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Meridian Investor Day Presentation

Investor Presentation24 June 2024MELUtilities

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M e r i d i a n E n e r g y L i m i t e d ( A R B N 1 5 1 8 0 0 3 9 6 ) A c o m p a n y i n c o r p o r a t e d i n N e w Z e a l a n d

287-2 9 3 D u r h a m S t r e e t N o r t h , C h r i s t c h u r c h 8 0 1 3


m e r i d i a n e n e r g y . c o . n z

Stock Exchange Listings NZX (MEL) ASX (MEZ)

Meridian Investor Day Presentation


25 June 2024

Attached is the presentation Meridian Energy is making at today’s investor day in Queenstown.

The presentation will commence at 9.30am NZT and close at 2.30pm. A video link is available here. The

run sheet, including all speakers and speaking times, is included on page 3 of the attachment.

A recording will also be posted to the investor presentations page of the Meridian website.

ENDS

Neal Barclay

Chief Executive

Meridian Energy Limited




For investor relations queries, please contact:

Owen Hackston

Investor Relations Manager

021 246 4772

For media queries, please contact:

Philip Clark

Head of Communications

027 838 5710

25 JUNE 2024
2024 Investor Day

Lake Manapōuri in the Fiordland National Park

2
25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Today’s agenda
3

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

9.30am - 9.40amWelcomeOwen HackstonInvestor Relations Manager

9.40am – 10.00amOpening commentsMark VerbiestChair

10.00am – 10.20amStrategy and prioritiesNeal BarclayChief Executive

10.20am – 10.40amNew Zealand’s Aluminium SmelterChris BlenkironChief Executive and General Manager, NZAS

10.40am – 11.10amMorning tea

11.10am – 11.30amNZAS contractsMike RoanChief Financial Officer

11.30am – 11.50amMeridian RetailLisa HannifinChief Customer Officer

11.50am – 12.10pmEnergy system modellingRory BlundellGroup Strategy Manager

12.10pm – 1.10pmLunch

1.10pm – 1.30pmDevelopment pipelineRebecca KnottRenewable Development Manager

1.30pm – 1.50pmConsentingGuy WaiparaGeneral Manager Development

1.50pm - 2.10pmGenerationTania PalmerGeneral Manager Generation

2.10pm – 2.20pmClosing commentsNeal BarclayChief Executive

4
Mark Verbiest, Chair

Opening comments

25 JUNE 2024

2024 INVESTOR DAY

Maintenance at

Meridian’s West Wind

Farm near Wellington

5
Energy policies from the coalition government

§Ceased work on Onslow pumped hydro

investigations. MBIE continuing work on

security of supply.

§Offshore oil and gas exploration ban

repealed.

§Net Zero by 2050 reiterated with doubling of

renewable electricity included.

§Repeal Natural and Built Environment and

Spatial Planning Acts.

§Establishing a streamlined consenting and

permitting process for significant projects.

§Emissions Trading Scheme(ETS) settings for

the next five yearsfinalised in September

2024.

§Agriculture removed from ETS.

§GIDI funding and Clean Car Discount ceased.

2024 INVESTOR DAY

Meridian’s Te Āpiti Wind Farm north of the Manawatū Gorge

25 JUNE 2024

Energy transition
§Represents a significant investment cycle:

$30B+ new sector generation investment.

§Demand response established as a risk

management solution.

However, we are experiencing transition

challenges:

§Domestic gas supply decline and energy

security.

§Ability of grid investment to keep pace.

§Consumer price pressures: wholesale prices,

grid/network resilience and expansion, cost

of capital volatility.

§Complexity in the consenting framework.

6

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Headwaters of Lake Pūkaki in the Mackenzie Basin, Canterbury

7
25 JUNE 2024

2024 INVESTOR DAY

Meridian’s Harapaki Wind Farm in Hawke’s Bay

Neal Barclay, Chief Executive

Strategy and priorities

8
25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Strategy spotlight: process heat
Meridian growth

§116GWh commissioned and operational, $4M revenue FY24 YTD.

§234GWh under construction.

9

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

§1,000GWh under contract by FY30.

Market opportunity

§Across the South Island, there is 1.46GW of non-renewable heat capacity primarily from

coal in the South Island (DETA consulting).

§Process heat accounts for 34% of New Zealand’s energy consumption (MBIE).

§Industrial electrification via process heat has huge potential (4+TWh by 2050) (Meridian).

Spotlight: Grow renewable generation

Te mahi

Our key initiatives

Horizon 1

FY25

Horizon 2

FY26to FY30

Horizon 3

to FY50FY27–29

Te whainga

Our targets

Accelerate

electrification of

transport and

process heat

• Install 75 fast chargers by the end of

FY25

• Convert 200GWh of MOU process

heat to contracts

• Additional 200GWh

of process heat under

contract in 2027

• NZ’s largest and most

loved EV charging

network by FY2028

• 1,000GWh of process

heat under contract

10
25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Looking back
11

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Looking forward
12

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Note: Jul 24 NZAS contract effective date is subject to satisfaction of remaining conditions precedent

5,500
6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

20042006200820102012201420162018202020222024

GWh

Maximum half hourly peak demand

Demand growth

Near-term growth is influenced by climate factors

13

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

-2.0

-1.0

+0. 0

+1. 0

+2. 0

+3. 0

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

May-23Jun-23Jul-23Aug-23Sep-23Oct-23No v-23Dec-23Jan-24Feb-24Mar-24Apr-24May-24

ºC

Demand growth

YoY demand growth

variation to mean temperature (RHS)

Long-term growth is supported by fundamentals

NZ population >6M by 2050 (Stats NZ)

~1m electric vehicles by 2035 (Meridian)

4GW+ of thermal process heat (Meridian)

Green hydrogen

Data centres and AI ??

dry rural South island areas

201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

6,6967,0786,7166,7086,6466,7046,6826,8426,9606,8266,8567,2807,0907,3166,988

134101115121486972315

And winter peaks are growing

rank

max

Meridian Energy Investor Day
25 JUNE 2024

14

NZAS Overview
$452.6M

Economic

Contribution

$105.2M

Wages and

salaries

337,176

Saleable

tonnes

13t/t

aluminium

International

average

2t/t

aluminium

Carbon

intensity

796

Employees

202

Contractors

2,200approx

indirectly

supported

15

CarbonOur place in the world
25

13%75%

0

5

10

15

20

Scope 1 and 2 Emissions tCO2/t

Chart source: Industry available information

16

CarbonOur place in Aotearoa
400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

1990199219941996199820002002200420062008201020122014201620182020

1990-2021 GHG Emissions

- kt CO2e

Chart source: : MfE 'NZ Interaction Emissions Tracker' ( https://emissionstracker.environment.govt.nz)

Aluminium

Production

Iron and Steel

Production

17

Ngāi Tahu Relationship
Mā whero, mā pango, ka oti ai te mahi

With red and black together the work will

be complete

Memorandum of Understanding

• Signed on 4 October 2022.

• It covers the overarching relationship, remediation co-design and

community funding.

• Established Advisory Group to oversee MoU implementation.

• Three Awarua Rūnaka / Ngāi Tahu representatives and

three Rio Tinto / NZAS representatives

Remediation Advisory Working Group

• Made up of four Awarua Rūnaka / Ngāi Tahu representatives and

four NZAS representatives

• This group will focus on progressive remediation.

Community Development Fund

• $2 million fund launched in April 2023. $1.15M allocated in 2023.

• Investment in community infrastructure, enhanced environmental

& social outcomes and a strong, sustainable regional economy

.

18

Remediation Journey Highlights
May 2022

Feb 2021

Throughout 2023

Feb 2024

Export of all 24Kt of

Ouvea that was stored

in community for

processing and

recycling.

Extensive independent

report into

environmental impact

of smelter operations

concludes low risk of

human or kai moana

impact.

Rio Tinto confirms it will

return Ouvea Premix

stored in Southland

warehouses to site.

Onsite landfill

permanently closed.

Alternative waste

management systems

adopted.

Nov 2023

Export of stored SCL

commences to Australia.

Feasibility of onsite SCL

processing facility

ongoing.

19

Questions?
20

21
25 JUNE 2024

2024 INVESTOR DAY

Transmission lines near New Zealand’s Aluminium Smelter in Southland

Mike Roan – Chief Financial Officer

NZAS contracts

NZAS Base Contract
Other than force majeure, the Base Contract is straightforward. It includes the following elements:

§A sustainable price beginning 1 July 2024 subject to conditional CPI escalation from 2028.

§A 20-year term, up to 31 December 2044 noting that NZAS can exercise a 2-year termination right from 31

December 2032 if it pays $180M.

§472MW until 31 December 2024 and 377MW from 2025 onwards.

§Prudential support of $235M in the first 10 years and $180M for the remainder.

22

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

The force majeure provisions are summarised below:

§If either party faces an event outside its reasonable control, then:

§In the case of NZAS, that event impacts more than 33% of normal operations at Tīwai; or

§In the case of Meridian, that event impacts more than 21% of Manapōuri and Waitaki generation.

§Then the affected party may call force majeure (which comes into effect 30 days after notice provided).

§The effect of force majeure is to reduce Base Contract quantity by the proportion which normal generation or

normal consumption is reduced. In addition, demand response calls may not be made during NZAS force

majeure.

§If the force majeure event has not been remedied or is not capable of remedy by the party that called force

majeure within two years, then either party may terminate the agreement.

NZAS Demand Response Agreement
23

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

§The term of the Demand Response Agreement (DRA) mirrors that of the Base Contract.

§Under the DRA, four demand response Options are exercisable by Meridian.

§If an Option is exercised, Base Contract quantity will be reduced by 18.75MW, 37.5MW, 75MW or

138.75MW.

§Stand down periods apply between the exercise of Options.

§In return for the optionality, NZAS will be paid an annual premium.

§If an Option is called, a payment is made to NZAS for actual reduction.

§The annual premium and price for reduction escalate in the same way that the Base Contract price

escalates.

§NZAS chooses whether it reduces physical consumption when an Option is called.

§If it does, then consumption should reduce by 25MW, 50MW, 100MW and 185MW.

§If it does not, NZAS loses up to half of the annual premium and could be exposed to the spot price

for volume consumed above the Base Contract quantity.

NZAS Demand Response Agreement
24

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Summary of Demand Response Options

Option

Equivalent

reduced

consumption

(MWh per

hour)

ExercisableReduction


from Meridian

demand response

agreement

(MWh per

hour)

Usual

Ramp-

Down

Notice

Period

DR Period

(equivalent

number of days)

Usual Ramp-

Down Period

(equivalent

numberof days)

Usual Ramp-Up

Notice Period

(equivalent

number ofdays)

Usual Ramp-Up

Period

(equivalent

number ofdays)

Maximum Calls

12518.75

3 Business

Days

Minimum 10 days,

maximum 150days

5 days3 days15 days

Unlimited, but the

Option cannotbe

exercised more than 4

times inany 12-month

period

250

37.5

3 Business

Days

Minimum 15days,

maximum145 days

10 days3 days30 days

Unlimited, but the

Option cannotbe

exercised more than 2

times inany 18-month

period

3

100

75

3 Business

Days

Minimum 22days,

maximum137days

18 days5 days100 days

The Option cannot be

exercisedmore than 8

times over the Term

4185

138.75

5 Business

Days

Minimum 30

days,

maximum75 days

25 days5 days200 days

The Option cannot be

exercisedmore than 4

times over the Term

Stand down periods apply between the exercise of Options.

NZAS Demand Response Agreement - examples
Maximum call volumes associated with each Option

25

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

0

50

100

150

181522293643505764717885929910 611 312 012 713 414114815 516216917 618 319019720 421 121 822 523 223 924625 326026727 428 128 8295

Meridian MW

Days

NZAS DR MW at maximum duration

Option 4 (Maximum MEL GWh: 560.1)

Option 3 (Maximum MEL GWh: 322.3)

Option 2 (Maximum MEL GWh: 148.5)

Option 1 (Maximum MEL GWh: 72.0)

Source: Meridian

0
10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

375

400

01

Ma y

08

Ma y

15

Ma y

22

Ma y

29

Ma y

05

Jun

12

Jun

19

Jun

26

Jun

03

Jul

10

Jul

17 Jul24

Jul

31 Jul07

Au g

14

Au g

21

Au g

28

Au g

04

Se p

11

Se p

18

Se p

25

Se p

02

Oct

09

Oct

16

Oct

23

Oct

30

Oct

06

Nov

13

Nov

Cumulative GWh (Meridian)

MW (Meridian)

Call Planner

MEL-NZAS Contract Volu me ( MW)MEL MW377 MWCalled GWh (RHS)

18.75MW for up to 150 days

NZAS Demand Response Agreement - example 1: exercising Option 1

26

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

§Meridian provides NZAS with three business days’ notice (Notice Period) that it is executing Option 1.

§In that notice, it also sets out how long it wants the Option for. In this example, the call is for 150 days (the DR Period).

§Base Contract quantity will start to reduce gradually over five days after the notice period (the Ramp Down Period), after

which it will sit at 358.25MW (377MW - 18.75MW) for the DR Period.

§At the end of the DR Period, Base Contract quantity will increase gradually over 15 days (the Ramp Up Period).

§The call will end at the end of the Ramp Up Period.

§If Meridian wants to reduce the DR Period, it provides three days’ notice after which the Ramp Up Period will commence.

Source: Meridian

17

Jul

31

Jul

30 day stand down

before any Option can

be called

0
50

100

150

200

250

300

350

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

375

400

Ma y

25

Jun 25Jul 25Aug 25Se p 25Oct 25Nov 25Dec 25Jan 26Feb 26Ma r

26

Apr 26Ma y

26

Jun 26Jul 26Aug 26Se p 26Oct 26

Cumulative GWh (Meridian)

MW (Meridian)

Call Planner

MEL-NZAS Contract Volu me ( MW)MEL MW377 MWCalled GWh (RHS)

NZAS Demand Response Agreement - example 2: exercising Option 3

27

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

§Option 1 has been called as per previous example.

§On day 20 of the DR Period, Meridian gives NZAS three business days’ notice that it would like to exercise Option 3.

§The notice also sets out how long Option 3 is exercised for. It cannot be called for more than 137 days (the maximum DR

period) less the DR Period that has already elapsed for Option 1, so Option 3 is called for 114 days.

§On day 24, Base Contract quantity will reduce gradually over 15 days after which it will sit at 302MW (377MW - 75MW).

§At the end of the Option 3 DR Period, Base Contract quantity will gradually increase over 100 days, after which the

Option will end.

§If Meridian wants to reduce the DR Period, it provides five days’ notice after which the Ramp Up Period will commence.

Source: Meridian

60 day stand down

before Options 1 or 2

can be called

270 day stand down

before Options 3 or 4

can be called

Option 1

Option 3

May 25

Mar 26May 26

0
200

400

60 0

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

375

400

Ma y 25Au g 25Nov 25Fe b 26Ma y 26Au g 26Nov 26Fe b 27Ma y 27Au g 27Nov 27Fe b 28Ma y 28Au g 28Nov 28Fe b 29Ma y 29Au g 29Nov 29Fe b 30

Cumulative GWh (Meridian)

MW (Meridian)

Call Planner

MEL-NZAS Contract Volu me ( MW)MEL MW377 MWCalled GWh (RHS)

NZAS Demand Response Agreement and Meridian trading

28

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

§An internal information barrier was set up during negotiations so that Meridian’s traders would not have information

that might impact trading decisions. That barrier was removed when the contracts were publicly announced.

§Since then, Meridian traders have built a model to optimise call volumes subject to certain constraints.

§Meridian traders can use that model to assess exercise strategies – in this case, call volumes over a five-year period.

§That optimisation calls Options 1, 2, 3 and 4 subject to standdown periods.

§It has also confirmed that the total average/maximum Option volume of 400GWh/800GWh is available.

§As an interesting fact, that model has also confirmed that it would take 17 years to extinguish maximum call volumes

should Options 3 or 4 be called consecutively.

Source: Meridian

Option 2

Option 1

Option 3

Option 4

Option 1

Option 2

Option 3

Maximum Number of Calls
§Each Option exercise represents one call.

§If Meridian exercises Option 1 and then Option 3, that represents a call for Option 1 and Option 3 respectively.

Other elements of the NZAS Demand Response Agreement

29

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Demand Response Premium (DRP)

§Not payable in the first sixmonths of thecontract.

§After six months, half of the DRP is at risk each year based on calculations of actual volume reduced and expected

profile volume reductions.The way this works is as follows:

§Half of the DRP is paid monthly to NZAS (in arrears).

§The remaining half of the DRP is paid at the end of a 12-month period based on:

§If actual volume reductions in that year are greater than 95% of the expected volume, then that half of the

DRP is paid in full.

§If in that year, actual volume reductions are greater than 51% but lower than 95%, then the payment that is

made is linearly increased from zero to half of the DRP, based on actual volume reductions as a percentage of

expected volumes.

§If in that year volume reductions are less than 51% of expected volume, then that half of the DRP is waived.

Pausing Demand Response Calls

§Meridian can ‘pause’ notified calls during the ramp up period by issuing a Restricted DR Cessation Notice.

§This ‘pause’ can only be issued for Options 2 and 3 and can only be issued if consumption has not lifted by more than

40% of the original DR Reduction for that Option.

Lisa Hannifin – Chief Customer Officer
Meridian Retail

30

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Strong, sustainedgrowthanddiscipline
25 0 ,0 0 0

27 0, 00 0

290 ,0 0 0

310,000

330,000

350,000

370,000

FY18

FY19

FY20

FY21

FY22FY23

FY24

ICPs

ICP GROWTH

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

FY18

FY19

FY20

FY21

FY22FY23

FY24

GWh

SALES VOLUME

GROWTH

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

FY18

FY19

FY20

FY21

FY22

FY23

FY24

$/MWh

NETBACK

GROWTH

31

Meridian’s Zero public charging network

+25%+55%+47%

Adapting to emerging technologies in changing markets
Decarbonisation

New technology

(supply & demand)

Digitisation

Implication:

Description:

Increased electricity

demand

EVs, home electrification,

and green hydrogen

production will drive

electricity growth,

tempered by only small

improvements in

efficiency.

Two-way energy flows

Retailers increasingly

balancing customer

demand and supply

behind and in front of

the meter.

New customer service

models

Customers will

increasingly expect

seamless digital service

across an increasingly

complex product set; old

commodity products

increasingly superseded.

Trend:

32

Source: McKinsey 2023

Meridian commercial solar installation

Driving future value
Value

creation

To

Market

structure

From

Customer

demand

Fully electrified home and transport

Mix of grid supply and orchestrated behind-the-

meter assets

Commodity power supply

(e.g. heating, cooking appliances)

ŸTOU

ŸNon-TOU

Volatile wholesale prices; competition between

large generators, behind-the-meter assets and

flexible demand

Traditional incumbent led market

Bi-directional power flowsOne-way power flows

Strong wholesale positionStrong wholesale position

Retail excellenceAbility to seamlessly integrate customer supply

across grid and distributed assets

33

Source: McKinsey 2023

Potential annual EBITDAF uplift
1

($M) for Meridian by innovation value pool for 2030 and steady state (assuming 30% market share)

New value pools are emerging and have the potential to contribute ~$100M to EBITDAF for

Meridian in 2030

11

3

48

7

62

21

8

7

100

4

136

10

198

EVs

1

Battery

Demand response

2

Home electrification

~270~100

19Solar

21 – 31

148

Process heat

3

11

Total~370

10

•Value pool includes CAPEX, installation, financing, energy for mass market and C&I customers

Key assumptions and inputs

Value pool estimate in 2030Incremental value in pool in 2040

•Value pool includes CAPEX, installation, financing, energy for mass market and C&I customers

•Value pool includes AC and DC charging

•Includes passenger vehicles and light commercial vehicles

•Value pool does not include hardware manufacturing or energy management

•Heat pumps only; uptake based on phase-out of natural gas by 2050 for mass market customers only;

value pool includes CAPEX, installation and financing

•Includes batteries, heat pumps, process heat, EVs only


and estimated arbitrage price of $40/MWh

from New Zealand wholesale market FY23-FY28

•Assumes 2hrs of flexibility for C&I segment; all of mass market segment is assumed flexible load

•Assumes linear electrification of fossil-fuel capacity by 2050 and 5280 hrs of operation for C&I only

•Value pool includes CAPEX, installation, financing, energy; CAPEX, installation and financing likely to

vary significantly resulting in total value pool range between $21 – $31m

Hypothesis highest value pools for Meridian

1-3

McKinsey 2023, from their energy global power and energy expert group (See references, page 73)

Before accounting for cannibalisation

of $8-$19M

Does not include eroded underlying electricity supply by underserving growing customer segment or

any broader benefits to customers and the core retail business (e.g., retention, cross-sell)

Before accounting for cannibalisation

of $1-$4M

PRELIMINARY

34

Targeting new value pools with new propositions
V2G trial, Meridian Durham Street office, Christchurch

Meridian’s perspective on the retail

customer fundamentally changes

Economic value for customers is based on

reductions in total energy spend

Trials and experience to date have

highlighted the value that can be

created

35

A range of international reference points

have been considered

A new way forward
36

Sharpening our strategy to set us up for success
37

Ngā mihi
Questions

39
25 JUNE 2024

2024 INVESTOR DAY

Meridian’s Benmore Power Station in the Waitaki Valley

Rory Blundell, Group Strategy Manager

Energy system modelling

Meridian’s modelling framework
40

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

41
25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Plausible future scenarios

Demand projections
At an aggregate level, our projections are generally aligned with others.

42

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

60,000

65,000

70,000

75,000

19972001200520092013201720212025202920332037204120452049

Demand for generation [GWh]

Financial Year ended 30 June

Annual NZ Demand for Generation

HistoryEv o

RevoCCC - Reference

CCC - Net Zero

But it’s not clear which trajectory we are on.

§We see EV growth slower at first

than some, but a tipping point

in early-30s, rapid uptake

thereafter: from ~65k today to

500k - 1.1min the coming

decade.

§Industrial electrification via

process heat has huge potential

(4 – 9TWh by 2050).

§50% to (almost) 100%

moregeneration needsto be

built compared to today.

Source: Meridian, He Pou a Rangi Climate Change Commission

2030

EVO

1TWh

REVO

2TWh

2040

EVO

3TWh

REVO

6TWh

2050

EVO

4TWh

REVO

9TWh

Industrial electrification via process heat

-10,000
-5,000

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

202320252027202920312033203520372039204120432045204720492051

Consumer Demand (GWh)

Financial Year ended 30 June

Consumer involvement in electricity markets (REVO)

BESS Charge

Household Batteries/Demand Fle x Charge

Heavy EV Load

Decarbonisation Load

EV Load

BESS Discharge

Household Batteries/Demand Fle x Discharge

Load Participation

Ro o fto p So lar

Consumer involvement

Picking demand is extra hard as it’s the sum of many moving parts.

43

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

And quality and quantity matter.

Source: Meridian

Levelised cost of energy
We believe innovation will deliver technology cost improvements over time, though now starting

from a higher base.

44

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

However, costs of getting stuff done in New Zealand add some stickiness.

Source: Meridian, IRENA

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

$-

$25

$50

$75

$100

$125

$150

$175

$200

201020152020202520302035204020452050

LCOE [2024 NZ$/MWh]

Typical Renewable Technology LCOE

Global history (IRENA) and NZ forecast (WMO23)

wind: MEL rangesol ar: M EL range

on-shore wind (ex China)grid solar (ex-China)

off-shore wind (ex-China)IEA-Avg: wind

IEA-Avg: solarTuritea S+N

Lod es tone Sol arFar North Solar

Kai wera DownsNgatamariki

WaipipiTe H uka

Ta uha raGeo Futures

Ha rap akiNZWF

Mt C assKai wera Downs II

IRENA global LCOE historyMeridian LCOE forecasts

geothermal

$-
$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

19972001200520092013201720212025202920332037204120452049

TWAP [$/MWh

-


real 2023]

Average Annual NZ Price Outlook at Ōtāhuhu

WMO23

History

NI Hist ory (real)

History-Avg

Wholesale price outlook

Putting it all together, you get Real prices ~$115/MWh in the North Island for the next 15 years or so.

45

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Before the combined effects of demand and supply-side innovation pulls prices down.

Source: Meridian

EVO

REVO

EVO

REVO

REVO

EVO

50 %
60 %

70%

80%

90 %

100%

110%

120%

130%

140%

2002200620102014201820222026203020342038204220462050

GWAP/TWAP

Financial Year ended 30 June

Example - Annual Price Participation

HistoryWaitaki chainManapōuriWindSolar

Price participation

Average prices hide a very dynamic system.

46

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Prices will need to keep adapting to the changing physical market to drive the right investment.

Source: Meridian

Flexibility
Significant investment in flexibility required no matter how you look at it.

47

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

And thermal generation needed for some time to come.

Source: Meridian

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

2023202620292032203520382041204420472050

Firming Requirement (GWh)

Financial Year ended 30 June

Within Week Firming Requirements - EVO

Batteries and Demand Flexibilit y

Lo ad Participation

Fossil Peakers

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

2023202620292032203520382041204420472050

Firming Requirement (GWh)

Financial Year ended 30 June

Within Week Firming Requirements - REVO

Gr id-S cale BE SS

Fossil Peakers

Lo ad Participation

Distributed Batteries and Demand Flexibility

Source: Meridian

Conclusions
§We have a mature analytical framework to explore, understand and ultimately answer

strategic issues facing Meridian and the market within a volatile future environment.

§Our plausible scenarios indicate what electricity generation “could” look like – we

acknowledge we won’t get it right.

§Overall, our view on long-run prices has lifted, primarily due to increased build costs of

new renewables to sit around $115/MWh (real, North Island) for the next 15 years or so.

§We back innovation to keep downward pressure on real prices in the long-run.

§Firming all the new renewables does not look trivial. We need lots of it across all time

scales.

§Demand-side participation will play a critical role, starting now.

§The energy transition won’t be a straight-line – constrained gas is a current issue, but there

will be others along the way – we’ll need to keep adapting.

48

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

49
25 JUNE 2024

2024 INVESTOR DAY

Blade transportation at Meridian’s Harapaki Wind Farm in Hawke’s Bay

Rebecca Knott – Head of Renewable Development

Development pipeline

50
2024 INVESTOR DAY25 JUNE 2024

Changes from Feb 2024

Ruakākā solar →Q3 2026

Manawatū battery →Q1 2027

Waikato solar ←from secured options

Western Bays solar ←from secured options

Waiinu wind ←Q4 2029

Swannanoa solar +70MW

Waiinu solar +110MW

Waiinu Energy Park
§Near Waiinu Beach and Waitōtara, South

Taranaki and 42km north-west of Whanganui.

§Wind generation (max) 350MW, 50

turbines; Solar array (max) 400MW, BESS.

§Maximum annual generation ~2,000GWh

(enough to power ~285,000 average homes).

§Two ‘blocks’ of privately owned land 4,700ha

and 600ha approximately.

§One of the largest economic renewable energy

development opportunities in New Zealand.

§Project investment of approximately $1.5B–$1.7B.

§Estimated 450 to 550 direct full-time equivalent

jobs at the peak of construction activities.

§Est. annual operational costs of $26M-$32M p.a.

§Up to 20 direct full-time equivalent jobs.

51

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Location and indicative layout of the Waiinu Energy Park

Western Bays solar development
§Western side of Lake Taupō and east of

Bunnythorpe to Whakamaru 220kV

transmissions lines.

§Maximum capacity of 500MW; located within ~

630ha of privately owned farmland.

§Maximum annual generation ~940GWh,

(enough to power ~135,000 average homes).

§Project investment of approximately $800M.

§On dairy farmland elevated 100 metres above

the level of Lake Taupō.

§Land use change would achieve lower nutrient

footprint than the existing (farm) land use (strict

nutrient limits apply to the catchment).

52

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Location and indicative layout of the Western Bays solar project

53
25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Prospecting

Iwi and community engagement
54

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Mt Munro pop-in shop in Eketāhuna

We are committed to engagement in both Fast

Track or traditional RMA route.

RMA is the Resource Management Act

55
Guy Waipara, General Manager Development

Consenting

25 JUNE 2024

2024 INVESTOR DAY

cElver trap and transfer in the Waitaki Valley

Past project consenting
§Widely recognised that Resource Management Act (RMA) is expensive and time consuming.

§Increasing delays and complexity are obvious.

56

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

ProjectTurbines Average

homes

Council

hearing days

Environment Court

hearing days

Number of consent

conditions

LodgedFinal Decision issued

Te Apiti5530,0001N/A2019 June 20033 September 2003

White Hill2922,0003N/A306 October 200421 December 2004

West Wind6273,00017181141 July 200520 July 2007

North Bank Tunnel

(not built)

Hydro300,0002711-12 October 200623 November 2010

Hayes

(not built)

176263,00019329012 July 2006

16 August 2010

(High Court decision)

Mill Creek2634,00026119012 March 200816 February 2012

Central Wind

(not built)

5250,0001031095 May 200814 June 2010

Hurunui

(not built)

2831,000N/A2611421 February 20114 November 2013

Ruakākā BESS

Battery

storage

50,000

(2 hours)

N/AN/A4318 July 20221 November 2022

77

days

988

days

77days

750days

1,504

days

1,497days

1,437days

771

days

107days

-
10

20

30

4 0

50

6 0

1975198019851990199520002005201020152020202520302035204020452050

TWh

Wholesale market outlook generation mix

BESS + Demand Response

Thermal

Grid Solar

Distributed Solar

Geothermal

Wind

Hydro

The new consenting

and development

challenge

Future consenting

57

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

The re-consenting

and re-powering

challenge

§Achieving high levels of electrification requires fit for purpose approval pathways for both

new development and reconsenting and repowering.

Source: Meridian

Current Meridian consenting
58

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Fast Track Approvals Bill (FTAB)
§Part of a programme of RMA Reforms that

the Government proposes to implement.

§Submissions closed 19 April and the Select

Committee is scheduled to report back to

Parliament by 7 September.

§The date by which the legislation might be

passed and operative, will depend on

legislative priorities in 2024.

§In parallel, the Government established a

Fast Track Advisory Group to review projects

for incorporation into the FTAB.

§Aspects of the FTAB are contentious, most

notably the role of Ministerial decision

making and the schedules of projects not

being public information.

59

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Lake Ruataniwha, near Twizel, part of Meridian’s Waitaki hydro scheme

Meridian and the FTAB
§Meridian has experienced the systemic

problems the FTAB is seeking to address.

§Meridian has nominated projects for the

FTAB that have significant scale, good

economics and that are not already in a

process for approval.

§Meridian has proposed two projects to be

scheduled:

§Waiinu Energy Park, South Taranaki,

§Western Bays Solar, Western Taupō.

§Meridian and other sector participants are

seeking changesthat would improve the

durability of the processes and

accommodatereconsenting and

repowering.

60

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Meridian’s Manapōuri Power Station in the Fiordland National Park

Meridian’s Waitaki reconsenting
61

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

62
25 JUNE 2024

2024 INVESTOR DAY

Tania Palmer – General Manager Generation

Generation

Machine hall at

Meridian’s Manapōuri

power station in the

Fiordland National Park

Generation team strategy
63

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

A foundation for growth and flex
§Meridian’s hydro portfolio and our operational

excellence allows us to manage complexity well

and has set foundation for growth and flex.

§Largest hydro fleet in Aotearoa: 2,479MW, seven

power stations.

§Our Strategic Asset Management Plan enables us

to pivot (and we’re really good at it).

§We transitioned from Ōhau refurbishment to

Manapōuri automation upgrades in 2021.

§Things became complex with transformer

failures in 2022/23.

§Low service factor

1

combined with high availability

and capacity factor

2

means headroom.

§Meridian’s capacity factor average is 56%.

§Allows us to manage unplanned events like

extended Manapōuri transformer outages.

64

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

1

% of time hydro is online

2

% of time we generate at full load

§3 other levers to pull:

§Use other catchments & wind (days-weeks)

§Reduce contract position (weeks-months)

§Call swaption (2 months+).

0

2, 0 00

4,000

6,000

8,000

10 , 00 0

12 ,0 0 0

14, 0 00

16, 00 0

0%

20 %

40%

60%

80%

10 0 %

20 1 220 1 320 1 420 1 520 1 620 1 720 1 820 1 920 2 020 2 120 2 220 2 320 2 4

year ended 30 June

Meridian hydro performance

AvailabilitySe r vice Fa ct or

Capacity Factor GWh out put (RHS )

Ōhau refurb

starts

NZAS

contract

termination

Ōhau refurb

paused.

Manapōuri

programme

starts

Transformer

gassing. 2

units out

Wind Farm performance
§Five operational wind farms, soon to be six.

§Different maintenance models (full outsource;

insource; hybrid)for each wind farmhas meant we

are robust against failure ofOEMs

1

.

§Demand for trained turbine technicians is very high

in NZ and filling vacancies is challenging withan

increasing build pipeline. Meridian having the

capability to train new technicians and retention

is important.

§The ability to source major components is vital to

maintaining the availability of existing wind assets.

Current stock is about $19M covering 12-24 months

consumptiondue to long lead times from Europe.

§Our wind farms have high-capacity factors due to

good wind resource. These average around 40%.

European offshore average is 36% and onshore

24%. Australian average is 35%.

§High wind speeds also mean turbines suffer more

stress withhigher maintenance costs in later years.

65

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

1

Original equipment manufacturers

0%

20 %

40%

60%

80%

10 0 %

Jan-16Nov-16Se p- 17Jul- 18Ma y-19Ma r-2 0Jan-21Nov-21Se p- 22Jul- 23

Meridian Wind Farm availability

Te Api tiWhite HillWest WindTe UkuMi ll C re e k

Te Āpiti

remediation

White Hill

remediation

§We own some of New Zealand’s oldest wind farms and

have invested in rectifyingmanufacturing defects.

§These remediations have returned wind farms like Te Āpiti

and White Hill to high availability.

66
25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

A new operating model
§Our 2022 transformation to a new operating model has enabled growth and flexibility with some key

accomplishments in last 18 months.

67

25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Additional 15MW growth in output of existing assets by

removing control system constraints.

YTD spot revenue uplift of $7M from Manapōuri and Benmore.

New MW uplift across hydro in FY24 has cost us less than $1M.

Grow renewable generationDeliver operational excellence

Grow our dispatchable MW capacity

capacity

Build operational flex and agility while

sustaining excellent asset productivity

Our key

initiatives

Our

priorities

ProjectInstalled

MW

Operating

MW

Growth

(new MW)

Manapōuri875896

1

+21MW

Benmore540570+30MW

Ōhau A264254

Aviemore220220

Ōhau B212212

+12MW to

+16MW

2

Ōhau C212212

Waitaki105105

15 to 128 additional MWs to supply circa 200 additional

peak demand periods annually through operational

flexibility initiatives.

§Flexible outage scheduling

§Off peak outage scheduling

§Hydro outages scheduled during high wind.

58 fewer annual routine outage days through

maintenance innovation.

§Maintenance review and rationalisation

§Realising benefit from automation upgrades.

1

Overall station output remains the same at 800MW due to discharge consent limitations

2

Dependent on Transpowerdispensation approval

68
25 JUNE 2024

2024 INVESTOR DAY

Neal Barclay, Chief Executive

Closing

Meridian’s West Wind Farm near Wellington

69
25 JUNE 2024

2024 INVESTOR DAY

Meridian’s strategy map

Meridian’s West Wind Farm near Wellington

70
25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

71
25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

72
25 JUNE 20242024 INVESTOR DAY

Meridian Retail sources, references and disclaimers
Page 34: Content supplied during McKinsey review, 2023

1.All numbers are indicative. For solar, battery, EVs, home electrification, process heat: each value pool is split by market segment – mass market and C&I.

Calculation of segment values pools estimated by total value pool ($) multiplied by Meridian share (30%). Total value pool ($) i s the product of value chain

margin components ($/MW) x annual installed capacity (MW) + cumulative electricity consumption ($). Margin of value chain components include CAPEX,

installation, financing. Cumulative electricity consumption = sum of installed capacity since 2023 x average margin on electricity for customer segment. Assumes

average retail margin for residential and C&I customers in 2023 = assumes average retail margin for residential and C&I customers in 2023. For demand

response: value pool is split by mass market and C&I. Calculation of segment values pools estimated by total value pool ($) multiplied by Meridian share (30%).

For mass market, total value pool ($) is the product of cumulative energy from battery, EV, heat pumps x wholesale arbitrage price. For C&I, total value pool ($) is

the product of cumulative energy from battery, process heat x wholesale arbitrage price;

2.Key drivers of value pool estimate include 2-hr flexibility for C&I segment and Meridian share capture of 30%;

3.Key drivers of value pool estimate include hours of operation (5280 hrs), linear electrification of process heat and Meridian share capture of 30%.

73

Page 32: Content supplied during McKinsey review, 2023

Page 33: Content supplied during McKinsey review, 2023

74
Disclaimer

The information in this presentation was prepared by Meridian

Energy with due care and attention. However, the information is

supplied in summary form and is therefore not necessarily complete,

and no representation is made as to the accuracy, completeness or

reliability of the information. In addition, neither the company nor

any of its directors, employees, shareholders nor any other person

shall have liability whatsoever to any person for any loss (including,

without limitation, arising from any fault or negligence) arising from

this presentation or any information supplied in connection with it.

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and

projections. These reflect Meridian’s current expectations, based on

what it thinks are reasonable assumptions. Meridian gives no

warranty or representation as to its future financial performance or

any future matter. Except as required by law or NZX or ASX listing

rules, Meridian is not obliged to update this presentation after its

release, even if things change materially.

This presentation does not constitute financial advice. Further, this

presentation is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or

a solicitation of an offer to buy Meridian Energy securities and may

not be relied upon in connection with any purchase of Meridian

Energy securities.

This presentation contains a number of non-GAAP financial

measures, including Energy Margin, EBITDAF, Underlying NPAT and

gearing. Because they are not defined by GAAP or IFRS, Meridian's

calculation of these measures may differ from similarly titled

measures presented by other companies and they should not be

considered in isolation from, or construed as an alternative to, other

financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP. Although

Meridian believes they provide useful information in measuring the

financial performance and condition of Meridian's business, readers

are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these non-GAAP

financial measures.

The information contained in this presentation should be considered

in conjunction with the company’s condensed financial statements

for the six months ended 31 December 2023, available at:

www.meridianenergy.co.nz/about-us/investors

All currency amounts are in New Zealand dollars unless stated

otherwise.

2024 INVESTOR DAY25 JUNE 2024

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.