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KFL – September 2023 monthly update

Operational Update14 September 2023KFLFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

In August, Kingfish’s gross performance return was down 3.6% and

the adjusted NAV return was also down 3.6%. This compares to the

benchmark S&P/NZX50G, which was down 4.2%.

New Zealand shares were down during August with only eight

companies in the benchmark index in positive territory. Four of those

are Kingfish holdings.

In line with usual practice, in the second half of the month of August

many New Zealand companies reported their financial results for the

period to the end of June, while some others provided updates at their

annual meetings. Although expectations heading into this ‘reporting

season’ were relatively subdued, on balance the outlook for most

companies is proving more challenging than anticipated in the near-

term.

a2 Milk (-9%) delivered its full year result in line with expectations. The

company has continued to be a clear leader in the China infant formula

category, taking market share in its key sales channels and improving

brand awareness to new highs. For instance, it's "top of mind" brand

awareness is now 9% (from 7% one year ago and 4% two years

ago) versus its market share of around 5% and increasing. However,

the market it operates will again contract in the year ahead, with 9.6

million births in 2022 versus 14.6 million in 2019 and even fewer

likely in 2023. This is a greater decline than expected. While we knew

the population of women at childbearing age is reducing, they are

now also having notably fewer children than historically (for example,

if the fertility rate was the same as in 2019, the 9.6 million births in

2022 would be more like 13 million). In part this is a result of China's

COVID-19 policies, which dissuaded women from becoming pregnant

during the pandemic. But younger people also appear not to be having

babies for several other reasons as well. So, despite strong execution,

the company's prospects are being blunted, with babies typically

consumers of formula for multiple years, which means the weaker

market landscape is likely to persist for some time. Notwithstanding this,

the company still expects modest growth in the coming year as a result

of ongoing market share gains. We have reduced Kingfish’s position in

a2 Milk.

Auckland Airport (-7%) reported its full year result, which was

modestly ahead of expectations. The forward guidance provided

was below expectations due to higher costs (operations, interest, and

depreciation). Auckland Council sold part of its stake in Auckland

Airport after the share market closed on 31 August through an offer

targeted at institutional investors. The widely anticipated sale was

priced at a premium to the prevailing share price and Kingfish elected

not to participate at that level.

Contact Energy (+0.7%) delivered a solid full year result and provided

guidance for the new year ahead of expectations. Part of the uplift is

coming from retail and commercial customer pricing, where Contact

Energy has been repricing customers towards higher competitor levels.

The company will see its newly built Tauhara geothermal plant begin

to contribute to earnings from around December, replacing more

expensive gas generation. The company expects a new long term

supply agreement may be reached with the Tiwai Point aluminium

smelter in coming months. This would likely further increase earnings

given the low prevailing contracted price agreed in early 2021. A

satisfactory outcome could result in an increase to its dividend from the

current level. Kingfish had increased its position ahead of the result.

Wine maker Delegat (-10%) delivered its annual result of $59.3 million

underlying net profit, with 2% growth on the prior year less than

initially expected. Guidance for the new year is $62-67 million, which

was broadly in line with our expectation and represents a healthier

5-13% growth rate. The company will continue to target selective price

increases (3% on average during the year) to bolster operating profit

margins which have contracted in recent years due to cost pressures.

Its key Oyster Bay brand remains healthy, with volumes growing

meaningfully ahead of the US premium wine segment, and not just

in Sauvignon Blanc but other varietals too (including Pinot Grigio,

Chardonnay, and Pinot Noir).

EBOS (-2%) delivered a result broadly in line with expectations and

expects another year of profitable growth. Management is confident

that through a combination of ongoing market share gains, cost out

initiatives across the group, and selective acquisition opportunities

it can limit the earnings impact from losing the contract to distribute

medicines for Chemist Warehouse in Australia from mid-2024. It

continues to deliver consistent performance across its other business

units. The Animal Care business is benefitting from its inhouse

manufacturing facility, which drove increased margin over the year

and is expected to facilitate increasing new product development over

coming years, supporting ongoing revenue growth.

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare (-8%) held its annual meeting and reiterated

full year revenue guidance. Its sleep apnoea mask business is tracking

slightly stronger than expectations, while hospital respiratory support

is slightly weaker (primarily in the sales of new hardware rather than

recurring consumables sales).

Freightways (+2%) delivered its full year result. Trading conditions

in its core New Zealand courier business remained challenging on

account of reduced economic activity. Volumes in the six months to June

averaged around 2% lower than the corresponding period in 2022.

However, underlying volumes in the economy have been weaker,

more like 5-6% down, particularly for customers it considers are in the

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

September 2023

KFL NAV

$

1.35

$

1.31

Share Price

DISCOUNT

1

2.0

%

as at 31 August 2023

Warrant Price

$

0.0 5

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 31 August 2023

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand

companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

15-25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day

Bank Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.45

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

332m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$435m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 August 2023

4

%

31

%

8

%

MATERIALS

HEALTH CARE

6

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES


UTILITIES

CASH

1

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

3

%

retail sector. The company has been taking market share as a result

of its superior service levels versus competitors, which has insulated

the volume decline. Performance in Australia has been more robust,

with its Allied Express large item delivery acquisition outperforming

expectations. The company is continuing to increase prices to offset cost

pressures, particularly in areas where pricing has been low in relation

to the effort required (such as cross-Auckland deliveries and for bulky

items, having already lifted pricing for residential deliveries).

Infratil (+1%) provided a brief but positive update at its annual

meeting indicating trading conditions are generally solid for portfolio

companies, running at the top end of guidance issued in May.

Summerset (-0.5%) delivered a better-than-expected first half result.

This included all time high development margins of 34%, comfortably

above management targets of 20-25%. Despite the pressure on NZ

house prices since late 2021, Summerset has been able to maintain

or increase pricing. This reflects the company’s pricing lagging the

rapid run up in house prices in 2020 and 2021, plus the company’s

increased effort to optimise pricing per unit.

Cinema software provider Vista (-16%) delivered a result that was

slightly below expectations, as revenue growth was softer than

anticipated. In part this was because a meaningful contract for Vista's

studio insights product Movio Research was not renewed during the

period (due to customer merger and acquisition activity which resulted

in a duplication of subscriptions). Meanwhile revenues from its new

digital and cloud products are only gradually building as the first

customers will not contribute meaningfully until 2024. The company

maintained its full year revenue guidance.

Vulcan Steel (+2%) delivered its full year result towards the top end of

its revised guidance range but having reduced the range in July due

to slower market conditions in New Zealand steel distribution. The

company is still seeing those conditions persist, which it is attributing

to the combination of higher interest rates and uncertainty ahead of

the general election in October. It is not seeing the same softness in

Australia and the picture is more balanced in its other divisions in New

Zealand. Vulcan has made substantial progress on integrating the

Ullrich Aluminium acquisition, transferring it onto its ‘Anvil’ IT system

which will enable it to progressively uplift service and introduce a shift

towards its ‘Value in Use’ pricing methodology which will improve

profitability. The company continues to see a significant opportunity

to leverage a dual aluminium and steel product offering from the

combined branch footprint. It expects to roll out 9-10 of these ‘hybrid’

sites in the current financial year.

Matt Peek

Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

47

%

INDUSTRIALS

33
TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 August 2023

AUGUST'S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 10 stocks and cash.

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 August 2023

VISTA GROUP

- 16

%

DELEGAT GROUP

- 10

%

A2 MILK CO

-9

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

-8

%

AUCKLAND

INTERNATIONAL

AIRPORT

-7

%

INFRATIL

18

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

15

%

SUMMERSET

14

%

MAINFREIGHT

8

%

AUCKLAND

INTERNATIONAL

AIRPORT

8

%

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$9.00

$8.00

$7.00

$6.00

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Mar

2004

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Mar

2005

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2013

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2016

Mar

2017

Mar

2018

Mar

2020

Mar

2019

Mar

2021

Mar

2023

Mar

2022

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(1.8%)+0.2%(10.8%)(0.6%)+7.9%

Adjusted NAV Return(3.6%)(1.5%)(0.7%)(0.2%)+6.4%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return(3.6%)(1.2%)+0.3%+1.1%+8.6%

S&P/NZX50G Index(4.2%)(2.2%)(0.4%)(1.1%)+4.4%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money), at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Kingfish Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies.

PERFORMANCE to 31 August 2023

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or

completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial

adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund

performance can and will vary and that future results June have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT KINGFISH

Kingfish is an investment

company listed on the New

Zealand Stock Exchange. The

company gives shareholders

an opportunity to invest in a

diversified portfolio of between

15 and 25 quality growing New

Zealand companies through a

single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Kingfish

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth

and dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains and/or return

of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on 1

October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to New

Zealand tax resident shareholders have not been subject

to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place allowing it

(if it elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be utilised

for the dividend reinvestment plan

MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. Kingfish’s

portfolio is managed by Fisher

Funds Management Limited. Matt

Peek (Portfolio Manager) and

Michael Bacon and Zoie Regan

(Senior Investment Analysts) have

prime responsibility for managing

the Kingfish portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in the

quality New Zealand companies

that Kingfish targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.

BOARD

The Board of Kingfish

comprises independent

directors Andy Coupe

(Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy and Fiona

Oliver.

Warrants

»Kingfish announced an issue of warrants (KFLWH) on

20 June 2023

»Information pertaining to the warrants was mailed/

emailed to all shareholders on Tuesday 27 June 2023

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders in the ratio of one warrant for every four

Kingfish shares held, based on the record date of

5 July 2023

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on 6 July 2023

and listed on the NZX Main Board from 7 July 2023

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $1.37, adjusted

down for the aggregate amount per Share of any cash

dividends declared on the shares with a record date

during the period commencing on the date of allotment of

the warrants and ending on the last Business Day before

the final Exercise Price is announced by Kingfish

»The Exercise Date for the warrants is 26 July 2024

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.