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ArborGen: Positioned For Accelerated Growth – presentation

Investor Presentation14 July 2021ARBIndustrials

Positioned For
Accelerated Growth

July 2021

Disclaimer
2

ThispresentationhasbeenpreparedbyArborGenHoldingsLimited(“ArborGen”),toprovideanoverviewoftheperformanceofArborGenanditsactivitiesatthedateofthispresentation.Itisnot

preparedforanyotherpurposeandmustnotbeprovidedtoanypersonotherthantheintendedrecipient.ThispresentationshouldbereadinconjunctionwithArborGen’sinterimandannual

reports,marketreleasesandotherperiodicandcontinuousdisclosureannouncements,whichareavailableatwww.nzx.com/companies/ARBandwww.arborgenholdings.com.

The information in this presentation is of a general nature only. It is not a complete description of ArborGen.

This presentation is not a recommendation or offer of financial products for subscription, purchase or sale, or an invitationorsolicitation for such offers.

This presentation is not intended as investment, financial or other advice and must not be relied on by any prospective investor.It does not take into account any particular prospective investor’s

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ArborGen securities should obtain independent professional advice prior to making an investment decision, and should make anyinvestment decision having regard to that person’s own

objectives, financial situation, circumstances and needs.

Past performance information contained in this presentation is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such.This presentation may also contain forward looking

statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business, and business strategy of ArborGen. Information about the future, by its nature, involves inherent risks and

uncertainties. Accordingly, nothing in this presentation is a promise or representation as to the future or a promise or representation that an transaction or outcome referred to in this presentation

will proceed or occur on the basis described in this presentation. Statements or assumptions in this presentation as to future matters may prove to be incorrect.

A number of financial measures are used in this presentation and should not be considered in isolation from, or as a substitute for, the information provided in ArborGen’s financial statements

available at www.arborgenholdings.com. This presentation may include non-GAAP financial measures. This information has been included on the basis that ArborGen management and directors

consider that this non-GAAP information assists readers to understand the key drivers of ArborGen’s performance which are not disclosed as GAAP measures in ArborGen’s financial statements.

ArborGen and its related companies and their respective directors, employees and representatives make no representation or warranty of any nature (including as to accuracy or completeness) in

respect of this presentation and will have no liability (including for negligence) for any errors in or omissions from, or for any loss (whether foreseeable or not) arising in connection with the use of

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AllreferencestocurrenciesinthisdocumentareinUSdollars(US$)unlessotherwisestated.

Agenda
•Business Highlights

•Our leading positions

•How we are transforming forest productivity

•Financial performance

•Poised for accelerated growth –macro drivers and outlook for FY22

and beyond

Spokespeople

•Andrew Baum, CEO

•Kathy Parker, VP Finance & Accounting

•Sharon Ludher-Chandra, Company Secretary & Performance

Improvement Director

•Cathy Quinn, Director Marketing & Communications

•George Adams, NZ based independent director

3

Business highlights
FY22 Outlook and Guidance

•US-GAAP EBITDA guidance for FY22 of

$13 -$14.5 million –a material

increase on FY21 US-GAAP EBITDA

which included government grant

income, resulting in higher cash flow

and further reduction in net debt

•Strong tailwinds for FY22 and beyond –

strong housing growth and carbon

credits provide significant growth

opportunities, with added opportunity

to extend proprietary intellectual

property into other crop species

4

•Global leader in tree improvement technology, transforming

forestry productivity

•Leading positions in all current markets -US South, NZ, Brazil &

Australia

•Superior positioning vis a vis the competition –decades of

proprietary R&D investment, solid production platforms, strong

sales & marketing capability

•Strong market dynamics –strong housing growth trends, growing

focus on reducing carbon emissions

•Extensive commercial operations comprising 18 seedling nurseries,

13 seed producing orchards and overall production capacity of 540

million seedlings ... servicing more than 2,000 customers each year

We are the leading commercialprovider of advanced

genetic tree seedling products

Profitable business well positioned for strong growth

History of ArborGen
5

ArborGen is now beginning to realise the gains from over two decades of investment with proven Mass Control Pollinated (MCP®)

performance at commercial scale; increased market acceptance of the value of MCP products and an increasing supply of MCP seed.

US Seedling

Quality Assurance

(SQA) programme

begins

ArborGen formed through

the consolidation of the

forestry R&D programmes

at Fletcher Challenge (now

ArborGen Holdings

(Rubicon was renamed

ArborGen Holdings in

2019)), International

Paper (IP) and Westvaco

(now WestRock)

Westvaco, Rubicon and IP

contribute substantially all of

their commercial nurseries and

orchards (excluding Brazil) along

with associated R&D programmes

Major

expansion of

MCP orchard

capacity

initiated

CellFor, the only

global clonal pine

competitor, is

acquired

ArborGen licenses

rights to produce

and sell IP

eucalyptus

breeding

programme in

Brazil

Monosem seeders

broadly deployed in

US nurseries

Rubicon

purchases 100%

of ArborGen

Taylor Nursery

leased from South

Carolina

Sugarcane SE

Partnership

2000

2007

2011

2012

2013

2014

2016

2017

2018

2019

Brazil eucalyptus portfolio

expanded through Gerdau

licence; commercial scale

eucalyptus nursery leased in

Brazil

Transactional Event

Operational Event

Timeline Key

2020

Record MCP harvest

completed, ArborGen

poised for growth

Entered into an agreement to

lease with an option to buy

(in 2023) TexMark Timber

Treasury’s nursery and

orchard operations in Texas

Since its formation in 2000, ArborGen has been committed to

meeting the human need for wood, fibre and fuel while protecting

the world’s native forests.

6
U.S. South Loblolly Pine

U.S. South Hardwood

Australia & New Zealand

Radiata Pine

Brazil Loblolly Pine

Brazil Eucalyptus

Leader in three of the largest tree seedling markets in the world

Existing ArborGen operating business

Our business spans over 20 locations in four countries and has more than 185 employees.

270

280

329

294

19

23

39

32

58

50

69

65

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

FY 18FY 19FY 20FY 21

Million seedlings

ArborGen Sales Volume

USANZBR

7
Leader in three of the largest tree seedling markets in the world

United States

•Largest market representing ~75% of

ArborGen’s sales volume

•Primarily lobolly pine –advanced

genetics (MCP & varietal) comprising

31% of sales in FY21

•Leading supplier of MCP in the US

South

•MCP sales expected to increase

substantially –increasing 30% (or

30m) in FY22

•With increasing supply from

ArborGen’s orchards & continued

demand growth, MCP sales expected

to increase substantially over next

few years

Brazil

•One of the largest commercial

suppliers of seedlings –sells

proprietary and licensed genetics

•Majority of sales are eucalyptus, sold

through distribution network in all

primary eucalyptus growing regions

in Brazil

•More than 50% of eucalyptus sales

are advanced genetics clones

licensed from International Paper,

Gerdau & Vallourec, with ArborGen’s

own proprietary products in pre-

commercial phase now

•Also sells proprietary loblolly pine

genetics and genetics licensed from

Arauco and CMPC

ANZ

•Only NZ seedling provider with

national presence

•Advanced genetics comprised over

80% of ANZ’s radiata pine sales in

FY21

•Much higher % of advanced genetics

sales due to early adoption by large

institutional investors & supply

•Primary supplier to institutional land

owners

•Growing horticulture business

propagating high value horticulture

species –hops, blueberries, rubus

Geographic split
8

United StatesAustralia / New ZealandBrazil

Revenue (FY21)

US-GAAP EBITDA

(FY21)

1

US$11.3m

Production

capacity

Seedling

production

nurseries &

orchards

Key seedling

species

US$36.8m

US$9.9m

US$6.0m

70%

~400m seedlings

2

~40m seedlings

8

nurseries

10

7

nurseries

3

3

nurseries

2

Loblolly pine, slash, longleaf,

other pine and hardwoods

Loblolly pine and

eucalyptus

Radiata pine, eucalyptus (NZ

and AU). Other native and

horticultural species (NZ)

~100m seedlings

3

19%11%

1

orchard

1.US-GAAP EBITDA includes other significant items. In FY21 significant items totalled US$2.0m, comprised of government grant subsidies of US$3.7 million, partially offset by expenses in the period of

US$1.7 million relating to seedlings written-off and incremental COVID-19 expenses incurred in the period.

2.Includes outsourced container production.

3.ArborGen outsource over half of its eucalyptus production and all of its pine production in Brazil. Production capacity quoted relates to internal nurseries (3) and contract nurseries (21).

orchardsorchards

ArborGen: Transforming Forest Productivity
9

We are world leaders in developing and

selling advanced genetics tree seedlings that

deliver significant value to landowners.

Leading technology platform
10

Germplasm

Repository

Own one of the world’s

largest and most diverse

repositories of

commercial tree

germplasm

Repository of more than

30,000 families and the

ability to identify trees

that will perform best in

specific regions and sites

Tree Improvement

Expertise

Built on 100+ years of

collective tree

improvement research

Based on the most

comprehensive and

extensive field trial

program in forestry,

currently conducting

~1,000 field trials

containing more than 1

million trees

Proprietary

Production

Technologies

Enabling

commercialisation of

unique proprietary

products, and entry into

new crop species

Genomics and

Bioinformatics

Pioneering the use of

genomics in loblolly pine

which will accelerate

product development

timelines

ArborGen uses advanced

statistical models and

proprietary growth and

yield models to develop

products with advanced

genetics

Biotechnology

Product

Development

We are developing

eucalyptus products with

herbicide resistance using

our eucalyptus

transformation system

which is one of the

broadest and most

advanced in the world

We are the leading provider of proprietary advanced genetics operating across the entiretechnology spectrum

11
•Known superior mother tree and mixed select

father trees

•Plant approximately 600 trees per acre

•First thinning approximately 13 -15 years

•First thinning may yield 40 -50 tonnes per acre

•Final harvest with 20% -50% of trees in

sawtimber

•Available in bareroot and containerised: loblolly

and slash pine

Open Pollinated (OP)

Top 25% of OP tested families

•The top 1% of 8,000 tested Loblolly families

•Substantially higher elite genetic gain by crossing

specific mother and father trees

•Plant approximately 550 trees per acre

•First thinning 1 -2 years earlier

•50 -100% gain in Net Present Value

•Total Revenue gain > 40%

•First thinning yields approximately 30% more

volume with as much as 30% solid wood potential

•Final harvest with 60% -80% of trees in

sawtimber

•Available in Advanced, Select and Elite and 2.0:

bareroot and containerised Loblolly

Mass Control Pollinated (MCP)

Hybrid Crosses of the most Elite Tested Parents

•Each varietal is a genetic copy of a specific tree

rigorously tested for superior traits

•Plant approximately 500 trees per acre

•First thinning 2 -3 years earlier

•80% -120% gain in Net Present Value

•Total revenue gain > 50%

•First thinning yields approximately 60% more

volume with as much as 50% solid wood potential

•Final harvest with > 80% of trees in sawtimber

•Multiple varieties adapted for the entire natural

range of loblolly pine, barefoot and containerised

loblolly

Varietals

Exact Copies of Highest Performing Trees

Seedlings are produced from seed produced through two different production processes: Open Pollinated

Seedlings (OP) and Mass Control Pollinated (MCP or CP) Seedlings. ArborGen also sells varietals (or clones) in the

US, New Zealand and Brazil

Overview of pine products

11

Faster growth rate with first thinning as early as 11 to 13
years

Higher yield with more wood per acre

30 –40% more sawtimber on final harvest vs OP for loblolly

Greater uniformity and quality –straighter, reduced forking,

better branch morphology

Improved disease and stress resistance

Advanced genetics create substantial value for landowners

Indicative only –ultimate value accretion is dependent on site location and

silviculture regime adopted, amongst a range of other factors. Bare land value or

BLV is a specialised Discounted Cash Flow technique used for timberland

investments that calculates the value of bare land in timber production.

84% value accretion

12

Core growth strategy–MCP®growth in the US
Grow the supply and sales of proprietary advanced seedling genetics in the US

ArborGen is now at an inflection point, poised to benefit from 20+ years of investment in developing best-in-class

proprietary MCP products, expanding supply of proprietary genetics through orchards establishments across the

US South, and upgrading customers to MCP seedlings

ArborGen’s best-in-class MCP

seedlings are developed from

crossing specific elite mother

and father parent trees to

generate seed with the highest

genetic potential

ArborGen’s MCP seedlings

deliver substantial gains to

forest owners

More than 20 years of field

trials and published evidence

supporting the superior

performance of MCP

The most advanced and

broadly adapted MCP

pipeline in the industry...

... significantly increasing

MCP supply...

ArborGen has invested

significantly in expanding the

supply of its superior MCP

products, with previous

investments now showing a

marked increase in future

supply

US South MCP Supply Availability

1

million seedling equivalents

0

100

200

300

400

2020202120222023202420252026

EasternWestern

...and favourable market

dynamics, & strong sales

team

The chart shows projected seed supply in seedling equivalents, rather than sales. 2020 year refers to the fiscal year ending March 2021. MCP supply projections are based on a number of factors including the

number of trees in our seed orchards, number of flowers bagged and number of flowers pollinated each year which are subject to climatic variabilities), as well as bushels of cones harvested, pounds of seed

extracted per bushel, and the number of seedlings per pound of seed. As such, actuals may vary from projections due to biological factors outside of our control, as well as operational decisions.

Strong US housing trends

and timber

supply/demand dynamics

in the US South

Increasing demand for new

wood products, particularly

the use of mass timber

Increasing importance of

trees in addressing rising

CO2 levels through

afforestation and

reforestation projects

... combined with the best

sales team in the industry

...driving increased MCP

sales at significantly higher

margins than OP

ArborGen’s MCP seedlings

deliver significant gains to

forest owners and $ margins

6-8 times than that of OP

seedlings

ArborGen is the leading

provider of MCP seedling

products in the US,

responsible for 80+% of all

MCP sales

ArborGen is years ahead of

the competition

13

ArborGen advanced genetics are a
game-changer for forest landowners

"Landowners have one opportunity to influence the

quality of the seedlings planted in a stand.

If the wrong choices are made, the landowner will

suffer the consequences of those decisions for 25

years or longer."

Dr. Steve McKeand

Former Director, NC State

Cooperative Tree Improvement Program

14

Adoption of advanced genetics is reaching tipping point
15

Adoption of MCP is on the

same trajectory as Hybrid Corn

Hybrid Corn transformed agricultural

productivity in the 20th Century

MCP® and other advanced genetic

products will drive forest productivity in

the 21st

16
Our strategic position is translating into results

FY21 financial snapshot
USD $mFY21FY20% change

Revenue52.756.9-7%

Operating Earnings (before other

significant items)

2.62.4+8%

Net earnings

1

(NPAT/NLAT)3.2(2.7)

EBITDA (US-GAAP)

1,2,3

11.35.4+109%

Net Operating Cashflow9.94.8+106%

Net Debt27.429.6-7%

1.Includes other significant items of $2.0 million comprising government grant subsidies of $3.7 million, partially offset by expenses in the period of $1.7 million relating to seedlings

written-off and incremental Covid expenses incurred in the period (2020: a loss of $3.9 million).

2.US-GAAP EBITDA is US-GAAP Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortisation. ArborGen uses US-GAAP EBITDA when discussing financial performance. This is a non-GAAP

financial measure and is not recognised within IFRS. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed in isolation nor considered as a substitute for measures reported in accordance

with GAAP. Management believes that US-GAAP EBITDA provides useful information, as it is used internally to evaluate performance, and it is also a measure that equity analysts focus on

for comparative company performance purposes, as the measure removes distortions caused by differences in asset age, depreciation policies and debt:equity structures. A reconciliation

is provided in note 30 of the 31 March 2021 audited financial statements.

3.Excludes public company costs of $1.3 million

•Solid year on year performance

•Pleasing result despite headwinds and

challenges in 2021

•Significant improvements in net

earnings, operating cashflow, EBITDA

•Positive benefit from cashflow initiatives

•Strengthened balance sheet and

reduction in net debt

17

FY21 revenue and seedling sales
18

Sales Revenue

By Region

AustralasiaSouth AmericaUSA

US Loblolly pine sales

Revenue

MCP & VarietalsOpen Pollinated

US Loblolly pine sales

Volume

MCP & VarietalsOpen Pollinated

19
We are positioned for accelerated growth

Macro trends are in our favour
•Strong US housing demand expected to grow over the next decade –

•Prolonged period of underbuilding

•Favourable demographics (average age of Americans ~30 years)

•Ageing housing stock

•Reforestation and forestation projects to reduce carbon emissions

•Growing demand for cross laminated timber –

•a further 200 billion more trees worldwide required by 2030 to

meet projected demand

•NZ Government Policy and support of forestry, combined with aging pine

plantations

•New pulp mills in Brazil, strong demand for eucalyptus based pulp and

charcoal products

20

We are positioned for accelerated growth
Our advanced genetics are now proven at scale and the

transformation to advanced genetics is at an inflection point

No competitor can match our MCP program’s breadth or depth,

and we are continuously developing more valuable products

Our investments in orchard expansions a decade ago

significantly increasing our MCP seed supply

Demographics, global warming and other macro-trends are

providing strong tail winds

Geographic diversity reduces risk

21

Regional outlook for FY22
United States

•Return to pre-COVID sales and

operating processes

•Easing of migrant labour restrictions

•Growing adoption of MCP as value story

becomes evident

•~ 30% increase in MCP seedling supply

in FY22

•Focus on increasing proportion of MCP

seedlings sold

•Strong underlying demand for solid

wood products in the US and structural

supply constraints in Canada, the

Western US and Europe, driving

expansion in US South sawmill capacity

22

Australasia

•Underlying demand drivers for forestry

remain strong

•Continue to focus on NZ horticulture

business, leveraging our expertise

•Crop species include high-value

horticultural species such as hops,

blueberries, rubus and tea

South America

•Orders to date are 70% higher than this

time last year

•Positive market drivers –increasing

exports, new pulp mills and strong

demand for eucalyptus based pulp and

charcoal products

•Expansion of sales and marketing efforts

•Increased in-house production capacity

and lower product costs

•Expanded advanced genetic eucalyptus

portfolio

Strong tailwinds for FY22
•Increased availability of proprietary MCP seedlings in US

•Improving market in all regions

•Higher demand for proprietary genetics in US and Brazil

•Return to pre-pandemic normalcy as COVID vaccine programmes are

rolled out

Beyond FY22

•Increased MCP pollination achieved in 2021 (up 35% yoy) will

materially lift MCP seed volume, and in turn, MCP seedling

production in fiscal year ending March 2024

•Strong housing growth and carbon credits provide significant growth

opportunities

•Opportunity to extend proprietary somatic embryo capabilities,

genomics and tissue culture expertise into other crop species

FY22 guidance

Subject to any uncontrollable factors, we

are targeting US-GAAP EBITDA for the

current year ending March 2022 to be in

the $13 -$14.5 million range –a material

increase on FY21 US-GAAP EBITDA which

included government grant income,

resulting in higher cash flow and further

reduction in net debt

Outlook

23

Contact us
Andrew Baum

Chief Executive Officer (US-based)

T: +1 888 888 7158

E: ambaum@arborgen.com

Sharon Ludher-Chandra

Company Secretary & Performance Improvement Director

(NZ-based)

T: +64 21 898 624

E: info@arborgenholdings.com

24

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.