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MLN – August 2022 monthly update

Operational Update11 August 2022MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for July was up 8.3%, while

the adjusted NAV return was up 7.9%. This compared with

our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap

Index (50% hedged to NZD), which was up 7.1%.

Economic data during the month highlighted increasing

economic headwinds, with high inflation, disappointing

growth numbers and manufacturing activity losing

momentum. With two quarters of negative GDP growth,

the US is technically in a recession. However, for now

unemployment remains low and consumer spending

continues to grow. The Federal Reserve increased interest

rates again (75bps) after July inflation numbers came in

higher than expected.

Developed market equities were up 8.0% in the month (year-

to-date down 13.9%), while there was weakness in Chinese

markets (down 9.4%) due to extended COVID restrictions

hampered overall emerging market returns.

Portfolio News

Netflix (+29%) rallied after the company released Q2

earnings, announcing that it lost fewer subscribers than

expected during the quarter and guided to a return to

subscriber growth in Q3. The company advised that

subscriber retention in the US and Canada region (UCAN)

is almost back to historical levels, following a period of

elevated churn when Netflix increased prices in the region

earlier this year. This is pleasing as UCAN subscribers are

highly valuable, contributing 44% of Netflix revenues whilst

being 33% of the subscriber base. Netflix is also working on

an ad-supported tier and paid account sharing to improve

monetisation of an estimated 100mn households who use

but do not pay for the service. We think these initiatives, as

well as the company’s focus on right-sizing its operations and

content spend, will contribute to robust free cash flow growth

going forward.

Amazon (+27%) had a very strong month, cumulating in a

robust earnings update at the end of the month. Amazon sits

at the intersection of three structural growth themes, being

e-commerce, cloud computing and the shift of advertising

dollars online. Better than expected results in each of these

verticals coupled with sequential operating cost improvement

drove strong performance. We are encouraged by the

resilience in Amazons e-commerce business and growth in

the company’s advertising business despite mixed results

from competitors in these industries.

PayPal (+24%) was up in the month notably as Elliott

Management, one of the largest activist funds globally, was

reported as taking a stake in the company. It is unconfirmed

how large Elliott’s stake in the company is or what strategic

initiatives they plan to recommend to the management team

and board of PayPal. Activist investors are frequently drawn

to companies with good business models and strong financial

positions with the flexibility to deploy additional capital to

increase shareholder value, all of which we believe to be true

for PayPal.

Meta Platforms (-1%) reported revenue that grew only 3%

(at constant exchange rates) during Q2. This was broadly

in line with expectations, although the company’s guidance

of no revenue growth for Q3 disappointed the market, and

macroeconomic uncertainty is causing advertisers to pull

back on ad spending. Part of this slowdown is self-inflicted,

with Meta encouraging Facebook and Instagram users to

spend more time watching Reels videos (which currently have

a lower ad load). We saw this same dynamic when Meta first

launched Stories in 2018, but Stories is now monetising well

and has been a major contributor to growth. We believe Meta

will return to solid revenue growth as ad load is increased

in Reels, and the company laps recent Apple ad-tracking

headwinds.

Alibaba (-21%) and Tencent (-13%) declined along with

the wider Chinese market on the threat of renewed and

sustained COVID restrictions, following earlier optimism that

they may be winding down. Investors were also wary of the

lack of progress in negotiations between the SEC and China

regulators around audit requirements for Chinese stocks

listed on US stock exchanges. Alibaba this month announced

it will be shifting its primary listing to the Hong Kong stock

exchange, which would mitigate any risks around this.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (using net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

August 2022

$

1. 1 3

Share Price

MLN NAVPREMIUM

1

$

0.96 18.0

%


as at 31 July 2022

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 31 July 2022

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.17

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

201m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$227m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

Portfolio Changes

There were no substantive changes to the portfolio in July.

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 July 2022

31

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

9

%

HEALTH CARE

22

%


FINANCIALS

24

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 31 July 2022

9

%

ASIA

78

%

NORTH

AMERICA

2

%


SOUTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

12

%

9

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES


WEST

EUROPE

Nov
2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.00

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

4.00

$

5.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Nov

2020

Nov

2021

3

JULY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

NETFLIX

+29

%

FLOOR & DÉCOR

+28

%

AMAZON

+27

%

PAYPAL HOLDINGS

+24

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 July 2022

AMAZON

9

%

PAYPAL

8

%

META PLATFORMS

7

%

ALPHABET

7

%

FLOOR & DECOR

7

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 17 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 31 July 2022

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+0.9%(0.8%)(24.9%)+16.6%+18.3%

Adjusted NAV Return+7.9%(0.8%)(20.5%)+8.2%+11.3%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +8.3%(0.7%)(19.6%)+11.3%+14.4%

Benchmark Index^+7.1%(0.2%)(6.5%)+8.3%+8.8%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

STONECO

+24

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 July 2022

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be re-

issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently, and pursue other

capital structure initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed

price on a fixed date

»There are currently no Marlin warrants on issue


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated

to it from the Board to invest

according to the Management

Agreement and other written

policies. Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris Waters

and Harry Smith (Senior Investment

Analysts) have prime responsibility

for managing the Marlin portfolio.

Together they have significant

combined experience and are very

capable of researching and investing

in the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is based

in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Andy

Coupe (Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy and Fiona

Oliver.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.