Marlin Global Limited logo

MLN – September 2023 monthly update

Operational Update14 September 2023MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for August was down 1.2%,

while the adjusted NAV return was down 0.9%. This compared

with our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap

Index (50% hedged to NZD), which was down 1.0%.

In August, global equities were down 2.3%. Emerging Market

equities were down 6.1% (primarily China weakness). US equities

outperformed, down 1.6% while European equities were down

3.8%.

The primary driver of global share price weakness was the rise

in bond yields during the month. At one stage, the US 10-year

bond yield as a proxy for global interest rates had risen circa

0.4% (40bp) for the month and had pushed through the previous

highs from October last year. This was frustrating for investors

because US inflation peaked way back in October last year and

has since fallen by two thirds from 9% to 3%.

However, longer dated interest rates are not just a function of

inflation, they are also a function of growth. And the recession

the market had feared hasn’t materialised yet - the US recently

released June quarter GDP growth of 2.4%, stronger than

expected. While good news, the combination of the lagged

impact of the sharp central bank rate hike cycle over the last

12-18 months, plus the added stress of the recent move higher

in long-term borrowing rates has the potential to blunt the growth

recovery.

Portfolio News

Amazon (+8%) had better-than-expected 2Q23 earnings

in August. Amazon’s important cloud computing platform,

AWS

2

, showed signs of growth stabilising. Customers have

been optimising their cloud spend, which has been a growth

headwind. Amazon’s advertising business continues to grow

strongly (+22%) and gain digital advertising market share.

Amazon’s operating income grew 132%, above expectations.

The company is driving up the utilisation of its expanded supply

chain infrastructure. Guidance for next quarter’s operating

income was also well above expectations.

Icon (+8%) was up as sentiment continues to improve for the

wider clinical research industry. Despite fears earlier this year of

a prolonged slowdown in clinical research activity, fundamentals

continue to hold up. Biotech funding is expected to return to

growth this year, and leading clinical research organisations like

Icon continue to see growth in new bookings helped by market

share gains versus smaller competitors.

Mastercard (+9%) noted that consumer spending continues to

remain resilient during its second quarter earnings report. The

company beat revenue and earnings expectations in the quarter

and continues to execute well. Mastercard had strong growth

in Europe (+16%) on the back of winning large card portfolios

with large European banks. Cross-border volumes are growing

strongly (+24%) as consumers continue to spend towards travel

experiences.

Boston Scientific (+9%) reacted positively to the presentation

of positive results from a key clinical trial. The better-than-

expected outcomes from the Advent trial puts Boston Scientific

in a strong position to take market share in the $8 billion

atrial fibrillation medical device market, driving upside to the

company’s medium-term growth expectations.

PayPal (-14%) released disappointing second quarter results.

While payment volumes were robust, take rates, transaction

expenses and transaction margins were weaker than expected.

PayPal’s unbranded processing unit continues to make good

strides, growing 30% in the quarter and winning large new

customers such as Booking.com. Meanwhile, PayPal’s core

branded button growth has started to show early signs of growth

reacceleration. The company continues to take cost out of its

business and buyback shares aggressively.

Greggs (-8%) had a weaker month after reporting its results

for the first half. The company is executing well on its store

roll-out strategy, growing stores by 50 to 2,378 in the half. To

support the store roll-out ambitions Greggs is investing in supply

chain infrastructure. Given the investment needed the market is

concerned about future returns on capital. Greggs value price-

point continues to be market leading and Greggs continues to

take market share.

Floor & Décor (-9%) lowered guidance for the year at its second

quarter earnings report. As a result of higher mortgage rates,

existing home sales (a key driver of flooring demand) remain

weaker than management had expected. Though disappointing,

when comparing to other listed peers, Floor & Décor continues

to gain market share amidst a tricky macro environment.

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places)

2

Amazon Web Services

MONTHLY UPDATE

September 2023

$

0.95

Share Price

MLN NAVPREMIUM

1

$

0.95 0.5

%


as at 31 August 2023

Warrant Price

$

0.02

CONSUMER
DISCRETIONARY

2

KEY DETAILS

as at 31 August 2023

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.08

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

207m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$196m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

US discount retailers Dollar Tree (-17%) and Dollar General

(-14%) fell on disappointing earnings. Historically both

companies ran leanly staffed stores, which meant they could not

adequately respond to supply chain unpredictability. Additionally,

nationwide labour shortages have made it difficult to find staff to

keep stores operating at a high level. This is driving higher than

expected wage costs. Nonetheless, both companies are well

positioned in the current environment of elevated inflation as US

consumers continue to turn to discount / off-price retailers to

make their money go further.

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 August 2023

23

%

10

%

19

%


FINANCIALS

20

%

GEOGRAPHICAL SPLIT

as at 31 August 2023

7

%

WEST

EUROPE

79

%

NORTH

AMERICA

4

%


CASH &

DERIVATIVES

18

%

10

%


ASIA

4

%

CASH &

DERIVATIVES

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

Portfolio Changes

During the month we increased our weighting in Microsoft and

Edwards Lifesciences while reducing weighting in Floor & Décor

and Icon

.

HEALTH CARE

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

6

%


CONSUMER

STAPLES

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

3
AUGUST’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

(in local currency) during the month

MASTERCARD

+9

%

FLOOR & DÉCOR

-9

%

PAYPAL

-14

%

DOLLAR TREE

-14

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 August 2023

AMAZON

8

%

ALPHABET

7

%

META PLATFORMS

6

%

ICON

6

%

GARTNER

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 16 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 31 August 2023

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(2.3%)+6.9%(6.2%)+0.6%+9.5%

Adjusted NAV Return(0.9%)+5.2%+9.9%+3.3%+7.4%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (1.2%)+5.8%+12.2%+5.5%+10.3%

Benchmark Index^(1.0%)+7.5%+12.5%+9.8%+6.7%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies.

DOLLAR GENERAL

-17

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 August 2023

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Nov

2007

Nov

2011

Nov

2013

Nov

2014

Nov

2015

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2016

Nov

2020

Nov

2012

Nov

2022

Nov

2017

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be utilised

for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Marlin announced an issue of warrants (MLNWF)

on 18 October 2022

»Information pertaining to the warrants was

mailed/emailed to all shareholders on

25 October 2022

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders in the ratio of one warrant for every

four Marlin shares held based on the record date

of 2 November 2022

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on

3 November 2022 and listed on the NZX Main

Board from 4 November 2022

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $0.99,

adjusted down for the aggregate amount per

Share of any cash dividends declared on the

shares with a record date during the period

commencing on the date of allotment of the

warrants and ending on the last Business Day

before the final Exercise Price is announced by

Marlin

»The Exercise Date for the warrants is

10 November 2023


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated to

it from the Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement and other

written policies. Marlin’s portfolio is

managed by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Chris Waters (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Lily Zhuang

and Daniel Moser (Investment Analysts)

have prime responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together they

have significant combined experience

and are very capable of researching

and investing in the quality global

companies that Marlin targets. Fisher

Funds is based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Andy

Coupe (Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy and Fiona

Oliver.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.