Genesis Energy Limited logo

FY23 Q1 Performance and Guidance Update

Quarterly Update13 October 2022GNEUtilities

MARKET RELEASE

Date: 14 October 2022

NZX: GNE / ASX: GNE

FY23 Q1 Performance and Guidance Update



Favourable trading conditions in Q1 FY23, primarily due to higher hydro inflows and thermal

generation flexibility have meant that EBITDAF performance in Q1 FY23 was higher than expected.

Due to lower thermal generation, carbon emissions declined by 50% relative to Q1 FY22.


FY23 EBITDAF guidance has been updated from around $455 million to around $500 million. This

remains subject to hydrological conditions, gas availability, and any material adverse events or

unforeseeable circumstances.


Negotiations for Market Security Options remain ongoing and are not considered in guidance.


Genesis’ FY23 Q1 Performance Report is attached.




ENDS



For investor relations enquiries, please contact:

Tim McSweeney

GM Investor Relations & Market Risk

M: 027 200 5548


For media enquiries, please contact:

Chris Mirams

GM Communications and Media

M: 027 246 1221









About Genesis Energy

Genesis Energy (NZX: GNE, ASX: GNE) is a diversified New Zealand energy company. Genesis sells electricity,

reticulated natural gas and LPG through its retail brands of Genesis and Frank and is one of New Zealand’s largest

energy retailers with approximately 500,000 customers. The Company generates electricity from a diverse

portfolio of thermal and renewable generation assets located in different parts of the country. Genesis also has

a 46% interest in the Kupe Joint Venture, which owns the Kupe Oil and Gas Field offshore of Taranaki, New

Zealand. Genesis had revenue of $NZ2.8 billion during the 12 months ended 30 June 2022. More information

can be found at www.genesisenergy.co.nz

---

Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 1.
FY23 Q1

Performance Report

14October 2022

Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 2.
Genesis performance reporting has been updated to align to the format presented at the FY22

results presentation.

Revenues and direct costs have been grouped across electricity, gas, LPG and Kupe. Income

and direct costs from active carbon trading and other revenue are not reported.

Definitions and details of metrics are available in the glossary.

The prices and volumes reported are unaudited, represent Genesis’ best view of performance

at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Reporting Note

Performance Highlights
Retail

12.5%

Net Customer Churn

WholesaleKupe

Gas Production

1.3 ppt decrease on pcp

1

477,500

Total Customers

1% increase on pcp

138,000

Multi-fuel Customers

7% increase on pcp

1,063 GWh

Renewable Generation

37% increase on pcp

51% down

Generation Emissions

Relative to pcp

Portfolio Generation Costs

$29 decrease from pcp

$126/bbl.

$30/bbl. higher than pcp

1

Pcp refers to Q1 FY22 unless otherwis e stated

Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 3.

2.5 PJ

4.2% increase on pcp

LPG Production

10.8 kt

1.9% increase on pcp

Realised Oil price

$34/MWh

Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 4.
Favourable weather conditions drove considerably higher hydro

generation across all Genesis catchments. Renewable generation

increased by 287 GWh on the pcp.

The Huntly Power Station flexed down generation in the quarter, with

the portfolio running short during periods of low prices. Improved gas

availability enabled lower cost and more flexible Rankine generation.

Weighted average portfolio costs declined to $34/MWh.

Genesis’ retail business continued to grow, with an increase of

~6,500 customers in the quarter. Net customer churn remained low at

12.5%.

Retail gas netback continued to improve, driven by the SME and C&I

sectors. Wholesale gas sales declined, due to the high volume trades

with industrial consumers in 2021 and the conclusion of legacy

contracts.

LPG bulk delivery costs increased, primarily due to higher diesel and

transportation costs.

Performance Highlights

HYDROLOGY (GWh)

Q1 FY23Q1 FY22

Hydro

Generation

1,060773

Hydro

Inflows

1,170819

Closing

Storage

460

(165% of ave.)

349

(125% of ave.)

Comparison of average daily generation volumes at Huntly and average daily spots prices reported at Otahuhu node.

0

50

100

150

200

250

-

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

01-Jul

01-Aug01-Sep

$/ MWh

GWh

HUNTLY GENERATION and AVERAGE SPOT PRICES

Unit 5RankineAvg Spot Price

JulAugSep

Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 5.
Operating Performance

Q1 FY23Q1 FY22Variance

ElectricityVolumeRate per unit$m VolumeRate per unit$m VolumeRate per unit$m

Retail Sales Residential0.89 TW h$265/MW h235.3 0.92 TW h$264/MW h242.3 0.0 TW h$2/MW h(6.9)

Retail Sales SME0.25 TW h$250/MW h62.2 0.25 TW h$234/MW h57.3 0.0 TW h$16/MW h4.9

Retail Sales C&I0.45 TW h$176/MW h78.7 0.50 TW h$159/MW h80.4 -0.1 TW h$17/MW h(1.8)

Total Retail Sales1.58 TWh$238/MW h376.2 1.67 TWh$228/MW h380.0 -0.1 TWh$10/MW h(3.8)

W holesale Sales1.71 TW h$79/MW h134.8 1.88 TW h$163/MW h307.0 -0.2 TW h-$84/MW h(172.2)

Generation Costs – Thermal0.65 TW h$91/MW h58.9 1.11 TW h$108/MW h119.7 -0.5 TW h-$17/MW h(60.7)

Generation Costs – Renewable1.06 TW h--0.78 TW h--0.3 TW h--

Generation Costs – Portfolio1.71 TW h$34/MW h58.9 1.88 TW h$64/MW h119.7 -0.2 TW h-$29/MW h(60.7)

Retail Purchases

Retail Purchases1.66 TW h$75/MW h125.3 1.76 TW h$157/MW h275.5 -0.1 TW h-$81/MW h(150.2)

Transmission and Distribution Costs146.8 145.9 0.8

GasVolumeRate per unit$m VolumeRate per unit$m VolumeRate per unit$m

Retail Sales Residential1.0 PJ$33.8/GJ32.5 1.0 PJ$31.0/GJ31.6 (0.1) PJ$2.8/GJ1.0

Retail Sales SME0.4 PJ$25.7/GJ11.5 0.5 PJ$17.4/GJ9.0 (0.1) PJ$8.3/GJ2.5

Retail Sales C&I1.0 PJ$20.0/GJ20.0 1.0 PJ$11.3/GJ11.4 (0.0) PJ$8.7/GJ8.6

Total Retail Sales2.4 PJ$26.6/GJ64.0 2.5 PJ$20.4/GJ52.0 (0.1) PJ$6.2/GJ12.0

W holesale Sales0.5 PJ$9.0/GJ4.6 3.3 PJ$13.3/GJ43.8 (2.8) PJ-$4.3/GJ(39.2)

Gas Purchases2.9 PJ$8.8/GJ25.8 5.9 PJ$11.6/GJ68.1 (2.9) PJ-$2.8/GJ(42.3)

Transmission and Distribution Costs22.2 24.1 (1.9)

All prices in this report are unaudited and subject to change.

Realised oil price data for Q1 FY22 has been updated to correct prior reporting error.

LPGVolumeRate per unit$m VolumeRate per unit$m VolumeRate per unit$m

Bottled LPG Sales6.2 kt$2,574/t15.9 6.1 T$2,328/t14.2 0.1 T$246/t1.7

SME & Other Bulk LPG Sales8.0 kt$1,619/t13.0 7.3 T$1,508/t11.0 0.7 T$111/t2.0

Total Retail Sales14.2 kt$2,035/t28.8 13.4 T$1,881/t25.1 0.8 T$153/t3.7

W holesale LPG Sales0.9 kt$1,166/t1.0 3.6 T$1,077/t3.9 (2.7)T$88/t(2.9)

LPG Cost15.1 T$925/t13.9 17.0 T$802/t13.6 (1.9)T$123/t0.3

KupeVolumeRate per unit$m VolumeRate per unit$m VolumeRate per unit$m

Oil Sales75 Kbbl$125.9/bbl9.5 76 Kbbl$95.8/bbl7.3 (0.5)Kbbl$30.1/bbl2.2

Gas Sales2.5 PJ$7.2/GJ18.2 2.4 PJ$7.1/GJ17.3 0.10 PJ$0.1/GJ0.9

LPG Sales10.6 kt$450/t4.8 11.2 kt$450/t5.1 (583)T$/t(0.3)

Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 6.
Operating Metrics

Retail segmentQ1 FY23Q1 FY22% ChangeVar.Q4 FY22% ChangeVar.

Retail

Brand Net Promoter Score252025.0% 527(7.4%)-2

Interaction Net Promoter Score48472.1% 155(12.2%)-7

Gross Customer Churn (3 month rolling average, %)19.6% 21.4% (8.4%)(1.8)ppt 19.7% (0.5%)(0.1)ppt

Net Customer Churn (3 month rolling average, %)12.5% 13.8% (9.4%)(1.3)ppt 12.2% 2.5% 0.3ppt

Electricity Netback ($/MW h)$136.66 $133.73 2.2%$2.93 $129.18 5.8%$7.48

Gas Netback ($/GJ)$16.75 $11.47 46.0%$5.28 $16.85 (0.6%)($0.10)

LPG Netback ($/t)$1,123.48 $1,138.29 (1.3%)($14.81)$977.12 15.0%$146.36

Customer Numbers

Customers > 1 Fuel137,958 129,041 6.9%8,917 133,550 3.3%4,408

Electricity Only Customers291,480 293,182 (0.6%)(1,702)288,711 1.0%2,769

Gas Only Customers13,201 15,560 (15.2%)(2,359)14,003 (5.7%)(802)

LPG Only Customers34,859 33,975 2.6%884 34,748 0.3%111

Total Customers477,498 471,758 1.2%5,740 471,012 1.4%6,486

Electricity ICPs Active-Occupied488,501 481,823 1.4%6,678 480,946 1.6%7,555

Gas ICPs Active-Occupied107,898 105,544 2.2%2,354 105,958 1.8%1,940

LPG Customer Connections87,730 81,665 7.4%6,065 85,770 2.3%1,960

Total ICPs684,129 669,032 2.3%15,097 672,674 1.7%11,455

Wholesale SegmentQ1 FY23Q1 FY22% ChangeVar.Q4 FY22% ChangeVar.

Generation

Generation Emissions (ktCO2)322 656 (50.9%)(334)704 (54.3%)(382)

Generation Carbon Intensity (tCO2/GW h)188 349 (46.1%)(161)386 (51.3%)(198)

Rankine Output (GW h)151 382 (60.5%)(231)383 (60.6%)(232)

Rankine Fuelled by Coal (%)15% 87% (82.8%)(72%)93% (83.9%)(78.0%)

Total Gas Purchases (PJ)8.4 11.7 (28.2%)(3.3)7.8 7.7%0.6

Total Coal Purchases (PJ)2.4 10.8 (77.8%)(8.4)5.5 (56.4%)(3.1)

Electricity Financial Contract Purchases - W holesale (GW h)388 650 (40.3%)(262)533 (27.2%)(145)

Electricity Financial Contract Purchase Price- W holesale ($/MW h)$119 $127 (6.3%)($8)$116 2.6% $3

Electricity Financial Contract Sales - W holesale (GW h)718 942 (23.8%)(224)957 (25.0%)(239)

Electricity Financial Contract Sale Price - W holesale ($/MW h)$144 $149 (3.4%)($5)$136 5.9% $8

Swaption Sales - W holesale (GW h)-51 (100.0%)(51)164 (100.0%)(164)

Gas Used In Internal Generation (PJ)5.4 6.0 (10.0%)(0.6)5.4 -0.0

W eighted Average Gas Burn Cost ($/GJ)$9.2 $12.7 (27.4%)($3.5)$9.5 (2.7%)($0.3)

Coal Used In Internal Generation (PJ) 0.3 3.6 (91.9%)(3.3)3.9 (92.6%)(3.6)

W eighted Average Coal Burn Cost ($/GJ)$8.0 $7.7 3.0% $0.2 $8.0 (1.1%)($0.1)

Coal Stockpile - closing balance (kt)975 508 91.9% 467 877 11.2% 98

Power Purchase Agreements

W ind (GW h)117 133 (12.0%)(16)107 9.3%10

Average Price Received for PPA - GW AP ($/MW h)$51.29 $113.18 (54.7%)($61.89)$158.80 (67.7%)($107.51)

Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 7.
Operating Metrics

Kupe segmentQ1 FY23Q1 FY22% ChangeVar.Q4 FY22% ChangeVar.

Kupe

Oil Production (kbbl)62 70 (11.4%)(8)70 (11.4%)(8)

Average Brent Crude Oil (USD/bbl)$100.85 $75.13 (100.0%)($75.13)$113.78 (100.0%)($113.78)

LPG Production (kt)10.8 10.6 1.9%0.2 11.9 (9.2%)(1.1)

LPG Production Yield (t/TJ)4.3 4.4 (2.3%)(0.1)4.2 2.4%0.1

OtherQ1 FY23Q1 FY22% ChangeVar.Q4 FY22% ChangeVar.

Corporate

Headc ount 1,202 1,148 4.7%54 1,204 (0.2%)(2)

Total Recordable Injuries11 12 -8.3%(1)16 (21.4%)(3)

Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 8.
Appendix: Retail Segment

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

Q1

FY20

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY21

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY22

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY23

GAS SALES VOLUME (PJ)

Quarterly Resi Sales VolumesQuarterly SME Sales Volumes

Quarterly C&I Sales VolumesRolling 12-month Sales Volume (RHS)

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Q1

FY20

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY21

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY22

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY23

ELECTRICITY SALES VOLUMES (GWh)

Quarterly Resi Sales VolumesQuarterly SME Sales Volumes

Quarterly C&I Sales VolumesRolling 12-month Sales Volume (RHS)

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

Q1

FY20

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY21

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY22

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY23

LPG SALES VOLUMES (Tonnes)

Quarterly Bottled LPG Sales Volumes

Quarterly Bulk & SME LPG Sales Volume

Rolling 12-month Sales Volume (RHS)

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

$0

$50

$100

$150

Q1

FY20

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY21

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY22

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY23

ICP Counts (Thousands)

Cost to Serve ($/ICP)

ICP NUMBER

Electricty ICPs Active OccupiedGas ICPs Active Occupied

LPG Customer Connections

Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 9.
Appendix: Wholesale Segment

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

OctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep

WAIKAREMOANA STORAGE Vs LONG RUN AVERAGE (GWh)

Long Run Average Storage12-month Storage

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

OctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep

NEW ZEALAND DAILY STORAGE (ALL GENERATORS, GWh)

Long Run Average Storage12-month Storage

0

200

400

600

800

1000

OctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep

TEKAPO STORAGE Vs LONG RUN AVERAGE (GWh)

Long Run Average Storage12-month Storage

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

OctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep

GWh/Day

TONGARIRO GENERATION

20 years average7 days rolling average

Appendix: Wholesale Segment
Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 10.

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Q1

FY20

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY21

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY22

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY23

GENERATION BY POWER STATION (GWh)

Huntly Unit 5Huntly Units 1 to 4 GasHuntly Units 1 to 4 Coal

Huntly Unit 6North Island HydroSouth Island Hydro

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

$-

$20.00

$40.00

$60.00

$80.00

$100.00

Q1

FY20

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY21

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY22

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY23

PORTFOLIO AND THERMAL FUEL COSTS

Weighted Average Fuel Cost - Thermal ($/MWh)

Weighted Average Fuel Cost - Portfolio ($/MWh)

Renewable Contribution to Total Generation (RHS, %)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Oct-21Nov-21Dec-21Jan-22Feb-22Mar-22Apr-22May-22Jun-22Jul-22Aug-22Sep-22

HUNTLY RANKINE UTILISATION (GWh)

Genesis Customers/Portfolio Backup Swaption Partners

Backup Other Retailers/Spot Customers

$50

$70

$90

$110

$130

$150

$170

$190

$210

$230

2018201920202021

Calendar Year

ASX FUTURES SPOT PRICING ($/MWh)

1-Year Contract2-Year Contract3-Year Contract

Appendix: Kupe Segment
Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 11.

9.0

9.5

10.0

10.5

11.0

11.5

12.0

-

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

Q1

FY20

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY21

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY22

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY23

KUPE GAS SALE VOLUMES (GENESIS SHARE, PJ)

Quarterly Sales VolumeRolling 12 Months Sales Volume (RHS)

-

50.

100.

150.

200.

250.

300.

350.

400.

450.

500.

-

20.

40.

60.

80.

100.

120.

Q1

FY20

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY21

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY22

Q2Q3Q4Q1

FY23

KUPE OIL PRODUCTION VOLUMES (GENESIS SHARE, Kbbl)

Quarterly Production VolumeRolling 12 Months Production Volume (RHS)

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

OctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep

BRENT CRUDE OIL SPOT PRICE (USD/bbl.)

12 mths to June 202112 mths to June 2022

Glossary – Performance
Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 12.

Electricity

Retail Sales Residential

Sales of electricity to residential customers

Retail Sales SMESales of electricity to small business customers

Retail Sales C&ISales of electricity to commerc ial and industrial customers

W holesale SalesSale of generated electricity onto the spot market, excluding PPA settlements and ancillary revenue

Generation Costs Direct generation costs, inclusive of fuels and carbon

Retail PurchasesPurchases of electric ity on spot market for retail customers

Transmission and Distribution CostsTotal electricity transmission and distribution costs, connection charges, electricity market levies and meter leasing

Gas

Retail Sales ResidentialSales of gas to residential customers

Retail Sales SMESales of gas to small business customers

Retail Sales C&ISales of gas to commercial and industrial customers

W holesale SalesSales of gas to wholes ale customers

Gas PurchasesPurchase of gas for sale (excludes gas used in electricity generation)

Transmission and Distribution CostsTotal gas transmission and distribution costs, gas levies and meter leasing

LPG

BottledLPGSalesRepresents45kgLPGbottlesales

SME& OtherBulkLPGsalesRepresentsSMEandotherbulkandthi rdpartydistributors

W holesale LPG SalesSales of LPG to wholes ale customers

LPG CostPurchase of LPG for sale

Kupe

Oil SalesSale of crude oil

Gas SalesSale of gas

LPG SalesSale of LPG

Glossary – Operational Metrics
Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 13.

Retail

BrandNetPromoterScoreBasedonsurveyquestion “Howlikelywouldyou betorecommend Genes is/Frank Energyto yourfriendsorfamily?”

InteractionNetPromoterScore

Based on survey question “Based on your recent interaction with Genesis/Frank, how likely would you be to recommendGenesis/Frankto your

family/friends?”

CustomersElectricityand gas customersare defined bysingle customer view,regardless of number ofconnections (ICP’s)

SingleCustomerViewRepresentsuniquecustomerswhichmayhavemultipleICPs

ICPInstallationConnectionPoint, aconnectionpoint thatis bothoccupiedand hasnotbeen disconnected(Active-Occupied)

LPGCustomerConnectionsDefinedasnumberof customers

GrossCustomerChurnDefinedascustomersinstigatinga traderswitchorhomemove

NetCustomerChurnDefinedasGrossCustomer Churnposthomemovesaves,retentionandacquisitionactivity

Resi,SME,C&IResidential,smallandmediumenterprisesandcommercial& industrialcustomers

B2BBusinesstoBusiness,includingbothSMEandC&I

Netback($/MW h,$/GJ,$/tonne)

Customer EBITDAF by fuel type plus respective fuel purchase cost divided by total fuel sales volumes, stated in native fuel units (excluding corporatealloc ation

costs andTechnology& Digital cost centre)

Glossary – Operational Metrics
Genesis Energy Limited FY23 Q1 Performance Report 14.

Wholesale

Electricity Financial Contract Purchases –W holesale

(GW h)

Settlement volumes of generation hedge purchases, including exchange traded and OTC contracts. Excludes PPAs, active trading,Financial Transmissions

Rights (FTRs) and Cap/Collar/Floor contracts

Electricity Financial Contract Purchases –W holesale

Price ($/MW h)

Average price paid for Electricity Financ ial Contract Purchases – W holesale

Electricity Financial Contract Sales –W holesale (GW h)Settlement volumes of generation hedge sales, including exchange traded, OTC contracts and Swaptions. Excludes PPAs, active trading, Financial

Transmissions Rights (FTRs) and Cap/Collar/Floor contracts

Electricity Financial Contract Sales –W holesale Price

($/MW h)

Average price paid for Electricity Financ ial Contract Sales – W holesale

Generation Emissions Carbon emissions due to electricity generation

Rankine OutputElectricity generated at the Huntly Rankine unit

Rankine’sFuelledbyCoal(%)Theproportionof coalusedin theRankineunits

Swaptions(GW h)Electricityswapoptionssalesvolume.A subsetof theElectricityFinancialContractSales

Weighted Average Gas Burn Cost ($/GJ)Totalcost ofgas burntdivided bygeneration fromgas firedgeneration, excludingemissions

CoalUsedInInternalGeneration(PJ)Resultshavebeenrevisedtoreflect changesin coalkilotonnesto PJconvers ionrateandvolume methodology

Weighted Average CoalBurn Cost ($/GJ)Totalcostof coalburntdivided bygenerationfrom coalfired generation,excludingemissions

CoalStockpile– closing balance (Kt)Thecoalstockpile closingbalanc e intonnesatHuntly Power Station

Powerpurchaseagreements

W ind(GW h)Energypurchasedthroughlongtermagreementswithgenerator

AveragePriceReceivedforGeneration- GW AP

($/MW h)

Pricereceivedatproductionnode.(E.g.W aipipi atW VY1101node)

Corporate

Total RecordableInjuries12-monthrollingTotalRecordableInjuries including LostTimeInjuries, RestrictiveW orkInjuries andMedicalTreatmentInjuries

Headcount(FTE)Based on full time equivalents

Kupe

OilProductionProduction of crude oil

OilPricerealis ed(USD/bbl.)Theunderlyingbenchmarkcrude oilpricethat is usedto setthepricefor crudeoilsales

LPG ProductionProduction of LPG

Investor relations enquiries
Tim McSweeney

GM Investor Relations & Market Risk

+64 27 200 5548

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.