Downer EDI Limited/Announcement
Downer EDI Limited logo

CEO presentation to the Macquarie Conference

Investor Presentation2 May 2022DOWIndustrials

Macquarie Conference 2022
3 May 2022

Understanding Downer
2

Our Purpose

Our Purpose is to create and sustain

the modern environment by building

trusted relationships with our

customers.

Our Pillars

Our Promise

Our Promise is to work closely with

our customers to help them

succeed, using world-leading

insights and solutions.

Our business is founded

on four Pillars which support

our Purpose andour Promise.

Downer today
We are the leading provider of Urban

Services

in Australia and New Zealand.

We are critical to the

sustainmentand

operationof a vast portfolio of

government andprivate

infrastructure.

We are diversifiedacross capabilities,

markets and geographies.

Our

service delivery excellence

drives long-standing andtrusted

relationships.

We are uniquely placed to

support the AustralianandNZ

economies in energy transitionand

decarbonisation.

3

4
Unique exposure to critical Urban Services

1.BIS Oxford Economics (2022), based on spend in Downer’s Urban Services markets in Australia and New Zealand

Market leader in most categories in both

Australia and New Zealand.

High market growth expected across the

portfolio – weighted average CAGR 7-8%.

1

Significant and increasing barriers to entry

– management systems looking across the

supply chain.

New energy and decarbonisation

opportunities across our customer base.

Based on HY22 revenue mix of Downer’s segments

16%
10%

13%

5%

4%

2%

5%

9%

7%

5%

7%

4%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

6%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Road ServicesRail & Transit

Systems

ProjectsPower & GasWaterTelcoHealth &

Education

GovernmentDefenceAsset ServicesBuildings

% of Group Revenue

Scale and capacity in both Australia and New Zealand

5

Transport

80% AU / 20% NZ

Utilities

70% AU / 30% NZ

Facilities

75% AU / 25% NZ

split of BU revenue

NZ

AU

Based on HY22 revenue mix of Downer’s segments

Australia

(75%)

New Zealand

(25%)

0
20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

20182019202020212022202320242025

Downer’s Urban Services Markets to 2025

(Australia and New Zealand - $Bn)

4

TransportUtilitiesFacilities

Customer spend to increase well above GDP

1.Based on revenue mix of Downer’s segments at 31 December 2021

2.Australian Federal Budget 2022-23

3.Australian Federal Budget 2021-22. Increase in spend from FY21 to FY23

4.BIS Oxford Economics (2022), based on spend in Downer’s Urban Services markets in Australia and New Zealand

5.CAGR represents growth from FY21-25.

6

Unprecedented levels of Government

investment in construction and sustainment

Weighted average sector spend growth of 7-8%

CAGR

1, 4

Our scale, management systems and technical

capabilities put us in a very strong position to

secure forward revenue

A significant cross sector customer base for new

energy and decarbonisationsolutions.

Facilities

6.5% CAGR

5

Utilities

5.3% CAGR

5

Transport

9.0% CAGR

5

$18bn for new road

and rail projects

across Australia in

the 2022-23 Budget

2

Defence estate

development & base

upgrade spend

going from $2bn to

$4bn p.a

3

Growth to net zero – Downer’s opportunity
7

Capabilities across our portfolio in areas

required for the journey to net zero

A net zero emissions future will require massive adjustments to almost all

urban infrastructure but particularly power generation, power transmission

and distribution, energy management and transportation.

Downer’s technical bent is power!

̶Power generation

̶Transmission and distribution

̶Facilities energy management

̶Low / No emissions public transport

̶Low emissions road networks / road pavements

Downer has invested heavily in the circular economy with Repurpose It and

Reconomy

Low emissions

electricity

Electrification

Energy storage

Energy

efficiency

Alternate fuels

Carbon capture

and storage

Land based

solutions

Other emerging

technologies

Western Australia
Northern

Territory

South Australia

Queensland

New South Wales

Victoria

ACT

Renewable energy

by 2030

50%

Renewable energy

by 2030

50%

Renewable

energy in line

with the RET

Net zero emissions by 2045

Net zero emissions by 2050

Reduce GHG emissions from 2005 levels

by 28-33% by 2025 and 45-50% by 2030

Victoria renewableenergy:

Renewable energy

production by 2025

50%

Net zero emissions by 2050

Reduce GHG emissions by

at least 50% by 2030

Net zero emissions

by 2050

25%

40%

50%

Tasmania

100% renewable energy by 2022

200% renewable energy by 2040

Net zero emissions by 2050

Net zero emissions by 2050

50% reduction in GHG emissions on

2005 levels by 2030

Net zero

emissions by

2050

Net zero emissions by 2050

30% emissions reduction below

2005 levels by 2030

by 2020by 2025by 2030

20%

Net zero targets

8

Source:https://100percentrenewables.com.au/net-zero-

leaderboard-states-local-governments-communities-dec-2021/

Australia

26-28% below 2005

levels by 2030

Pledged to achieve

net zero emissions by

2050 (not legislated)

New Zealand

50% below 2005 levels

by 2030.

Net zero emissions by

2050 (legislated)

* Targets exclude biogenic

GHG emissions from

agriculture

Australia emits around 634 million tonnes
of greenhouse gases each year.

9

Australia’s emissions by sector

Key

sectors:

Power generation (electricity)

Agriculture

Transport

Manufacturing and construction

Industry

Buildings

Waste

Power generation

35%

Transport

16%

Manufacturing &

Construction

6%

Industry

3%

Buildings

2%

Waste

2%

Agriculture

25%

Fugitive emissions

6%

Aviation and shipping

2%

Other fuel combustion

2%

Land-use change and forestry

1%

Where we play

Where we don’t play

NewZealand emits around 86 million tonnes
of greenhouse gases each year.

10

New Zealand’s emissions by sector

Key

sectors:

Agriculture

Transport

Power generation (electricity)

Manufacturing and construction

Aviation and shipping

Waste

Industry

Buildings

Transport

19%

Power generation

7%

Manufacturing &

Construction

7%

Waste

4%

Industry

3%

Buildings

2%

Agriculture

49%

Aviation and shipping

6%

Other fuel combustion

2%

Fugitive emissions

1%

Where we play

Where we don’t play

11
Source:https://ourworldindata.org/future-emissions

To achieve a 1.5°C pathway by 2050

A rapid decline in GHG

emissionsis required by 2030

to reach a 1.5°C pathway by

2050

We have eight years to

achieve this

International Energy Agency’s 1.5°C pathway by 2050
12

Source: IEA 2021, Net Zero by 2050

Australia’s long-term emissions reduction plan
13

Source: Australian Government, 2021 Australia’s Long-Term Emissions Reduction Plan

Critical pathways to net zero for Australia’s economic sectors

Downer’s capability
14

Low emissions electricity

Coal power generation – maintenance and closures

Gas powered generation – operation and maintenance

Renewables – wind, solar, hydro

Enabling infrastructure – HV transmission, LV transmission,

substations

Electrification

Buildings, road and rail networks and infrastructure

Public transport vehicles – trains, buses

Industrial Processes

Energy storage

Large scale grid battery storage

Commercial and residential battery storage

Pumped hydro

Strategy/Advisory

PMO

Operations and Maintenance

Program

development

Program delivery

Operations and

optimisation

Downer’s capability
15

Energy efficiency

Facilities, buildings, assets

Alternate fuels

Hydrogen and bio fuels (biodiesel, biogas)

Enabling infrastructure (e.g. Hydrogen hubs, distribution

and storage network, refuelling stations)

Carbon Capture and Storage

Carbon capture use and storage technologies

Land based solutions

Forest, coastal and wetland restoration

High yield crops / farming techniques

Soil carbon sequestration – (e.g. biochar)

Other emerging technologies

Carbon removal technologies (e.g. Direct air capture)

New battery technology

Strategy/Advisory

PMO

Operations and Maintenance

Program

development

Program delivery

Operations and

optimisation

16
FY22

FY22 trading

Demand remains strong across the Business Units

Strong contract awards / preferred status

Challenges in 3Q:

̶Weather impact across the Australian Business

Units

̶COVID-19 in NZ (now improving)

̶COVID-19 and weather impact YTD ($50-60m)

EBITA

Core YTD EBITA(4.7%) vs Prior Year

Expecting strong 4Q.

Immediate priorities

Earnings and cash performance FY22

Management of COVID-19, supply chain, workforce

availability, contract pricing, cost management

Pre-contract risk management.

17
Looking through the noise

Weighted average sector spend growth of 7-

8% CAGR out to FY25

1

We are in the right sectors, at the right time!

Heavily leveraged to the New Energy

economy

Expect strong rebound in earnings in FY23.

FY23 and beyond

1.BIS Oxford Economics (2022), based on spend in Downer’s Urban Services markets in

Australia and New Zealand. CAGR is FY21-25

18
Q&A

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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