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MLN – August 2023 monthly update

Operational Update10 August 2023MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for July was up 3.3%, while

the adjusted NAV return was up 2.8%. This compared with our

global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index

(50% hedged to NZD), which was up 3.5%.

In July, global equities were up +3.4% driven by Emerging Market

equities up +6.3%. US and European equities were up +3.2%

and +1.8% respectively for the month. Growth underperformed

value in the month, with MSCI World Growth Index up +2.9%

compared to MSCI World Value Index up +3.9%.

Market hopes for an economic soft-landing and US headline

inflation numbers falling more than expected supported equities.

The US Federal Reserve raised rates 25bps and is no longer

forecasting a recession.

Portfolio News

Alibaba (+20%) and Tencent (+7%) rallied in July alongside the

broader China stock market (MSCI China Index +10% for the

month). There are signs in recent weeks that regulatory scrutiny

on China’s tech sector is easing, and China policymakers are

also looking to introduce stimulus to bolster the economy which

has been slow to recover post-COVID. Both considerations

drove improved market sentiment in the month.

Alphabet (+11%) reported earnings that beat market

expectations. The digital advertising market continues to

grow, with Google Search and YouTube well positioned to

capture market share given their ability to deliver high return on

investment for advertisers. Alphabet’s artificial intelligence (AI)

investments are also paying off. CEO Sundar Pichai noted that

Google’s AI-driven Search Generative Experience (SGE) is driving

incremental new queries that can be monetised with advertising.

Alphabet management also continue to focus on cost discipline,

which is very positive for the company’s earnings growth outlook

as revenues continue to trend upwards.

Meta (+11%) reported earnings in the month. Robust revenue,

engagement trends and outlook guidance beat expectations

and drove shares up 9% post-announcement. The company’s

investments in AI are paying off. AI recommendations drove a

7% increase in overall Facebook user engagement, and almost

all of Meta’s advertisers use at least one of its AI-driven ad

products. Reels continue to drive incremental engagement,

and monetisation has steadily increased over time. Along with

Reels, the next leg of Meta’s runway comes from its small but

rapidly growing Click-to-Message (via Messenger, Instagram or

WhatsApp) offering. Meta also continues to invest significantly

in the Metaverse, which currently has no clear return on

investment. We are monitoring this closely. That said, 80% of

Meta’s spending is on its core Family of Apps business which

generates highly attractive margins and free cash flow. Ongoing

cost discipline in its core business will further improve Family of

Apps’ margin and cash flow profile.

MSCI (+17%), a new portfolio addition as of June, reported

better than expected quarterly earnings in July. Revenues grew

13% year-on-year (YOY), the key Index business grew 13%

YOY and EPS grew 17% YOY. MSCI’s fastest growing segment,

ESG & Climate, came in better than expected growing at 29%

y/y. There were concerns surrounding a slowdown in ESG &

Climate growth in the previous quarterly result which were eased

this quarter with management reassuring investors of the long

growth runway the segment still has. MSCI has various avenues

of growth they are benefitting from and are executing well to

capture these opportunities.

Our medical device companies, Edwards Lifesciences (-13%)

and Boston Scientific (-4%), both underperformed for the

month as the anticipated recovery in surgical procedures was

slower than the market expected. Medical device stocks have

performed well year-to-date, given easing COVID restrictions

and improvements in hospital staffing levels. Although overall

surgical procedure volumes improved during recent months,

more complex procedures such as Edwards’ heart valve

replacements are taking longer to recover given a greater time

lag between referrals and treatment. Edwards expects growth

rates to accelerate towards year end as staffing levels continue

to improve and as these more complex cases move through the

system.

Icon (flat) reported results which show that signs of a recovery

in its biotech customer base have not yet translated into new

orders. The company noted it typically takes around three

months for underlying activity to translate into bookings growth

and is cautiously optimistic that new business wins will increase

in the second half of this year.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

August 2023

$

0.97

Share Price

MLN NAVPREMIUM

1

$

0.96 1.9

%


as at 31 July 2023

Warrant Price

$

0.03

CONSUMER
DISCRETIONARY

2

KEY DETAILS

as at 31 July 2023

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.08

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

207m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$200m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

Portfolio Changes

During the month we reduced our position in Netflix and

increased our position in Gartner.

We exited homebuilder NVR (-1%) in July because we see

better value elsewhere. We bought NVR in May 2021. The

company has since delivered a 15% p.a. return vs. +4%

return from the S&P 500. NVR’s runway for new orders in the

company’s active development communities has shrunk in

recent years. NVR gross margins are at all-time highs given

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 July 2023

22

%

9

%

20

%


FINANCIALS

21

%

GEOGRAPHICAL SPLIT

as at 31 July 2023

7

%

WEST

EUROPE

77

%

NORTH

AMERICA

5

%


CASH &

DERIVATIVES

16

%

11

%


ASIA

5

%

CASH &

DERIVATIVES

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

recent appreciation in house prices, and we see downside

risk to market consensus expectations for margins to remain

at elevated levels for the next 3 years. We put NVR back into

the fishing pond and will continue monitoring these dynamics

closely.

HEALTH CARE

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

7

%


CONSUMER

STAPLES

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

3
JULY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

(in local currency) during the month

ALIBABA

+20

%

MSCI

+17

%

PAYPAL

+14

%

EDWARDS

LIFESCIENCES

+11

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 July 2023

AMAZON

8

%

ALPHABET

7

%

ICON

7

%

META PLATFORMS

6

%

GARTNER

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 16 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 31 July 2023

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+6.0%+14.3%(6.6%)+5.0%+11.7%

Adjusted NAV Return+2.8%+11.1%+8.5%+5.6%+8.6%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +3.3%+12.0%+11.1%+8.3%+11.6%

Benchmark Index^+3.5%+8.3%+11.5%+11.9%+7.6%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

META PLATFORMS

-13

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 July 2023

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Nov

2007

Nov

2011

Nov

2013

Nov

2014

Nov

2015

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2016

Nov

2020

Nov

2012

Nov

2022

Nov

2017

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be utilised

for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Marlin announced an issue of warrants (MLNWF)

on 18 October 2022

»Information pertaining to the warrants was

mailed/emailed to all shareholders on 25 October

2022

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders in the ratio of one warrant for every

four Marlin shares held based on the record date

of 2 November 2022

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on

3 November 2022 and listed on the NZX Main

Board from 4 November 2022

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $0.99,

adjusted down for the aggregate amount per

Share of any cash dividends declared on the

shares with a record date during the period

commencing on the date of allotment of the

warrants and ending on the last Business Day

before the final Exercise Price is announced by

Marlin

»The Exercise Date for the warrants is

10 November 2023


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated to

it from the Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement and other

written policies. Marlin’s portfolio is

managed by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Chris Waters (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Lily Zhuang

and Daniel Moser (Investment Analysts)

have prime responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together they

have significant combined experience

and are very capable of researching

and investing in the quality global

companies that Marlin targets. Fisher

Funds is based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Andy

Coupe (Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy and Fiona

Oliver.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.