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MLN – March 2024 Quarterly Newsletter

Quarterly Update16 April 2024MLNFinancials

1
The global stock market rally broadens out

Marlin ended the quarter with gross performance up 17.0% and

an adjusted NAV return of +15.6%, compared with our global

benchmark which was up 9.6%.

While 2023 stock market returns were driven primarily by tech

(the Nasdaq was +56% vs the S&P500 equal weighted +11%)

and especially the Magnificent 7 (Meta, Amazon, Alphabet,

Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple and Tesla), 2024 returns have been

driven by a much broader mix of stocks. The Nasdaq is up 10%,

less than the S&P500. And the Magnificent 7 is only up 8%!

Globally, banks and industrial companies are up as much or

more than tech. This is healthy.

This broadening out of the stock market rally has been at least

partially driven by an ongoing lift in global economic growth

expectations. That improvement has primarily been driven by

the US - US economists started this year thinking US growth

for 2024 would be around 1%. Now that’s at 2.2% and still

climbing.

Portfolio update

Meta (+37%) continued its recent track record of delivering

stronger than expected earnings results. Meta’s short-form

video format Reels has been a headwind to revenue growth

as it was being introduced but has now turned into a tailwind

as the company ramps up monetisation. Meta’s investment in

AI capabilities has driven more user time spent on its Family

of Apps and delivered more efficient advertising tools for its

customers. 2023 was Meta’s “year of efficiency”, and Meta has

executed very well with operating income margins expanded

from 25% in 2022 to 35% in 2023. Importantly, the company

signalled this cost control will continue as a more streamlined

company makes decision making quicker and more effective.

Meta initiated its first dividend which sent a positive signal to

investors that while Meta continues to invest for growth (i.e. the

metaverse), it will be measured.

Edwards Lifesciences (+25%) benefited from a series of

positive announcements during the quarter. Firstly, one of

Edwards’ competitors announced a delay in its anticipated

entry into the US transcatheter aortic valve replacement

(TAVR) market. Edwards is the global leader in replacement

aortic heart valves, with around 70% market share in the US.

The competitive delay highlights the challenges in replicating

Edwards’s strong clinical outcomes, given the company’s market

leading innovation; and surgeon experience, as Edwards’s

valves have effectively been the standard of care for over a

decade. The second announcement was the early approval of

Edwards’ tricuspid heart valve replacement system. This device

is the first of its kind and opens up a new treatment for a largely

untreated population of patients with tricuspid regurgitation.

Icon (+19%), the leading clinical research organisation (CRO),

was among our best performers for the quarter, after a positive

earnings result and management commentary on end-market

demand gave the market confidence around medium-term

growth prospects. The positive tone from management was a

turnaround from a more cautious view in early January, which

saw CRO stocks fall circa 10%. Icon’s new project pipeline

continues to grow, driven by strong underlying R&D spend in its

large pharmaceutical customer base; a slow but steady recovery

in biotech demand; and new business wins driving market share

gains.

Tencent (+3%) underperformed despite a 10% return in March.

Sentiment on the Chinese economy remains an overhang,

however Tencent outperformed most of its Chinese tech

peers during the quarter. Tencent’s video gaming segment

(around 30% company revenue) continues to see soft demand,

but Tencent’s new growth businesses continue to beat

expectations. Tencent is still in the early stages of monetising its

more than one billion WeChat users in China, through avenues

such as short-video advertising (like Meta Reels), ecommerce,

and financial services. In addition to driving revenue growth,

these businesses also have high profit margins and are

increasing Tencent’s overall profitability.

Dollar Tree (-6%) declined following a disappointing earnings

result. The core Dollar Tree banner continues to grow ahead

of expectations. But it is still facing some headwinds from a

struggling low-income consumer and increased investment as it

continues to rollout several growth initiatives to drive continued

market share gains. This was overshadowed by the announced

closure of up to 1,000 Family Dollar stores (circa 13% of the

store base). While management is working on several initiatives

to improve the Family Dollar stores, it decided these 1,000

mostly unprofitable stores would not generate an acceptable

return. We think the company is taking the right actions. While

we are more measured than management on its ability to turn

the Family Dollar business around, we think the market is now

ascribing almost zero probability of a successful turnaround.

¹

Share price discount to NAV (using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

as at 31 March 2024

1 January 2024 – 31 March 2024

MLN NAVDISCOUNT

1

$

1.076.7

%$

1.00

Share Price

QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER

PERFORMANCE
as at 31 March 2024

Disclaimer: The information in this newsletter has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity brief. The information

and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness. The newsletter is not intended to constitute

professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the newsletter

contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740, New Zealand

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

Headquarters Company

%

Holding

China

Tencent Holdings3.8%

Ireland

Icon5.3%

United Kingdom

Greggs Plc4.4%

United States

Alphabet7.1%

Amazon.Com8.7%

Boston Scientific4.6%

Danaher Corporation3.9%


Dollar General2.2%

Dollar Tree2.0%


Dexcom Inc3.5%

Edwards Lifesciences Corp.5.6%

Floor & Décor Holdings5.9%

Gartner Inc4.6%

Intuitive Surgical Inc2.5%

Mastercard5.4%

Meta Platforms Inc6.0%

Microsoft6.6%

MSCI Inc2.8%

Netflix3.1%

salesforce.com5.8%

UnitedHealth Group Inc4.2%

Equity Total98.0%

New Zealand dollar cash0.5%

Total foreign cash2.5%

Cash Total3.0%

Forward Foreign Exchange(1.0%)


TOTAL100.0%

PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS

SUMMARY

as at 31 March 2024

COMPANY NEWS

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newsletters electronically please email us

at enquire@marlin.co.nz

Dividend Paid 28 March 2024

A dividend of 1.86 cents per share was paid to Marlin

shareholders on 28 March 2024, under the quarterly distribution

policy. Interest in Marlin’s dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

remains high with 39% of shareholders participating in the plan.

Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount to

market price. If you would like to participate in the DRP, please

contact our share registrar, Computershare on 09 488 8777.

3 Months

3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+8.4%(1.2%)+13.7%

Adjusted NAV Return +15.6%+4.5%+12.0%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return+17.0%+6.6%+15.1%

Benchmark Index¹+9.6%+7.5%+10.7%

1

Benchmark index : S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (hedged 50% to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance

return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital

allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV value,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and

currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price

performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to

shareholders. It assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan,

and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money), at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder

return in this newsletter are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP measures are

described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at

marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies.

SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO DURING THE

QUARTER IN LOCAL CURRENCY

META

PLATFORMS

+37

%

EDWARD

LIFESCIENCES

+25

%

NETFLIX

+25

%

AMAZON

+19

%

ICON

+19

%

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Ltd

12 April 2024

Portfolio activity

We continued to add to our positions in Intuitive Surgical and

Dexcom. Intuitive received FDA approval for its next generation

da Vinci 5 soft-tissue surgical robot which will improve

ergonomic comfort for surgeons and will measure the force

surgeons are putting on tissue real time to reduce tissue trauma.

Dexcom received US FDA approval for Stelo, its first continuous

glucose monitoring (CGM) device for non-insulin using diabetics.

This further lengthens the growth runway for Dexcom. The

company has dominated the CGM market for more acute

(intensive insulin usage) Type 1 and Type 2 diabetics. And it

has been increasingly turning its attention to the much bigger

Type 2 non-intensive insulin market and now the non-insulin

market. These less acute markets are 10-20 times the size of its

traditional markets and are much less penetrated.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.