Marlin Global Limited logo

MLN – June 2021 monthly update

Operational Update10 June 2021MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for May was down

(0.9%), while the adjusted NAV was down (1.1%). This

compared with our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid

Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD), which

was up 0.4%.

Developed market equities managed to gain +1.5% in May.

Equity markets were muted given the robust economic

data reflecting the strong start to the year for stocks.

Expectations of stronger economic growth and inflation

favoured the value factor over the growth factor. MSCI

World Value rose 3.0% and MSCI World Growth fell 0.1%.

US corporate earnings for the first quarter, which wrapped

up in May were much stronger than expected. S&P 500

companies reported earnings growth of 47% (year-on-year)

relative to consensus expectations for 20% growth. Despite

the strong earnings performance, the S&P 500 rose 0.7%

in May, but the more expensive technology and consumer

discretionary sectors, which make up 40% of the index,

came under pressure.

After a relatively slow start, vaccination rates in Europe

have picked up. Across the major economies, jabs are

being provided to around 0.8% of the population per day,

in line with the UK. At this pace, the eurozone will soon

have provided at least one dose to the over 50s. The

expectations for growth rebound this year have therefore

risen and this has helped European equities. The MSCI

Europe ex-UK Index rose 2.8% in May, the best performing

major equity index.

Portfolio Developments

Gartner (+18%) reported strong earnings across all three

segments (research, consulting and events). The company

raised its full year earnings guidance by over 20%, which

still excludes the upside from the resumption of in-person

conferences later this year. We have increased conviction

in company given recent performance. Specifically, Gartner

can move beyond IT research into other business verticals,

maintain high customer retention rates, and lastly, improve

profitability. Given the improving outlook for the business,

we increased our holding in Gartner during the month.

Adidas (+17%) started the month at depressed levels

on concerns around China sales as influencers in

China sought to punish the company, along with other

multinationals, for comments European countries had

made concerning China’s use of manual labour in cotton

production. Shares bounced back as Adidas reported

strong sales for the quarter in other regions as well as lifting

their full year revenue guidance. Direct-to-consumer and

e-commerce sales continue to drive strong performance

and improve profitability at the sportswear giant.

Dollar Tree (-16%) fell during the month. The company

reported earnings, which came below market expectations

as freight costs were a greater cost headwind than

expected. We view freight as a transitory issue and remain

optimistic around the company’s future. The company’s

Dollar Tree banner, which till recently only sold items for

$1, has introduced $3 and $5 items. This should increase

sales per store and profitability. Also, the turnaround at the

Family Dollar banner, which sells everyday needs, continues

to progress well with store renovations and the introduction

of combo Dollar Tree and Family Dollar stores providing a

meaningful sales uplift.

Addition

We added home builder, NVR to the portfolio in May.

NVR is the 4th largest homebuilder in the US. Unlike

most homebuilders, which are also land developers, NVR

focuses solely on homebuilding, using options to control

land, which gives them the right but not the obligation to

buy lots on a just-in-time basis. NVR also differentiates

itself from peers by pre-fabricating frames, roofs, staircases

in one of its eight manufacturing facilities. Most of NVR

competitors still do everything on site. NVR’s asset-light

model, central pre-fabrication and local economies of

scale allow NVR to generate higher returns on investment

capital than peers, and grow more rapidly without having

to reinvest much capital. Combined with what is a very

fragmented market comprising many small players, these

advantaged should allow NVR to take market share and

deliver superior returns for many years to come.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

June 2021

MLN NAV

$

1. 2 4

$

1. 4 8

Share Price

Warrant PricePREMIUM

1

$

0.24 24.3

%


as at 31 May 2021

2
SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 May 2021

KEY DETAILS

as at 31 May 2021

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.94

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

189m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$280m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

35

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

9

%

HEALTH CARE

16

%


FINANCIALS

24

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 31 May 2021

12

%

ASIA

73

%

NORTH AMERICA

3

%

INDUSTRIALS

1

%


SOUTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

12

%

13

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

Exits

We exited three smaller positions during May. The first was

TJX. While we believe the company should continue to

take market share thanks to their unique value proposition,

our thinking has developed around profit margins. The

off-price business model, which TJX runs, is very labour

intensive. Especially in the supply chain with manual sorting,

picking and packing. A higher probability of wage inflation

led us to reallocate our TJX holding into portfolio company,

Dollar General, which we consider to be cheaper, equally

well run and having better growth prospects.

Aerospace aftermarket supplier, Heico, was added to your

portfolio in 2020 following a 50% decline during COVID. A

large part of the company’s revenue is tied to the recovery

in air travel. Even so, Heico’s share price has benefited from

the COVID reopening narrative and now trades around

5% above pre-COVID levels, despite a full recovery in air

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

travel being a couple of years away. We think this is overly

optimistic and that there were better opportunities to reinvest

the capital in other portfolio holdings.

Lastly, we exited our position in optical product manufacturer

and retailer, EssilorLuxottica. We invested in the company

in 2017 following the announcement of the merger of Essilor

and Luxottica. The merger created a vertically integrated

industry leader, with significant synergy benefits. This thesis

has largely played out and with shares now near all-time

highs we decided to redeploy funds into NVR.


WEST

EUROPE

3
MAY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

GARTNER

+18

%

ADIDAS

+17

%

ALIBABA

-7

%

DOLLAR TREE

-11

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 May 2021

FACEBOOK

11

%

ALPHABET

7

%

ALIBABA

7

%

SIGNATURE BANK

6

%

TENCENT

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 17 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

3.50

$

4.00

$

4.50

$

5.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

$

2.50

Nov

2019

Nov

2020

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 May 2021

PERFORMANCE to 31 May 2021

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+4.7%+19.5%+74.9%+34.7%+25.7%

Adjusted NAV Return(1.1%)+8.9%+32.7%+19.2%+17.8%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (0.9%)+9.5%+39.9%+23.6%+22.2%

Benchmark Index^+0.4%+7.8%+34.5%+11.2%+12.8%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

FLOOR AND DÉCOR

-15

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be re-

issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 19 April 2021 a new issue of warrants (MLNWE) was

announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders in the ratio of one warrant for every four

Marlin shares held

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on 17 May

2021 based on a 14 May 2021 Record Date and were

listed on the NZX Main Board from 18 May 2021.

(Information pertaining to the warrants was mailed/

emailed to shareholders in early May 2021).

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $1.28, adjusted

down for the aggregate amount per share of any cash

dividends declared on the shares with a record date

during the period commencing on the date of allotment

of the warrants and ending on the last Business Day

before the final Exercise Price is announced by Marlin

»The Exercise Date for the new warrants (MLNWE) is

20 May 2022

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form sent to warrant holders in April 2022


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated

to it from the Board to invest

according to the Management

Agreement and other written

policies. Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris Waters

and Harry Smith (Senior Investment

Analysts) have prime responsibility

for managing the Marlin portfolio.

Together they have significant

combined experience and are very

capable of researching and investing

in the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is based

in Takapuna, Auckland


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe and Carmel

Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.