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ArborGen Climate Statements FY 2024

ESG30 July 2024ARBIndustrials

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CLIMATE

STATEMENTS

FY 2024



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Table of Contents


Introduction 2

Governance 3

Strategy 4

Risk Management 13

Metrics and Targets 14

Appendix: Methods, assumptions and limitations 21







IMPORTANT NOTICE

ArborGen makes no representations as to this report’s accuracy, completeness or reliability, in particular in

relation to assumptions regarding future events. It expressly disclaims responsibility for, and makes no

representation, and gives no warranty, assurance or guarantee, as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of

any contents of this report. To the greatest extent possible under New Zealand law, it also expressly disclaims all

liability for any loss (direct, indirect, consequential, or otherwise) or damage arising from the use of this report.



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Welcome to our Climate Statements for FY24


As a horticultural business, ArborGen Holdings Limited’s (ArborGen, "we" or "our") operations are inherently

linked with climate. Climate change presents both risks and opportunities for our business. Identifying,

monitoring, mitigating and responding to climate-related events forms an integral part of ArborGen’s strategy

and operations. ArborGen uses climate related opportunities to understand how we serve people, customers

and shareholders, govern the company and protect the natural environment.

This report contains our first climate statements under the Aotearoa New Zealand Climate Standards and

covers ArborGen's financial year from 1 April 2023 to 31 March 2024.

We have provided our current assessment of the climate-related impacts, risks, and opportunities material and

relevant to ArborGen's business. This report is a point-in-time assessment based on assumptions regarding the

future which are inherently uncertain, often outside our control and likely to change. Where relevant, these

limitations are set out in this report.

We will continue to monitor the potential impacts of climate change on our business.

For this year, ArborGen has elected to use the following adoption provisions:

Adoption provision Commentary

Adoption provisions 1 and 2:

Current and anticipated

financial impacts

A qualitative description of the current and anticipated financial impacts

has been provided. A quantitative assessment of financial impacts will be

disclosed in our second reporting period.

Adoption provision 3:

Transition planning


As part of its annual strategy review, ArborGen will progress towards

developing its transition plan. Climate-related risks and opportunities

will be an ongoing part of ArborGen's strategic planning process.

Adoption provision 4: Scope

3 GHG emissions

Scope 3 emissions will be reported in our second reporting period.

Adoption provision 6 and 7:

Comparatives and trends

ArborGen is at the early stage of its emissions measurement journey and

FY24 is the first year of reported data.


ArborGen confirms these climate statements comply with the Aotearoa New Zealand Climate Standards.




David Knott Paul Smart

Chairman of the Board Chair Audit and Risk Committee


30 July 2024



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Governance

Board of Directors

The ArborGen Board is responsible for the oversight of climate-related impacts, risks and opportunities. Due to

the size and nature of the business, the whole Board takes overall responsibility for sustainability and climate-

related risks and opportunities. The Board also reviews ArborGen's ESG and sustainability policies regularly.

The ArborGen Directors possess competencies in this area and all Directors are responsible for continuous

training and keeping themselves informed on relevant climate issues. ArborGen's Board competency

framework includes skills and experience relating to climate risk as a relevant consideration. The Board will

continue to have information from relevant climate experts as part of the Board schedule to monitor new

developments.

To assist the Board, the Audit and Risk Committee (ARC) identifies and considers all relevant climate matters at

least annually and as significant risks and opportunities arise. ArborGen has also engaged external experts to

provide additional knowledge and assist with disclosures and reporting.

The Board generally meets at least four times per year and receives recommendations and insights from

management and the ARC, including on climate-related issues. The Board reviews these reports and ensures

proper implementation of internal controls and risk management processes. As part of its annual strategy

review, the Board considers the influence of climate change and devises strategies for the short, medium and

long term.

ArborGen is at the early stage of its carbon measurement journey. With the data now available, ArborGen will

consider appropriate targets and initiatives to achieve them. The Board will approve these metrics and on an

annual basis monitor progress against these targets through regular reporting from management.

Management’s role


Day-to-day responsibility for identifying and

implementing strategic initiatives related to climate

risk and carbon emissions sits with the executive

team.


ArborGen appointed a new VP Operations, starting

in March 2024, with delegated responsibility from

the CEO to identify, manage and report climate-

related issues.


Management report to the ARC, and the Board, on

climate related risks and opportunities on a

quarterly basis. Management is responsible for

assessing the impact of climate on the business

and ensuring mitigation plans are in place.





Board

• Oversight and governance

Audit and Risk Committee

• Additional risk assessment of climate related activities

• Review appropriate countermeasures to mitigate risks

Management

• Vice President of Operations – ensures overall climate

risks are continuously assessed and reviewed. Ensures

controls are in place to mitigate risks

• Chief Financial Officer – ensure compliance to policies,

ensure risks are appropriately assessed and scenario

analysis is financially assessed and reported.


Each business unit is also tasked with identifying climate-related risks and opportunities relevant to their

function. ArborGen's risk register is updated with any new material information.




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Strategy

ArborGen is the leading provider of advanced genetics seedlings for the forest industry. We use our technology

platform, production capabilities and sales and marketing to transform forest productivity.

ArborGen is committed to conducting business in the right way, ethically and in line with legal and regulatory

obligations, to ensure we add long term value to staff, contractors, shareholders and other stakeholders. Our

ESG principles provide meaning beyond just commercial gain, and look to how we serve our stakeholders,

govern the company and protect the natural environment for now and the future.

Current climate-related impacts

As a horticultural business, climate risks are inherent to the sector. Managing these risks is a critical part of

business management and a specific item in our risk register. In addition, the increasing emphasis on the role

trees can play in offsetting carbon emissions through sequestration is creating new climate-related

opportunities for ArborGen.

Currently ArborGen has sites across the southern part of the United States (Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia,

Florida, Texas, and South Carolina) and multiple locations in Brazil (mainly in the southern regions).

As our business operates mostly outdoors, we face risks from excessive rains, hail, freezing, hurricanes, drought

and excessive heat. In the past, we have had entire crops destroyed at individual locations due to extreme

weather events, so ArborGen knows what extreme weather can do to our business.

Climate and weather and the impacts it can have on our business are, and have been, ingrained into our

business practices for more than 30 years. We feel confident that we have already taken many steps to protect

our assets from extreme weather, in particular excessive rains.

Table 1 – Current climate-related impacts

Business area ArborGen’s current physical and transition climate-related impacts for

FY24

Business model (including

operations) and value chain

A series of extreme weather events across ArborGen’s Southern US

operations caused varying degrees of damage to nurseries and orchards.

Significant events included a severe hail event in the US that impacted

ArborGen’s Jasper nursery with an estimated crop loss of 8 million seedlings.

In May 2024; Jasper, TX, Bullard TX, Livingston TX and Bluff City AR

experienced approximately 30% of its average annual rainfall in this one

month. This impacted ArborGen’s planting and production practices that are

both critical for timely growth of seedlings and fulfilling customers' orders.

Operating costs

The impact of extreme weather events on ArborGen has resulted in

increased insurance claims and operational costs due to damaged

nurseries, orchards and other infrastructure. In 2023, ArborGen filed a

significant insurance claim for damage to its nursery in Bluff City AR,

following an intense weather period.

While it isn’t a material impact in this current reporting year, ArborGen will

continue to monitor insurance claims related to climate-related events.

ArborGen has acknowledged that the costs incurring from damage to our key

infrastructure and product, could be material in the future.


Based on this history, and our current strategy, we consider that we are well positioned to mitigate risks and

respond to opportunities arising from the transition to a low-emissions, climate resilient future.



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Climate scenario analysis

To prepare our first climate statements under the Aotearoa New Zealand Climate Standards, we conducted a

standalone climate scenario

1

analysis process to identify material climate-related impacts, risks and

opportunities across three different futures and test our business. Scenario analysis is a strategic tool for

understanding and exploring how the future may develop under conditions of uncertainty. The outcome of this

process will be used to inform ArborGen's strategy.

This process involved:

• Engaging external consultants (WSP New Zealand Ltd) to support our climate scenario analysis, our

identification and assessment of climate-related risks and opportunities, and the development of some

metrics for vulnerability to climate-related physical and transition risks.


• Running a series of workshops with its staff and executive management (Chief Executive, Chief Financial

Officer, Vice President of Operations, and General Manager of Operations (Brazil)), which involved:


− starting with publicly available information for the agricultural sector;

− defining scenario parameters for ArborGen's climate scenarios;

− aligning ArborGen’s climate scenarios with the Aotearoa New Zealand Climate Standards and

accompanying guidance from the External Reporting Board (XRB) and Financial Markets Authority;

− refining ArborGen's scenario narratives and climate-related risks and opportunities; and

− identifying metrics for physical and transition risks, and climate-related opportunities.


• Board review, consideration, and approval of the scenario analysis process and outcomes.

We have not conducted any modelling, nor quantitative financial impact assessments.

We consider that the scenarios below are the most relevant and appropriate to assessing ArborGen's resilience

and strategy because they are built on widely-used, international baselines adapted to ArborGen's primary

production areas.


Time horizons

We selected three time horizons for our climate scenarios and climate-related risks and opportunities aligned

with our production lifecycles for our seedlings and forecasted adoption of advanced genetics.

Table 2 – Time horizons

Time horizon Year Rationale

Short term 2024-2030 1-7 years, aligned with seedling production cycle

Medium term 2031-2040 7-15 years, reflecting seedling maturation and the increasing

uptake of advanced genetics in the market across the US and

Brazil forestry sector

Long term 2041-2050 >15 years, through to 2050



1

Climate scenarios are plausible and challenging descriptions of how the future might look; they are not predictive or

probabilistic. Scenario pathways are developed based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about key

driving forces and relationships covering both physical and transition risks in an integrated manner.



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Data sources

To develop climate scenarios relevant to ArborGen’s operational geographies in South America and the

Southern US (the states of Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Florida, Texas, and South Carolina), we selected the

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Changes (IPCC’s) SSP-RCP

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global scenarios and pathways.

ArborGen uses weather and climate data from the United States federal agency the National Oceanic and

Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) for its Southern US operations and Probable Futures for operations in

Brazil.

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Through these data sources, ArborGen can assess exposure to climate hazards across its sites. This can

be used for the long term planning and as a tool within ArborGen’s risk management framework for its physical

climate-related risks and opportunities.

Table 3: Scenario archetypes used to construct ArborGen's scenarios

Scenario archetypes Orderly Too little, too late Hot house world

Shared Socio-

economic Pathways

(SSP-RCP)

SSP1-1.9: Sustainability,

very low GHG emissions

SSP2-4.5:

Middle of the road,

low GHG emissions

SSP3-7.0:

Regional Rivalry, high GHG

emissions

Representative

Concentration

Pathways (RCP)

RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5


Temperature outcomes and emissions reduction pathways

ArborGen’s climate scenarios focus on three temperature outcomes and emissions pathways aligned with the

requirements of the XRB. These support us in exploring the diverging risks and opportunities of each scenario

pathway.



2

Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) are baseline narrative scenarios that identify socio-economic assumptions,

geopolitical assumptions and economic and technological trends. These form the basis for modelling the IPCC’s SSP-RCP

scenarios, which combine the baseline SSP scenarios with radiative forcing levels from the Representative Concentration

Pathways (RCPs) to impose global warming targets.

3

With limited climate science and data publicly available for Brazil, ArborGen has referenced the Probable Futures data on

climate projections for Brazil. Probable Futures is a not-for-profit climate literacy initiative that uses a simulation framework:

CORDEX-CORE(8). The scale of data provided through this source creates a notable degree of confidence.



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Table 4: Temperature outcomes and emissions pathways for each scenario

Scenario archetypes Orderly Too little, too late Hot house world

Temperature outcome

(2100)

1.5°C 2.7°C >3.0°C

Temperature outcome

at endpoint (2050)

1.6°C 2.0°C 2.1°C

Emissions pathway SSP1–1.9: “The world

shifts gradually, but

pervasively, toward a

more sustainable path,

emphasising more

inclusive development

that respects perceived

environmental

boundaries.”

SSP2–4.5: “The world

follows a path in which

social, economic, and

technological trends do

not shift markedly from

historical patterns.

Development and

income growth proceeds

unevenly, with some

countries making

relatively good progress

while others fall short of

expectations.”

SSP3–7.0: “A resurgent

nationalism, concerns

about competitiveness

and security, and regional

conflicts push countries to

increasingly focus on

domestic or, at most,

regional issues. Policies

shift over time to become

increasingly oriented

toward national and

regional security issues.”


Underlying assumptions

ArborGen’s scenarios draw on the underlying assumptions of the IPCC SSP-RCP scenarios and emission

reduction pathways. These scenarios cover the assumptions required to be disclosed by the XRB, including:

policy and socioeconomic assumptions; macroeconomic trends; energy pathways; carbon sequestration from

afforestation and nature-based solutions and technology assumptions including negative emissions

technology. ArborGen’s intention is to ground its selected scenarios in credible and commonly adopted

assumptions to create logical climate scenarios for primary users to compare against others in the same sector.

The IPCC’s scenarios qualify.


ArborGen’s scenario narratives

Development of ArborGen’s scenario narratives was informed by an understanding of driving forces that have

the greatest influence in shaping future outcomes for ArborGen.

These tables provide narrative descriptions of ArborGen’s three climate scenarios.

Table 5: Orderly scenario

End of century global

temperature outcome

Relative level of

physical impacts

Relative level of

transition impacts

SSP-RCP scenario

1.5°C

Moderate (in the short-

medium term)

High (in the short term) SSP1-1.9


The world moves deliberately toward prioritising the health of the planet. Governments work together to achieve

the Paris Agreement’s Net Zero 2050 pledge and the commitments of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity

Framework. Biodiversity and the wellbeing of people significantly improves. ArborGen encounters generally

stable economic and environmental conditions and continues to work in an orderly manner to adapt to climate

change.



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Consumer behaviour shifts, prioritising both sustainability and re-use of materials as well as an increased focus

on carbon sequestration. ArborGen experiences increased sales to supply stock for reforestation and

afforestation projects. Forestry remains an attractive sector to work in. ArborGen benefits from this and

promotes itself as an employer of choice in an environmentally conscious society.

The increasingly challenging climate grows demand for trees with increased resistance to climate and

pathogens. ArborGen invests in research and development to diversify its seedling varieties. Technology

advancement eases the pressure of labour shortages as the adoption of automated methods makes ArborGen’s

operations more efficient and resilient.

The physical impacts of climate change still present challenges to ArborGen in an Orderly scenario, including

periods of drought and flooding events. Climate events occur periodically but due to active investment in

resilient materials for the infrastructure of its orchards and nurseries, ArborGen is prepared and anticipated

impacts are manageable.

Banks and other lenders prioritise sustainability. This creates significant opportunities for ArborGen to utilise

green bonds and sustainability linked loans (SLLs). Many of ArborGen’s customers also have increased access

to capital associated with sustainability linked lending.

Strong land-use change regulation is enforced to protect ecosystems. Deforestation is eliminated completely in

some regions and vastly restricted in others. ArborGen’s customers are incentivised to scale up reforestation

and afforestation projects with the prioritisation of sustainable materials (timber) and new policy for carbon

sequestration and reforestation. This demand generates more sales for ArborGen.

Table 6: Too little, too late scenario

End of century global

temperature outcome

Relative level of

physical impacts

Relative level of

transition impacts

SSP-RCP scenario

>2.0°C

Moderate (in the short-

medium term) - High (in

the long term)

Moderate (in the short

term) – Severe (in the

medium term)

SSP2-4.5


Uncoordinated policy ambition and unsuccessful transition planning globally sees worsening physical climate

change impacts and geopolitical tensions. Abrupt policy changes in the medium to long term exacerbate

inequalities in society, sectors, and regions. Political parties globally eventually coordinate priorities and efforts

to deal with climate change, but displacement and impact has been realised for and on communities,

ecosystems, and industries.

Under this scenario, ArborGen’s business faces increased extreme weather events and related challenges.

Some growing seasons shift, impacting ArborGen’s distribution cycles while changing regional climates require

ArborGen to relocate some orchards and nurseries. Adaptation methods are implemented for both ArborGen’s

infrastructure and processes, including modified growing methods and continued research into advanced

genetics to create seedlings better suited to the evolving climate. ArborGen invests in resilient materials for the

infrastructure of its orchards and nurseries to reduce the impact of extreme weather events. After 2050 physical

climate change impacts worsen.

Unlike farming and other industries in the primary industries sector, forestry incentivises jobs and the

desirability to work through its known contribution to the bioeconomy and carbon sequestration. This creates

greater opportunity for ArborGen to become an employer of choice and increases the supply of available labour

and labour flexibility to ArborGen.

Consumer behaviour shifts towards prioritising carbon sequestration as a positive mitigation for the transition

towards a low carbon world in the late 2030s. This increases demand from ArborGen’s customers for seedling

stock.



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The role of carbon sequestration and reforestation becomes prominent in attempts to stabilise carbon

emissions. To match this demand, ArborGen invests in technologies for developing genetically advanced

seedlings that maximise carbon sequestration. ArborGen experiences a significant uptake in sales to boost

forestry. The increasing necessity for resilience in trees sees ArborGen invest in technologies to strengthen the

adaptability of its seedlings.

Table 7: Hot house world scenario

End of century global

temperature outcome

Relative level of

physical impacts

Relative level of

transition impacts

SSP-RCP scenario

>3.0°C Moderate - High (by the

medium term) – High (in

the long term)

Low (with a slow but

steady increase over

time)

SSP3-7.0


The world continues with business as usual for the coming decades. Globally, an economic and social

development focus built on fossil-fuel intensive growth yields little climate regulation.

ArborGen is frequently impacted by extreme weather events including flooding, hurricanes, and drought, leading

to possible supply chain disruptions and changes in customer buying behavior. To cope with the severity of

events ArborGen invests in resilient materials for the infrastructure of its orchards and nurseries to reduce the

impact of extreme weather events. After 2050 physical climate change impacts worsen significantly.

Severe flooding events erode soil and ArborGen’s bare root seedlings are exposed, leading to damage.

Hurricanes and flooding drive ArborGen to diversify its locations across the US and Brazil to increase the

security of its stocks. Drought sees increasing restrictions on water and changes to soil composition which are

vital components for successful seedling growth. The conditions become increasingly favorable for pests and

pathogens.

The need for adaptation and resilient infrastructure re-builds sees an increase demand for building materials

including timber. ArborGen is a key player in this increase. Distribution times may be impacted by seedling

production and supply chain disruptions through climate-related events. Input costs associated with carbon are

likely to increase.

In the long term, access to labour is impacted as migrant workers are disrupted by extreme weather events and

the inability to travel. ArborGen’s Brazil operations rely on migrant workers, and productivity is negatively

impacted.

The frequency and severity of extreme weather events spotlights the advantage of genetics technology to

increase the adaptability of seedlings and trees to unfavorable conditions. The US government reconsiders its

stance on biotechnology in the forestry sector and creates incentives to financially sustain the sector.

ArborGen invests into technologies to both strengthen the resilience of its seedlings and increase the carbon

capture capacity, gaining a competitive advantage.

Impact assessment of climate-related risks and opportunities

The key climate issues and related physical and transition impacts for ArborGen are in table 8.

We will continue to monitor and consider these risks and opportunities as part of our internal capital

deployment and funding decisions. Climate related risks and risk mitigation is one of the criteria for capital

deployment and funding decisions as it is a key for risk mitigation. For example, we are currently reviewing

investments in key locations both in South America and the Southern US to ensure production is diversified

across the region. Additionally, ensuring production is split across a diverse area will mitigate not only weather-

related events, but also ensure supply chain risks are mitigated. All funding decisions are made by the ArborGen

leadership team, which includes the CEO, CFO, Vice President of Operations, and the Sales Director. All

investments are also taken to the Board for approval.



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Table 8: Impact assessment for ArborGen's climate-related transition, physical risks and

opportunities for FY24

Risk / opportunity Type Potential business impacts Risk rating

Weather related events

including excessive

sudden rain, freeze

events, drought

conditions, hurricanes

Physical risk

Climate-related risks and weather events

are material risks within ArborGen’s

existing Risk Management Framework.

The nature of ArborGen’s operations

make climate and weather an integral

part of its business operations across all

geographies. ArborGen's seedling

production cycle is highly dependent on

consistent weather, with extreme

weather events already causing

significant damage. Sudden heavy rainfall

within the first 4-6 weeks post-planting

can wash out seeds and damage

seedlings, while pre-lifting heavy rain

creates anaerobic conditions that harm

seedling roots. Freeze events before and

during lifting can cause root damage and

freeze events that occur during

pollination reduce annual seed volumes

and harvests.

Increased hurricane frequency leads to

large-scale damage to orchards and

nurseries, potentially necessitating

relocation. Higher temperatures cause

early seedling development, shortening

seasons and can affect the timing of

flower bagging - while hot, dry conditions

negatively impact seed germination.

Additionally, weather impacts also affect

ArborGen's critical infrastructure causing

delay and disruption to business

activities.

Short term Medium

Medium term High

Long term Very High

Climate change disrupts

supply chain including

labour

Physical and

transition risk

Climate change can significantly impact

ArborGen’s supply chain and labour

forces, primarily through extreme

weather events. Disruptions such as

flooding, and droughts can damage

infrastructure, delay transportation, and

interrupt production schedules, leading

to increased costs and inventory

shortages. There are periods of

production where ArborGen requires

increased labour levels, and there is a

likelihood of climate weather events

disrupting the flow of labour and

resources to orchards and nurseries

throughout the US and Brazil. For the

geographically isolated nurseries and

orchards, particularly those in Northern

Brazil, accessibility may be limited in the

case of extreme weather events

restricting supply. In Brazil, the already

limited window of planting could be

disrupted if the supply chain is

implicated, resulting in late deliveries to

key customers.

Short term Low

Medium term Low – Medium

Long term Medium



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Risk / opportunity Type Potential business impacts Risk rating


Failure to meet customer

and stakeholder

expectations regarding

climate risks and their

management

Transition risk

ArborGen has a responsibility to its

stakeholders and customers to uphold

their expectations when it comes to

climate risk and management. Failure to

meet these expectations could lead to

reduced investor confidence and

potentially lower stock valuations.

Inaction or ineffective action to take

steps to improve ArborGen’s climate

responsibility may also impact customer

perception of the brand and the

confidence they have in the ArborGen

product. Failure to comply with new and

developing climate regulations set in the

USA and Brazil, is likely to diminish

stakeholder confidence.

Short term Low

Medium term Low

Long term Medium

Introduction of industry-

related regulations and

other market complexities

influencing consumer and

customer demand

Transition risk

The demand for ArborGen’s seedlings

can change due to various factors,

including shifts in consumer preferences,

larger economic trends and regulatory

changes. The market for ArborGen

products may also face turbulent periods

in times of regulatory change in areas

aimed at biodiversity protections,

reducing deforestation and other

sustainability practices. ArborGen has

invested in the production of a core range

of seedlings, therefore, if regulations and

other factors were to cause shifts in

demand for those seedlings this would

require a significant change to

ArborGen’s business model. Increased

costs may also flow from a shift in

customer preference towards FSC

certified products. Increased costs will

be incurred in obtaining this certification

and maintaining it. Acute weather events

and chronic climatic changes, potentially

reducing supply, will have an impact on

general market demand and prices for

seedlings. Where the demand fluctuates,

there is a risk that ArborGen may not have

the required inventory levels.

Short term Low

Medium term Low

Long term Low



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Risk / opportunity Type Potential business impacts Risk rating


Increased demand for

advanced genetics

seedlings which have

greater resistance to

disease, weather and

pests

Opportunity There is an opportunity for ArborGen to

continue increasing investment into

research and development in its pursuit of

breeding seedling varieties with greater

resistance and adaptability to disease,

weather and pests. Product diversification

will help to protect ArborGen from any

potential changes in the market for its core

product offerings. There is potential to

partner with other projects and companies

to strategically increase investment into

R&D. Partnerships can also provide an

opportunity whereby partners can produce

ArborGen’s own genetic material – without

requiring a need for expanding ArborGen’s

own nurseries and orchards. As customer

demand and preferences for sustainable

products increases over time, there is an

opportunity to increase investment and

production of genetic material in seedlings

with enhanced carbon sequestration.

Short term Medium

Medium term Medium

Long term Medium - High

Increased customer

demand for seedlings

for afforestation and

reforestation

Opportunity As the market increasingly shifts towards

reforestation and afforestation projects

and sustainable materials, ArborGen could

obtain a greater market share and

enhanced competitive advantage for its

product. ArborGen can respond to

changing customer and consumer behavior

and preferences through its R&D

investment. There is an opportunity for

ArborGen to continue to actively engage

with carbon project developers who are

pursuing large scale afforestation and

reforestation projects in the Southern US

and Brazil. Currently, ArborGen has one

long term supply arrangement to provide

both advanced genetics pine seedlings and

hardwood seedlings. ArborGen should aim

to continue seeking out similar long-term

supply contracts.

Short term Low

Medium term Medium

Long term High

Financial incentives for

reforestation and

promoting sustainable

forest management

practices eg, carbon

credits

Opportunity

ArborGen will consider integrating

sustainability into its operations to access

a broader range of financing options,

including green bonds, sustainability-

linked loans, and impact investments.

These financial instruments often attract

investors who prioritise ESG

considerations, thereby diversifying

funding sources and potentially reducing

borrowing costs. In the US forestry

industry, financial incentive arrangements

geared towards sustainability measures

are currently allocated and targeted to not

for profits, but this could change over time.

There is an opportunity for private sector

companies like ArborGen to potentially

access more.

Short term Low

Medium term Low – Medium

Long term High



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Risk Management

To identify and assess risks, ArborGen draws on our internal forestry specialists, external consultants, and

current published scientific literature from various universities, USDA, EPA, NOAA, PNA and other National

Forestry related entities. Assessment of these risks is conducted on a quarterly basis.

We assess our risks across all aspects of our value chain using the following time-horizons:

Table 9 – Risk management time horizons

Time horizon Year Rationale

Short term 2024-2030 1-7 years, aligned with seedling production cycle

Medium term 2031-2040 7-15 years, reflecting seedling maturation and the

increasing uptake of advanced genetics in the market

across the US and Brazil forestry sector

Long term 2041-2050 >15 years


Our risk assessment process considers the likelihood of the risk occurring and the likely severity of its

consequences. Given the evolving impacts of climate change, ArborGen also assesses the vulnerability of the

business to gradual and progressive impacts. We consider the hazard, exposure to the hazard, and the

vulnerability of the system or process to the hazard.

Climate related risks are integrated into ArborGen’s Risk Management Framework. This means that climate

change risks are tested and prioritised using the same methodology as all other risks.

Management reports on these risks to the ARC and the Board on at least a quarterly basis, including for

incorporation into ArborGen's Risk Management Framework if necessary.

Key operational risks, including climate risks, form part of the annual risk management plan approved by the

Board.

Our Risk Management Framework implements risk mitigation procedures for climate risks including:

• the geographical spread of production,

• tiling and field topography improvements,

• SOPs for soil moisture and other types of controls,

• irrigation systems; and

• the use of nets and other equipment to combat weather issues.



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Metrics and Targets

ArborGen's greenhouse gas (GHG) inventory

ArborGen’s primary source of Scope 1 and 2 emissions is electricity use and transport fuel emissions

associated with orchard equipment and business travel. Because ArborGen is working on improving the

availability of quality data on its scope 3 emissions, we have chosen to rely on adoption relief provision 4 for our

first climate statement. We will include scope 3 emissions in our next reporting period.

Table 10: ArborGen's GHG emissions inventory

Scope Category FY23/24 tCO

2

-e

Scope 1: Direct emissions Gasoline 690.8

Diesel 990.2

Other 94.7

Subtotal 1,775.7

Scope 2: Indirect emissions

(location-based)

Electricity consumption

(purchased from the grid)

2,071.2

Subtotal 2,071.2

TOTAL Scope 1 and 2 emissions 3,846.9


GHG Emissions intensity metric

US$67,700,000/3,846.9 = US$17,416.62 of total sales revenue (from ArborGen's FY24 Annual Report and

Financial Statements) per tCO

2

-e (Scope 1 and Scope 2 as per the inventory above)

US$24,000,000/3,846.9 = US$6,238.78 of gross profit (from ArborGen's FY24 Annual Report and Financial

Statements) per tCO

2

-e (Scope 1 and Scope 2 as per the inventory above)

This inventory has been prepared in accordance with the Greenhouse Gas Protocol: A Corporate Accounting and

Reporting Standard 2004 (GHG Protocol), with guidance provided by Greenhouse Gas Protocol: Technical

Guidance for Calculating Scope 3 Emissions (version 1.0) (Technical Guidance) and reference to the emissions

and global warming potential factors in the Ministry for the Environment's 2023 Detailed Guide for Measuring

Emissions for Organisations (MfE Guide) and US EPA's GHG Emission Factors Hub (EPA).

ArborGen has applied the operational control consolidation approach to its GHG inventory. All emissions that

ArborGen has direct control over in its own head office in Ridgeville, South Carolina; nurseries, seed orchards,

distribution and research facilities located throughout Unites States, and Brazil are covered in this inventory.

Direct control is determined by ArborGen’s capacity to enact operational decisions for an emissions source. No

facilities or operations have been excluded from the report.

Assurance

The inventory has not been externally assured but will be from our second reporting period. ArborGen is not

required to have an GHG inventory undergoing external assurance for its first reporting period. However, with the

phasing in of Aotearoa New Zealand Climate Standards, external assurance will be required for reporting

periods ending after October 2024 .



15



Climate-related risks and opportunities metrics

Climate reporting within the forestry sector is still developing. We are not aware of industry-based metrics for

measuring and managing climate-related risks and opportunities beyond our GHG emissions. However, we are

monitoring developments in this space and will consider new metrics in future reporting years.

ArborGen has not yet set specific KPIs to measure and manage climate-related risks and opportunities. Our

current strategic pillars have many aspects of our business strategy which could be said to align with climate-

related risks, including relating to ArborGen's expansion in Brazil, optimising productivity, and a focus on

market-driven genetics in the future.

Climate related metrics are not currently incorporated into ArborGen's remuneration policies. The

Remuneration Committee will consider incorporating climate-related performance metrics for relevant roles, if

appropriate.

ArborGen has not yet developed an internal emissions price.

Assets vulnerable to transition risks

We consider that all of our facilities are vulnerable to the transition risks including supply chain disruptions to

varying degrees. In the absence of past and projected data relating to supply chain disruptions, ArborGen has

assessed the financial impact of reduced labour following the impacts of COVID-19. The estimation can be used

as a rough proxy to represent supply chain disruptions that may occur in the future due to climate-related

impacts. Our Riba di Rio Pardo nursery experienced a significant reduction in labour levels during COVID-19,

reducing production volumes by 10 million seedlings and increasing total cost of production. Therefore,

ArborGen's total lost sales equated to over US$613,000 (R$3.1 million) per year.

Assets aligned with climate-related opportunities

ArborGen's assessment of assets aligned with climate-related risks and opportunities reveals that

approximately 75% of our assets are aligned with climate-related risks. 50% of our intangible assets are aligned

with 50% of our opportunities. This is based upon the direct correlation of where are assets are located and the

exposure of risk they have related to climate events.

Capital expenditure deployed towards climate-related risks and opportunities

In light of this, ArborGen has devoted US$300,000 in 2024 for climate related capital expenditure. ArborGen is

continuously evaluating other assets for investment (within the US$1-4 million range) which will diversify risk by

moving production to multiple site locations. Further, in recognition of maintaining a competitive advantage by

developing superior proprietary genetics, ArborGen has invested approximately US$3.7 million in research and

development of which approximately 48% is associated with advanced genetic seedlings which have greater

resistance to disease, weather and pests. These dollars are associated with our R&D spend in the product

families with these specific trait characteristics.

ArborGen's metrics for managing its climate-related risks and opportunities

ArborGen is developing appropriate metrics for its climate-related risks and opportunities. We will continue that

development in FY25 and aim to have additional metrics for our second reporting period.



16



Physical risk exposure assessment

WSP New Zealand Ltd supported ArborGen with an exposure assessment

4

of ArborGen's sites impacted by the

physical risks of drought and flooding due to climate change. This work was not a physical risk assessment – the

vulnerability of ArborGen's sites was not assessed at this stage. Detail on the methods, assumptions and

limitations of the exposure assessment is set out in the Appendix to this report.

To identify ArborGen’s exposure to drought and flooding, a desktop assessment was conducted using climate

change adjusted data projections for flooding and drought risk. These data projections were analysed to assess

the number of ArborGen’s key assets (nurseries, partner nurseries) exposed across Southern United States (US)

and Brazil (31 sites total).

Four simplified maps have been prepared to visualise the areas exposed to drought and flooding. These maps

aim to identify where ArborGen’s most exposed sites are for two climate scenarios aligned with ArborGen’s

climate scenario analysis: ‘Too little, too late’ and ‘Hot house’. Each metric includes a brief description of the

methodology followed, key assumptions and limitations of the assessment for ArborGen to disclose.

ArborGen acknowledges that further maturity of this assessment is required to assess the vulnerability of assets

and business activities to climate hazards. We will look to complete a detailed physical climate risk assessment

for each of our sites, including considerations for our value chain such as key export lines.

Drought

The exposure assessment of ArborGen’s nurseries located in the US and Brazil to drought in 2050 utilised data

from the World Bank Group Climate Change Knowledge Portal. Exposure to drought is presented in ranges using

the Standardised Precipitation - Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). The assessment has been conducted for two of

ArborGen’s scenarios: ’Too little, too late’ and ‘Hot house’. Data based on the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment

scenarios SSP2-4.5 and SSP3-7.0 was used for the ‘Too little, too late’ scenario and ‘Hot house’ scenarios

respectively.

The SPEI is a multiscalar drought index based on climatic data. It is used to determine the onset, duration and

severity of drought conditions compared to normal conditions. A higher SPEI index means decreased drought

conditions and a lower SPEI index means increased drought conditions.

The results provided here help ArborGen to better understand the projected future exposure of its nurseries to

drought in the geographies in which it operates.



4

Exposure is defined as: “The presence of people; livelihoods; species or ecosystems; environmental functions, services,

and resources; infrastructure; or economic, social, or cultural assets in places and settings that could be adversely

affected” (XRB Climate-related Disclosures Staff Guidance, pg. 25 in reference to IPCC, 2022 Full Report, p.43). Exposure is

one component of assessing physical climate risk. A physical climate risk assessment typically assesses both exposure and

vulnerability.



17




Table 11: Percentage of ArborGen's US sites exposed to SPEI drought index ranges

SPEI index

range

Too little, too late scenario*, 2050 Hot house scenario*, 2050

Number of US ArborGen

nurseries located in

range

Percentage (%) US

ArborGen nurseries

located in range



Number of US

ArborGen nurseries

located in range

Percentage (%)

US ArborGen

nurseries

located in

range



1 to 2 0 0% 0 0%

0 to 1 4 57% 4 57%

-1 to 0 3 43% 3 43%

-2 to -1 0 0% 0 0%

*Data based on SSP2-4.5 and SSP3-7.0 was used for the ‘Too little, too late’ and ‘Hot house’ scenarios respectively.

†Percentage (%) figures have been rounded to the nearest whole number.



Table 12: Percentage of ArborGen's Brazil sites exposed to SPEI drought index ranges

SPEI index

range

Too little, too late scenario*, 2050 Hot house scenario*, 2050


Number of Brazil

ArborGen nurseries

located in range

Percentage (%) Brazil

ArborGen nurseries

located in range



Number of Brazil

ArborGen nurseries

located in range

Percentage (%)

Brazil ArborGen

nurseries

located in

range



1 to 2 0 0% 0 0%

0 to 1 6 25% 6 25%

-1 to 0 18 75% 18 75%

-2 to -1 0 0% 0 0%

*Data based on SSP2-4.5 and SSP3-7.0 was used for the ‘Too little, too late’ and ‘Hot house’ scenarios respectively.

†Percentage (%) figures have been rounded to the nearest whole number.




18



Fluvial Flood

ArborGen’s exposure to fluvial (riverine) flood in 2050 was assessed using data from Aqueduct Floods. The

following tables indicate where ArborGen’s sites are potentially exposed. These are sites identified within the

flood plain of a 100-year return flooding event for either an RCP4.5 or RCP8.5 scenario.


Table 13: Percentage of ArborGen's US sites exposed to 1 in 100 year return period fluvial

flood event

Scenario Too little, too late scenario


, 2050 Hot house scenario


, 2050

Number of ArborGen nurseries

exposed to flood hazard*

1 of 7 1 of 7

Percentage (%) of ArborGen

nurseries exposed to flood

hazard*

14% 14%

*Calculated based on exposure to a 1 in 100 year return period fluvial (river) flood event.

†Data based on RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 was used for the ‘Too little, too late’ and ‘Hot house’ scenarios respectively.



Table 14: Percentage of ArborGen's Brazil sites exposed to 1 in 100 year return period

fluvial flood event

Scenario Too little, too late scenario


, 2050 Hot house scenario


, 2050

Number of ArborGen nurseries

exposed to flood hazard*

1 of 24 2 of 24

Percentage (%)‡ of ArborGen

nurseries exposed to flood

hazard*

4% 8%

*Calculated based on exposure to a 1 in 100 year return period fluvial (river) flood event.

†Data based on RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 was used for the ‘Too little, too late’ and ‘Hot house’ scenarios respectively.

‡Percentage (%) figures have been rounded to the nearest whole number.



19






20





Targets

ArborGen has not yet set climate-related targets in our first year of climate reporting.

We intend to set climate-related targets from FY25 and are considering the scope and basis of those targets,

including regarding energy use (electricity and gas), GHG emissions, waste reduction / recycling and reducing

water consumption at our sites.



21



Appendix:

Methods, assumptions and limitations

General

The exposure assessment was conducted out to 2050, as this is the endpoint for ArborGen’s climate scenarios.

ArborGen acknowledges that the most significant divergence in physical climate hazard exposure is projected to

occur towards the end of the century (post 2050). This explains why the difference in physical hazard exposure

between the ‘Too little, too late” scenario and the “Hot house” scenario for 2050 does not appear significant. An

assessment beyond 2050 would show a significant divergence in exposure between scenarios.

Within the limited timeframe to conduct the exposure study, the best available fluvial flood and drought data

was identified. ArborGen acknowledges that higher resolution data could exist at a subregional level and that it

intends to investigate the availability of such datasets for use in future assessments.

The assessment only covers ArborGen’s nurseries and partner nurseries. It does not cover any other aspects of

ArborGen’s value chain, such as export lines or customer locations.

Drought

Results of the drought exposure assessment have been presented using ranges (eg 0 to 1). The World Bank data

used for the assessment is of a higher resolution. The results have been simplified so they are easier to present

visually but still provide a useful output. This simplification means the maps do not show small differences (<1.0

SPEI index change) between the scenarios.

Fluvial flood

The assessment of flood exposure is limited to fluvial (riverine) flooding. It does not cover coastal flooding or

pluvial (rain) flooding. Coastal flooding was not covered since none of ArborGen’s nurseries or partner nurseries

are located near the coast. Pluvial flooding was not covered due to a lack of readily available, suitable data to

assess this hazard for the US or Brazil.

The assessment of fluvial flood exposure was conducted via a desktop assessment using visual inspection of

the Aqueduct Floods datasets to determine the exposure. No modelling or GIS spatial analysis was conducted.

ArborGen sites were deemed to be exposed to fluvial flooding if the site location overlapped with a flood depth

of any amount >0 decimetres.

Fluvial flood exposure has only been quantified for the 1 in 100-year flood frequency. The exposure results do

not show ArborGen’s maximum fluvial flood exposure. Some locations could be exposed to fluvial flood hazard

for return periods greater than 1 in 100 years under each climate scenario.

ArborGen acknowledges that the data used to assess fluvial flood exposure is based on the IPCC’s Fifth

Assessment scenarios: RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Although these are not the latest IPCC scenarios, this was the best

flood data available given time constraints. Data based on the RCP scenarios is still appropriate for a high-level

exposure assessment.



22



Climate change disrupts to supply chain (including labour)

The method used to develop this metric began with analogising past events causing disruptions to ArborGen's

supply chain to infer the potential impact on business activities of a significant event in the economy. By

referring to COVID-19, ArborGen has selected an illustrative example of non-directly-climate-related supply

chain impact on its business. Analogising the impacts of COVID-19 on ArborGen’s supply chain to climate-

related impacts provides some information, but ArborGen recognises the uniqueness of the potential

disruptions of climate-weather related events which will not be transferrable from COVID-19. Understanding the

full extent of the financial impact of a supply chain disruption is complex as it is multifaceted issue, requiring

extensive data and financial reporting, as well as a deepened understanding of ArborGen’s supply chain and

how it operates. ArborGen acknowledges that more data and information may exist in relation to its supply

chain. We intend to mature our assessment in future reporting years for future assessments (ie for FY25

reporting) to include other aspects of the supply chain, such as logistics and distribution lines.

Opportunity metric (R&D)

R&D spend for genetic materials associated with traits in disease, weather and pests were pulled by product

families currently being developed with these genetic characteristics. These traits, regardless of climate change

issues, are the big three traits that are consistently sought after in the industry and by ArborGen’s customers.

Product families are developed that are more resistant to these traits over many generations of breeding and

advanced selection processes. Because these traits are largely sought after, the competitive advantages, the

associated spending for the trait selections and breeding and other key information associated with these traits

can be discerned from ArborGen’s annual R&D investments. It should be noted that specific trait

characteristics costs cannot be segregated easily if it is combined with other traits within one product family.

GHG emissions data collection, quantification and uncertainties

All GHG emissions data provided is captured by ArborGen’s finance and accounting team, in separate files for

US sites and for sites in Brazil. All emissions calculations were carried out in Microsoft Excel. The supplied

source data was multiplied using the relevant emissions factor. Unless otherwise stated, all emissions factors

were sourced from the EPA Emissions Hub 2024.

All measurements and data are based on supplier invoices and records housed in ArborGen’s finance and

administration system and are largely complete and reliable. Overall accuracy of the emissions profile depends

on:

a) how well the accounting codes reflect the nature of the activities they are designed to cover;

b) how consistently ArborGen’s finance and accounting team apply the accounting codes; and

c) how accurately and consistently the operational boundaries have been applied to the various accounting

codes.

Scope 3 data is more difficult to collect as it includes emission reporting for third parties, for transactions where

the emission source is not directly purchased by ArborGen or where the requirement is to capture emissions

associated with the use of a natural resource. Scope 3 emissions include business travel, third party freight

carriers, refrigerated vans leased by ArborGen and rented to our customers, water usage from wells, lakes, etc,

and waste generation. Most of the items in scope 3 will require that the emissions be extrapolated from a

measurement that can be used to estimate emissions. For business travel, we will use SAP Concur, which is our

travel and entertainment reporting software, to capture additional data related to expense reporting such as

mileage for transportation and number of nights purchased for accommodations. For logistics, we invoice van

rentals at a daily rate so we can capture days used. We will also track freight mileage through a combination of

spreadsheet documentation and/or requesting that freight vendors include mileage on their invoices. We also

currently track water usage at some of our sites and will need to investigate our options for putting meters on

other water sources where usage is not currently tracked. We are still trying to determine the best

measurements for waste which includes everything from office waste to MCP bags. Again, measurements will

vary with accounts payable transactions providing the most readily available data. Beyond that, we will look at

using the number of employees to extrapolate waste generation, bag counts to extrapolate MCP bag waste, etc.



23




Registered office

Suite 107, 100 Parnell Road,

Auckland 1052, New Zealand

PO Box 68 249, Victoria Street West,

Auckland 1141, New Zealand

Telephone: +64 9 356 9800


Email: info@arborgenholdings.com



Website

www.arborgenholdings.com

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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