Fonterra lifts 2020/21 forecast Farmgate Milk Price range
5 March 2021
Fonterra lifts its 2020/21 forecast Farmgate Milk Price range
Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited today lifted its 2020/21 forecast Farmgate Milk Price range to NZD
$7.30 - $7.90 per kgMS, up from NZD $6.90 - $7.50 per kgMS.
The midpoint of the range, which farmers are paid off, has increased to NZD $7.60 per kgMS.
Fonterra CEO Miles Hurrell says the lift in the 2020/21 forecast Farmgate Milk Price range is a result of
consistent strong demand for New Zealand dairy.
“We’ve seen Global Dairy Trade (GDT) prices continuing to increase since February when we last
updated on our forecast Farmgate Milk Price and then this week there was the 15% increase in GDT
prices.
“It’s very much a China demand led story but there is also good demand for New Zealand dairy across
South East Asia and the Middle East.
“China’s strong economic recovery, following the initial impact of COVID-19, is flowing through to strong
demand for dairy and we’ve seen this through sales during the Chinese New Year.
“China’s local milk supply is being used in fresh dairy products and they are looking to us to provide
longer-life dairy products – in particular, whole milk powder which has a big influence on the forecast
Farmgate Milk Price.
“Customers know we are continuing to get products to market, despite the challenges in the global supply
chain and they are looking to us for this reliability. We’re also seeing customers want to buy more of our
products than usual to help mitigate the risk of global supply chain delays.”
Hurrell says today’s lift in the Co-op’s forecast Farmgate Milk Price is good news for New Zealand farmers
and the wellbeing of rural communities. It would see the Co-op contribute more than $11.5 billion to the
New Zealand economy through milk price payments this year.
Fonterra has decided to maintain its plus or minus 30 cent range on its forecast Farmgate Milk Price,
reflecting the continued uncertainties in the global dairy market.
Hurrell says it is important that farmers recognise there are a number of downside risks to the mid-point of
the range. For example, the EU and US are heading into their season and their milk supply will start
increasing, the impacts of COVID-19 on key markets and market volatility.
Fonterra Co-operative Group
Page 2
“A $7.60 per kgMS forecast Farmgate Milk Price also increases our input costs putting further pressure on
our earnings in the second half of the 2020/21 financial year. More details on our earnings will provided at
our half year results on 17 March.”
-ENDS-
For further information contact:
Fonterra Communications
24-hour media line
Phone: +64 21 507 072
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- FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Fonterra lifts 2020/21 forecast Farmgate Milk Price range2021-03-04
“5 March 2021 Fonterra lifts its 2020/21 forecast Farmgate Milk Price range Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited today lifted its 2020/21 forecast Farmgate Milk Price range to NZD $7.30 - $7.90 per kgMS, up from NZD $6.90 - $7.50 per kgMS. The midpoint of the range, whic…”
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