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KFL – June 2021 Quarterly Newsletter

Quarterly Update25 July 2021KFLFinancials

To long-term investors, most market information is noise
The market is easily distracted by short-term effects and confused

by an ever-growing tide of data. The real skill is in filtering valuable

information out of market noise – and using that information to guide a

longer-term view.

Twenty years ago, information was scarce. Back then, investors who

could get the right information had a real advantage. Today, investors

often have far too much market information.

Two of our larger positions during the quarter reminded us not to

get distracted by market noise. The management of Fisher & Paykel

Healthcare and Auckland Airport think long-term.


We bought Fisher & Paykel Healthcare when the market

over-reacted to negative news

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare’s Optiflow technology became the global

standard for treating COVID last year. Demand for Optiflow surged.

However, for the last 15 months, the market has been desperately

trying to pre-empt and price the end of that surge. The market thought it

saw the end of the surge in May, when the company delivered weaker-

than-expected results, and an uncertain short-term outlook saw the share

price fall by 15%.

To us, a key attraction of the company is its exceptionally long runway

for growth. Around 50 million acute respiratory-illness patients a year

would benefit from the Optiflow product. With Optiflow currently

treating less than 10 million patients, we believe there is capacity

to serve more. Investors who focus on the short-term, post-COVID

slowdown in demand, may end up limiting their potential participation

in this forecast runway for growth.

We bought more Fisher & Paykel Healthcare stock when the market’s

knee-jerk reaction to short-term noise made the price attractive.


Auckland Airport investors looked to the long-term despite

negative news

Recent negative news included the stop-start trans-Tasman bubble, the

pending departure of CEO Adrian Littlewood, and near-term earnings

downgrades. Despite these short-term headwinds, the stock is broadly

in-line with where it was at the end of March 2021, helped by news

of a take-over bid for Sydney Airport. This is encouraging because it

means investors are focusing on the long-term picture. We will travel

again and when you own a long-life, critical infrastructure asset,

looking at the long-term picture is exactly the right thing to do.


Other portfolio news

a2 Milk has rallied almost 40% from its intra-quarter lows

a2 Milk has experienced a volatile share price over the quarter, as

challenges with distribution and pricing influenced share price valuations.

Product pricing on key online platforms recovered from recent lows, and

its sales rankings on major e-commerce platforms, Tmall and JD.com are

at similar levels to last year.

We have been expecting to see this recovery for some time, but we want

to see signs that the recovery will be sustained. These positives followed

another disappointing earnings downgrade during the quarter and the

unexpected departure of Peter Nathan, leader of the Asia-Pacific business.

Mainfreight outperformed again and delivered a strong

2021 result

Sales and profit growth accelerated strongly in the second half of

the financial year, especially in Europe and the US. The company is

continuing to ‘fatten’ its network, driving higher line-haul utilisation,

and opening new warehouses – which helps win new customers.

The business is expanding geographically with the new Air & Ocean

freight-forwarding branches becoming profitable and growing the

company’s freight flows. Momentum has continued into the 2022

financial year.

We upgraded our target weight during the quarter. The business is

executing well against its strategy and remains a high-conviction

position.

Infratil announced it was buying Pacific Radiology Group

Pacific Radiology is New Zealand’s largest provider of diagnostic

imaging with 46 clinics and 90 radiologists. This is Infratil’s second

investment in diagnostic imaging, after acquiring Qscan late last

year. The investment thesis is based on strong industry growth

dynamics.

Once the proceeds are received from the sale of Tilt (expected 3

August), Infratil will be in a position to buy more companies in the

Australasian diagnostic imaging industry.

Summerset Group reported strong quarterly sales and

best-ever resales figures

The company appointed Mark Verbiest as Chairman and Will Wright

as CFO during the quarter.

Ryman Healthcare lost its CEO and we reduced our target

weight

The company announced that Gordon McLeod, a company veteran

of 14 years, including almost 5 years as CEO, was resigning.

We are disappointed with Gordon’s departure, as he has been

an inspirational leader and leaves without a plan in place for a

successor.

We reduced our target weight in Ryman during the quarter.

NZ still underperforming global markets

This quarter the New Zealand share market was again one of

the worst performing markets among the developed countries.

Four factors drove this poor performance. First, the economy

underperformed. Second, 10-year bond rates nearly doubled. Third,

the NZX50 has five times more defensives – companies sensitive to

interest rates - than other global markets. Finally, few New Zealand

companies can be classified as cyclical or reopening plays.

1

Share price Premium to NAV (using NAV to four decimal places).

QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER

1 April 2021 – 30 June 2021

KFL NAV

$

1.76

$

2.02

Share Price

PREMIUM

1

14.6

%


as at 30 June 2021

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

15 July 2021

1

2
Disclaimer: The information in this newsletter has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is

by necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or

completeness. The newsletter is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial

adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the newsletter contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund

performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

3 Months

3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+8.3%+26.2%+20.2%

Adjusted NAV Return+1.7%+16.5%+15.7%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +1.9%+19.7%+18.5%

S&P/NZX50G Index+0.7%+12.3%+12.9%


Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross

performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures

is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital

allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection,

before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price

performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to

shareholders. It assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment

plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money), at warrant

expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total

shareholder return in this newsletter are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-

GAAP measures are described in the Kingfish Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the

policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

LISTED COMPANIES% Holding

Auckland Intl Airport8.8%

Contact Energy4.9%

Delegat Group3.2%

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare14.9%

Freightways4.0%

Infratil15.3%

Mainfreight19.6%

Meridian Energy0.9%

Port of Tauranga2.3%

Pushpay Holdings1.5%

Ryman Healthcare4.6%

Summerset8.6%

The A2 Milk Company4.1%

Vista Group International4.1%

Equity Total96.8%

New Zealand dollar cash3.2%

TOTAL100.0%

PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS SUMMARY

as at 30 June 2021

COMPANY NEWS

Dividend Paid 25 June 2021

A dividend of 3.60 cents per share was paid to Kingfish shareholders on 25 June 2021 under the quarterly distribution policy. Interest in Kingfish’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP) remains high with 41% of shareholders participating in the plan. Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price. If you would like to participate in the DRP, please contact our share registrar, Computershare on (09) 488 8777.

PERFORMANCE

as at 30 June 2021

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740, New Zealand

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

If you would like to receive future

newsletters electronically please email

us at enquire@kingfish.co.nz

SIGNIFICANT RETURNS

IMPACTING THE PORTFOLIO

DURING THE QUARTER

CONTACT

ENERGY

+18

%

FREIGHTWAYS

+12

%

RYMAN

HEALTHCARE

- 13

%

PUSHPAY

- 13

%

A2 MILK

COMPANY

-25

%

FOREIGN TAX COMPLIANCE ACT (FATCA) AND COMMON REPORTING

STANDARD (CRS)


As a result of the New Zealand Government agreeing to participate in the exchange of information with other jurisdictions under the Foreign Tax

Compliance Act (FATCA) and Common Reporting Standard (CRS), Financial Institutions are required to undertake due diligence to determine the

account holders’ jurisdiction of tax residence. All shareholders will have received a Tax Residency Self-Certification form from Computershare

depending on when they first purchased their securities. Please ensure you complete and return this important document if you have not already

done so. For more information please visit the IRD website: https://www.ird.govt.nz/international-tax/exchange-of-information/crs/registration-and-

reporting or contact Computershare if you are unsure of whether you have completed your form.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.