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Chorus Q3 FY24 Connections Update

Quarterly Update9 April 2024CNUCommunication Services

Chorus Limited
Level 10, 1 Willis Street

P O Box 632

Wellington

New Zealand


Email: company.secretary@chorus.co.nz



STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT


10 April 2024


Q3 FY24 Connections Update


Chorus today released its connections update for the Q3 period to 31 March. The quarter

was notable for slower connection activity through January and a general slow-down in

greenfield growth consistent with broader macroeconomic trends.


The ongoing decline in copper connections slowed to 18,000 in Q3, compared to 21,000

in the prior quarter. Just 55,000 copper connections remain in areas where Chorus has

fibre available and about 21,000 of these connections have been notified that copper

services will be withdrawn within six months. To date, copper services have ceased for

about 43,000 notified connections, up 7,000 in the quarter, and almost 1,000 copper

broadband cabinets have been closed.


Copper voice lines reduced by 6,000 in the quarter and this drove the overall reduction in

fixed line connections to 1,250,000

1

, down from 1,256,000 connections in December.


Fibre uptake reaches 71%


Fibre connections grew 12,000 in the quarter, slightly higher than growth of 11,000 fibre

connections in Q2. This more than offset the 8,000 lines reduction of copper broadband

connections within the Chorus fibre footprint. Total broadband connections, including

copper lines, were flat at 1,188,000.


The entry level 50Mbps Home Fibre Starter service continued to gr ow strongly and was

up another 8,000 connections in the quarter to 38,000. Residential plans for speeds of

1Gbps and above grew by 4,000 connections and make up 25% of plans.


Chorus’ fibre footprint, excluding other local fibre company areas, grew to about 1.5

million addresses, an increase of 7,000 addresses in the quarter. Fibre uptake within this

footprint grew by 0.4% to 71%.


Uptake in Dunedin rebounded 1. 5% to 76.3% reflecting the return of seasonal student

demand in the city in the quarter. Fibre uptake in the Auckland urban area increased

0.1% to 76.5% while Wellington’s uptake increased 0.3% to 70.7%.


Recent data published by the FTTH Council Europe shows New Zealand ranked 17

th


globally for fibre penetration across total households, at 69% in September 2023. Eight

markets have passed 80% penetration with the UAE, Singapore and Hong Kong leading

the way.



1

This total includes partly subsidised fibre and copper broadband connections for students.







Average data usage doesn’t reflect household data ‘bursts’


Average monthly data usage on fibre was 598GB in March, in line with 599GB in

December. The proportion of broadband connections using more than 1 terabyte of data

was 15%.


In 2023, Chorus noted a 35 per cent increase in peak data demand, with households

averaging about 20 connected devices. According to the World Broadband Association, the

number of devices is expected to double every five years. The frequent, high-volume data

bursts from activities like video streaming on multiple devices at the same time is fuelling

this rise in peak data demand.


If devices aren’t connected directly to ethernet, an up-to-date, in-home Wi-Fi router is

crucial for optimal broadband performance. Many recently upgraded homes will now use

Wi-Fi 6 routers. However, the latest Wi-Fi 7 standard promises significantly improved

network capacity, the ability to support more devices at higher speeds and improved low-

latency performance.


Upgrading Wi-Fi in the home can significantly enhance internet speed, reduce latency and

support a higher number of devices, ensuring a smoother, more reliable online

experience at home.


Change in timing for fibre pricing adjustments


Chorus is advising retailers that it is shifting the annual timing for pricing adjustments to

fibre services from October to January. This change reflects Chorus’ desire to simplify

processes, by aligning future pricing adjustments with the start of the next regulatory

period from 1 January 2025, and an expectation that regulated fibre revenues will be

constrained by the maximum allowable revenue of about $809 million for calendar year

2024.



Authorised by:

JB Rousselot

Chief Executive Officer


ENDS



For further information:


Steve Pettigrew

Head of External Communications

Mobile +64 (27) 258 6257

Email: Steve.Pettigrew@chorus.co.nz

Brett Jackson

Investor Relations Manager

Mobile: +64 (27) 488 7808

Email: Brett.Jackson@chorus.co.nz

---

Q3 FY24 Connections Update
10 April 2024

>Fibre connections (including non-address points and LFC areas) increased 12k (Q2 FY24: +11k) and now total
1,074,000*

>Chorus’ fibre footprint now covers 1,500,000 addresses (excluding LFC areas)

▪fibre passed another 7,000 addresses in Q3 (Q2: +7k)

▪overall fibre uptake grew 0.4% to 71% in Q3 (Q2: +0.4%)

▪Auckland +0.1%; Wellington +0.3%; Dunedin +1.5%

>Broadband connections were steady at 1,188,000*

▪~12k fibre broadband connections were added in Chorus fibre areas, matching copper broadband disconnections

▪Home Fibre Starter (50Mbps) connections grew 8k to 38k

▪1Gbps and Hyperfibre (2Gbps+) connections grew by 4k to 238k and make up 25% of residential plans

>Total fixed line connections declined by 6k (Q2: -10k) and now total 1,250,000*

▪copper broadband and voice connections declined by 18k (Q2: -21k)

▪voice only disconnections were -6k (Q2: -7k)

▪copper withdrawal: 996 copper broadband cabinets no longer have active customers (Q2: 826 cabinets)

>Average monthly data usage on fibre steady at 598GB in March

▪the proportion of terabyte super users (i.e. consuming 1,000GB+ a month) was 15%

10 April 2024

Q3 FY24 overview

*FY24 totals include fibre and copper DSL broadband connections Chorus is partly subsidising for student households

Q3 FY24 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

2

0
200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

31-Mar-2330-Jun-2330-Sep-2331-Dec-2331-Mar-24

10 April 2024

31 March

2023

30 June

2023

30 Sept

2023

31 Dec

2023

31 March

2024

Baseband copper

(no broadband)

80,00072,00064,00057,00051,000

Copper ADSL

(includes naked)

94,00084,00075,00068,00062,000

VDSL

(includes naked)

92,00083,00075,00068,00062,000

Fibre broadband

(GPON)

1,002,0001,021,0001,041,0001,052,0001,064,000

Data services

(copper)

1,0001,0001,0001,0001,000

Fibre premium (P2P)10,00010,00010,00010,00010,000

Total connections

1,279,0001,271,0001,266,000*1,256,000*1,250,000*

Fibre (GPON)

VDSL

Copper ADSL

Baseband copper

>1,188,000* broadband connections comprises:

▪1,064,000 fibre (GPON) connections

▪124,000 VDSL/ADSL (copper) connections

Business premium

* Includes DSL and GPON partly subsidised education connections that were previously excluded from broadband totals

Fibre comprises 86% of Chorus connections

Q3 FY24 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

3

10 April 2024
Fibre available to 1.5m addresses; 71% uptake

▪71% fibre uptake across 1,500,000

passed addresses*

ouptake +0.4% in Q3

o+12k active fibre connections**

o+7,000 addresses passed in Q3

▪1,274,000 fibre installed addresses

o~18,000 installations in Q3 (Q2: 23k)

o226,000 addresses passed by fibre, but

fibre socket not yet installed (Q1: 238k)

64.0

65.0

66.0

67.0

68.0

69.0

70.0

71.0

72.0

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

Fibre connectedInactive fibre sockets***

Fibre socket not yet installedFibre uptake (%)

%

*based on independent address data and Chorus network data for addresses passed by fibre; excludes Chorus fibre in LFC areas

** includes ~7k fibre premium connections to addresses; excludes smart location (GPON) connections and connections in LFC areas

*** not active on 31 March 2024

Q3 FY24 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

4

10 April 2024
Uptake by city

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

AucklandDunedinWellington

Uptake, by urban area, for fibre passed

addresses

Dec-22Mar-23Jun-23Sep-23Dec-2331-Mar-24

Uptake

(%)

>Uptake is measured across “urban areas” as

defined by Statistics NZ, rather than original UFB

rollout area

▪Auckland uptake grew 0.1% to 76.5% in Q3

despite ongoing address growth

▪Dunedin uptake increased 1.5% to 76.3%

reflecting student seasonality

▪Wellington increased 0.3% to 70.7%

Q3 FY24 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

5

>Home Fibre Starter (50Mbps) connections grew by 8k to 38k; plans below 300Mbps are 10% of residential connections
>1Gbps and Hyperfibre (2Gbps+) connections grew by 4k to 238k and make up 25% of residential plans

>77% of mass market business plans are on 500Mbps or above

>3k Hyperfibre connections with 84% on residential 2Gbps+ plans

10 April 2024

Mass market fibre connections

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

Mar-23Jun-23Sep-23Dec-23Mar-24

Residential

2Gbps+1Gbps300mbps200mbps100mbps<100mbpsVoice

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

Mar-23Jun-23Sep-23Dec-23Mar-24

Business

2Gbps+1Gbps500mbps300mbps

200mbps100mbps<100mbpsVoice

Q3 FY24 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

6

10 April 2024
Connection changes by Zone (indicative as at31 March*)

* Excludes ~13k fibre premium and data services (copper) and smart location connections

-4

-4

-5

-6

-1

-1

-1

-1

-2

-1

-1

-8

-8

-10

-11

-2

-4

-5

-6

-2

-2

-2

-2

12

11

18

19

0

0

-20020

Q3 FY24

Q2 FY24

Q1 FY24

Q4 FY23

Q3 FY24

Q2 FY24

Q1 FY24

Q4 FY23

Q3 FY24

Q2 FY24

Q1 FY24

Q4 FY23

Copper line only

Copper broadband

Fibre broadband

Quarterly change (’000s) by zone

Other fibre

company (LFC)

zone

Copper lines (no broadband)9,000Local Fibre Company and fixed wireless provider

activity is driving a gradual decline in copper

connections.

Copper broadband lines13,000

Fibre broadband lines (GPON)3,000

TOTAL25,000

Non-fibre

addresses (i.e.

Chorus fibre not

available)

Copper lines (no broadband)20,000Ongoing decline in copper connections due to

mobile/fixed wireless/satellite footprint

expansion.

Copper broadband lines79,000

TOTAL99,000

Chorus fibre zoneCopper lines (no broadband)23,000Covers all addresses outside of LFC UFB rollout

zone where Chorus fibre is available. Fibre

footprint is growing as a result ofnew property

development. Copper connections are reducing

as Chorus retires its copper network.

Copper broadband lines32,000

Fibre broadband lines (GPON)1,059,000

TOTAL1,114,000

Q3 FY24 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

7

10 April 2024
0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Copper voice

Copper broadband

Connections

(thousands)

Chorus fibre

zone

LFC fibre zone

Non fibre

zone

Copper connections able to be withdrawn with 6

months’ notice where fibre is available

>~64,000 copper withdrawal notifications

issued (cumulative) in fibre areas

▪copper service ceased for ~43,000 notified

connections; ~21k currently under notice

▪996 copper broadband cabinets closed (Q2:

826); 1,479 under closure notice

▪broadband retention rate of 83% across

closed cabinets

>managed migration initiatives: activation

of installed fibre sockets (ONTs)

▪~6k sockets activated in Q3 (Q2: ~7k)

▪58% of activations were offnet addresses

(Q2: 57%)

Copper withdrawal: 21k connections under notice

Q3 FY24 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

8

Monthly average data usage on fibre 598gigabytes
>monthly average data usage on fibre was stable at just

under 600GB in March

>the proportion of broadband connections using more

than 1 terabyte of data was 15%

>copper usage decreased from 282GB in December to

273GB in March



10 April 2024

598

273

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Jun-20

Sep-20

Dec-20

Mar-21

Jun-21

Sep-21

Dec-21

Mar-22

Jun-22

Sep-22

Dec-22

Mar-23

Jun-23

Sep-23

Dec-23

Mar-24

CopperFibre

Data

usage

(GB)

Monthly average data usage per connection*

* includes upstream traffic

Q3 FY24 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

9

10 April 2024
Average usage doesn’t reflect household ‘bursts’

1

World Broadband Association, 2023

>35% increase in peak traffic demand in 2023, despite post-COVID slowdown

▪driven by high simultaneous data use in households - on average 20 connected devices, with devices expected

to double every five-years

1

, and increasing levels of video streaming intensifying data demand bursts

>graph (below) shows 15 minutes of shared family usage with data bursting up to 1 Gbps, above a theoretical

100Mbps plan maximum



>decisions on fibre plan speed

should therefore be based on:

•peak throughput demand for

family

•the needs of all the household,

rather than a single device



Q3 FY24 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

10

10 April 2024
Importance of quality Wi-Fi in the home

>Wi-Fi 6 is currently the most widely available technology, but many households may be using outdated or poor

performing Wi-Fi routers

>new Wi-Fi 7 standard will provide a substantial lift in performance with more efficient sharing of spectrum among

devices

•five times more shared capacity than Wi-Fi 6

•up to 100 times lower latency in the home

•throughput of 46Gbps (Wi-Fi 6: 9.6Gbps)



Q3 FY24 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

11

10 April 2024
New Zealand ranked 17

th

for fibre penetration

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Fibre penetration % (subscribers/households)

>Recent FTTH Council

Europe data for global

FTTH/B uptake shows New

Zealand at 69%

penetration

(subscribers/total

households) as at Sept

2023

Q3 FY24 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

12

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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