Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Global Dairy Update February 2022

Operational Update27 February 2022FCGConsumer Staples

• Fonterra, NZX and EEX enter GDT partnership for
future growth.

1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• Monthly production decline observed across

all regions.

• Australia and New Zealand exports up. US and

EU monthly exports decline.

• China monthly imports decline. Middle East

and Africa, Latin America and Asia monthly

imports up.

• Fonterra New Zealand milk collection for

January was 158.1 million kgMS, down 6.1% on

January the prior season.

• Fonterra Australia milk collection for January

was 9.3 million kgMS, down 4.2% on January

last season.

• Carbon Zero Simply Milk range expands.

Key Dates

17 March 2022

FY22 Interim Results Announcement

May 2022

FY22 Q3 Business Update

FEBRUARY 2022

%
%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for January 2022

compared to January 2021

Change for January 2022

compared to January 2021

Change for December 2021

compared to December 2020

Change for November 2021

compared to November 2020

Change for the 12 months to

January 2022

Change for the 12 months

to January 2022

Change for the 12 months

to December 2021

Change for the 12 months

to November 2021

1.61.26.1

0.90.11.0

0.8

0.7

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

Monthly production

decline observed across

all regions

New Zealand milk

production¹ decreased

6.1% on a litres basis, (down

6.1% on milk solids basis) in

January compared to January

the year prior.

Warm and very dry weather

across most regions

throughout January have

impacted soil moisture and

milk production.

New Zealand milk

production for the 12 months

to January was down 0.7%

on the year prior.

Fonterra New Zealand

collections are reported

for January, see page 5

for details.

Australia milk

production decreased 1.2%

in December compared to

December the year prior.

COVID-19 outbreaks and

isolation requirements are

impacting labour availability

and supply chains on

farm. Combined with early

dry

-

offs, sustained cull rates

and reduced milking interval,

this is negatively impacting

milk production.

Australia milk production for

the 12 months to December

was 0.9% lower than the

year prior.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported

for January, see page 5

for details.

EU milk production²

decreased 0.8% in

November compared to the

same period the year prior.

Lower production volumes

year-on-year were driven

by Germany, France and

Netherlands but partially

offset by an increase in

Italy’s production.

EU milk production for the

12 months to November was

down 0.1% compared to the

same period the year prior,

was also driven by declines

in Germany, France and

Netherlands and offset by

increases in Italy and Ireland.

U

S milk production

decreased by 1.6% in

January, compared to the

same period the year prior.

Weaker production was

observed for the

third

consecutive month. This was

driven by continuing herd

size contractions and lower

milk per cow, and reflecting

increasing input costs.

Milk production

for the

12 months to January was

1.0% higher compared to the

same period the year prior.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 New Zealand production is measured in litres.

2

E

xcludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

Australia and New Zealand

monthly exports up.

US and EU monthly

exports decline

Total New Zealand dairy

exports increased by 0.6%,

or 2,229 MT, in December

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Shipments of fluid milk

products, infant formula and

WMP increased year-on-year,

as well as MPC and WPC

but were partially offset by

lower shipments of SMP

and cheese.

Exports for the 12 months

to December were up by

4.0%, or 135,499 MT, on the

previous comparable period.

This was primarily driven

by increases in WMP, fluid

milk product and cheese but

partially offset by declines in

AMF and SMP.

EU dairy exports

decreased 1.6%, or 8,918  MT,

in November compared

to the same period the

year prior.

Lower exports of cheese,

SMP and cultured products,

down a combined 22,336  MT,

were partially offset by

stronger demand for MPC

and butter.

Exports for the 12 months to

November were up 0.2%, or

15, 617 MT, on the previous

comparable period, driven

by increases in fluid milk

products and whey, and

partially offset by declines

in infant formula, cultured

products, WMP and butter.

US dairy exports

decreased 2.7%, or 5,247  MT,

in December compared to

the same period the year

prior and marks the end of a

10-month period of year-on-

year gains.

Lower demand for WPC

in China, whey in Vietnam

and SMP in Indonesia were

partially offset by an increase

in cheese to Japan and

lactose to China.

Exports for the 12 months to

December were up 10.2%, or

255,605 MT, on the previous

comparable period, driven by

SMP, whey, cheese, fluid milk

products and butter, up a

combined 242,722  MT.

Australia dairy exports

increased 53.1%, or 38,107  MT,

in December compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The significant increase in

December relative to the

same month the prior year

is driven by continued high

demand from China for fluid

milk products, up 24,627  MT,

and an increase in SMP and

cheese exports.

Exports for the 12 months

to December were up

18.8%, or 141,673 MT, on the

previous comparable period

and reflect the significant

increase on November

and December.

This was predominantly

driven by increases in fluid

milk products, and also SMP

and WMP.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%

%

%

%

Change for December 2021

compared to December 2020

Change for December 2021

compared to December 2020

Change for December 2021

compared to December 2020

Change for November 2021

compared to November 2020

Change for the 12 months

to December 2021

Change for the 12 months

to December 2021

Change for the 12 months

to December 2021

Change for the 12 months

to November 2021

2.753.10.6

18.8

1.6

10.20.24.0

%

%

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

China monthly imports

decline. Middle East and

Africa, Latin America and

Asia monthly imports up

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹ increased

7.6%, or 10,356 MT, in

November compared to the

same period the year prior.

The increase was driven by

higher demand for cheese

and whey to Mexico and SMP

to Dominican Republic.

Imports for the 12 months

to November were up 3.7%

compared to the same

period the year prior, driven

by increases in cheese, SMP

and fluid milk products and

partially offset by declines

in WMP.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

increased 7.5%, or 29,498  MT,

in November compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The increase was driven

by higher demand for SMP

and cultured products

to Philippines, and whey

to Vietnam.

Imports for the 12 months to

November were down 0.5%,

or 26,757 MT, compared

to the same period the

year prior, driven by lower

volumes of WMP and SMP,

and offset by an increase in

whey and cheese.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes¹

increased 18.4%, or

70,513 MT, in November

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was

predominantly driven by

higher volumes of SMP to

Algeria and Libya, fluid milk

products and cheese to Iraq

and Libya.

Imports for the 12 months

to November were up 5.0%,

or 249,509 MT, compared

to November the year prior,

driven by increases in cheese,

fluid milk products, cultured

products and ice cream.

China dairy import

volumes decreased by

13. 0%, or 42,365 MT, in

December compared to

December 2020, which

was a record month for

China imports.

Declines were observed

in WMP and SMP import

volumes as supply is limited.

Whey imports were also

down as hog herds in China

decline, decreasing the

demand for whey as feed.

Imports for the 12 months to

December were up 18.0%, or

630,474 MT, driven by fluid

milk products, WMP, whey

and SMP, partially offset by

decreases in infant formula.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%

%

Change for November 2021

compared to November 2020

Change for December 2021

compared to December 2020

Change for November 2021

compared to November 2020

Change for November 2021

compared to November 2020

Change for the 12 months

to November 2021

Change for the 12 months

to November 2021

Change for the 12 months

to November 2021

13.0

7.57.6

0.55.0

%

Change for the 12 months

to December 2021

18.0

18.4

3.7

%

%

To view a table that shows our
detailed milk collection in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%%

Season-to-date

1 July to 31 January

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 January

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 January

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 January

Change for January 2022

compared to January 2021

Change for January 2022

compared to January 2021

Change for January 2022

compared to January 2021

Change for January 2022

compared to January 2021

4.21.49.56.1

1.62.84.13.6

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY



















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collection

Fonterra's Australia

collections for January

were 9.3 million kgMS, a

4.2% decrease on January

last season as third party

volumes decreased and farm

collections were flat year-

on-year. Fonterra collections

across Australia for the seven

months for the season-to-

date were 67.6  million kgMS,

a 1.6% decline on last season.

Summer rainfall deficits

across Western Victoria and

Tasmania are impacting

production with reduced

pasture and summer crop

being fed and which is being

substituted by low quality

silage harvested this spring.

North Island milk

collections in January were

86.8 million kgMS, 9.5% lower

than January last season.

Season-to-date collections

were 629.0 million kgMS,

4.1% behind last season.

North Island milk collections

continued to decline. January

had high temperatures and

was very dry for the whole

month, contributing to feed

deficits and heat stress.

South Island m

ilk

c

ollections in January were

71.3 million kgMS, 1.4% lower

than last January. Season-

to-date collections were

4

02.7 million kgMS, 2.8%

behind last season.

The South Island was less

impacted than the North

Island by the hot and dry

weather, with rain giving

some relief to feed supply.

Otago and Southland were

the only region where

Ja nuary milk collections were

above last season.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collections for January were

158.1 million kgMS, 6.1% lower

than last January. Season-

to-date collections were

1, 032.6 million kgMS, 3.6%

behind last season.

Hot, dry weather across most

of the country for the month

of January led to much lower

milk collections compared to

last season.

%%%

Forecast Farmgate Milk Price for

the 2021/22 season

Forecast milk collection for the

2021/22 season

NZD

per

kgMS

%

9.30-

9.90

1, 4 8 0

M

kgMS

Outlook for Fonterra

in New

Z

ealand

%

%
%

%%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

FEB SEP FEB

APR

JUL

SEP

DEC

FEB APR JUL DEC





,

, 

,

,
.

.

.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity

prices and New

Zealand dollar trend

Strengthening inflation in the

USA saw short-term interest

rates surge higher and briefly

shake the confidence of equity

markets, and this resulted in

increased investor demand for

safe haven assets such as the

USD. The NZD/USD exchange

rate depreciated to below 66 US

cents briefly before stabilising.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

15 February 2022:

The next trading event will be held on 1 March 2022. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

4.3

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

4,880

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

26.8

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 6,889/MT

1.3

AMF

USD 4,303/MT

6.4

SMP

USD 4,503/MT

4.1

WMP

USD 6,686/MT

5.1

BUTTER

USD 5,881/MT

3.5

CHEDDAR

26,766

MT

LATEST AUCTION

380,084

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Fonterra, NZX and EEX

enter GDT partnership

for future growth

Fonterra has agreed a

strategic partnership with

New Zealand’s Exchange

(NZX) and the European

Energy Exchange (EEX) to

each take ownership stakes

in Global Dairy Trade (GDT)

alongside the Co-op.

Subject to the approval

of Boards, clearance from

European or any other

relevant competition

law authorities, and

finalisation of transaction

documentation, the

partnership is expected to be

completed mid-2022, with

Fonterra, NZX and EEX each

holding an equal one-third

(33.33%) shareholding in the

global dairy auction platform.

Fonterra Chief Executive

Miles Hurrell says the move

to a broader ownership

structure marks the next

step in the evolution of

GDT – further enhancing

the standing of GDT as

an independent, neutral,

and transparent price

discovery platform, giving

it a presence in prominent

international dairy producing

regions, and creating future

growth opportunities.

“This is good news for our

farmer owners, unit holders,

and all dairy industry

participants and is expected

to lead to greater volumes

being traded on GDT. It will

bring more participants and

transactions, stimulating

further growth of risk

management contracts

available on financial

trading platforms.

“We all know that dairy is

one of the most volatile

traded commodities,” he

says. “This partnership is

another step in helping

to manage this risk for

everyone – from the farmer

through to the customer

at the end of the supply

chain. A more liquid dairy

trading environment allows

for the growth of financial

tools which can be used by

all participants to better

manage price volatility.

“Our focus has been about

securing the best partners,

and NZX and EEX share our

vision for a stronger, more

liquid auction platform that

benefits all involved. We

are also closely aligned on

future possibilities for GDT

as the world’s most trusted

reference point for dairy

commodity prices.”

NZX Chief Executive

Mark Peterson says the

price discovery that GDT

provides the international

dairy industry is crucial for

dealing with volatility and its

associated risks.

“We see the expansion

of the physical trading

environment as both further

strengthening existing

financial contracts and

enabling the creation of

new tools and opportunities

for dairy processors and

end-users to manage price

volatility. These offer clear

benefits for New Zealand

dairy farmers and customers

around the world,” he said.

EEX Chief Strategy Officer

Dr Tobias Paulun says

“becoming a shareholder

of Global Dairy Trade is

perfectly in line with the

EEX strategy of taking asset

classes which we already

successfully serve to a

global dimension. With our

experience in operating

Europe’s leading trading

platform for dairy futures,

but also with multiple spot

contracts in the energy

space, we believe that we

can be of value supporting

GDT’s growth vision.

“At the same time, we

can create value for the

global dairy value chain

by further improving price

discovery and price risk

management instruments.”

GDT Director Dr Eric

Hansen says “GDT is excited

that the addition of NZX

and EEX as shareholders

alongside Fonterra will

enable us to build on our

success in establishing a

global brand and expertise

in price discovery to create

more opportunities for

our customers.

“The strong alignment of all

three shareholding partners

to GDT’s purpose of credible

price discovery will support

initiatives to increase

liquidity on GDT, attract new

supply from prominent dairy

producing regions, and will

strengthen GDT’s linkages to

financial trading platforms.”

Our Performance

Our Co-op
8

Carbonzero Simply Milk

range expands

The range of carbonzero

Simply Milk is expanding to

include a 3-litre bottle size

following the success of the

inaugural 2-litre bottles.

Developed in a collaboration

between Fonterra and

another Kiwi New Zealand

co-operative, Foodstuffs

North Island, Simply Milk has

been certified carbonzero

by supporting native forest

regeneration and renewable

energy projects that offset

our emissions.

Since the launch of the

carbonzero Simply Milk

brand, Fonterra and

Foodstuffs have continued

to make progress on

climate change.

We are taking steps to

achieve our sustainability

targets including issuing

greenhouse gas reports to

farmer suppliers, announcing

trials for Kowbucha to

reduce methane emissions

in cows and switching our

Te Awamutu site from coal to

biomass reducing emissions

by 10% in the past year.

Foodstuffs North Island are

also doing their part and

have pledged to reduce their

greenhouse gas emissions by

30% below 2005 levels, by

2030, and to become carbon

neutral by 2050.

Kiwis have been doing their

bit too, and by choosing

Simply Milk they’ve helped

offset 4,223 tonnes of

carbon. This is equivalent

to the carbon captured by

10,000 planted native trees

over 50 years.

Christofer Anderson, Head

of Merchandise for Chilled

Beverages Foodstuffs North

Island says, “New Zealanders

are increasingly more

conscious of the impact of

what they buy and consume

on our planet, and we’re

seeing this trend translate

to the choices we bring to

our customers.

“New Zealanders are

increasingly more conscious

of the impact of what they

buy and consume on our

planet, and we’re seeing this

trend translate to the choices

we bring to our customers.

Since the introduction of

Simply Milk back in 2020,

over 2.2 million bottles have

been sold, and because

customers tend to buy

the size of milk to suit

their fridge, it was time to

introduce a Simply Milk

for 3L milk drinkers, who

also want to make a simple

swap that can make a

big difference.”

“Simply Milk is a great

way for Kiwis to support

action on climate change,”

says Rosie Cotter,

National Sustainability

Manager at Fonterra

Brands New Zealand.

"As New Zealand owned

co-operatives, Foodstuffs

and Fonterra are committed

to delivering sustainable

products for our customers

that are better for the

planet. Simply Milk helps us

achieve this.”

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL 

JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES

















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s















AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU to November; Australia to December; New Zealand and US to January.

NOTE: Data for EU to November; New Zealand, US and Australia to December.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa and Latin America to November; China to December.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

JAN OCT

FEB JUL

AUG

MAY

SEP

NOV

DEC

JUN

,
,

,

,

,

,

,



,

,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

10


Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

JANUARY

2022

JANUARY


2021

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2021/22

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2020/21

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

158.1168.2(6.1%)1,032.61,071.2(3.6%)

North Island86.896.0(9.5%)630.0656.8(4.1%)

South Island71.372.3(1.4%)402.7414.3(2.8%)

Australia9.39.7(4.2%)67.668.7(1.6%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(15 FEBRUARY 2022)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2021)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

26,766380,084

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

3.9%(13.8%)

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

4,8804,250

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

28.7%30.2%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

4.3%–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

11
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products, except

for Reference Products,

produced by the NZ

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update February 2022
    2022-02-27

    • Fonterra, NZX and EEX enter GDT partnership for future growth. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Monthly production decline observed across all regions. • Australia and New Zealand exports up. US and EU monthly exports decline. • China monthly imports decline. Middle East a…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update January 2022
    2022-01-27

    • Farmers vote in favour of Fonterra’s Flexible Shareholding structure. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Monthly production decline observed across all regions. • Australia and US monthly exports continue to grow. New Zealand and EU monthly exports decline. • China and Asia mo…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update April 2022
    2022-04-29

    • Fonterra's Research and Development Centre celebrates 95 years. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand, Australia and US monthly production continue to decline. EU monthly production flat. • New Zealand monthly exports flat, Australia and US exports up. EU monthly expor…”