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MLN – June 2022 monthly update

Operational Update13 June 2022MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for May was down (2.9%), while

the adjusted NAV return was down (3.2%). This compared with

our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index

(50% hedged to NZD), which was down (0.3%).

Global markets saw significant intra-month volatility in May before

ending broadly flat for the month, as macro concerns including

inflation, tightening monetary policy, China COVID restrictions,

and the conflict in Ukraine continue to weigh on sentiment. US

headline inflation hit 8.3% in April, and the US Federal Reserve

increased rates by 50bps in May, its biggest hike in 22 years.

Developed market equities were modestly up 0.2% (year to date

down 13%). Value stocks continues to fare better than growth,

with the MSCI World Value index up 2% in the month while the

MSCI World Growth Index declined 2%.

US wrapped up its first quarter (Q1) earnings season in May, and

earnings performance continued to be robust with 76% of S&P

500 companies beating expectations. These companies reported

average Q1 revenue growth of 14.6% and net income growth of

8.5%, however investors remain unimpressed, with average post-

reporting price performance just 0.2% better than the market.

Concerns around slowing economic growth and low consumer

sentiment continue to pressure market expectations and share

prices.

Portfolio News

Hexcel (+6%) continued its strong performance of recent months

as exceptionally high demand for global travel is driving increased

expectations for new plane orders, which benefits Hexcel as a

leading manufacturer of composite parts for new aircraft.

Signature Bank (-11%) shares fell on the collapse of

algorithmically backed stablecoins such as Terra. The bank has

circa US$30bn in digital asset deposits which are related to

cryptocurrencies. While Signature Bank holds these deposits, the

bank has no exposure to price swings in cryptocurrency. Of the

US$30bn, around US$7bn of deposits are related to stablecoins.

Given the volatility, management provided a mid-quarter update

where they confirmed their stablecoin deposits relate only to

coins that are 100% backed by US dollars or equivalent. While

deposits are down around 1% this quarter, as participation in

cryptocurrencies has fallen with volatility, management still expects

to grow interest-earning assets at the mid-teens level as they

deploy some of the US$30bn cash on their balance sheet.

Gartner (-10%) was down following an earnings announcement,

despite another quarter of strong results and guidance ahead of

expectations. While demand remains high for Gartner’s research

products, the market is concerned around their ability to grow

their sales force in a tough hiring environment, which could impair

future growth. From our conversations with the company, they are

confident in their ability to meet their hiring targets and we believe

the sell-off was unwarranted.

Salesforce (-9%) declined during the month, likely due to

concerns that broader macro weakness would see slowing

demand for Salesforce’s front office product suite. Salesforce

reported Q1 earnings after market close on 31 May (US time), with

the stock rising 9% in after-hours trading on increased margin and

non-GAAP earnings guidance.

Floor and Décor (-5%) reported robust 1Q earnings at the start

of the month. The company continues to execute on their strong

nationwide store roll out, with 166 warehouse store locations

currently and 400 as their long-term target. Existing stores are also

growing, as they mature and contribute meaningfully to revenue

growth. Floor and Décor continues to see strength in their Pro

customer segment, with Pro customers still benefiting from a solid

pipeline of work ahead, which keeps them coming back to Floor

and Décor stores. The company also reiterated their previously

provided FY22 guidance which the market liked, given current

macroeconomic concerns.

Shares in US discount retailers Dollar Tree (-1%) and Dollar

General (-7%) headed sharply lower in the middle of the month

on weak earnings reports from large US retailers Walmart and

Target, which the market extrapolated to the dollar stores. Both

companies subsequently reported better than expected Q1

earnings and outlook, on which shares rebounded. Dollar Tree’s

profitability benefited, as it increased prices from US$1 on all

items, to its new US$1.25 price point, across all 8,000+ Dollar

Tree banner stores. Meanwhile, Dollar General reiterated its full

year earnings guidance as the company’s product expansion

and cost saving initiatives helps offset profit margin headwinds

from inflation and supply chain cost pressures. Both companies

upgraded sales guidance – we believe this demonstrates the

defensive nature of dollar stores in the current inflationary

environment, as consumers seek value for money and record

high gas prices drive them to shop closer to home. Dollar General

and Dollar Tree have a combined 34,000 stores located within

convenient distance of the majority of US consumers.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

June 2022

$

1. 2 7

Share Price

MLN NAVPREMIUM

1

$

0.95 33.0

%


as at 31 May 2022

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 31 May 2022

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.20

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

199m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$253m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

China tech companies Alibaba (-1%) and Tencent (-4%) also

reported March quarter results in the month. Earnings per share

at both companies declined 23% year-on-year as they cycle

regulatory restrictions and face headwinds from slowing economic

growth and COVID lockdowns in China. While the decline was

disappointing, this appears largely priced in by the market going

into earnings, and with lockdowns easing and the government

introducing economic stimulus, we see the operating environment

improving from here. After a period of heightened regulatory

oversight, government officials and regulators have also taken

a more supportive tone around China’s tech industry. Both

companies are focused on managing costs and streamlining non-

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

core businesses to improve margins going forward. We maintain

confidence in Alibaba and Tencent’s market dominant positions in

their key business segments, and positively view their long-term

prospects.

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 May 2022

31

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

7

%

HEALTH CARE

22

%


FINANCIALS

23

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 31 May 2022

8

%

ASIA

76

%

NORTH

AMERICA

2

%

INDUSTRIALS

1

%


SOUTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

11

%

11

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY


WEST

EUROPE

Nov
2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.00

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

4.00

$

5.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Nov

2020

Nov

2021

3

MAY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

STONECO

+7

%

DOLLAR GENERAL

-7

%

SALESFORCE INC

-9

%

SIGNATURE BANK

-10

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 May 2022

META PLATFORMS

8

%

ALPHABET

8

%

AMAZON

7

%

PAYPAL

6

%

FLOOR & DECOR

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 18 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 31 May 2022

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+9.5%(1.1%)(11.4%)+25.0%+21.2%

Adjusted NAV Return(3.2%)(11.3%)(17.3%)+10.0%+10.7%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (2.9%)(11.0%)(16.3%)+13.5%+14.0%

Benchmark Index^(0.3%)(3.9%)(3.4%)+10.3%+8.8%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

GARTNER

-11

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 May 2022

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be re-

issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently, and pursue other

capital structure initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed

price on a fixed date

»There are currently no Marlin warrants on issue


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated

to it from the Board to invest

according to the Management

Agreement and other written

policies. Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris Waters

and Harry Smith (Senior Investment

Analysts) have prime responsibility

for managing the Marlin portfolio.

Together they have significant

combined experience and are very

capable of researching and investing

in the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is based

in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Andy

Coupe (Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy and Fiona

Oliver.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.