Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Global Dairy Update August 2024

Operational Update29 August 2024FCGConsumer Staples

• Fonterra’s climate targets get tick of approval by Science
Based Target initiative.

1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• New Zealand, Australia and EU monthly

production increased. US monthly

production decreased.

• New Zealand, Australia and US

monthly exports increased. EU monthly

exports decreased.

• Asia and Latin America monthly imports

increased. Middle East & Africa and China

monthly imports decreased.

• Fonterra New Zealand’s collections for July

were 20.6 million kgMS, 9.0% above July

last season. Season-to-date collections are

35 million kgMS, 4.1% above last season.

• Fonterra’s Australia collections in July were

5.5 million kgMS, 1.1% below July last season.

• KickStart Breakfast celebrates 15-year milestone.

Key Dates

25 September 2024

FY24 Annual Results Announcement

14 November 2024

Fonterra Co-operative Group Annual Meeting

AUGUST 2024

%%%
%%%%

%

Change for July 2024

compared to July 2023

Change for July 2024

compared July 2023

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for the 12 months

to July 2024

Change for the 12 months

to July 2024

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

0.43.48.4

3.10.20.5

1.0

0.6

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

New Zealand, Australia and

EU monthly production

increased. US monthly

production decreased

New Zealand milk

production increased 8.4%

on a litres basis (up 9.2%

on milk solids basis) for

July compared to the same

period the year prior.

The production increase was

mainly due to favourable

weather conditions which

improved pasture quality and

resulted in higher milk yields.

New Zealand milk

production for the 12

months to July was down

0.6% on the previous

comparable period.

Collections for July represent

less than 2% of the full

season forecast.

Fonterra New Zealand

collections are reported for

July, see page 5 for details.

Australia milk

production increased 3.4%

in June compared to the

same period the year prior.

The production increase was

mainly due to favourable

weather conditions in

Northern and Eastern

Victoria, partially offset by

colder weather affecting

production in Western

Victoria and Tasmania.

Australia milk production

for the 12 months to June

was up 3.1% on the previous

comparable period.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported for

July, see page 5 for details.

EU milk production¹

increased 1.0% in June

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The production increase

was driven by favourable

weather conditions in France,

Poland and Italy. Additionally,

European raw milk prices

continued to increase due

to higher seasonal demand

for dairy products and

decreasing milk supply from

other producing regions.

EU milk production for

the 12 months to June was

up 0.2% on the previous

comparable period.

US milk production

decreased 0.4 % in July

compared to the same period

the year prior.

The production decrease

was mainly driven by smaller

herd sizes and decreased milk

yield per cow due to a bird

flu outbreak and heat stress

affecting the country. This was

partially offset by higher milk

yields in Texas and Kansas.

US milk production for

the 12 months to July was

down 0.5 % on the previous

comparable period.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 Excludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

New Zealand, Australia

and US monthly exports

increased. EU monthly

exports decreased

New Zealand dairy

exports increased 11.5%, or

28,870 MT, in July compared

to the same period last year.

The increase was mainly due

to higher export volumes

of cheese to the United

Kingdom under the recently

implemented NZ-UK Fair

Trade Agreement, offsetting

lower export volumes of

WMP to China and Algeria

for the month.

Exports for the 12 months

to July were up 1.9%, or

65,808 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to high

export volumes of WMP to

Indonesia and the Middle

East, alongside SMP and fluid

milk products to China and

Southeast Asia.

EU dairy exports

decreased 8.3%, or

52,739 MT, in June compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower export volumes

of SMP and WMP to China,

driven by weak demand

and a preference for

New Zealand dairy products

influenced by tariffs.

Exports for the 12 months

to June were down 2.6%, or

177,454 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

ongoing lower export

volumes of SMP, fluid milk

products and butter to key

markets including China,

Algeria, Saudi Arabia and the

United States.

US dairy exports

increased 1.3%, or 3,060  MT,

in June compared to the

same period the year prior.

The increase was mainly due

to higher export volumes

of cheese and whey to

meet strong demand from

Southeast Asia, Canada, and

South Korea.

Exports for the 12 months

to June were down 3.4%, or

97,733 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to lower

export volumes of powders

as demand from key markets,

such as Mexico and China,

continues to decrease.

Australia dairy exports

increased 33.8%, or

16,096 MT, in June compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The increase was mainly due

to the prior year's low export

volumes of cheese and SMP,

resulting from the mismatch

between domestic milk prices

and global commodity prices.

Exports for the 12 months

to June were up 2.0%, or

13,311 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to higher

levels of production resulting

in more exportable surplus.

Additionally, export volumes

of infant formula have

increased as major Australian

producers win contracts to

the US.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%

%%

%

%

Change for July 2024

compared to July 2023

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

Change for the 12 months

to July 2024

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

1.3

2.0

11.5

2.6

3.4

33.8

8.3

1.9

%

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

Asia and Latin America

monthly imports

increased. Middle East &

Africa and China monthly

imports decreased

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹ increased

1.5%, or 3,130 MT, in June

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to ongoing high import

volumes of fluid milk

products by the Dominican

Republic and lactose

by Uruguay.

Imports for the 12 months

to June were up 6.2%, or

148,722 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

continuous high import

volumes of cheese by Mexico

and Brazil.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

increased 13.2%, or 55,485 MT,

in June compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly due

to higher import volumes of

fluid milk products and whey

by Southeast Asia.

Imports for the 12 months

to June were up 8.3%, or

406,111 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to higher

import volumes of WMP by

Malaysia and Bangladesh,

and fluid milk products by

Vietnam and the Philippines.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes¹

decreased 2.7%, or

13,509 MT, in June compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The decrease was driven by

lower import volumes of

WMP by Algeria and cultured

products by Iraq and Congo.

Imports for the 12 months

to June were up 5.3%, or

300,702 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

ongoing higher import

volumes of SMP by Saudi

Arabia, alongside increased

fluid milk products and WMP

shipments by UAE.

China dairy import

volumes decreased by

4.9%, or 12,722 MT, in July

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The decrease was driven by

lower import volumes of

fluid milk products, SMP and

AMF. This was partially offset

by slightly higher import

volumes of infant formula.

Imports for the 12 months

to July were down 12.0%, or

387,737 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to an

ongoing decline in import

volumes of fluid milk

products, cheese, and SMP,

primarily from Germany,

Poland, and Australia.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%%%%

%%

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for July 2024

compared to July 2023

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

4.913.21.5

8.35.3

%

Change for the 12 months

to July 2024

12.0

2.7

6.2

%

To view a table that shows
detailed milk collections in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%%

%%

Season-to-date 1 July to 31 July

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 June to 31 July

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 June to 31 July

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 June to 31 July

compared to prior season

Change for July 2024

compared to July 2023

Change for July 2024

compared to July 2023

Change for July 2024

compared to July 2023

Change for July 2024

compared to July 2023

1.13.6

20.8

10.39.0

1.18.94.1

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY























5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collections

Fonterra's Australia

collections in July were

5.5 million kgMS, 1.1% below

July last season.

The decrease was mainly

due to unfavourable weather

conditions in Tasmania,

impacting pasture and

fodder availability. This

was partially offset by

favourable pasture growth in

Western Victoria.

North Island milk

collections in July were

18.9 million kgMS, 10.3%

above July last season.

The increase was mainly

due to ongoing favourable

pasture conditions across the

region, in addition to some

farmers calving earlier in the

season resulting in an uplift

in the milk curve.

Season-to-date collections

are 30.8 million kgMS, 8.9%

above last season.

South Island milk

collections in July were

1.7 million kgMS, 3.6% below

July last season.

The decrease was mainly

due to unfavourable weather

conditions and low sunlight

hours impacting pasture

growth. This was partially

offset by recent rainfall

in some regions relieving

dry conditions.

Season-to-date collections

are 4.3 million kgMS, 20.8%

behind last season.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collections for July were

20.6 million kgMS, 9.0%

above July last season.

The increase was mainly

due to favourable weather

and pasture conditions in

the North Island, offsetting

unfavourable weather

conditions continuously

impacting collections in the

South Island.

As is normal for this time of

the season, collections for

July represent less than 2%

of the full season forecast.

Season-to-date collections

are 35 million kgMS, 4.1%

above last season.

%%

%%

%
%%

%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

AUG OCT  JAN  MAY  AUG  NOV JUN  MAR 





,

, 

,

.

.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity prices and New Zealand

dollar trend

Developing weakness in the US labour market helped to

shift the focus away from inflation and saw increased calls

for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September.

New Zealand has experienced disinflationary pressures at a

quicker pace and this led the RBNZ to lower the Official Cash

Rate in August. On balance, this combination of factors led to a

rise in the NZD/USD exchange rate to above 61.5 US cents.

Fonterra GDT results at

trading event 362

20 August 2024:

The next trading event will be held on 3 September 2024. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

6.3

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

3,943

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

33.3

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 4,274/MT

0.0

CHEDDAR

USD 3,477/MT

7.0

WMP

USD 2,630/MT

3.8

SMP

USD 7,244/MT

4.8

AMF

USD 6,608/MT

3.5

BUTTER

33,349

MT

LATEST AUCTION

67,332

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Our Performance

Fonterra’s climate

targets get tick of

approval by Science

Based Target initiative

Fonterra's Director

of Sustainability

Charlotte Rutherford says

she’s delighted the Co-op’s

emissions reduction targets

have been validated by

the Science Based Target

initiative (SBTi).

SBTi is a globally recognised

organisation that defines and

promotes best practice in

science-based target setting.

Validation of targets mean

they are aligned to the Paris

Agreement to limit global

warming to 1.5°C.

“There’s a lot of rigour

applied to the verification

process by SBTi, which is

essential, and I thank our

teams that have worked on

this,” says Rutherford.

“Having credible science

backed targets is really

important to us and our

customers. It’s now up to

all of us to keep making

progress towards these

targets to maintain our

position as one of the world’s

lowest emissions suppliers of

dairy at scale.”

Last year Fonterra set a new

on farm emissions reduction

target and increased its

scope 1 and 2 targets as part

of its work to be a long-term

sustainable Co-op. Since

then, the Co-op has been

working on the validation of

these targets by SBTi.

Scope 1 and 2

Fonterra commits to reduce

absolute scope 1 and 2

GHG emissions by 50.4%

by FY2030 from a FY2018

base year.¹

Forest Land and

Agriculture Guidance

(FLAG)

Fonterra commits to reduce

scope 1 and 3 FLAG GHG

emissions from dairy 30%

per tonne of fat-and-protein-

corrected milk by FY2030

from a FY2018 base year.²

Fonterra also commits to

no deforestation across its

primary deforestation-linked

commodities, with a target

date of 31 December 2025.

In seeking validation, the

Co-op was required to

set an additional scope 3

energy and industrial target.

Whereas Fonterra’s other

targets cover emissions

reduction, this target focuses

on the climate ambitions

of vendors and customers

and their alignment to

science-based targets.

Scope 3 Energy and

Industrial Engagement

Fonterra also commits that

78.2% of its suppliers and

customers by emissions,

covering purchased goods

and services, capital goods,

upstream and downstream

transportation and

distribution, business travel,

and processing of sold

products, will have science-

based targets by FY28.

1 The target boundary includes land-related emissions and removals from bioenergy feedstocks.

2 The target includes FLAG emissions and removals.

Our Co-op
8

KickStart Breakfast

celebrates 15-year

milestone

A community partnership

between Fonterra,

Sanitarium and the Ministry

of Social Development

today celebrated its 15-year

anniversary at an Auckland

school that has been part of

KickStart Breakfast since the

programme began.

Representatives from

government, Fonterra

and Sanitarium attended

the event at Birdwood

School in West Auckland

to celebrate the

programme’s achievements.

Social Development and

Employment Minister Louise

Upston joined the milestone

celebration today and said

KickStart Breakfast is a great

example of business and

community sectors working

with government to deliver

positive change to children

and families.

“Making sure hungry children

get a good breakfast is an

investment in their learning.

They are in a much better

place to learn and achieve

their potential.”

KickStart Breakfast currently

serves Anchor™ milk and

Sanitarium Weet-Bix™ to

more than 42,000 students

every school day with 66%

of those at primary school

age. Any public school in

the country can join the

programme, which is found

in over 1,400 of a total of

2,500 schools nationwide.

Speaking at the event,

Fonterra’s Director of

Global Sustainability,

Stakeholder Affairs and

Trade Simon Tucker said the

Co-operative is committed

to positively impacting and

connecting communities

throughout New Zealand.

“We’re incredibly proud

to deliver good quality

dairy nutrition to help fuel

tamariki and rangatahi across

New Zealand so they can

achieve their best every

school day.

“We’re grateful to play

our part in supporting our

communities, alongside

our partners, teachers,

student leaders, whanau

and the 4,000 strong

volunteers, who generously

give their time and energy

to supporting their local

breakfast clubs,” says

Mr Tucker.

The programme helps

students start the day

happier and more settled,

with a greater ability

to focus on learning,

according to a report by the

Akina Foundation.

The report showed this led

to societal benefits including

better school attendance,

improved behaviours,

and greater educational

outcomes for students,

as well as less time and

financial stress for whanau,

with more spending available

for other necessities.

Sanitarium General Manager

Michael Barton said it was

humbling to be able to give

back to communities.

“This milestone celebration

speaks of an incredible

journey for Sanitarium as it

is core to our purpose and

commitment to promote

healthy eating choices and

giving communities access to

wholesome food.”

Schools around the country

will be holding their

own KickStart Breakfast

celebrations throughout

this month to celebrate the

15-year milestone.

Michael Barton, Minister Upston, Simon Tucker

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL 

JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s













AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s













AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU and Australia to June; New Zealand and US to July.

NOTE: Data for EU, US and Australia to June; New Zealand to July.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa, Latin America to June; China to July.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra analysis.

10

Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

J U LY

2024

J U LY


2023

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2024/25

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2023/24

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

20.618.99.0%35.033.64.1%

North Island18.917.110.3%30.828.28.9%

South Island1.71.8(3.6%)4.35.4(20.8%)

Australia5.55.6(1.1%)5.55.6(1.1%)

2023/24 season

forecast Farmgate

Milk Price (FGMP)

update

2024/25 season

forecast Farmgate

Milk Price (FGMP)

update

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

FGMP (NZD)

NZD/USD RATE AT

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

AVERAGE

CONVERSION

RATE FOR

2023/24

SEASON

PERCENTAGE

OF FORECAST

FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

EXPOSURE

FOR 2023/24

SEASON

HEDGED

PERCENTAGE

OF FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

OPTION

COVER

REMAINING

IN HEDGED

AMOUNT

RANGE MID-

POINT

29 May 2024$7.70-

$7.90

$7.800.61440.612699%12%

21 March 2024$7.50-

$8.10

$7.800.60820.612592%17%

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

FGMP (NZD)

NZD/USD RATE AT

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

AVERAGE

CONVERSION

RATE FOR

2024/25

SEASON

PERCENTAGE

OF FORECAST

FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

EXPOSURE

FOR 2024/25

SEASON

HEDGED

PERCENTAGE

OF FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

OPTION

COVER

REMAINING

IN HEDGED

AMOUNT

RANGE MID-

POINT

23 Aug 2024$7.75-

$9.25

$8.500.61370.611067%16%

29 May 2024$7.25-

$8.75

$8.000.61440.613049%11%

As at the most recent update to the 2024/25 season forecast Farmgate Milk Price on 23 August 2024:

• Fonterra had hedged approximately 67% of the full year forecast USD cash flows related to the

2024/25 season Farmgate Milk Price.

• Of that 67%, approximately 16% was hedged with foreign exchange options which had not yet

expired or been exercised.

• If the remaining 33% of the forecast USD cash flows were to be hedged at the 23 August 2024 spot

rate of 0.6137, the average NZD/USD conversion rate for the 2024 season would be 0.6110.

• Also shown for information are the equivalent measures at the date of the opening forecast for the

2024/25 season Forecast Farmgate Milk Price on 29 May 2024.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

JAN

OCT FEB

JUL

AUG

MAY

SEP NOV DEC JUN


,

,

,

 ,

,

,

,

,

,

,
WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

11


Supplementary Information

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(20 AUGUST 2024)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2024)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

33,34967,332

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

2.4%6.4%

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

3,9433,825

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

36.5%27.1%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

6.3%–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

12
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

Cultured Products

Fermented milks that are

prepared by using starter

cultures and controlled

fermentation including

yoghurt, yoghurt drinks, sour

cream, crème fraiche.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products,

except for Reference

Products, produced

by the New Zealand

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate.

WPI

Whey Protein Isolate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update August 2024
    2024-08-29

    • Fonterra’s climate targets get tick of approval by Science Based Target initiative. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand, Australia and EU monthly production increased. US monthly production decreased. • New Zealand, Australia and US monthly exports increased. EU month…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update October 2024
    2024-10-30

    •Changes to Fonterra Management Team to support the next phase of its strategic delivery. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE •New Zealand, Australia and US monthly production increased. EU monthly production decreased. • Ne w Zealand, EU and US monthly exports increased. Australia monthly e…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update September 2024
    2024-09-29

    • Fonterra continues momentum in FY24, announces special dividend. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand and Australia monthly production increased. EU and US monthly production decreased. • Australia, EU and US monthly exports increased. New Zealand monthly exports dec…”