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MLN – May 2023 monthly update

Investor Presentation9 May 2023MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for April was up 1.7%,

while the adjusted NAV return was up 1.6%. This compared

with our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small

Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD), which was up 1.3%.

In April, global equities gained +1.6%. US and European

equities were up +1.5% and +2.6%, respectively. Emerging

market equities, on the other hand, were down -1.3%.

The US reporting season is almost 60% of the way complete.

So far, 67% of companies reporting have beaten revenue

expectations and 80% have beaten earnings expectations.

The European reporting season is around 40% of the way

through. So far, 66% of companies reporting have beaten

revenue expectations, while only 63% have beaten earnings

expectations.

Our portfolio is 53% of the way through earnings season. So

far, 90% of companies have beaten revenue expectations and

90% have beaten earnings expectations. As always, results

are backwards looking so guidance is crucial. 80% of our

portfolio companies have either raised guidance or not guided

and consensus has upgraded year ahead earnings estimates.

Portfolio

Alibaba (-18%) and Tencent (-11%) declined alongside

the wider Chinese market, reversing gains made in the prior

month on the back of Tencent’s strong results and Alibaba’s

business restructure announcement. There was no significant

news for these two companies in the month.

We added to our Dollar General (+6%) and Dollar Tree

(+7%) positions in the month. These US discount retailers

have wide moats, which will continue to widen as they

expand their store footprint and bring value to US consumers.

Dollar General and Dollar Tree stock a variety of consumable

and discretionary items at affordable sub-$10 price points

that are on par with a mass merchant like Walmart, and they

are 20%~40% cheaper than grocery and drug stores.

Edwards Lifesciences (+6%). The healthcare industry

continues to recover from the combination of COVID

headwinds and hospital staffing shortages, with surgical

procedures for medical device companies coming in well

ahead of expectations for the first quarter. Following several

quarters of lower growth in its core TAVR franchise, Edward’s

returned to its historic double-digit growth rate.

Icon (-10%), the clinical research outsourcing (CRO)

company, had a weak month. Sentiment continues to sour

on its early-stage biotech clients which make up around 15%

of company revenue. Funding for these early-stage biotech

companies has declined from the high levels seen during

the COVID years. This is starting to result in delays in small

biotech projects, as clients conserve cash and prioritise

projects. Management believe these concerns are overblown.

Any headwinds will be limited, while the long-term growth

story remains intact. Biotech funding has decreased but it is

still consistent with pre-COVID levels. Client’s R&D budgets

in the remaining 85% of Icon’s revenue base continue to

grow. Icon is well positioned to increase its share of industry

outsourcing spend following its 2021 merger with PRA Health

Sciences, as pharmaceutical companies consolidate their

R&D spend to the larger CRO’s such as Icon.

Mastercard (+5%) beat earnings expectations during the

month. The company lifted its full year guidance for 2023.

Consumer spending has remained resilient despite the

current economic uncertainty, high inflation and high interest

rate environment. Dollar volumes grew 15% in the core

payments business. The company is winning new customers

and selling additional value-added services, such as analytics

and fraud detection, which grew 21%. MA’s cross-border

payments business grew 35% in the quarter, continuing to

show strength as economies continue to reopen and travel

resumes at a more normalised level.

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

May 2023

$

0.87

Share Price

MLN NAVDISCOUNT

1

$

0.88 0.9

%


as at 30 April 2023

Warrant Price

$

0.01

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 30 April 2023

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.10

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

205m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$178m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

Meta (+13%) reported strong earnings. User growth,

revenue and earnings exceeded market expectations. Meta

also provided better-than-expected revenue guidance for

the following quarter and once again lowered its expense

guidance for the full year. Compared to 6 months ago, Meta

has reduced its expense guidance by 11%, at the same

time as revenue is coming in stronger than expected. This

has driven consensus operating profit forecasts 40% higher

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 30 April 2023

24

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

10

%

16

%


FINANCIALS

22

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

GEOGRAPHICAL SPLIT

as at 30 April 2023

7

%

WEST

EUROPE

78

%

NORTH

AMERICA

5

%


CASH &

DERIVATIVES

16

%

10

%


ASIA

5

%

CASH &

DERIVATIVES

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

in the past 3 months. Artificial intelligence (AI) was a key

topic, which management credits for driving greater user

engagement and advertising efficiency.

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

HEALTH CARE

7

%


CONSUMER

STAPLES

3
APRIL’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

META PLATFORMS

+13

%

GARTNER

-7

%

ICON

-10

%

ALIBABA

GROUP

-11

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 30 April 2023

AMAZON

8

%

META PLATFORMS

8

%

ALPHABET

8

%

FLOOR & DECOR

6

%

BOSTON

SCIENTIFIC

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 14 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 30 April 2023

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+2.2%(4.1%)(18.9%)+7.9%+11.0%

Adjusted NAV Return+1.6%+0.7%(3.1%)+5.4%+7.5%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +1.7%+0.7%(1.4%)+8.5%+10.6%

Benchmark Index^+1.3%+0.8%+2.7%+12.1%+6.9%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

TENCENT

-18

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 30 April 2023

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Nov

2007

Nov

2011

Nov

2013

Nov

2014

Nov

2015

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2016

Nov

2020

Nov

2012

Nov

2022

Nov

2017

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be utilised

for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Marlin announced a new issue of warrants

(MLNWF) on 18 October 2022

»Information pertaining to the warrants was

mailed/emailed to all shareholders on 25 October

2022

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders in the ratio of one warrant for every

four Marlin shares held based on the record date

of 2 November 2022

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on

3 November 2022 and listed on the NZX Main

Board from 4 November 2022

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $0.99,

adjusted down for the aggregate amount per

Share of any cash dividends declared on the

shares with a record date during the period

commencing on the date of allotment of the

warrants and ending on the last Business Day

before the final Exercise Price is announced by

Marlin

»The Exercise Date for the warrants is 10

November 2023


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated to

it from the Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement and other

written policies. Marlin’s portfolio is

managed by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Chris Waters (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Lily Zhuang

and Daniel Moser (Investment Analysts)

have prime responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together they

have significant combined experience

and are very capable of researching

and investing in the quality global

companies that Marlin targets. Fisher

Funds is based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Andy

Coupe (Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy and Fiona

Oliver.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.