developments

Earnings season has begun, with six companies reporting

during the month.

Signature Bank (+22.5%) continued its strong

performance from recent months, driven by broad

strength in regional banks (the KRX regional bank index

was up ~9% for the month) coupled with another good

earnings result, with record deposit growth. The stock is

now up 117% from November lows.

Tencent (+20.8%) and Alibaba (+9.1%) both benefited

from the news that the US government decided against

restricting investments in the Chinese tech giants as

part of the wider banning of investment in Chinese

military-linked companies. In addition, Tencent has seen

massive demand from Chinese mainland-based retail and

institutional investors in recent months.

Greggs (+16%) has performed well since we first bought

it in December. A positive Q4 trading update was ahead

of expectations and highlighted continued momentum

throughout the quarter as restrictions eased and as

customers increasingly adopt the new digital and delivery

offerings.

Facebook (-5%) fell in January despite releasing strong

financial results. The company’s advertising revenue grew

31% in the fourth quarter, accelerating from the 22%

growth delivered last quarter. The company called out

strong advertising growth driven by ecommerce, as well

as the shift in consumer demand towards products and

away from services (e.g. travel and entertainment) as a

result of the pandemic. User engagement continues to

remain high and Facebook’s Daily Average Users climbed

11% to over 1.8 billion. Facebook remains one of our

largest holdings and we see years of growth ahead as

advertising moves to digital. We also see a lot of potential

as the company executes on its initiatives in ecommerce

(like Facebook Shops and Instagram Checkout) and on

monetising WhatsApp and Messenger.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (using NAV to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

February 2021

MLN NAV

$

1. 0 9

$

1. 2 8

Share Price

PREMIUM

1

17.4

%


as at 31 January 2021

2
SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 January 2021

KEY DETAILS

as at 31 January 2021

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.96

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

188m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$240m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

37

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

10

%

FINANCIALS

14

%


HEALTH CARE


WEST

EUROPE

20

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 31 January 2021

13

%

ASIA

72

%

NORTH AMERICA

5

%

INDUSTRIALS

2

%


SOUTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

12

%

13

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

The other detractors this quarter were largely concentrated

in companies impacted by further COVID lockdowns and

vaccine delays, including companies exposed to travel (i.e.

Hilton, Hexcel, Heico, and MasterCard) and physical

retail (Adidas, Essilor, and StoneCo).

Portfolio Changes

There were no material portfolio changes during the month.

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

3
JANUARY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

SIGNATURE BANK

+23

%

TENCENT HOLDINGS

+21

%

GREGGS PLC

+16

%

STONECO

-12

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 January 2021

SIGNATURE BANK

8

%

FACEBOOK

8

%

ALIBABA

7

%

ALPHABET

7

%

TENCENT

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 19 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

3.50

$

4.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

$

2.50

Nov

2019

Nov

2020

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 January 2021

PERFORMANCE to 31 January 2021

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(1.5%)+11.6%+33.9%+28.5%+21.6%

Adjusted NAV Return(0.8%)+8.4%+19.0%+14.9%+14.7%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (0.7%)+10.8%+24.7%+18.5%+19.0%

Benchmark Index^+0.5%+14.7%+10.4%+7.4%+11.9%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

ADIDAS

-14

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised financial adviser

should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund

performance can and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August

2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains and/or

return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1

October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to New

Zealand tax resident shareholders have not been

subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be re-

issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin Global in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently, and pursue other capital

structure initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to purchase an

ordinary share in Marlin Global at a fixed price on a fixed

date

»There are currently no Marlin Global warrants on issue


MANAGEMENT

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe and Carmel

Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.