Mercury NZ Limited/Announcement
Mercury NZ Limited logo

Quarterly Operational Update

Quarterly Update25 January 2023MCYUtilities

QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Three months ended 31 December 2022

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE01

WETTEST FIRST HALF EVER. Q2 HYDRO

GENERATION UP 38% ON PCP

ELECTRICITY SPOT PRICES COLLAPSE

DURING Q2, BUT FUTURES PRICES AT

OR ABOVE $190/MWh OUT TO CY26

35,000 NEW CONNECTIONS IN Q2.

NOW BROADBAND ACQUSITION LIFTS

TELCO CONNECTIONS BY 24,000

>> QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

WET WET

WET!

ELECTRICITY

FUTURES

PRICES HIGH

CONNECTION

GROWTH

ACROSS ALL

PRODUCTS

>> COMMENTARY

WETWET WET

Weather patterns across the Waikato catchment were very wet, almost the wettest second quarter since records began, extendingthe wet

trend from the start of the financial year which is now ranked as the wettest July to December period on record. This is a marked change

from the prior year where inflows trended around the lower quartile. Accordingly hydro generation was 1,281GWh for the threemonths ended

31 December 2022, up 352GWh (or 38%) on the prior comparable period, reflecting these very wet conditions. Hydro spill was significant at

386GWh for the quarter and 675GWh over the half year to maintain lakes within operating levels.

ELECTRICITY SPOT PRICES WEAK OVER QUARTER, BUT FORWARD PRICES HIGH

National inflows for the last quarter were also wet, around the upper tercile and very wet for the first half of the financial year. This reflected in

relatively low electricity spot prices over the quarter and half, averaging $47/MWh and $59/MWh in Auckland respectively. However, forward

electricity prices remain high with calendar years 2023 to 2026 around or above $190/MWh in Auckland reflecting high thermal generation

costs.

NATIONAL DEMAND GROWTH MODEST

National demand growth remains modest up only 0.5% on the prior comparable period but 1.2% lower than the same period 2 yearsago with

lower industrial demand driven mainly by reduced electricity consumption by Channel Infrastructure at Marsden Point.

GENERATION PRODUCTION LIFTS STRONGLY

As noted, hydro generation was strong due to very wet weather. Geothermal generation for the quarter of 606GWh was 61GWh lower than

on for the

last quarter was 9% higher than the prior comparable period due mostly to commissioning of Turitea North wind farm in 2021. Forthe

financial year, we are forecasting hydro generation of 4,700GWh with much of this additional generation being sold at lower spotprices over

the quarter.

CONNECTION GROWTH CONTINUES, MERCURY ACQUIRES OUTSTANDING SHARES IN NOW NZ LIMITED

ket

connections, volumes, and prices versus the prior comparable period. In December 2022, Mercury acquired the outstanding interestof 52% in

the NOW broadband business with 24,000 residential and commercial broadband connections. Mercury saw connection growth across all

product lines, lifting total connections by 11,000 over the quarter (excluding NOW acquisition). Commercial & Industrial yields(physical and

end-user CfDs) rose by $13/MWh to almost $107/MWh versus the prior comparable period, reflecting the rising electricity forward curve

repricing contract renewals.

579327
9847

146

15

18347

VolumeVolumeVolumeVolume

(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)

2,4551,9225,3213,998

1,5901,1173,5222,419

2

9625842,2871,373

3

6285331,2351,046

8252173114

4

1,6721,1693,6952,533

8658051,7991,579

301270605562

5645351,1941,017

28315961

5

4492251,227620

Gas purchases ($/GJ, TJ)

5

4532291,239632

TELCO SALES ($/month/connection)

6

Telco costs ($/month/connection

6

2,9842,2176,4004,464

2,2741,9504,8173,745

128192927351,883

7

60666712941,275

Wind Spot11692234105

Wind PPA271262554482

Financial7102671583719

Buy CfDs

8

7102671583719

Spot Settlement of CfDs

Net Position

9

176-19352-130

1

For electricity and gas, VWAP is the volume weighted average energy-only price sold to customers after lines, metering and fees

2

Mass market includes residential segments and non time-of-use commercial customers

3

Fixed-price, variable-volume (FPVV) sales to time-of-use commercial customers

4

Excludes spot customer purchases

5

Includes LPG

6

Includes mobile connections, excludes NOW connections

7

8

9

Includes all physical and financial buys and sells except spot customer purchases and wind ppa

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE02

Includes Virtual Asset Swap volumes of 151 GWh for the 3 months ended 31 December 2022 and 151 GWh for the 3 months ended 31

December 2021 and of 302 GWh for the 6 months ended 31 December 2022 and 302 GWh for the 6 months ended 31 December 2021.

Also includes the Manawa CFD volumes relating to the Trustpower retail transaction since May 2022

114.63

53.7093.24

41.5757.45

62.6861.51

45.79104.52

60.84102.03

65.49120.84

Geothermal (consolidated)68.7241.64

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

43.8865.73

95.45117.47

95.45117.47

58.00107.91

58.73108.65

57.31

110.9794.38

104.6790.81

114.1696.35

13.238.70

81.14

119.27108.01

66.06114.53

127.09

153.83141.61

VWAPVWAP

($/MWh)($/MWh)

Six months ended

31 December 2022

Six months ended

31 December 2021

Spot Customer Purchases

83.5752.16 Hydro

37.4374.93

49.1273.67Physical

58.82

69.7347.26

12.479.26

81.48

73.48

71.54

99.22

95.25

90.48

Other Sell CfDs

91.87Financial

96.6992.57

Commercial & Industrial

Network Losses

End User CfDs

Physical Purchases

Spot Settlement of CfDs

OPERATING INFORMATION

Three months ended

31 December 2022

Three months ended

31 December 2021

Customers with two or more products

Telecommunication customers

Mobile connections

Gas connections

ELECTRICITY CUSTOMERS

('000s ICPs)

Electricity connections

VWAP

1

VWAP

120.39135.60

($/MWh)($/MWh)

Physical

58.05

GAS SALES ($/GJ, TJ)20.9914.0519.9214.22

Mass Market

ELECTRICITY SALES

54.77

57.74

33.31

58.24

93.78

93.78

84.14

84.14

153.55

108.08

103.95

52.86

143.34

45.82

>> OPERATING STATISTICS

> ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY COMPANY FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER
Source: Electricity Authority

> SHARE OF ELECTRICITY SALES (GWh) FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER (EXCLUDING CFDs)

Source: Mercury Purchases and Transpower SCADA

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE03

23%

36%

19%

12%

3%

7%

Financial Year Q2 2023

MERCURY

MERIDIAN ENERGY

CONTACT ENERGY

GENESIS ENERGY

MANAWA ENERGY

OTHER

>> MARKET DATA

19%

38%

21%

13%

3%

6%

Financial Year Q2 2022

18%

82%

Financial Year Q2 2023

MERCURY

OTHER

13%

87%

Financial Year Q2 2022

> OTAHUHU WHOLESALE PRICE AND NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LEVELS
Source: NZX Hydro and NZEM Pricing Manager (NZX)

> TAUPO STORAGE

Source: NZX Hydro

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE04

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

$/MWh

GWh

AVERAGE NATIONAL STORAGEFY2022 NATIONAL STORAGE

FY2023 NATIONAL STORAGEROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE OTA PRICE

AVERAGE MONTHLY OTA PRICE

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh

AVERAGE SINCE 1999FY2022FY2023

> OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
Source: ASX

> BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

Source: ASX

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE05

$143.93

$128.46

$113.30

$192.99

$182.64

$164.13

$155.02

$203.41

$181.55

$134.49

$196.21

$189.00

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

FY23FY24FY25

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2021AS AT 30 JUNE 2022AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2022AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2022

$121.24

$105.13

$88.23

$170.06

$157.75

$137.19

$134.88

$176.05

$150.58

$111.18

$160.46

$152.14

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

FY23FY24FY25

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2021AS AT 30 JUNE 2022AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2022AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2022

> NATIONAL CONSUMPTION (NON-TEMPERATURE ADJUSTED)
Source: Transpower Information Exchange

> AUCKLAND CLIMATE SUMMARY ( ⁰C)

FINANCIAL YEAR

Q1Q2Q3Q4

202312.917.2--

202212.217.820.815.1

202112.316.919.514.8

202012.316.719.514.4

201912.116.320.214.1

Historical Average (since 1999)11.916.219.514.2

Source: Met Service

> MONTHLY TOTAL CONSUMER RETAIL SWITCHING (ICPs)

Source: Electricity Authority

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE06

8,541

8,270

8,481

8,506

8,327

8,364

1,263

1,316

1,310

1,248

1,262

1,273

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Q2 2018Q2 2019Q2 2020Q2 2021Q2 2022Q2 2023

GWh

NATIONAL CONSUMPTIONTIWAI POINT ALUMINIUM SMELTER CONSUMPTION

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

Jan-20

Jul-20Jan-21

Jul-21

Jan-22

Jul-22

% Churn

Monthly ICPs

NZ MARKET CHURN (LHS)ANNUAL NZ MARKET CHURN % (RHS)

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.