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MLN – December 2021 monthly update

Operational Update13 December 2021MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for November was down by

(2.5%), while the adjusted NAV return was down by (2.0%). This

compared with our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P

Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD), which was down by

(0.6%).

Marlin lagged the market in November. The underperformance

was caused by weaker than expected financial results from

three of our portfolio companies – PayPal, StoneCo and

Alibaba.

For markets, November started well, but equity markets faded

into the end of the month, with the MSCI World Index finishing

2.3% lower due to rising Covid hospitalisations in parts of

Europe, concerns over the new Omicron variant and a more

hawkish stance from the US Federal Reserve.

The effectiveness of vaccines against the new Omicron variant

is currently unknown, and this will clearly be a key issue to

monitor over the coming weeks. However, even if vaccine

efficacy is reduced, drug companies seem confident that they

will be able to produce new vaccines to address the new strain

relatively quickly. New antiviral pills should also provide a further

lever to help reduce hospitalisations when they are available in

the coming months.

Portfolio Developments

Dollar Tree (+24%) a US discount retailer, was the top

performer in the portfolio for the second month running. Shares

rallied following disclosure that activist, Mantle Ridge had taken

a sizeable equity stake and the company was moving away

from its fixed $1 price point. Regarding Mantle Ridge, not many

details have been released yet aside from the involvement of

Richard Dreiling, the former CEO of Dollar General, who led the

firm during its turnaround in 2008. This is a positive as Dollar

Tree tries to close the performance gap between their Family

Dollar banner and now best-in-class Dollar General.

Management also announced they were ‘breaking the buck’

at the Dollar Tree banner and rolling out a new US$1.25 price

point to all c.8,000 Dollar Tree stores. Freight costs have been

a significant headwind for the company recently, and Dollar

Tree expects the 25c price increase to offset cost inflation and

help lift profit margins back to historical levels. Even with this

price increase, we still believe Dollar Tree retains a very strong

customer value proposition compared to peers.

US homebuilder NVR (+7%) rose along with the homebuilder’s

index for the month. Housing data in the US continues to show

a robust demand environment. As supply chain headwinds

stabilise, we expect homebuilders to deliver strong growth as

they work through their large backlogs of new housing orders.

Signature Bank (+1.5%) continues to perform well. An

update during November was further evidence that the bank

is outdistancing peers in loan and deposit growth. While 2021

has been a standout year with assets up 70% year-over-year,

we continue to think the company can produce robust growth

going forward. The bank has a unique operating model of

acquiring established teams, which allows Signature to enter

new regions and markets. With best-in-class profitability and

excess cash on the balance sheet to deploy, earnings should

grow ahead of revenue.

PayPal (-21%) sold off in November after the company

lowered its 2021 revenue guidance and provided 2022 growth

expectations that were below market expectations. On the

positive side, Paypal announced a deal with Amazon which

should add incremental volume over time and the company is

gaining traction in the buy now, pay later space.

Alibaba (-23%) was down in November after reporting earnings

that showed growth slowing in the company’s e-commerce

business, due to economic headwinds and competition. Over

time, there are three variables that will drive Alibaba’s share

price. These are, e-commerce market share, profit margins and

the level of new investment required to keep driving growth. We

think the market is being too negative on the eventual outcome

of all of these drivers and we remain confident that growth in

Alibaba’s core e-commerce business will eventually accelerate.

We also remain positive on the company’s international retail

and cloud computing segments which are both growing

strongly.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

December 2021

Warrant Price

$

0.20

$

1. 5 2

Share Price

MLN NAVPREMIUM

1

$

1. 2 3 27.7

%


as at 30 November 2021

2
SECTOR SPLIT

as at 30 November 2021

KEY DETAILS

as at 30 November 2021

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.25

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

192m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$291m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

36

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

9

%

HEALTH CARE

15

%


FINANCIALS

25

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 30 November 2021

10

%

ASIA

76

%

NORTH

AMERICA

3

%

INDUSTRIALS

1

%


SOUTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

12

%

13

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

StoneCo (-54%), a Brazilian payment service provider, was the

worst performer in the portfolio in November. While StoneCo’s

third quarter earnings showed that it continues to grow its

customer base and payment volumes rapidly, profitability

missed expectations and weighed heavily on the company’s

share price.

The main concern from the earnings release was the company’s

rising financial expenses due to increasing interest rates, which

it has not yet been able to pass on to customers. This created

a material headwind to profit margins. StoneCo also signalled

that it would increase investment into their portfolio of products

and services they offer to support further growth and market

share gains, but signalled this will also dampen profit margins

in the near-term. The positive news in the quarter was that the

company continues to sign on new customers at a rapid rate,

more than doubling the client base in the past year to 1.3 million

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited


WEST

EUROPE

active clients. The company is also witnessing accelerating

payment volume growth (+81% year-on-year) and reported a

record market share gain for the quarter.

We were disappointed by StoneCo’s results and are doing more

research to understand the company’s competitive position and

ability to pass through higher interest rates to customers. We

believe that the long-term tailwinds behind the company are still

intact, and the company’s strategy and products are still being

well received by customers.

3
NOVEMBER’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

DOLLAR TREE

+24

%

BOSTON

SCIENTIFIC

-12

%

PAYPAL

-21

%

STONECO

-23

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 30 November 2021

META PLATFORMS

(Previously FACEBOOK)

10

%

ALPHABET

7

%

TENCENT

7

%

SIGNATURE BANK

6

%

ALIBABA

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 17 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.00

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

4.00

$

5.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Nov

2020

Nov

2021

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 30 November 2021

PERFORMANCE to 30 November 2021

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(0.9%)+0.4%+29.1%+34.0%+26.6%

Adjusted NAV Return(2.0%)(3.6%)+20.7%+21.7%+19.2%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (2.5%)(3.5%)+24.0%+25.6%+23.3%

Benchmark Index^(0.6%)(1.0%)+21.7%+14.3%+13.0%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

ALIBABA

-54

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be re-

issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 19 April 2021 a new issue of warrants (MLNWE) was

announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders in the ratio of one warrant for every four

Marlin shares held

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on 17 May

2021 based on a 14 May 2021 Record Date and were

listed on the NZX Main Board from 18 May 2021.

(Information pertaining to the warrants was mailed/

emailed to shareholders in early May 2021)

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $1.28, adjusted

down for the aggregate amount per Share of any cash

dividends declared on the Shares with a record date

during the period commencing on the date of allotment

of the Warrants and ending on the last Business

Day before the final Exercise Price is announced by

Marlin. Dividends totalling 7.43 cents per share have

been declared to date and there is one more dividend

expected to be declared in the remaining period up to

the announcement of the 20 May 2022 exercise price.

»The Exercise Date for the new warrants (MLNWE) is

20 May 2022

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form sent to warrant holders in April 2022


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated

to it from the Board to invest

according to the Management

Agreement and other written

policies. Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris Waters

and Harry Smith (Senior Investment

Analysts) have prime responsibility

for managing the Marlin portfolio.

Together they have significant

combined experience and are very

capable of researching and investing

in the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is based

in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe and David

McClatchy.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.