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MLN – December 2023 monthly update

Operational Update12 December 2023MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for November was up 7.5%,

while the adjusted NAV return was up 7.1%. This compared with

our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index

(50% hedged to NZD), which was up 5.9%.

In November, global equities were up strongly +9.2%, bucking

the prior trend of 3 down months in a row. US and Japanese

equities were also circa +9%. European equities (+6.7%) and

emerging markets (+8.0%) slightly underperformed. Global

growth stocks outperformed value stocks. However, in the US,

value slightly outperformed growth.

The rally was primarily driven by the sharpest rally in bonds in

years. The US 10-year bond yield as a proxy for global interest

rates fell 60bp, the sharpest fall in yields in over a decade.

Portfolio

Gartner, the leading IT research business was up +31% in

the month on the back of a strong earnings report that was

well-received by the market. New business wins accelerated

following several quarters of cautious spending by tech vendor

customers. Enterprise customers (which make up most of the

research segment revenue) showed continued resilience, growing

mid-teens year-on-year, supporting management’s view around

the essential nature of this research. Margins were again the

standout contributor, 350bps ahead of expectations as the

company continues to reduce their cost base post the pandemic.

Salesforce (+25%) had a strong month and reported solid

earnings at the end of November. Salesforce met revenue

expectations, but operating profit margins were the standout

in the quarter. Salesforce continues to expand margins rapidly

as the company is undergoing a period of expense growth

rationalisation, like other companies in the tech space. Operating

profit margins have expanded by 11.3% to 17.2% from 5.9% a

year ago, demonstrating very high incremental margins for the

business and the ability to protect profits when sales growth

slows.

Alibaba (-9%) fell on weaker than expected earnings

and the cancellation of the proposed spin-off of the cloud

business. Gross merchandise volume modestly declined

given a combination of a weak Chinese consumer and

ongoing competition from both live-streaming and low-cost

ecommerce competitors. While margins continued to improve

versus last year, the company plans to invest back into the

core ecommerce business to support user engagement and

price competitiveness, which could hamper further margin

improvement near-term.

Portfolio activity

Additions to the portfolio:

During the month we added two high quality medical equipment

companies to the portfolio, Intuitive Surgical and Dexcom.

Both companies lead their markets, have large addressable

markets with long runways for growth, and benefit from material

barriers to entry. We took the opportunity to add them to the

portfolio as both companies sold off through the second half of

this year on GLP-1 weight loss drug concerns.

Intuitive Surgical is the pioneer and leading manufacturer of

soft-tissue surgical robotics, used to assist surgeons to perform

minimally invasive surgical procedures. Since Intuitive first

launched its ‘da Vinci’ robot over twenty years ago, there are

now over 8,000 systems placed around the world, performing

over two million procedures annually. Robotic systems aid and

enhance the surgeon’s capabilities, and both increase comfort

and reduce fatigue as the surgeons can sit at a console versus

standing over patients for hours. This enhanced capability of

robotics delivers better clinical outcomes than the equivalent

open surgery. Since launching its first robotic system around

twenty years ago, Intuitive has largely enjoyed the market to

itself. Robotics is hard and switching costs are high. Competitors

have spent billions of dollars and many years to produce

systems with limited commercial success to date. And hospitals

are unlikely to easily switch given they have built significant

infrastructure around these systems in terms of training,

workflows and even operating theatre set-ups.

Dexcom develops, manufactures, and distributes continuous

glucose monitoring (CGM) devices for people with diabetes.

Compared to finger pricking, a CGM offers 1) continuous

glucose readings vs. a static one-off, enabling better continuous

monitoring by the user so they stay “within range” for a greater

proportion of the day; 2) similar or better accuracy; 3) more

convenience – no more carrying around lancets and strips or

taking time out to prick, real time data & charting in an app on

a smart phone. Putting all this together, CGMs help drive better

health outcomes. Barriers to entry is high in CGM due to high

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

December 2023

$

0.91

Share Price

DISCOUNT

1

0.3

%


as at 30 November 2023

MLN NAV

$

0.91

CONSUMER
DISCRETIONARY

2

KEY DETAILS

as at 30 November 2023

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.06

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

212m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$193m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

upfront investment and specialist know-how. It takes years to

innovate and develop a new sensor before receiving regulatory

clearance. Only circa 6-7% of the diabetic population globally

use a CGM device, so we believe there are many years of growth

ahead for Dexcom.

Exits from the portfolio:

We exited PayPal during November due to concerns around

competition and share loss. PayPal (PYPL) had an early lead in

eCommerce payments due its trusted brand, security, and being

the most frictionless checkout option (vs. manual card-entry

and guest checkout). This created a loyal core customer base,

a two-sided-network and increased checkout conversion for

merchants. This was particularly important in the early days of

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 30 November 2023

27

%

8

%

19

%


FINANCIALS

19

%

GEOGRAPHICAL SPLIT

as at 30 November 2023

6

%

WEST

EUROPE

79

%

NORTH

AMERICA

5

%


CASH &

DERIVATIVES

18

%

10

%


ASIA

5

%

CASH &

DERIVATIVES

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

eCommerce as consumers and merchants had less trust of one

another and PYPL could bridge this gap. But these advantages

have eroded and PYPL is facing stiff competition from multiple

players such as Apple Pay, Shop Pay, and Amazon’s Buy with

Prime.

HEALTH CARE

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

4

%


CONSUMER

STAPLES

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

3
NOVEMBER’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

(in local currency) during the month

GARTNER

+31

%

SALESFORCE INC

+25

%

DANAHER CORP

+16

%

TENCENT HOLDINGS

+15

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 30 November 2023

AMAZON

8

%

MICROSOFT

6

%

ALPHABET

6

%

META PLATFORMS

6

%

SALESFORCE

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 17 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 30 November 2023

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+2.2%(2.8%)+4.7%(4.4%)+10.2%

Adjusted NAV Return+7.1%+0.0%+16.3%+2.2%+9.8%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +7.5%+0.8%+18.9%+4.3%+12.7%

Benchmark Index^+5.9%(2.2%)+8.1%+6.7%+8.4%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies.

NETFLIX INC

+13

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 30 November 2023

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Nov

2007

Nov

2011

Nov

2013

Nov

2014

Nov

2015

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2016

Nov

2020

Nov

2012

Nov

2022

Nov

2017

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Nov

2021

Nov

2023

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place

allowing it (if it elects to do so) to acquire its

shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

utilised for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently, and pursue other

capital structure initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed

price on a fixed date

»There are currently no Marlin warrants on issue


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated to

it from the Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement and other

written policies. Marlin’s portfolio is

managed by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Chris Waters (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Lily Zhuang

and Daniel Moser (Investment Analysts)

have prime responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together they

have significant combined experience

and are very capable of researching

and investing in the quality global

companies that Marlin targets. Fisher

Funds is based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Andy

Coupe (Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy and Fiona

Oliver.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.