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MLN – December 2022 monthly update

Operational Update13 December 2022MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for November was 3.1%, while

the adjusted NAV return was up 2.0%. This compared with our

global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index

(50% hedged to NZD), which was up 3.6%.

Global equities (MSCI World) were up +6.8%. US equities

underperformed (+5.4%), European equities outperformed

(+9.6%) and global emerging market equities sharply

outperformed (+14.6%).

Global bond yields have been falling fairly sharply which is

helping drive share markets higher. Markets are reasonably

convinced now that we are past the peak in global inflation. The

Bloomberg global inflation indicator (consumer price inflation or

CPI for every country, weighted by GDP) is now down around

0.5% from its peak.

One of the key thematics we have been focusing on is the

unwind of COVID over-earning. There was a fairly clear pull

forward of demand during the pandemic for many industries

e.g., Netflix (we all watched more TV) and online shopping (we

all became online shopaholics during the pandemic). The market

was well aware that this was going to unwind. However, the

sting in the tail has been that a number of companies that saw

this abnormally strong demand, extrapolated strong growth

expectations into the future and loaded costs and investment

into their businesses to service that forecast strong demand.

Meta Platforms, for example, hired 28% more people. Hence,

just as the revenue from the COVID over-earning unwound, costs

were being ramped up.

The good news is that companies that are further through this

journey have performed strongly out the other side. Netflix for

example saw demand for its service unwind much earlier in the

year and cut costs to right size its business to a slower demand

environment.

The message from the market is clear – if you are tone deaf and

lackadaisical on costs, you will be punished. But, if you listen to

the market and reign in spending and right size your business,

you will be rewarded.


Portfolio

Alibaba (+30%) and Tencent (40%) rallied strongly during

November as enthusiasm regarding possible changes to

China’s COVID-19 policy and a face-to-face meeting between

the country’s leader Xi Jinping and President Biden (seen as

“productive”) fuelled a rally in Chinese stocks. Alibaba also

updated the market on its quarterly earnings that provided a

mixed message of slower growth, but better profitability.

Meta Platforms (+27%) reversed course on forecast 2023

expense growth. In a memo to the firm, CEO and founder, Mark

Zuckerberg detailed the layoff of 13% (11k) of Meta’s people.

The company’s expense growth has been a large concern for

the market, so investors welcomed the expense cuts, which are

an acknowledgement by the firm that they need to show greater

cost discipline. In general, this is a trend we are witnessing

across the tech sector.

Signature Bank (-12%) serves crypto participants including

exchanges. The bank is very conservative, both in terms on

who the company banks and the services provided. As was the

case with the Terra Luna stable coin crash, Signature Bank has

no banking relationship with now bankrupt FTX exchange or

related companies. In general, Signature does not lend money

on fiat deposits related to crypto assets, invest in digital assets

or custody digital assets for clients. The bank’s core business

which is lending on New York multi-family real estate and taking

deposits in more traditional verticals continues to grow nicely.

Portfolio Changes

There were no substantive changes to the portfolio in the month.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

December 2022

$

0.93

Share Price

MLN NAVPREMIUM

1

$

0.87 8.4

%


as at 30 November 2022

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

Warrant Price

$

0.04

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 30 November 2022

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.15

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

202m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$188m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 30 November 2022

31

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

7

%

HEALTH CARE

21

%


FINANCIALS

25

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 30 November 2022

9

%

WEST

EUROPE

76

%

NORTH

AMERICA

2

%


CASH &

DERIVATIVES

14

%

10

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES


ASIA

2

%

CASH &

DERIVATIVES

3

%


SOUTH AMERICA

3
NOVEMBER’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

TENCENT HOLDINGS

+40

%

ALIBABA GROUP

HOLDING

+30

%

META PLATFORMS

+27

%

GREGGS

+16

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 30 November 2022

AMAZON

7

%

ALPHABET

7

%

PAYPAL

6

%

META PLATFORMS

6

%

ICON

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 17 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 30 November 2022

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(6.0%)(13.0%)(35.4%)+7.1%+12.6%

Adjusted NAV Return+2.0%(5.5%)(23.9%)+3.3%+7.2%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +3.1%(4.9%)(23.0%)+6.2%+10.2%

Benchmark Index^+3.6%+1.8%(7.7%)+6.2%+6.3%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

GARTNER

+15

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 30 November 2022

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.00

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

4.00

$

5.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Nov

2020

Nov

2021

Nov

2022

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be re-

issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Marlin announced a new issue of warrants

(MLNWF) on 18 October 2022

»Information pertaining to the warrants was

mailed/emailed to all shareholders on

25 October 2022

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders in the ratio of one warrant for every

four Marlin shares held based on the record date

of 2 November 2022

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on

3 November 2022 and listed on the NZX Main

Board from 4 November 2022

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $0.99,

adjusted down for the aggregate amount per

Share of any cash dividends declared on the

shares with a record date during the period

commencing on the date of allotment of the

warrants and ending on the last Business Day

before the final Exercise Price is announced by

Marlin

»The Exercise Date for the new warrants is

10 November 2023


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated to

it from the Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement and other

written policies. Marlin’s portfolio is

managed by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Chris Waters (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Lily Zhuang

and Daniel Moser (Investment Analysts)

have prime responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together they

have significant combined experience

and are very capable of researching

and investing in the quality global

companies that Marlin targets. Fisher

Funds is based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Andy

Coupe (Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy and Fiona

Oliver.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.