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MLN – May 2024 monthly update

Operational Update12 May 2024MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for April was down -5.3%, while

the adjusted NAV return was down -5.2%. This compared with

our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index

(50% hedged to NZD), which was down -3.3%.

April was a tougher month for equity markets. Hotter-than

expected US inflation, the risk of escalation in the Middle East

boosting oil prices, and Federal Reserve officials talking down rate

cut expectations drove interest rates higher and equity markets

lower.

Developed market equities fell -3.7%, the US leading the way

down -4.1%, with Europe -1.5% and Japan -0.9%. European

equities outperformed their US counterparts, as stronger

economic indicators, and lower-than- expected inflation,

suggested a soft landing could be in reach.

China continued its strong 2024 performance, with the MSCI

China index up 6.5%, and up 20% from January lows. While the

economy is not out of the woods yet, a better-than-expected first

quarter GDP print and cheap valuations has seen renewed interest

from investors.

The US reporting season has begun, and so far, companies have

broadly beaten expectations for first quarter earnings. The market

did punish companies that missed estimates, especially where

valuations had run up in recent months. As we report below, it

was a mixed bag for the Big Tech names that have reported; but

one theme that did emerge was the step up in capex expectations

driven by artificial intelligence (AI).

Portfolio News

Alphabet (+8% in local currency) was the strongest contributor

to portfolio returns in April, driven by a strong earnings result.

The market had been concerned that generative AI would disrupt

Alphabet’s key Search business and Alphabet would struggle to

reinvent itself. Alphabet put these concerns to bed for the time

being with an unexpected acceleration in Search revenue growth.

Its new AI product, Search Generative Experience (SGE), has also

had positive initial results. Consumers are increasing search usage

when they use SGE which potentially increases the revenue pie

for Alphabet. Like Search, YouTube posted unexpected revenue

growth acceleration, growing +21% year-on-year in the quarter.

Google Cloud also outperformed expectation with growth coming

in at +28%. Operating income margins were better than expected

at 32% (vs. 29% expected). Like peers, Alphabet is increasing

capex spend towards AI investment given the large opportunity it

sees ahead. But management were measured, saying that they

are still committed to continued profitable growth while investing

for the future.

Boston Scientific (+5%) had a strong earnings report. First

quarter revenue growth was well above even the most optimistic

estimate, as the company grew strongly across almost all its

medical device segments. The company successfully launched its

latest technology that aims to help correct an irregular heartbeat

while minimizing the damage to nearby healthy tissues. With a

leading position in an addressable market in the billions of dollars,

this product has potential to be a multi-year growth driver for the

business.

Tencent (+14%) benefited from the improved sentiment in China,

highlighting the benefits of geographic diversification. Tencent is

one of the highest quality companies in China, if not globally, with

its Weixin mobile app used daily by over 1 billion people in China,

for everything from communicating with friends, watching videos,

or paying for dinner. We recently upgraded our STEEPP ‘E2’ score

(but not our weight) as Tencent starts to monetise this large user

base through highly profitable revenue streams like advertising and

financial services. As sentiment improves, we are starting to see

the quality and idiosyncratic growth of Tencent reflected in share

performance, with Tencent outperforming its Chinese technology

peers in April and YTD.

Edward’s Lifesciences (-11%) fell as revenue in its core

transcatheter aortic heart valve (TAVR) fell slightly below

expectations, as they saw aggressive pricing from competitors in

Europe that led to doctors trialling the competitive TAVR devices.

Edwards’s device, while premium priced, has better clinical

outcomes for patients; and is typically easier for doctors to use;

and with the launch of its latest Resilia TAVR device into Europe

this month, we expect growth to improve throughout the rest of

the year.

Floor & Décor (-15%) had a tough month as it retreated from the

recent highs it made in March. Through the month, expectations

for mortgage rate cuts waned and US existing home sales

reported for March took a step back, both of which are generally

seen as headwinds to Floor & Décor. Even though the macro

environment continues to be difficult for Floor & Décor, as long-

term investors we look through this and added some weight

during the month. Floor & Décor continues to have a strong value

proposition for customers and is gaining market share.

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

May 2024

$

0.99

Share Price

DISCOUNT

1

2.6

%


as at 30 April 2024

MLN NAV

$

1.02

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 30 April 2024

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.02

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

215m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$213m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

Meta (-11%) had a negative reaction to its earnings release.

While results for the quarter were slightly better than expected,

revenue guidance fell short of elevated expectations. Management

also increased expense and capex guidance for the year. Meta

sees a lot of opportunity in AI and is already taking advantage

of the technology to drive its business. For example, 50% of the

content that people see on Instagram is now AI recommended. AI

is helping Meta place more relevant ads in front of more people.

Management was quick to reiterate that while they see a multi-

year investment cycle for AI, they are still focussed on operating

efficiency in the business.

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 30 April 2024

29

%

8

%

19

%


FINANCIALS

20

%

GEOGRAPHICAL SPLIT

as at 30 April 2024

5

%

WESTERN

EUROPE

88

%

NORTH

AMERICA

3

%


CASH &

DERIVATIVES

16

%

4

%


ASIA

3

%

CASH &

DERIVATIVES

HEALTH CARE

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

5

%


CONSUMER

STAPLES

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

Portfolio activity

No new additions or exits during the month.

3
APRIL’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

(in local currency) during the month

TENCENT

HOLDINGS

+14

%

META

PLATFORMS

-11

%

GARTNER

INCORPORATED

-13

%

MSCI

INCORPORATED

-15

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 30 April 2024

AMAZON

9

%

ALPHABET

7

%

MICROSOFT

7

%

FLOOR & DÉCOR

6

%

META PLATFORMS

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 16 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 30 April 2024

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(1.0%)+4.0%+22.9%(5.5%)+12.0%

Adjusted NAV Return(5.2%)+6.2%+24.8%+0.7%+9.7%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (5.3%)+6.9%+27.9%+2.5%+12.6%

Benchmark Index^(3.3%)+5.7%+17.2%+5.4%+9.0%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies.

FLOOR & DÉCOR

-17

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 30 April 2024

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Nov

2007

Nov

2011

Nov

2013

Nov

2014

Nov

2015

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2016

Nov

2020

Nov

2012

Nov

2022

Nov

2017

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Nov

2021

Nov

2023

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be utilised

for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Marlin announced a new issue of warrants on

29 April 2024

»The new warrant term offer document was sent to all

Marlin shareholders in early May 2024

»The warrants will be issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders in the ratio of one warrant for every four

Marlin shares held, based on the record date of

15 May 2024

»Warrants will be allotted to all eligible Marlin shareholders

on 16 May 2024

»The new warrants (MLNWG) are expected to commence

trading on the NZX Main Board from 17 May 2024

»The Exercise Date for the new Marlin warrants is

16 May 2025


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated

to it from the Board to invest according

to the Management Agreement

and other written policies. Marlin’s

portfolio is managed by Fisher Funds

Management Limited. Sam Dickie

(Senior Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters (Senior Investment Analyst),

and Daniel Moser and Charles Barty

(Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing the Marlin

portfolio. Together they have significant

combined experience and are very

capable of researching and investing

in the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is based in

Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Andy

Coupe (Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy and Fiona

Oliver.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.