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MLN – November 2021 monthly update

Operational Update9 November 2021MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for October was up

2.3%, while the adjusted NAV was +1.5%. This compared

with our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small

Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD), which was up 2.1%.

Following a weaker September, global markets bounced

back in October with the US leading the way, up 7%. The

US market had a strong start to Q3 earnings, with more

than 80% of companies beating analyst expectations, albeit

by a smaller magnitude than previous quarters.

Europe was up 4.2%, while Emerging Markets (+1%)

lagged the major western markets as resurgence of COVID

in Asia and Russia hampers economic growth.

Supply chain issues remain front of mind however, and

were a key discussion point in most company earnings

calls. A tight labour market and increasing wage costs

further adds to inflationary concerns.

Portfolio Developments

Dollar Tree (+13%) a top US discount retailer, stock price

rallied in October after the company announced that it will

introduce price points above US$1 (but not over US$3)

in its 7,700 stores. Dollar Tree has kept its US$1 fixed

price point for decades, even when peers have long since

moved to a multi-price point model in the face of inflation

and to manage profitability. This is incrementally positive as

the new higher pricing can be introduced in stores where

previously 90-100% of items were US$1. With these small

price increases we think Dollar Tree maintains its bargain-

hunting value proposition while giving the firm the ability to

protect profitability in the face of rising costs.

Alibaba (+11%) had a strong month, as the Chinese

tech industry enjoyed a period of relative calm following

the frenetic pace of regulatory announcements in recent

months, and with Chinese party leaders providing some

reassurance that the tech companies role in the nation’s

economic development has not been diminished.

Facebook / Meta Platforms (-5%) saw its share price

slide following financial results from Snapchat which

highlighted how Apple’s new privacy changes had hit its

advertising business. Facebooks results later in the month

showed that Facebook’s own advertising business had held

up relatively well – with revenue growing 35% on the prior

year. The more substantial news for Facebook however

was their announced name change to Meta Platforms,

and their intention to invest significantly ($10bn per year)

to try and build the next computing platform. CEO Mark

Zuckerberg has talked for a number of years about wanting

to contribute to the development of the metaverse, and to

technology like virtual reality that he thinks will be important

for the future of computing and communication. This is a

significant investment and an area we will monitor closely.

The payoffs here are uncertain, but we are comforted by

the company’s history of astute capital allocation – not least

the acquisition of Instagram in 2012 for just $1bn.

Mastercard (-3%) slipped in October on the back of

comments by Visa that they weren’t expecting their cross-

border revenues to return to pre-pandemic levels until

2023. Revenue from cross-border travel is particularly

lucrative and is an important part of both the Visa and

Mastercard’s businesses – which is why Mastercard

sold off by 6% in response to Visa’s news. Mastercard’s

own financial results later in the month showed that their

business is growing strongly, with revenue up 30% on

the prior year, and our expectation is for two more years

of elevated transaction, revenue and earnings growth

and international travel resumes. While the recovery may

not be happening as fast as some would like, we see a

long growth runway ahead, the potential for profit margin

expansion and valuation that is not as demanding as it

used to be.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

November 2021

MLN NAV

$

1. 2 6

$

1. 5 3

Share Price

Warrant PricePREMIUM

1

$

0.22 26.3

%


as at 31 October 2021

2
SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 October 2021

KEY DETAILS

as at 31 October 2021

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.25

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

192m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$293m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

35

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

10

%

HEALTH CARE

15

%


FINANCIALS

24

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 31 October 2021

10

%

ASIA

73

%

NORTH

AMERICA

3

%

INDUSTRIALS

2

%


SOUTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

12

%

14

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

PayPal (-11%) saw its share price decline on limited

fundamental data in the month. The bulk of the decline

followed rumours that they were looking at acquiring image

sharing and advertising platform Pinterest for up to $45

billion. Investors struggled to see the synergies between

these two businesses and sent PayPal’s share price

tumbling on concerns that an acquisition would be value

destructive. PayPal has since publicly stated that it isn’t

pursuing an acquisition of Pinterest.

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited


WEST

EUROPE

3
OCTOBER’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

DOLLAR TREE

+13

%

FLOOR & DÉCOR

HOLDINGS

+13

%

FIRST REPUBLIC

BANK

+12

%

ALPHABET INC

+11

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 October 2021

FACEBOOK

10

%

ALPHABET

7

%

ALIBABA

7

%

SIGNATURE BANK

7

%

TENCENT

7

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 17 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.00

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

4.00

$

5.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Nov

2020

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 October 2021

PERFORMANCE to 31 October 2021

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+2.6%(0.6%)+45.2%+32.6%+27.1%

Adjusted NAV Return+1.5%(1.4%)+31.8%+21.9%+19.3%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +2.3%(0.4%)+37.7%+26.4%+23.6%

Benchmark Index^+2.1%+1.6%+34.3%+14.1%+13.9%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

ALIBABA

+11

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be re-

issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 19 April 2021 a new issue of warrants (MLNWE) was

announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders in the ratio of one warrant for every four

Marlin shares held

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on 17 May

2021 based on a 14 May 2021 Record Date and were

listed on the NZX Main Board from 18 May 2021.

(Information pertaining to the warrants was mailed/

emailed to shareholders in early May 2021)

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $1.28, adjusted

down for the aggregate amount per Share of any cash

dividends declared on the Shares with a record date

during the period commencing on the date of allotment

of the Warrants and ending on the last Business Day

before the final Exercise Price is announced by Marlin.

Dividends totalling 4.89 cents per share have been

declared to date and there are two more dividends

expected to be declared in the remaining period up to

the announcement of the 20 May 2022 exercise price.

»The Exercise Date for the new warrants (MLNWE) is

20 May 2022

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form sent to warrant holders in April 2022


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated

to it from the Board to invest

according to the Management

Agreement and other written

policies. Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris Waters

and Harry Smith (Senior Investment

Analysts) have prime responsibility

for managing the Marlin portfolio.

Together they have significant

combined experience and are very

capable of researching and investing

in the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is based

in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe and David

McClatchy.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.