New Zealand Rural Land Company Limited logo

NZL Presentation to New Zealand Shareholders Association

Investor Presentation13 September 2023NZLReal Estate

E: info@nzrlc.co.nz | T: +64 9 217 2905
www.nzrlc.co.nz

14 September 2023

NZL Presentation to New Zealand Shareholders Association

Please find attached a copy of the presentation that NZL Director, Christopher Swasbrook gave on Wednesday, 13

September 2023 to the New Zealand Shareholders Association in Auckland.

For further information please contact:

Richard Milsom - Director, NZRLM

Mobile: 021 274 2476

Email: richard@nzrlm.co.nz

Christopher Swasbrook - Director, NZRLC

Mobile: 021 928 262

Email: chris@nzrlc.co.nz

---

1
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

www.nzrlc.co.nz

listed on:

Rural Land Co

New Zealand

The Rural Land Investors

NZSA Presentation

13 September 2023

2
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

DISCLAIMER

The information and opinions in this presentation were prepared by New Zealand Rural Land Company (NZL). NZL

makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information in this report. Opinions

including estimates and projections in this report constitute the current judgment of NZL as at the date of this report

and are subject to change without notice. Such opinions are not guarantees or predictions of future performance.

This report is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Neither NZL, nor

any of its Board members, officers, employees, advisers (including New Zealand Rural Land Management Limited) or

any other representatives will be liable for any damage, loss or cost incurred by any recipient of this report or other

person in connection with this report.

Any applications for shares and warrants in NZL are subject in all respects to compliance with all applicable

securities offering laws.

All images are of rural property held within NZL’s portfolio.

New Zealand Rural Land Co (NZL)
owns and leases some of the best

farmland in the world, offering an

unparalleled investment opportunity.

Rural Land Co

New Zealand

The Rural Land Investors

Why is NZL Without Parallel?
A perfect combination of advantages

• A rapidly growing global population, food demand and a decrease in available productive

land means rural land is increasingly a more attractive investment and this scarce and critical food

production infrastructure has demonstrated consistent positive returns over time.

• New Zealand has the most productive agricultural land in the world. Water, soils, space and

climate come together to deliver world-leading low-cost production and carbon efficiency.

• NZL invests in land, not farm operations. There is no direct exposure to operational,

environmental or commodity price risks.

• NZL currently owns 14,847 hectares (36,988 acres) of high quality productive rural land in

New Zealand and leases it, long term.

• NZL is the only pure-play, NZX-listed exposure to agricultural land in New Zealand. As such NZL

provides investors with a liquid and inflation-hedged investment.

• For overseas investors NZL is one of the only ways they can gain exposure to New Zealand

agricultural land.

• NZL, since listing, has established a track record of outperforming the broader rural land market.

Rural Land Co

New Zealand

The Rural Land Investors

5
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

New Zealand is a World Leading Producer and Exporter

of Primary Products - for Good Reason

The World’s Most

Efficient and Lowest

Cost Producer

Advantaged Exporter,

Well Positioned for

Free Trade

Sustainably

Advantaged

World Class

Risk Mitigation

New Zealand’s temperate

climate, fertile soils and

pasture-based production

system results in lower cost of

production than the farming

systems used in most of the

world.

New Zealand’s natural

advantages and efficient

production means that the

country produces far more than

it can consume domestically.

This allows farmers to export

the majority of their goods to

high value international markets.

New Zealand has a lower

carbon footprint for its

primary products than most if

not all alternative producers.

The importance of agriculture

to the New Zealand economy

mitigates political risks to the

industry. While social risks are

mitigated by the industry’s

active management of social

perception and social licence.

95

%

of products are exported

to over 130 countries.

90m

people can source all

their dairy from New

Zealand.

$

12.9b

is the value of

New Zealand’s

Dairy Exports.

68

%

less carbon from cradle-to-

farm gate than the global

average.

1

st

of 50 countries for

Animal Welfare.

1

st


out of 113 countries for

Food Safety.

- 40

%

lower cost of

production than EU or

USA.

Temperate Climate

Fertile Soils

Pasture-based

Production

Carbon Footprint

water

emissions

electricity

transport

offsets

waste

recycling

gas

personnel

fuel

co

2

INTRODUCTION

6
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

New Zealand Rural Land Company is a landlord to New Zealand’s attractive agricultural sector.

We own rural land and lease it to high quality tenants.

NZL Today

NZL currently owns

hectares of rural land.

(36,688 acres)

14,847

Canterbury

6,333 ha owned

Otago

3,991 ha owned

Southland

1,386 ha owned

11.5 Years

Weighted Average Lease Term (WALT)

8

High Quality Tenants

100

%

Occupancy Rate

Manawatu - Whanganui

3,137 ha owned

INTRODUCTION

7
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

NZL Timeline Since IPO

21 December 2020

Completed $75m IPO

and listed on the

NZX.

23 March 2021

Announced first

$10.2m unconditional

acquisition in Southland,

New Zealand.

01 June 2021

Settled $112.5m of acquisitions

in North Otago, South

Canterbury and Southland.

04 June 2021

Announced 2:3 Pro-Rata Rights

Issue at $1.10 per share.

02 August 2021

Completed $12m acquisition in

South Canterbury, New Zealand.

10 November 2021

Settled $61.4m acquisition in

Otago, New Zealand.

23 September 2021

Completed rights issue and

shortfall placement to raise a

total of $38.8m

*

.

8 June 2022

Announced 1:5 Pro-Rata Rights

issue at $1.05 per share

9 August 2022

Completed rights

issue and shortfall

placement to raise a

total of $16.8m**.

30 June 2022

Completed $10.2m

pastoral farm acquisition in

Southland, New Zealand.

15 June 2022

Settled $18.4m pastoral farm

acquisition in Southland, New

Zealand.

* 87.52% of the Pro-Rata Rights Issue was taken up by investors.

** 82.63% of the Pro-Rata Rights Issue was taken up by investors.

NZL has raised a total of $154.7m in equity since IPO.

21 October 2022

Announced $63m forestry

estate acquisition in

Manawatu-Whanganui,

New Zealand.

1 March 2023

Announced Pro-Rata Rights

issue to raise $38.5m to settle

forestry acquisition on 15 April

2023.

15 March 2023

Raised $24.0m via

1:3 Pro-Rata Rights

issue.

INTRODUCTION

8
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

NZL Year to Date Highlights

INTRODUCTION

*Based on a share price of $0.85 as at 24 August 2023.

NAV per share has grown from $1.25 at listing to $1.534.

Share price is currently trading at a -44.6% discount to NAV/sh

*

.

Diversification via forestry acquisition (forestry now 30% of lease income).

Buy-back continues. The Board considers NZL to still be materially undervalued.

Accretive acquisitions boost full year Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per share.

9
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

NZL At a Glance

$1.534

NAV per Share

$362.7m

Total Assets

$214.5m

Net Asset Value (NAV)

+31.4%

FY22-FY24 Forecast AFFO

per share CAGR*

37.1%

**

Gearing

INTRODUCTION

*From FY22 to full year FY24 based on actuals and guidance. Represents a forecast and may differ from actual results.

**Total tangible assets divided by total bank debt.

10
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

SECTION 1

NZL ADVANTAGES

11
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

SUSTAINABILITY

NZL Advantages

RISK MANAGEMENT

SECTORAL

RETURNS

STRUCTURAL

1

NZL ADVANTAGES

12
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

The global population is expected to reach 9.7 billion by 2050. A growing global population and surging demand for food alongside declining available

productive land provide a strong long-term global tailwind for productive land ownership.

Globally, productive rural land is a scarce/finite resource. New Zealand rural land is extremely well placed to capitalise on the global scarcity of high

quality arable land.

Sectoral Advantages

Arable Land Per Person (ha)

Source: Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations (FAOSTAT)

-

0.08

0.16

0.24

0.32

0.40

0.48

Arable Land per person (ha)

1

NZL ADVANTAGES

-56%

between 1962 and 2018

the amount of arable (productive)

land available per person to

produce food is in significant

decline.

13
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Sustainability Advantages

Soil in New Zealand is predominantly fertile volcanic loams – ideal for productive farming. This, coupled with New Zealand’s temperate climate, consistent

rainfall, adequate sunshine and ability to grow grass and other crops year round make it a highly advantaged, efficient, consistent and low cost producer of

primary products.

New Zealand’s pasture based farming system allow for easy transition of rural land to a range of alternative uses should conditions dictate (e.g. dairy to

sheep and beef rearing).

New Zealand’s low input pasture based farming methods enable meat and dairy products to be produced at significantly lower cost than the EU or US. In

the case of milk production it is a 40% - 50% lower cost than EU and US producers.

New Zealand dairy has the world’s lowest carbon emissions per kg of milk.

The production of sheep/lamb meat in New Zealand generates carbon emissions c.-63% lower than the global average. While beef production emits c.-77%

less carbon.

New Zealand’s Emissions Advantage

Source: Ag Research

*Fat and Protein Corrected Milk

1

NZL ADVANTAGES

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

14
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Sustainability Advantages (continued)

Additionally, NZL only selects tenants with a track record of environmentally sustainable performance. (All NZL’s leases also incorporate a requirement that

tenants reserve a large buffer of equity relative to annual lease costs to ensure that leases are paid even in adverse operating conditions).

Joint sustainability commitments are written into NZL’s binding leases. These reinforce the shared vision between NZL and its tenants of what sustainability

looks like and the commitment to proactively manage, mitigate and minimise greenhouse gas emissions, nutrient leaching and other potentially

environmentally harmful practices, while ensuring the welfare and wellbeing of the people, communities and animals connected to the land.

NZL’s directors and management have a track record of establishing and implementing sustainability initiatives across a number of New Zealand

businesses.

1

NZL ADVANTAGES

15
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Structural Advantages

NZL’s

STRUCTURAL

ADVANTAGE

ACCESS

TO

TRANSACTIONS

ACCESS

TO

CAPITAL

DOMESTIC

BUYER

DUE DILIGENCE

AND LEASE

STRUCTURE/S

ACCESS TO

QUALITY

TENANT

PARTNERSHIPS

Access to Transactions

• First mover

• Profile

• Volume

• Network

• Reputation

• Listed Company

Access to Tenants

• Reputation and structural appeal

• DD process - thorough and

proprietary

• Knowledgeable of who the best

potential tenants are

• Network

Access to Capital

• NZX listed

• Relationship with Rabobank

(and other rural lenders)

Domestically

Domiciled

• Speed and certainty for

vendors

• Ease of completion (no

OIO)

• Social license to purchase

farmland

Due Diligence and Lease Structure

• Advantaged and refined due diligence processes

• Proprietary and comprehensive leases and structures

• Proprietary risk vs. return analysis

• Highly repeatable process

1

NZL ADVANTAGES

16
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Risk Management Advantages

By only owning the land NZL has no direct exposure to the operational risks of farming:

No direct

on-farm risks

(via either sharemilker or

operational partner)

No direct

exposure

to volatile

commodity prices

Limited exposure

to environmental

risks

No exposure to

animal health

risks

No direct

exposure

to farmer

co-ops

Listing provides

greater liquidity

than syndicates

or direct

investments

Uncorrelated with

traditional assets

Easy and low cost

alternative use

Rural land assets

have much less

depreciating

improvements

Low

obsolescence risk

Food production

is an essential

service

Tenants with high

credit quality

and a history

of operational

excellence

By only owning rural land NZL has a number of advantages over traditional REITs:

1

NZL ADVANTAGES

Inflation hedged

asset class

17
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Land as an investment offers a low risk profile for investors, generates consistent returns (non-cyclical) and NZL since listing has a demonstrated history of

outperforming the farm price index

*

.

For the last 26 years the value of rural land in New Zealand has grown consistently, with REINZ’s Rural Land Price Index increasing at a CAGR of +6.6% per

annum, this is before operating or lease income, currently NZL is receiving >5% cash leases on capital deployed for low risk assets, these are all subject to

uncapped inflation adjusted leases and are triple net leases; meaning the responsibility for maintenance rests with the tenants.

The capital growth of rural land in New Zealand offers a significant tax advantage over other jurisdictions as capital gains are not taxed in New Zealand.

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

Mar-96

Jan-97

Nov-97

Sep-98

Jul-99

May-00

Mar-01

Jan-02

Nov-02

Sep-03

Jul-04

May-05

Mar-06

Jan-07

Nov-07

Sep-08

Jul-09

May-10

Mar-11

Jan-12

Nov-12

Sep-13

Jul-14

May-15

Mar-16

Jan-17

Nov-17

Sep-18

Jul-19

May-20

Mar-21

Farm Price Index

Return Advantage

Long Term New Zealand Farm Price Returns - Land Only

CAGR +6.6% p.a.

**

**REINZ Farm Price Index (excluding forestry and lifestyle blocks)

1

NZL ADVANTAGES

*REINZ Farm Price Index (excluding forestry and lifestyle blocks)

1.250

1.360

1.652

1.533

$1.0 0

$1.10

$1.20

$1.3 0

$1.4 0

$1.50

$1.60

$1.70

IPO as at 21 Dec 202031-Dec-2131-Dec-2230/06/2023 (Unaudited)

Net Asset Value Per Share

NAV Performance Since Listing

CAGR +8.5%

***

***This NAV growth has been achieved alongside an expansion of capital base from 60,600,000 shares on issue at IPO to 139,906,000 on issue as at 30 June 2023. Calculation assumes full participation in rights issues.

18
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

SECTION 2

NZL PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW

*6 month period to 30 June 2023.

19
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Portfolio Overview

1

WALT is weighted by lease value.

2

One of our tenants leases farms in both Canterbury and North Otago.

Region

OtagoCanterburySouthlandManawatu - WhanganuiTotal

Land Area (ha)

3,9916,3331,3863,13714,847

Rural Asset Class

Pastoral FarmsPastoral FarmsPastoral FarmsForestry

Pastoral Farms &

Forestry

Current Use

Dairy & SupportDairy & SupportDairy & Support Forestry & Carbon

Dairy, Support, Forestry

& Carbon

WALT (years)

1

7. 88.88.318.911.6

# Tenants

23318

2

Occupancy

100%100%100%100%100%

2

PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW

21.0%

46.4%

32.5%

Rural Sub-Sector Breakdown

20
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Tenant Concentration, Lease Profile & Lease Overview

Tenant Concentration as % of Lease Value

NZL expects tenant diversification to increase as it continues to grow its asset base.

NZL’s Weighted Average Lease Term (WALT) is currently 11.6 years* (100% occupancy).

NZL’s pastoral farm leases all have three, six and nine year uncapped CPI increases with tenant rights of renewal in years 10 or 11.

NZL’s forestry leases all have annual uncapped CPI increases.

All leases are triple net leases, tenants are responsible for all repair and maintenance costs.

Lease Expiry Profile by Value

* As at 24 August 2023

2

PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

FY22FY24FY26FY28FY30FY32FY34FY36FY38FY40FY42

$m

Tenancy 1Tenancy 2Tenancy 3Tenancy 4Tenancy 5Tenancy 6Tenancy 7Tenancy 8

6%

22%

7%

3%

19%

10%

3%

30%

Tenancy 1Tenancy 2Tenancy 3Tenancy 4Tenancy 5Tenancy 6Tenancy 7Tenancy 8

21
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

SECTION 3

NZL FINANCIALS FOR PERIOD ENDING

30 JUNE 2023

22
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Financial Highlights

Total Returns

Net asset value per share has grown from $1.25 at IPO

*

to $1.534


(at 30 June 2023), a total return CAGR of

+14.6% including dividends and a total return of +40.7%

**

.

* 21 December 2020

Significant Discount to NAV

Increasing AFFO/Share Guidance

A share price of $0.85 (24 August 2023), representing

a -44.6% discount to NAV, offers a compelling entry

point for a quality, defensive asset, with a strong rental

income growth outlook.

Strong uplift in AFFO guidance driven by forestry

acquisition. FY23 AFFO per share post forestry

acquisition is forecast to be 4.2 - 4.6 cps, FY24

AFFO per share is forecast to be 5.7 - 6.0 cps. This

represents an AFFO mid point CAGR of +31.4% from

FY22 - FY24.

Share Buy-Back Ongoing

NZL’s share buy-back continues. The Board considers

NZL to still be materially undervalued, and thus

continues to purchase shares on market. To date NZL

has repurchased 306,327 shares and intends to make

further repurchases at current levels as cash flow

permits.

3

FINANCIALS

23
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO)

1.96cps

AFFO

2.12cps

FFO

NZ$00030 June 2023

*

30 June 2022

**

Variance%

Net Profit After Tax2,49236,512(34,020)(93.1%)

Adjusted for:

Unrealised Net Gain on Investment Properties-(35,342)(35,342)-

Performance Fee Payable in Shares-4,115(4,115)-

Unrealised Net Gain on Derivatives260(960)+1,220+127.1%

Deferred Tax Expense / (Benefit)97(919)+1,016+110.6%

Amortisation of Rent Free Incentives8859+29+49.2%

Amortisation of Lease Fee2531(6)(19.4%)

Funds from Operations (FFO)2,9623,496(534)(15.2%)

FFO per Share2.123.10(0.98)(31.2%)

Adjusted Funds from Operations

Incentives and Leasing Costs109(1,110)+1,219(109.8%)

Future Maintenance Capital Expenditure(332)(178)+154+86.5%

Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO)2,7392,208+35124.0%

AFFO per share (cents)1.961.96--

3

FINANCIALS

AFFO is a proxy for free cash flow commonly used by REITs. AFFO is intended to provide investors with a clearer picture of the company’s free cash flow.

*6 month period to 30 June 2023.

**6 moth period to 30 June 2022.

Note: REIT - Real Estate Investment Trust, AFFO - Adjusted Funds From Operations, FFO - Funds From Operations

FY23 AFFO/share is forecast to be between 4.2 cps and 4.6 cps while FY24 AFFO per share is forecast to be between 5.7 cps and 6.0 cps.

24
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Profit & Loss Statement

NZ$000

30 June 2023

*

30 June 2022

**

Variance%

Gross Rental Income

Rental Income

6,8514,717+2,134+45.2%

Net Rental Income

6,8514,717+2,134+45.2%

Less Overhead Costs

Directors Fees

(114)(114)0-

Insurance

(41)(40)+1+2.5%

Management Fees

(503)(331)+172+52.0%

Repairs and Maintenance

(82)-+82-

Professional, Consulting and Listing Fees

(292)(187)(105)+56.2%

Performance Fee

-(4,115)(4,115)-

Total Overhead Costs

(1,032)(4,787)(3,755)(78.4%)

Profit / (Loss) Before Net Finance Income, Other

Income and Income Tax

5,819(70)+5,889+8,412.9%

Finance Income9261,842(916)(49.7%)

Finance Expense(4,156)(1,521)+2,635+173.3%

Net Finance Income(3,230)321(3,551)(1,106.3%)

Profit /(Loss) Before Other Income and Income Tax2,589251+2,338+931.5%

Other Income

Change in Fair Value of Investment Property-35,342(35,342)-

Profit / (Loss) Before Tax2,58935,593(33,004)(92.7%)

Income Tax Expense(97)919(966)(105.1%)

Profit / (Loss) and Total Comprehensive Income for the

Period

2,49236,512(34,020)(93.2%)

Earnings per Share (EPS) (cents)1.9237.27(35.45)(94.85%)

$2.49m

NPAT

1.92cps

EPS

+45.2%

Increase in Rental Income

*6 month period to 30 June 2023.

**6 month period to 30 June 2022.

3

FINANCIALS

25
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Balance Sheet

NZ$00030 June 202331 December 2022Variance%

Current Assets

Cash and Cash Equivalents2291,942(1,713)(88.2%)

Other Current Assets499282+217+77.0%

Total Current Assets7282,224(1,496)(67.3%)

Non-Current Assets

Investment Property275,597267,360+8,237+3.08%

Investment in forestry estate63,367-+63,367-

Deposit for Forestry Estate Acquisition-6,294(6,294)-

Loan receivable19,73319,144+589+3.08%

Derivative Assets2,3182,506(188)(7.5%)

Other Non-Current Assets9431,292(349)(27.0%)

Total Non-Current Assets361,919296,596+65,323+22.0%

Total Assets362,647298,820+63,827+21.4%

Current Liabilities

Trade and Other Payables2,214594+1,620+272.7%

Income in Advance292-+292-

Borrowings29,5001,968+27,532+1,399.0%

Convertible Note1,244-+1244-

Other Current Liabilities169319(150)(47.0%)

Total Current Liabilities33,4192,881+30,528+1060.0%

Non-Current Liabilities

Borrowings104,000105,000(1,000)(0.95%)

Convertible Note10,716-+10,716-

Total Non-Current Liabilities114,716105,000+9,716+9.25%

Total Liabilities148,135107,881+40,254+37.3%

Net Assets214,512190,939+23,573+12.4%

Total Equity214,512190,939+23,605+12.4%

NAV per Share1.534

*

1.652

**

(0.12)(7.4%)

$214.5m

Total Equity

$362.7m

Total Assets

*Shares on issue as at 30 June 2023 - 139,906,327

**Shares on issue as at 31 December 2022 - 115,601,570

+12.4%

Increase in NAV

3

FINANCIALS

26
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Debt Summary

2.1 Years

*

Weighted Average Term

to Expiry

6.42%

*

Weighted Average

Interest Cost

Key Metrics30 June 202331 December 2022

Debt Drawn ($m)133.5107.0

Debt to Total Assets37.1%36.1%

Interest Coverage Ratio1.8x2.4x

Weighted Average Term to Expiry (Years)2.02.4

Weighted Average Debt Cost6.42%5.6%

% of Debt Hedged53%39%

Total Debt Facilities Available ($m)133.5107.0

NZL Debt Facility Expiry Profile as at 30 June 2023

* As at 30 June 2023

** Gearing is calculated as: bank debt / total tangible assets

37.1%

**

Gearing

**

Key Banking Partner

NZL has hedging arrangements in place for 53% of its total borrowings costing, on average, 5.33%. The remaining debt is floating and the cost of the

floating debt component is 7.63%. Accordingly, NZL’s weighted average cost of debt is currently 6.42%.

34%

22%22%

22%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

FY23FY24FY25FY26FY27

Tranche ATranche B

Tranche C

Gr een Loan

3

FINANCIALS

27
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Total Returns

Dividends per Share Since Listing

NZL delivered $2.56m in AFFO in the six months to June 2023, +15.9% from the six months to June 2022 ($2.21m). NZL remains on track to meet its full

year AFFO guidance as it will capture the first full six months of lease income from its forestry estate over the second half of the year.

FY23 AFFO/share is forecast to be between 4.2 cps and 4.6 cps while FY24 AFFO per share is forecast to be between 5.7 cps and 6.0 cps.


AFFO / Share CAGR from listing to the end of FY24 is forecast to be +31.4%.

** Adjusted to reflect the change in balance date from 30 June 2022 to 31 December 2022.

*** Declared dividend for 6 months ending 31 December 2022.

****CAGR calculation is from FY22 - FY24 and includes forecasts, as such actual results may differ.

0.80

3.95

6.25

8.25

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

FY21 AFFO

Actual

FY22 AFFO

Actual

FY23 AFFO

Guidance - Midpoint

FY24 AFFO

Guidance - Midpoint

AFFO/share (cents)

AFFO $m

AFFOAFFO/Share

AFFO & AFFO/Share

+31.4%

AFFO/Share CAGR

****

2.01

1.6

2.03***

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

31-Dec-21FY 22**FY 23 - D ivi de nd

Suspended (Curren tly)

cps

3

FINANCIALS

28
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

SECTION 4

NZL OPERATIONAL UPDATE &

OUTLOOK

29
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

INTRODUCTION

Summary of FY23 To Date

On 14 April 2023, NZL announced the settlement of a forestry

estate acquisition which comprises five individual properties with

a total area of approximately 2,400 hectares. The total acquisition

cost was ~$63m. The estate is leased to New Zealand Forest

Leasing (NZFL) for a 20 year period with the first year’s lease

payment being ~$5m.

NZL funded the purchase with $25.2m of borrowings from

Rabobank. These borrowings were in the form of a green loan

established within a green financing framework managed and

reported on in line with Asia Pacific Loan Market Association’s

Green Loan Principles.

The equity component of the purchase was funded from the

proceeds of NZL’s pro-rata rights issue and a $12m convertible note

issued to an entity associated with NZFL. The note is unsecured

and pays an 8% p.a. coupon. NZL can redeem any part of the note

at any time without penalty.

On 28 April 2023, NZL announced the settlement of a

supplementary forestry acquisition for a purchase cost of

approximately $8m. NZL acquired 100% of the forest which has a

total area of 737ha. The forest is leased to NZFL for a period of 16

years. The purchase was funded through a combination of debt

from capacity in the previously established green loan facility and

equity remaining from the pro-rata rights issue.

4

OPERATIONAL UPDATE

On 26 May 2023 NZL announced an upgrade of FY24 earnings

guidance, suspension of the FY23 interim dividend and an on-

market share buyback.

NZL announced an upgrade to its forecast FY24 AFFO on 26

May 2023. This was due to the accretive nature of NZL’s forestry

acquisitions, FY24 is the the first full financial year in which the

forests will be owned by NZL. NZL’s FY24 AFFO forecast is

unchanged at $8.0m - $8.5m.*

The NZL Board considers that the current market price of NZL

shares materially undervalues both the assets and the free

cashflow profile of the business making shares purchased at this

level attractive and accretive on an asset and free cashflow basis

for shareholders.

In the Directors’ opinion, buying back shares was more attractive

for shareholders than paying dividends and the Board resolved to

suspend NZL’s dividend policy for the current six-month period.

NZL will use available cash flow to:

• continue to acquire NZL shares through an on-market share

buyback programme; and

• repay the convertible note recently issued to acquire the

forestry assets.

AcquisitionsCorporate Actions

*Assumes 100% of forest owned

30
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Outlook

NZL’s leases incorporate regular, uncapped, CPI reviews. Accordingly, high inflation will result in rental growth. Furthermore, NZL is insulated from inflation-

impacted (and all other operational) on-farm costs by owning only the land.

As announced to the market on 26 May 2023, post the forestry acquisition in April 2023, NZL’s AFFO for FY23 (1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023) is

forecast to be between $6.0m and $6.5m with FY24 AFFO forecast to be between $8.0m and $8.5m

**

. These forecasts remain unchanged.

FY23 AFFO per share post forestry acquisition is forecast to be between 4.2 cps and 4.6 cps while FY24 AFFO per share is forecast to be between 5.7 cps

and 6.0 cps.

From 1 July 2024, NZL will start to see the positive impact of inflation with approximately 55% of the portfolio (by lease income) due for CPI rental review.

CPI accumulated since the leases began (1 June 2021) totals +12.6% to 31 December 2022 and is forecast to be approximately +22.3% for the three years

to 30 June 2024.

NZL has hedging arrangements in place for 53% of its total borrowings costing, on average, 5.33%*. The remaining debt is floating and the cost of the

floating debt component is 7.63%. NZL’s weighted average cost of debt is 6.42%.

NZL’s investment properties are valued annually. The most recent valuation was in December 2022 and the next valuation occurs in December 2023. The

rural land market in the last 6 months remains resilient considering market conditions. The REINZ All Farm Price Index has declined a largely immaterial

-2.39% in the 6 month period from December 2022.

4

OUTLOOK

*as at 30 June 2023

**AFFO forecasts assume that NZL acquires 100% of the forest estate.

31
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Updates from the Timber, Carbon & Dairy Markets

In April 2023, NZL acquired a 2,400ha forestry estate in Manawatu-Whanganui and, in the same month added a further 737 ha in the same region. Both

estates are leased long term to New Zealand Forest Leasing (NZFL).

The Carbon market / Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) market has seen significant volatility with the current carbon/NZU price at approximately $65*. The

volatility was largely attributed to increased uncertainty. The government’s decision in December 2022 to decline the Climate Change Commission’s (CCC)

price control recommendations for 2023-2027 played a crucial role in driving down prices from nearly $90 to below $35. The CCC’s advice was rejected due to

concerns carbon price increases would exacerbate inflation. It is worth reiterating that NZL is sheltered from price swings in NZU’s as NZL only owns the

land, not the derived carbon or timber revenues, and has an experienced, well capitalised tenant in NZFL.

Recently, the price of NZU’s have increased to ~$65 after the climate change minister James Shaw offered some market certainty and announced the

government would adopt the Climate Change Commissions advice.

Due to an ongoing review of the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) there is further short-term market uncertainty. The consultation has been triggered by

concern around the possibility that the current settings of the ETS do not provide adequate incentives for businesses to reduce their emissions directly,

instead promoting reliance on carbon offsets through forest planting (consultation closed 11 August 2023). The government is inviting submissions on four

potential amendments to the current frame work. We believe our properties in the forestry sector are supported by long term tailwinds in the carbon price

and timber sectors alongside a well established market participant in NZFL.

Fonterra’s FY23 mid point milk price is currently $6.75 kg/ms, which is lower than some farmer’s cost of production. NZL and NZRLM are offering support

to tenants with access to advice and operational support experts. All leases continue to be current and we continue to monitor and offer assistance where

useful.

UPDATE

4

Timber & Carbon

Dairy Market

*As at 24 August 2023.

32
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Sector:Description:Time frame:

NZ’s environment provides for a wide variety of forestry and tree based

carbon sequestration due to its natural advantages in soil, climate and

rainfall.

First transaction

completed.

NZ’s environment suits dairy farming and has a lower cost of production,

in an environment of growing demand.

Existing

ownership

A growing demand supported by supportive government policies and

decreasing costs of renewable energy construction provides attractive

alternative land use.

Near-term

horizon

Eggs are highly nutritious and relatively low cost food which New

Zealand has a competitive advantage in producing, due to its suitability

for free range and local production of feed, both of which have lower

carbon footprints than more intensive operations.

Near-term

horizon

New Zealand’s maritime climate, fertile soils and elongated geography

allow for regional wine variations including Pinot Noir and Sauvignon

Blanc. We believe forecast macro trends will provide for more favourable

future acquisition pricing in the sector.

Medium-term

horizon

New Zealand’s climate and soil allows for the production of a range of

high quality produce with Kiwifruit the largest crop. NZL considers that

the sector is largely fully priced but continues to monitor opportunities

as they arise.

Medium-term

horizon

Creating a Diversified Rural Land Portfolio Over Time

Portfolio Construction:

NZL’s initial focus has been on

acquiring New Zealand pastoral

properties.

Intention is to expand focus

to other New Zealand primary

sectors, particularly as investment

opportunities arise in horticulture,

viticulture and forestry as well as

sheep and beef.

Subsector focus as at September

2023 is as follows:

Target Rural Land Asset Classes:

GREENENERGY

D

AIRY

POUL

TRY

VITICUL

TURE

HORTICUL

TURE

FORESTRY

KEY

CURRENTLY

MOST

DESIRABLE

CURRENTLY

LEAST

DESIRABLE

As NZL grows it will continue

to diversify its portfolio and tenants while

delivering attractive

risk-adjusted returns.

OUTLOOK

4

33
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Summary

NZL provides investors with exposure to:

Favourable Industry

Dynamics

A Proven Value Add

Acquirer of Land

Attractive Total ReturnsHigh Quality Tenants

with Attractive WALT

A Significant Growth

Opportunity

Long term demand for key

commodities and food

vs declining availability

of productive land drives

land values. Productive

rural land is finite in supply

and its value is founded

on worldwide population

growth, growing food

demand, and yield-

boosting innovation

Increasing scarcity of

productive land globally is

mirrored in New Zealand.

New Zealand is one of the

world’s lowest-cost and

lowest-carbon emitting

producers of protein, fibre

and timber in the world.

Successfully acquired

more than 14,800 hectares

of pastoral farm land and

forestry since listing on 21

December 2020.

NAV per share increased

from $1.250 (21 December

2020) to $1.533 as at 30

June 2023. This represents

total increase in NAV of

+22.7%.

NAV growth has been

achieved alongside an

expansion to capital base

from 60.6m shares on

issue at IPO to ~139.9m

shares on issue as at 30

June 2023.

NAV has grown by +22.7%

since NZL’s IPO. NZL has

paid/declared a total of

5.64 cps in dividends since

listing with the most recently

declared dividend (2.03 cps)

+26.9% higher than that paid

for the six months ended 30

June 2022 (1.60 cps).

Farmland does not

typically experience the

same volatility that mark

economic changes. It usually

experiences peaks and

plateaus – appreciating

at an attractive rate when

times are positive but not

necessarily retreating when

conditions are tough, this

is driven by its increasing

scarcity.

All tenants have significant

operating experience,

robust balance sheets and

governance frameworks.

11.6 year WALT (by value).

NZL provides unique

investment exposure as it

is currently the only pure-

play listed exposure to

New Zealand rural land.

NZL provides inflation

hedging and stable income

via CPI-linked leases

(uncapped).

NZL’s strategy is to

continue to grow its

portfolio, both in dairy

and other attractive

agricultural opportunities,

to ultimately provide scale

and diversified exposure to

high quality New Zealand

rural land.

NEW ZEALAND

Rural Land Co

4

SUMMARY

34
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

APPENDIX 1

NZL COMPANY STRUCTURE & OWNERSHIP

35
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Company Structure & Board

Listed

ROB CAMPBELL

Independent

Chair

SARAH

KENNEDY

Independent

Director

CHRISTOPHER

SWASBROOK

Non-Independent

Director

TIA

GREENAWAY

Independent

Director

Chancellor - AUT

Chair - Ara Ake

Director - Comvita NZ


CEO - Calocurb Limited

CEO - Designer Textiles International*

Vice President International Farming - Fonterra*

CEO & Director - Vitaco Health Limited*

CEO - Healtheries of New Zealand Ltd*

Ngāti Tūwharetoa and Waikato-Tainui


Leads the Rautaki Māori team for He Pou a

Rangi - Climate Change Commission


Various roles on Iwi and Ahu Whenua

Trusts and Committees


Bachelor of Music


Masters in Professional Accounting


Chartered Accountants ANZ

* Denotes previously held role

Managing Director – Elevation Capital

Management

Board Member – Financial Markets

Authority


Director – NZX listed Allied Farmers,

Bethunes Investment Limited, Ruapehu

Alpine Lifts Limited and Swimtastic Limited

Partner - Goldman Sachs JBWere Pty*

Co-Head of Institutional Equities at

Goldman Sachs JBWere*

Accountant

Auditor

Registry

NEW ZEALAND

RURAL LAND

MANAGEMENT

Rural Land Co

New Zealand

The Rural Land Investors

1

APPENDIX

Listed

36
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Key People

ROB CAMPBELL

Independent Chair

Chancellor - AUT

Chair - Ara Ake

CHRISTOPHER SWASBROOK

Non-Independent Director

Managing Director – Elevation Capital Mgmt Limited

Board Member – Financial Markets Authority (FMA)

Member - NZX Lisiting Sub Committee

Director – Bethunes Investments Limited, McCashin’s

Brewery Limited, Ruapehu Alpine Lifts Limited,

Swasbrook Securities Limited and Swimtastic Limited

Previously a Partner of Goldman Sachs JBWere Pty

Limited & Co-Head of Institutional Equities at Goldman

Sachs JBWere (NZ) Limited

SARAH KENNEDY

Independent Director

CEO - Calocurb Limited

Previously CEO - Designer Textiles

International

Previously Vice President International

Farming - Fonterra

Previously CEO / Member of the Board

of Directors - Vitaco Health Limited

Previously CEO - Healtheries of New

Zealand Ltd

TIA GREENAWAY

Independent Director

Hailing from Ngāti Tūwharetoa and

Waikato-Tainui

CFO - Tupu Angitu

Various roles on Iwi and Ahu Whenua

Trusts and Committees

SHELLEY RUHA

Director

Director - Heartland Bank

Director - Allied Farmers

Director - Icehouse

Director - 9 Spokes

Previously - BNZ Senior Management Team and leader of BNZ

Partners

RICHARD MILSOM

Executive Director & Founder

Consultant - Elevation Capital Management Limited

Managing Director - Allied Farmers

CEO – Bellevue Enterprises Limited – Bovine & Porcine Genetic

Improvement & Sustainable Pork Production Company

Director - W2 Dairies

INFINZ Emerging Leader 2017

HAYDEN DILLON

Founder & Consultant

Managing Partner Findex (Waikato) & Head of Agribusiness New

Zealand for Findex.

Independent Director - Williams Holdings Limited

Independent Director - Aquila Sustainable Farms Limited and

associated Limited Partner Farms.

Independent Director Rowing New Zealand.

Trustee - South Waikato Investment Fund

Chairman - Bioceta Limited

Previously - Senior Partner Bank Of New Zealand – Waikato

Previously - Corporate Relationship Manager Food Fibre &

Beverage National Australia Bank - Melbourne

Fellow FINSIA

RURAL PROPERTY MANAGERS

Rural Property Managers

RURAL VALUERS

Independent Consultants

XAVIER LYNCH

General Manager - Corporate

Executive, Corporate Finance - Bancorp Merchant Bankers

Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance - Deloitte New Zealand

Analyst - Todd Property Group

Investment Analyst - Crown Irrigation Investments Limited

CHRISTOPHER SWASBROOK

Founder & Consultant

See above.

AGRICULTURAL ENVIRONMENTAL SPECIALISTS

Independent Consultants

FARM CONSULTANTS

Independent Consultants

New Zealand Rural Land Co

The Rural Land Investors

New Zealand Rural Land Management

1

APPENDIX

37
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Foreign Ownership Rules & Levels

New Zealand Buyer

NZL is highly advantaged

because it is a

New Zealand buyer

of rural land.

Current Listed Company

Foreign Ownership Rules

Under the Overseas Investment

Amendment Act 2021, NZL can have

foreign domiciled shareholders of up

to 49.9% of its share register (subject

to certain share parcel restrictions).

Private companies in NZ are limited to

less than 25%.

Current NZL Foreign

Ownership

As at 30 June 2023, NZL had

foreign domiciled shareholders

amounting to ~21.89% of its

share register.

1

APPENDIX

38
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

APPENDIX 2

KEY RISKS

39
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Key Risks

KEY RISKS

Land Value RiskNZL will realise its strategy for capital growth in the value of rural land that it acquires only if NZL acquires rural land at a purchase price that is less

than the rural land’s future value. This requires NZL to predict future value when acquiring rural land, which involves inherent uncertainty. Acquiring

unproductive land and other external factors may reduce land value below the price that NZL paid to acquire that land.

NZL’s rural land is currently concentrated in the dairy sector and until there is greater diversification in its rural land holdings, the value of NZL’s

land is susceptible to value decreases if there is a sustained downturn in the dairy sector. The acquisition of the forestry estate will help to mitigate

this risk by diversifying NZL's rural land holdings into the forestry sector. NZL’s rural land assets are also each of a relatively large scale making the

number of potential buyers more limited. Therefore, any realisation of NZL’s rural land assets may take longer to realise for an appropriate sale price.

Tenant Risk (financial)NZL’s income is rental payments received from Tenants who lease NZL’s rural land. Tenants are exposed to the financial risks associated with

operations on the land (for example, commodity price fluctuations, increases in operating costs, health risks to stock). If Tenants do not manage

those risks or lack the financial capacity to absorb those risks Tenants may default on lease payments to NZL. If NZL is required to replace a Tenant,

NZL may have a period where it is receiving no or reduced income from the rural land that it owns while a replacement is appointed. This could

impact on NZL’s ability to pay dividends. Accordingly, NZL investors are indirectly exposed to operational farming risks given that those risks can

cause Tenants to become insolvent and reduce NZL’s income.

NZL currently has seven Tenants leasing its rural land holdings and will bring on one additional tenant as part of the acquisition of the forestry estate

(whose financial position is dependent on the forestry and carbon industries, not dairy). Diversifying this Tenant base over time is a key mitigant for

NZL to ensure it is not overly exposed to the financial position of any one Tenant.

Tenant Risk

(operational)

Operational practices of Tenants on NZL’s rural land could damage the rural land and decrease its value. For example, poor environmental or

unsustainable farming practices could reduce production on the rural land and lead to regulatory actions.

As with the Tenant risk (financial), NZL’s tenant selection criteria becomes a key mitigant where, in addition to selecting Tenant’s that are financially

sound, Tenant’s need to demonstrate a high degree of operational experience and a history of using best farming/agricultural practices.

2

APPENDIX

40
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Key Risks (continued)

KEY RISKS

Financing RiskTo grow and diversify its rural land holdings, NZL needs to access capital to fund acquisitions. Capital is sourced from a combination of bank debt

and proceeds from equity issuances.

NZL’s ability to raise capital from equity issuances will be subject to its financial performance, investor sentiment and prevailing market conditions.

These factors cannot be assured.

For bank debt, NZL has a medium-term target of maintaining a loan to value ratio (LVR) of 30% and, a bank covenant requiring the LVR to be no

more than 40%. The LVR of NZL is currently 37.7% as at 30 June 2023. Borrowing to an LVR at the higher end of this range has enabled NZL to act

on acquisition opportunities as they arose and grow its rural land holdings more rapidly. However, this has also reduced the headroom that NZL has

with its bank covenant which could be a material risk if rural land values decreased. In addition, this exposes NZL more to interest rate increases.

Capital Expenditure

Risk

There could be unbudgeted capital expenditure on rural land that NZL acquires reducing the expected return from that land for NZL. Such

unbudgeted capital expenditure, or capital expenditure cost overruns may occur if repairs and maintenance are not being properly undertaken,

which will generally be the responsibility of the Tenant. Changes in environmental laws or environmental law non-compliance could give rise to

unforeseen capital expenditure necessary for compliance or remediation.

COVID-19 Pandemic

Risks

COVID-19 has and continues to cause significant supply chain disruptions for both domestic and international markets. To date, global supply

chains have prioritised the delivery of food products, minimising disruption to the New Zealand dairy sector. However, supply chain disruptions are

continuing and if they do start impacting more on food products, this could increase spoilage of dairy products, cause increases in operating costs

and a reduction in profitability for Tenants.

Extreme Weather

Events

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency/severity of extreme weather events. Extreme weather can cause long-term damage to NZL's

assets this damage may include slips, flooding or windthrow while the infrastructure necessary for tenants to conduct their operations may be also

be damaged or destroyed. Extreme weather events may also cause significant supply chain disruptions for both domestic and international markets.

Supply chain distruptions could increase spoilage of dairy products, cause increases in operating costs and a reduction in profitability for Tenants.

Forestry Industry

Regulation

New Zealand's Emissions Trading Scheme is relatively mature in a global context. However, legislation is changed frequently as the country works

towards national emissions budgets. There is therefore a risk that the government makes changes to the Emissions Trading Scheme and its

associated legislation that negatively impacts the returns to the tenant of the forestry estate or NZL as owner of the forestry estate.

2

APPENDIX

41
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

APPENDIX 3

INDEX INCLUSIONS, BROKER RESEARCH

COVERAGE & INVESTOR CONTACTS

42
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Index Inclusions and Broker Research Coverage

FTSE Global Micro Cap IndexS&P / NZX All Real Estate Index

Broker Research Coverage

Kieran Carling

kieran.carling@craigsip.com

Nicholas Hill

nicholas.hill@craigsip.com

Arie Dekker

arie.dekker@jarden.co.nz

Vishhal Bhula

vishal.bhula@jarden.co.nz

Index Inclusions

3

APPENDIX

MSCI World Micro Cap Index

S&P / NZX Micro Cap Index

43
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

Investor Contacts

Christopher Swasbrook

chris@nzrlc.co.nz

+64 21 928 262

Level 4, The Blade

12 St Marks Road

Remuera

Auckland 1050

New Zealand

Richard Milsom

richard@nzrlm.co.nz

+64 21 274 2476

Level 1

85 Fort Street

Auckland Central

Auckland 1010

New Zealand

3

APPENDIX

44
NEW ZEALAND RURAL LAND COMPANY

v

New Zealand Rural Land Company

Level 1, 85 Fort Street

Auckland Central

Auckland 1010

New Zealand

+64 9 217 2905

info@nzrlc.co.nz

www.nzrlc.co.nz

nzrlc

nzrlc

listed on:

Rural Land Co

New Zealand

The Rural Land Investors

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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