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MLN – March 2021 monthly update

Operational Update14 March 2021MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for February was up 7.0%,

while the adjusted NAV was up 6.3%. This compared with our

global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index

(50% hedged to NZD), which was up 3.3%.

Equity markets closed the month with positive returns,

despite a drop towards the end of the month. The rotation in

favour of value (+4.8%) and small caps (+5.0%) over growth

(+0.4%) continued because of the expected post-pandemic

normalisation and rising US bond yields.

The selloff towards the end of the month was attributed to

investors worrying about inflation due to an impending US$1.9

trillion federal stimulus package that could force the Federal

Reserve to raise short-term borrowing costs. High-growth tech

companies have been hit the hardest, having benefited from

expectations of lower interest rates for an extended period of time.

Portfolio Company Developments

Signature Bank (+32% in local currency), continues to perform

well, as does the US banking index which was up +16% in

February. Underpinning this rise is a shift higher in the US 10-

year government bond yield, which ended the month at 1.42%,

up from 0.91% at the start of the year.

Signature Bank is also benefitting from wider interest in crypto

currencies. By offering banking services to crypto currency

exchanges and institutions who participate in that space the bank

is benefitting from strong growth in cheap deposits.

During the month we reduced our Signature Bank position, after

the rapid share price appreciation had taken the holding up to a

12% weighting in our portfolio. We are still confident in Signature

Bank’s ability to grow earnings at a mid-teens rate and therefore

the company remains one of our largest positions.

After Signature Bank, the portfolio next top three performers

all came from companies, in what we term, our ‘old habits

return’ bucket. This group of businesses includes airplane

componentry manufacturer, Hexcel (+23%), hotel brand

franchisor Hilton (+22%), and conference and research provider

Gartner (+18%). There is increased confidence that vaccination

programs currently underway could achieve large-scale

reopening of economies in the second half of the year.

PayPal (+11%) was buoyed by strong financial results and an

investor day that set out an impressive growth agenda for the

next five years.

PayPal has ambitions to move beyond simply being an online

checkout option to evolving into a payments ‘super app’ like

WeChat and AliPay in China. PayPal’s user numbers have

ballooned from 180 million in 2015 to 377 million today. They

have set an aggressive 2025 target of growing to 750m users,

aided by continued growth in core PayPal, but also explosive

growth in newer areas like Venmo for peer-to-peer payments,

in-store payments, cryptocurrency wallets, buy now pay later,

and newer capabilities like bill payments, investments, and

ecommerce. Their large and engaged userbase (bigger than

any US bank) and digital capabilities puts them in pole position

to capitalise on these new growth areas.

Over the next five years PayPal sees payment volumes and

earnings per share almost tripling. We concur. PayPal executed

extremely well on its prior five-year plan, and we see years of

strong growth ahead.

Facebook (-0.3%) lagged the market slightly in February.

Facebook has been in the news a lot in recent weeks,

with widespread coverage of its battle with the Australian

government about paying media outlets for news. We believe

it is important to have a vibrant and independent media sector

in any democracy and are pleased they have found a solution

here. Both Facebook and Google are negotiating with media

outlets globally to develop a revenue sharing model for content

that is shared on their platforms. We hope that the agreements

reached will fairly balance the value of news content to

Facebook and Google, with the value these businesses

provide to publishers in terms of distribution and new readers.

Facebook and Google’s targeted advertising provides a lot

of value to small businesses. It helps level the playing field

compared to traditional media formats like TV, radio and print

that favour large corporates. Without these platforms we

may not have had the strong growth in direct-to-consumer

businesses that created jobs, better products, and better value

to consumers. Companies that spring to mind include Dollar

Shave Club that undercut Gillette and can attribute much of

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (using NAV to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

March 2021

MLN NAV

$

1.1 6

$

1. 3 1

Share Price

PREMIUM

1

13.1

%


as at 28 February 2021

2
SECTOR SPLIT

as at 28 February 2021

KEY DETAILS

as at 28 February 2021

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.96

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

188m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$246m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

36

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

9

%

FINANCIALS

16

%


HEALTH CARE


WEST

EUROPE

19

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 28 February 2021

11

%

ASIA

74

%

NORTH AMERICA

5

%

INDUSTRIALS

2

%


SOUTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

12

%

13

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

its early success to its viral YouTube marketing. Allbirds’ highly

popular merino footwear is another great example.

Icon (-11%) was our largest detractor for the month after the

announcement of the acquisition of competitor PRA Healthcare

overshadowed strong quarterly earnings and guidance. This

transaction, if approved by regulators and shareholders,

would make Icon the second largest contract research

organisation (CRO), providing clinical research services to

pharma and biotech companies. Management believes that

this combination will provide a broader service offering and

geographic footprint, deeper therapeutic expertise, and strong

capability for remote or virtual clinical trials which have seen

increased adoption during the pandemic.

The market however was more sceptical of the proposed

acquisition, with the share price falling sharply on the

announcement. The merger of two large people-based

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

businesses is always challenging, and prior mergers of

CRO’s have had some issues. We are realistic that there

could be some bumps along the road, but our initial view is

that this transaction will better position Icon in this attractive

and growing industry.

3
FEBRUARY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

SIGNATURE BANK

+32

%

HEXCEL CORP

+23

%

HILTON WORLDWIDE

HOLDINGS

+22

%

GARTNER INC

+19

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 28 February 2021

SIGNATURE BANK

8

%

ALPHABET

8

%

FACEBOOK

7

%

ALIBABA

6

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 19 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

3.50

$

4.00

$

4.50

$

2.00

Nov

2018

$

2.50

Nov

2019

Nov

2020

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 28 February 2021

PERFORMANCE to 28 February 2021

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+2.3%+2.5%+50.2%+29.0%+22.2%

Adjusted NAV Return+6.3%+7.7%+30.1%+17.7%+17.4%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +7.0%+9.5%+38.0%+21.6%+21.9%

Benchmark Index^+3.3%+8.0%+21.8%+9.6%+13.0%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

STONECO

+18

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised financial adviser

should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund

performance can and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August

2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains and/or

return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1

October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to New

Zealand tax resident shareholders have not been

subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be re-

issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin Global in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently, and pursue other capital

structure initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to purchase an

ordinary share in Marlin Global at a fixed price on a fixed

date

»There are currently no Marlin Global warrants on issue


MANAGEMENT

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe and Carmel

Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.