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Air New Zealand Investor Update (Op Stats) – September 2023

Operational Update29 October 2023AIRIndustrials

1


Contents

• September 2023 traffic highlights and commentary

• Operating statistics table

• Recent market announcements



September 2023 Commentary

• The overall increase in Group capacity was largely driven by the resumption of the

international network following the full re-opening of New Zealand’s borders post-Covid. Long-

haul international ASK’s increased 94%, short-haul international ASKs increased 20.3%, and

domestic ASKs were broadly flat compared to the same period last year.

• The decline in Group YTD RASK compared to the prior year was driven by the significant mix

change for the 2024 financial year to date, whereby long-haul capacity growth and load factors

were substantially higher relative to short-haul.

• Short-haul YTD RASK, which includes the Domestic, Tasman and Pacific islands networks

declined 1.9% compared to last year. This was driven by a Tasman and Pacific islands YTD

RASK decline, offset by a small increase in Domestic YTD RASK.

• Long-haul YTD RASK declined 11.9% driven primarily by some North American routes with a

small decrease on Asian routes.























30 October 2023


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September 2023 highlights





















Group traffic summary

SEPTEMBERFINANCIAL YTD

FY24 FY23% *20242023% *+

Passengers carried (000)1,6021,4847.9%4,1383,8478.7%

Revenue Passenger Kilometres(m)

3,3342,40638.5%8,9966,02950.8%

Available Seat Kilometres (m)4,0292,72947.7%11,1226,89763.0%

Passenger Load Factor (%)82.7%88.2%(5.5 pts)80.9%87.4%(6.5 pts)

Year-to-date RASK

1

vs 2023vs 2023

Group(14.5%)(14.7%)

Short Haul(1.9%)(1.9%)

Long Haul(11.9%)(12.4%)

% change in reported

RASK (incl. FX)

% change in reported

RASK (excl. FX)

1 Reported RASK (unit passenger revenue per available seat kilometre) is inclusive of foreign currency impact, and underlying

RASK excludes foreign currency impact.

* % change is based on numbers prior to rounding

Please note that the available seat kilometre (capacity) numbers included in the tables within this disclosure do not include

any cargo-only flights. This is because these capacity numbers are used to calculate passenger load factors and passenger

RASK

+ The month to date percentage movements have been adjusted on a daily weighted average basis. The adjustment takes into account

the difference in days for the accounting month of July 2022 (31 days) compared with July 2023 (30 days). This is because Air New

Zealand operates on a 4,4,5 accounting calendar but closes the annual accounts on 30 June.


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Operating statistics table



Group

SEPTEMBER

FINANCIAL YTD

FY24 FY23% *2024

2023

% * +

Passengers carried (000)1,602

1,4847.9%4,1383,8478.7%

Revenue Passenger Kilometres(m)

3,3342,406

38.5%

8,996

6,02950.8%

Available Seat Kilometres (m)4,0292,72947.7%

11,122

6,89763.0%

Passenger Load Factor (%)

82.7%88.2%

(5.5 pts)80.9%87.4%(6.5 pts)

Short Haul T otal

SEPTEMBER

FINANCIAL YTD

FY24 FY23% *20242023

% * +

Passengers carried (000)

1,412

1,379

2.4%

3,6063,597

1.3%

Revenue Passenger Kilometres(m)1,4701,3677.5%3,804

3,572

7.6%

Available Seat Kilometres (m)

1,7391,54812.3%4,703

4,11415.6%

Passenger Load Factor (%)84.5%

88.3%

(3.8 pts)80.9%86.8%(5.9 pts)

Domestic

SEPTEMBERFINANCIAL YTD

FY24 FY23% *20242023% * +

Passengers carried (000)

1,0511,066

(1.4%)

2,662

2,781

(3.3%)

Revenue Passenger Kilometres(m)540549

(1.6%)1,3741,447(4.0%)

Available Seat Kilometres (m)631

6270.7%1,699

1,6613.4%

Passenger Load Factor (%)

85.5%87.5%

(2.0 pts)80.9%

87.1%(6.2 pts)

Tasman / Pacific

SEPTEMBERFINANCIAL YTD

FY24

FY23% *2024

2023% * +

Passengers carried (000)

36131315.1%944

81517.0%

Revenue Passenger Kilometres(m)930

81813.7%

2,4302,125

15.6%

Available Seat Kilometres (m)1,108921

20.3%3,0042,45323.8%

Passenger Load Factor (%)83.9%

88.8%(4.9 pts)80.9%

86.6%(5.7 pts)

Long Haul T otal

SEPTEMBERFINANCIAL YTD

FY24 FY23% *2024

2023% * +

Passengers carried (000)

190105

81.0%532

250114.4%

Revenue Passenger Kilometres(m)1,863

1,04079.2%5,191

2,457113.6%

Available Seat Kilometres (m)2,2901,180

94.0%6,419

2,784133.1%

Passenger Load Factor (%)81.4%88.1%(6.7 pts)80.9%

88.3%(7.4 pts)

Asia

SEPTEMBERFINANCIAL YTD

FY24

FY23% *2024

2023% * +

Passengers carried (000)100

40148.9%279

98186.1%

Revenue Passenger Kilometres(m)868354145.4%2,408862182.2%

Available Seat Kilometres (m)1,042

431141.4%2,9551,052183.9%

Passenger Load Factor (%)83.3%82.0%1.3 pts

81.5%82.0%

(0.5 pts)

AmericasSEPTEMBER

FINANCIAL YTD

FY24

FY23% *2024

2023% * +

Passengers carried (000)90

6538.8%253152

68.0%

Revenue Passenger Kilometres(m)99668645.1%2,7841,59476.5%

Available Seat Kilometres (m)1,24874966.6%3,4641,732

102.2%

Passenger Load Factor (%)79.8%91.6%(11.8 pts)80.4%92.1%

(11.7 pts)

* % change is based on numbers prior to rounding

+ The year to date percentage movements have been adjusted on a daily weighted average basis. The adjustment takes into account the difference in

days for the accounting month of July 2022 (31 days) compared with July 2023 (30 days). This is because Air New Zealand operates on a 4,4,5

accounting calendar but closes the annual accounts on 30 June.

Air New Zealand operates primarily in one segment, its primary business being the transportation of passengers and cargo on an integrated network

of scheduled airline services to, from and within New Zealand. The following operational data and statistics is additional supplementary information

only.


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Market Announcements

(during the period 9 October 2023 to 29 October 2023)

Air NZ provides half year earnings guidance for FY24 12 October 2023


Air New Zealand is today providing initial earnings guidance for the first half of FY24 following the

first three months of operating performance.


As noted at the airline’s Annual Shareholders’ Meeting on 26 September, customer demand

remains solid across most markets, but recent softness in domestic travel, particularly corporate

and government travel, has continued. Jet fuel prices and the weaker New Zealand dollar have also

had an adverse impact on costs for much of the first financial quarter. Having increased by 35%

from July to September, over the past week the jet fuel price has come down almost 10%,

highlighting the on-going volatility of this critical input cost. Lastly, while the previously disclosed

Pratt & Whitney engine issues are expected to have a noticeable impact on parts of Air New

Zealand’s flying schedule in the second half of FY24, the financial impact on the first half of FY24

is expected to remain nominal.


The economic environment continues to be uncertain and future performance may be impacted by

a number of factors. These factors include increased international competition, volatile fuel prices,

currency fluctuations and ongoing inflationary pressures.


In the context of the above factors, and assuming an average jet fuel price of US$110/bbl for the

remainder of the first half, the airline currently expects earnings before taxation for the first half of

the 2024 financial year to be in the range of $180 million to $230 million.


The airline still holds approximately $200 million in Covid related credits and continues to increase

efforts to contact customers to raise awareness and increase redemption. The expiry date for those

credits has recently been extended by two years until 31 January 2026 for booking travel through

to 31 December 2026. Included within the above guidance range is approximately $45 million of

Covid related credits that are highly unlikely to be redeemed by the extended expiry date.


The airline cautions against extrapolating first half FY24 earnings guidance to the full year given the

many and ongoing uncertainties in the trading environment.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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