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Investor Update

Investor Presentation26 March 2023CENUtilities

11
Investor presentation

27 March 2023

Contact Energy Limited

Investor update for proposed bond offer

2
Disclaimer and important information

While all reasonable care has been taken in compiling this presentation, neither Contact

nor any of its directors, employees, shareholders nor any other person gives any

representation as to the accuracy or completeness of this information or accepts any

liability for any errors or omissions.

This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements with respect to a

variety of matters. All such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks,

significant uncertainties, assumptions, contingencies, and other factors, many of which

are outside the control of Contact, which may cause the actual results or performance of

Contact to be materially different from any future results or performance expressed or

implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements speak only

as of the date of this presentation. Except as required by law or regulation (including the

NZX Listing Rules and the ASX Listing Rules), Contact undertakes no obligation to

update these forward-looking statements for events or circumstances that occur

subsequent to the date of this presentation or to update or keep current any of the

information contained herein. Any estimates or projections as to events that may occur in

the future (including projections of revenue, expense, net income and performance) are

based upon the best judgement of Contact from the information available as of the date

of this presentation.

EBITDAF, free cash flow and operating free cash flow are financial measures that are

“non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting practice) financial information” under

Guidance Note 2017: ‘Disclosing non-GAAP financial information’ published by the New

Zealand Financial Markets Authority, “non-IFRS financial information” under ASIC

Regulatory Guide 230: ‘Disclosing non-IFRS financial information’ and “non-GAAP

financial measures” within the meaning of Regulation G under the U.S. Exchange Act of

1934.

Such financial information and financial measures (including EBITDAF, free cash flow

and operating free cash flow) do not have standardised meanings prescribed under New

Zealand equivalents to International Financial Reporting Standards (“NZ IFRS”),

Australian Accounting Standards (“AAS”) or International Financial Reporting Standards

(“IFRS”) and therefore, may not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by

other entities, and should not be construed as an alternative to other financial measures

determined in accordance with NZ IFRS, AAS or IFRS accounting practice) measures.

Information regarding the usefulness, calculation and reconciliation of these measures is

provided in the supporting material.

This presentation does not constitute financial or investment advice. This presentation

does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, Contact securities

and may not be relied on in connection with any purchase of a Contact security.

Numbers in the presentation have not all been rounded and might not appear to add.

All references to $ are New Zealand dollar unless stated otherwise.

Alltrademarks, service marks andcompany namesare thepropertyof their respective

owners. All company, product and service names used in this presentation are for

identification purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks and brands does not imply

endorsement or that they are or will be customers of Contact and reflectspublic

announcements of intention only.

33
Matthew Forbes

Head of Corporate Finance

Contact

Presenters

Will Thomson

Corporate Treasurer

44
Agenda

Electricity Market Overview

Contact Energy Strategy

Financial Performance Update

Capital Structure & Funding

5- 8

9- 15

16

17-20

55
Presented by

Matthew Forbes

Head of Corporate Finance

Electricity Market Overview

Contact Energy Strategy

Financial Performance Update

Introduction to Contact

66
Sources: New Zealand's Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1990-2020 snapshot, 2022 Inventory, TeRārangi

HaurehuKati Mahanaa Aotearoa 1990-2020 - He whakarāpopotoNew Zealand

Meaningful reductions in carbon emissions are possible with

renewable electricity displacing carbon intensive fuels

With New Zealand's high renewable penetration, electricity is the solution to reducing carbon emissions, not

the problem

Paris agreement target, Mt CO2e

(Transpower, 2020)

52

16

17

21

Net zero

2050

Gross

emissions

ex biogenic

methane

2

Net

growth

Other

abatement

required

Electri-

fication

Forestry

carbon

capture

0

Electrification will reduce carbon emissions

Our future energy profile

(Climate Change Commission, 2021)

29

35**

Renewable

electricity as % of

total energy use

2

Source: Climate Change Commission2021 final advice

2

Based on Consumer Energy use rather than Primary Energy use

Greenhouse gas emissions by sector

(Greenhouse Gas Inventory, 2020)

2022

2035

Total

electricity

(TWh)

41

51

To meet this annual emissions reduction,

Transpowerestimates 70% more renewable

generation is required to electrify heat and

decarbonisetransportation. This amounts to

~23TWh p.a.

This is the equivalent investment of around

$690m every year for 27.5 years

1

2050

Source: Whakamanai TeMauri Hiko- Empowering our Energy Future,

March 2020 (Transpower)

1

Based on the cost of the Meridian Harapakiwind farm as per August

2022 NZX announcement ($448m, 542GWh p.a.)

**Transpowerand Climate Change Commission

analysis preceded the Government’s first

Emissions Reduction Plan, which targets an even

more ambitious trajectory with renewables at

50% of total energy consumption by 2035

58-75

>50

7
The New Zealand regulatory framework is being adapted to deliver on this societal imperative. There is political consensus to

deliver net zero by 2050 and on the emissions reductions budgets needed to get there

Society is demanding action on climate change, with clear progress expected.

¹ While the Government’s first Emissions Reduction Plan has now been released, there is ongoing work on implementation and furtherplanning. Work on the next Emissions Reduction Plan will also start in 2023.

2

Covering electricity, hydrogen, and industry decarbonisation. Terms of Reference have been released.

3

Including BCG’s “The Future is Electric”; EA/Transpower’s“Future Security and Resilience Project”; EA’s Market Development Advisory Group; Wholesale Market Review (EA currently consulting on proposals).

Government

Energy

Strategy

2

Current

Tiwai

contract

ends 2024

Gas

Transition

Plan

Transport

policies

Net zero

New

Zealand

carbon

emissions

by 2050

Government

Procurement

Market

reviews to

support

highly

renewable

market

3

Significant

increase in

GIDI

subsidies

Resource

consenting

reform

Transmission

pricing and

grid

upgrades

Emissions

Reduction

Plan

1

Potential electricity demand impactPotential renewable generation impactPotential wider electricity sector impact

In progress

Announced

New

Zealand

Battery

Project

feasibility

Climate change and regulation

8
Topical regulatory matters

Medium term spot and hedge market prices continue to

be higher than long term averages due to coal prices,

gas availability and the cost of carbon. This is increasing

pressure on unhedged energy intensive industries.

The industry, Transpowerand the EA are paying close

attention to capacity in winter 2023. The industry CEO

forum is working closely with the EA to minimisethe risk

of any shortage in 2023.

Wholesale

market

security

Contactis exploring further renewable generation opportunities across geothermal, wind and

solar to reduce future impacts from thermal fuel volatility.

Contactis working with customers to smooth out pricing volatility through long-term contracts.

Contactis leading the development of the demand response market for C&I customers, and

has introduced time-of-use offerings for retail customers, helping to reduce load during peak

periods.

Contactis continuing to engage with the EA on the longer-term impacts of market volatility.

The sector is now entering a period of intense investment to both decarboniseexisting

generation and build new generation to meet future demand.

Key themes

What Contact is doing

NZ Battery

Project

The Government is assessing options to address

New Zealand’s dry year risk with 100% renewable

generation. This includes assessing its initially

preferred solution of pumped hydro at Lake

Onslow.

In October 2022, Boston Consulting Group

released a report “The Future Is Electric” which

showed that a range of industry-led solutions were

available to address the dry-year risk without the

need for the proposed Lake Onslow project.

Contactsupports further analysis to address dry year risk. Multiple options exist that will require

careful evaluation, including interruptible green hydrogen, interruptible load for other major

customers and grid-scale batteries.

Contactcontinues to assess low cost, low capital options to support decarbonisationthrough

market-led thermal solutions.

9
Our strategy to lead New Zealand’s

decarbonisation

Enablers

Transformative ways of working

Createa flexible and high-performing

environment for New Zealand’s top talent

Outcomes

Growth

Pivot our business to a new growth era that

captures the value unlocked by decarbonisation

Resilience

Deliver sustainable shareholder returns,

aligned with our ESG commitment

Performance

Realise a step-change in performance, materially

growing EBITDAF through strategic investments

Strategic

theme

Objective

Grow

demand

Attract new industrial demand with

globally competitive renewables

Grow renewable

development

Build renewable generation and

flexibility on the back of new demand

Decarbonise

our portfolio

Lead an orderly transition

to renewables

Create outstanding

customer experiences

Create New Zealand's leading energy and services

brand to meet more of our customers’ needs

Operational excellence

Continuouslyimproving our operations

through innovation and digitisation

ESG

Createlong-term value through our strong

performance across a broad set of environmental,

social and governance factors

10
Contact believes it is well positioned to

enableNew Zealand’s decarbonisation

1/ Distinctive capabilities

Deep understanding of energy applications

Unique in

-house geothermal capability

Wind capability

Solar

joint venture

3/ Leading New Zealand's thermal

generation transition

We have led the economic substitution of almost

3TWh of thermal generation over the last 15 years

(twice as much as all of our peers combined), while

developing advanced trading capabilities and systems

to manage changes to our commodity risk position

2/ New Zealand’s best renewable development pipeline

Geothermal +2.9TWh

p.a

Under development

+1.8TWh p.a

Medium-term target–

+1.1TWh p.a(net)

Wind

Land access

agreements

signed

Solar target

200MW

Initial target

Low-cost, innovative operations

We have a track record of sustainably reducing

costs across the business, with low cost

geothermal and retail cost-to-serve when

benchmarked

Largest New Zealand electricity brand*

Contact is New Zealand’s largest electricity brand,

catering to changing customer needs with a great

customer experience

Future-focused capabilities

Our capabilities will support our growth with

major projects, business development and digital

and analytics skills recently added

100% Subsidiaries

16.5% investment

Partnership

Joint Venture

14.0% investment

* Source: EMIICP numbers by trader 31/01/23

1111
2018 - 2022generationbystationandtype(five-year average)

1

3,820GWh

1,446GWh

Whereweare

Roxburgh(320MW)

Clyde(432MW)

2,108

1,712

Hydro

TeRapa(spot) and

Whirinaki(199MW)

Stratford– Peakers

(210MW)

Stratford– CCGT

(377MW)

Contact has a diversified portfolio

of generation assets

GeothermalThermal

8.5TWh

Average

generated

207

288

951

TeHuka(28MW)185

Ohaaki(44MW)310

Poihipi(55MW)361

Wairākei(132MW)

1,047

TeMihi(166MW)1,359

3,262GWh

1,870*

Under construction

* Source: Forsyth Barr analyst report 8/02/2023

1

Excludes Te Rapa direct sales

Geothermal

12
Improving demand outlook for electricity

Decarbonisationambitions and thermal economics will support growth

Demand

response

Focus area

What we’ve

learned

Examples of

our progress

Large scale

data centres

Major

industrial

energy users

Green

chemicals

Industrial

process heat

Road

transport

•Attractive baseload

characteristics

•Low emission customers

•Pipeline of hyperscale

data centres announced

e.g. CDC, DCI,

Microsoft, Amazon

Demand response is introduced wherever possible when entering into new supply contracts –this is high value to Contact, industrial customers and NZ

Will contribute to decarbonisation of New Zealand whilst improving the security of supply at peak periods

High degree of customer appetite for demand response mechanisms to be packaged into new contracts

•Data centres under

construction or highly

likely totalling 200MW

•>100MW capacity due to

be added by 2024

•Some barriers remain e.g.

high transmission costs

•Higher carbon pricing

needed to drive increased

rate of boiler conversions

•$69m in confirmed GIDI

funding allocated since

2020

•Supported around 50MW

of new-to-market lower

South Island electricity

demand

•Carbon capture trials

complete at TeHuka. Have

option to reinject or harvest

•Working with BOC, a Linde

company, to assess highest

value commercial options

for C0

2

captured at

geothermal facilities

•Increasing commitment

to decarbonisation

targets by major

energy users

•Significant appetite for

flexible, renewables-

backed electricity

contracts

•Technology advancement

enabling options for

heavy transport

•Increasing uptake of EVs

– 21% of all registrations

in December 2022

1

•Expansion of charging

infrastructure required

1

“EVs” includes the number of electric vehicle registrations for December 2022 as reported by the Motor Industry Association. This is inclusive of 100% electric (2,295), plug-in petrol hybrid (389) and petrol hybrid vehicles (1,286).

•Hydrogen export

economics challenging vs

alternatives

•Domestic opportunity for

green chemicals in a

range of hard to abate

sectors

•Working with the HW

Richardson Group to

assess a trial use of

hydrogen for heavy

transport

•Extended time of use retail

offering to EV plan,

introducing Dream Charge

•Long term Tauhara

backed PPAs: Genesis,

Oji Fibre and Pan Pac

•NZAS negotiations

underway

•Working with NZ Steel on

options around

interruptibility

13
13

Decarbonising our portfolio: Leading an

orderly transition to renewables

Key outcomes:

•Act on our commitment to ESG, contributing to better outcomes for our communities and the

environment

•Support secure 24/7 electricity supply for Contact’s customers and all other market

participants

•Capture the value flexibility offers to the electricity market

•Provide an integrated system to support the transition to renewables by providing risk-

coverage to the market and reducing price volatility

•Reduce fixed costs by finding cost reductions, synergies and highest-value ownership

Other external commitments

Our targets have been approved by the Science-Based Targets

initiative (1.5 degree warming)

Reduce Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions 45% compared to 2018

baseline by 2026

30% reduction of 2018 Scope 3 GHG emissions by 2026

2021

2022

2023

2012 emissions

450

FY21

1,046

Closure of

Te Rapa

200

Closure of TCC

106

Geothermal

additions

37

2025 emissionsReduced

Thermal

Peaker

generation

465

648

SBTI target

2026

Thermal review announced

ThermalCodiscussion paper released

Closure of TeRapa announced

Risk management product sold to Meridian

Geothermal carbon reinjection trial on track

TCC closure once operating hours end (est2024)

Complete review of thermal assets

Scope 1 & 2 GHG emissions (ktCO

2

e)

2,698

1

1

Contact’s annual emissions return to the Environmental Protection Authority for calendar year 2012. Reflects scope 1 emissions ex diesel

14
Market leading renewable development pipeline

Contact has built a renewable electricity development pipeline of 6TWh, with capability to

deliver

Consented post-FID (under construction)

Consented pre-FID (development option)

2.1

1.1

1.9

3.0

Consenting in progress

Land access secured / exclusivity

1.7

1.3

20202023

3.0

6TWH

Potential options

for future uplift

TWh

Planned and

consented

TWh

202320242026

>2027

WindSolar

Tauhara

(1.4TWh)

TeHuka

(0.4TWh)

GeoFuture

(1.4TWh)

Roxburgh

(45GWh

2

uplift)

Solar and wind development pipeline advancing, with projects entering consenting stage:

•Contact/Lightsourcebp JV selected by Christchurch Airport to deliver 170MWp

3

(150MW) solar farm

at KōwhaiPark. Subject to a final investment decision, construction targeted to begin in 2024.

•Consenting underway for priority North Island solar farm site (170MWp/150MW) and South Island

wind site (220MW).

•Land access secured for a further development potential of 60MWp (50MW) solar and 450MW wind.

Planned and consented renewable energy development projects

1

Expected generation (indicative):

2025

Potential options for future uplift

Expected generation (indicative):

Tauhara

stage 2

(0.7TWh)

Remaining

capacity

Wairākei

closure

(1.0TWh)

1

All uncommitted investment / closures are subject to Board investment decisions. The Tauhara, TeHukaand Roxburgh investments have been committed to.

2

45GWh p.a. uplift is based on mean hydrology conditions.

3

MWp refers to the Direct Current (DC) MW output from a Solar farm which is then converted to Alternating Current (AC) MW output (MW).

15
Indicative MW (net export to grid)

Estimated plant capacity

factor/ annual generation

Net generation uplift from field resource

after closure of WairākeiA and B

Wairākeigeothermal consents granted

Wairākeire-consent highlights

~168

MW

95% / ~1.4TWh p.a.

End of

2023 /

2H 2026

1

~0.4TWh

p.a.

Consent received to operate for the next 35 years on the Wairākeifield, enabling Contact to proceed with its

plans for the replacement of WairākeiA and B legacy geothermal power stations at Te Mihi (GeoFuture)

Targeted final investment decision /

Indicative timing for on-line date

GeoFutureplanned development key features

(capacity / output shown as previously indicated)

Consentto continue operations for next 35

years on Wairākeigeothermal steamfield.

Consent for large new plant at TeMihi – up

to 180 MW additional to the existing TeMihi

units 1 and 2– providing investment

optionality / flexibility.

Will result in significant local investment for

Waikato during construction.

Immediate benefits from higher geothermal

mass take – 2% higher than current.

Reinvigorated partnership with local iwi and

hapu.

All Contact’s operational steamfield

discharges into Waikato River cease from

30 June 2026.

Balance sheet prepared, enabling

investment option to proceed fully funded

1

References are to calendar years.

1616
Operating earnings (EBITDAF) ($m)

Financial performance update

Operating free cash flow ($m)

Average operating cash flow for the preceding four financial years

Dividend policy range: 80-100% of average operating free cash

flow for the preceding four years

FY18

258

322

324

259

FY19

266

325

260

FY20

309

247

FY22

88%

FY21

83%

326

261

84%

332

FY23

301

341

290

371

Annual operating

free cash flow

100%

80%

Dividend level

as a % of preceeding

4yr operating fcf

325

481

518

446

553

537

530

550

FY19

480480480

FY18

480

FY20FY21

520

FY22FY23

High quality, long-life generation assets support strong operating cash flow

EBITDAF FY23 NormalisedUpdate

EBITDAF

Normalised and expected

mean year EBITDAF at the start of the FY

1717
Capital Structure & Funding

Presented by

Will Thomson

Corporate Treasurer

Capital Structure & Funding

18
•Balanced debt portfolio with diverse sources of

funding; comprising bank debt, domestic bonds

and USPP

•Debt level has risen over the last financial year

as development of the Tauhara and Te Huka

geothermal power stations continues

•Entire debt portfoliois certified green by the

Climate Bonds Initiative (CBI)

•A new $850m sustainability linked loan was

executed in December 2022. This replaced all

existing loans and brought all bank funding into

full alignment with Contact26 strategy

•S&P’s key financial metric for BBB is a Net

Debt/EBITDAF ratio which must be kept below

3x over the medium-term

•Gearing increased to 30% at 31 December

2022, up from 23.5% at 30 June 2022

A green and sustainably-linked debt portfolio aligned to our Contact26 strategy

Closing net debt ($m)

Face value of borrowings less cash

Interest rate (%)

Weighted average gross interest

1

on average borrowings

Net debt to EBITDAF (x)

Includes S&P adjustments (prior to FY20, AGS was treated as a lease)

Borrowing maturities ($m)

3

Average tenor of 6.4 years as at 31 December 2022

Funding

1.Gross interest includes all interest on borrowings, bank commitment fees and deferred financing costs. Unwind of leases, provisions and capitalised interest not included

2.Based on a normalised and expected EBITDAF of $550m

3.Maturity profile shows all committed debt as opposed to all drawn debt

1,410

990

1,036

774

1,025

1,354

-150

-168

-163

645

FY18

22

-3

38

25

-44-47

FY21FY19FY22FY20

21

25

26

1H23

1,445

968

1,014

882

1,217

Cash on handBorrowingsLease obligations

66

225

153

100

136

350

75

14

50

250

61

300

235

182

7

FY24

7

FY26FY29FY27FY25

77

22

4

FY28FY52

493

357

276

NEXI: Export credit agency

USPPUndrawn bank facilities

Drawn bank facilities

Domestic bondsCapital bonds

3.1

2.3

2.4

1.2

1.5

2.2

FY22FY18FY20FY19FY21HY23

1,476

1,207

1,031

963

902

1,221

FY20FY21

5.2%

5.1%

FY18FY22

5.4%

5.2%

FY19

5.3%

5.4%

1H23

Average gross interestAverage gross debt

2

1919
Sustainable Finance

•Contact established our Green Borrowing Programme in 2017 – the first such certification completed by a New Zealand issuer and the first green

certification of an entire debt programme globally. This demonstrates Contact’s commitment to investing in renewable energy assets (i.e. geothermal power)

which have achieved independent certification by the Climate Bonds Initiative (CBI).

•The Green Borrowing Programme is described within Contact’s Sustainable Finance Framework(Framework), which aligns with the International Capital

Markets Association Green Bond Principles, and the Asia Pacific Loan Market Association Green Loan Principles. The Framework,which also incorporates

the issuance of sustainability-linked instruments was released in November 2022 and has been externally reviewed by Ernst & Young.

Eligible Asset Criteria

•Green Assets will meet the eligibility criteria set out

to the right and will comply with one or more of the

Green Bond Principles, Green Loan Principles, or

the Climate Bonds Standard and contribute towards

meeting the United Nations Sustainable

Development Goals (SDGs).

•A key metric is the Green Ratio whereby the total

green asset value must be at least equal to total

green debt (i.e. a ratio of 1.0 minimum). As at 31

December 2022, Contact’s Green Ratio is met at

1.6 times.

Thank you

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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