The Colonial Motor Company Limited logo

Chair's Address and CEO Presentation to 2024 Annual Meeting

AGM8 November 2024CMOConsumer Discretionary

PO Box 6159
Wellington 6141

New Zealand

DX SP21009

Level 6

57 Courtenay Place

Te Aro

Wellington

Telephone: 04 384-9734

Email: cmc@colmotor.co.nz

Website: www.colmotor.co.nz





CHAIR’S ADDRESS TO THE 106

th

ANNUAL MEETING



Ladies and Gentlemen,


In this address I want to discuss our results for the 30 June 2024 financial year, take a

high-level look at the current state of the New Zealand automotive market and then

where we see our prospects in a market environment that has significantly changed.



Financial results

CMC Shareholders have enjoyed an extended period of exceptional returns over the

last decade or even longer. This coincided with the new vehicle market posting year-

over-year growth as the favourable trading environment continued. At times this was

boosted by artificial intervention and stimulus as a result of Government policy, but it

mainly arose from the Company having leading market brands and a continuing

pipeline of new models coming to market at the right times.


Our dealerships continued to grow as they focussed on increasing customer

satisfaction across all our product ranges and in our parts and service support

business. We certainly made the most of this positive trading environment and as you

well know, it culminated in a record profit in the 2022 financial year when light

vehicles, trucks and tractors all fired at once. That $33.3m Trading Profit and record

dividend payout was the reward Shareholders were delivered for their support and

loyalty.


That trading environment has changed significantly since then and we are being

challenged, especially in the tractor business where an economic downturn always

results in farmers misplacing their wallets. The pullback was also seen in the light

vehicle dealerships and we have recently seen some softening in our truck

operations, although they have continued to process good volume on a monthly basis.


The 2024 light vehicle market year-to-date is down 16.7% on the prior year. This at a

time when new vehicle product availability has freed up considerably and many

importers have seen record inventory coming to market. There is certainly stressed

selling activity happening in the industry and this behaviour has a cascading impact

on the market, particularly the new vehicle industry.


By the way, that near 17% decline I mentioned in the current calendar year follows the

2023 year being down 9.5%. These are not only seismic declines in volume but also

a complete reversal of conditions experienced over the prior decade.


As an interesting aside, within this general market decline the Ford Ranger, Everest

and Transit were some of the very few vehicles to post stronger sales than the prior

year. While driven to a degree by rental vehicle sales, it has also been driven by our

committed dealer group.





This stressed vehicle environment makes it tough for our dealers to navigate their way

through increased inventory levels, the market share expectations of our franchise

partners and having to reduce their cost bases to a new ’normal’ in terms of market

volume.


In the tractor business it is manifestly apparent that high interest rates have smashed

demand for new tractors and equipment to a level not seen for many years. The

market essentially halved overnight for us in the deep south. Even though the dairy

payout forecast is favourable, the negative state of the red meat sector, massive

increases in on-farm costs and the spectre of continuing interest rate burdens has

seen the lights turned out by many of Agricentre’s traditional customers.


Agricentre is continuing to secure its share and more of the limited action that is out

there and I thank Grant Price and his Team for this effort. Unfortunately for them the

reality is they have been swimming against a significant tide but it is a tide that will

eventually turn.


So, within this rather bleak portrayal of the market environment the financial result for

2024, at a Trading Profit of $17.9m and the resultant total dividend of 35cps, is

possibly better than expected. My description of the market is very much focused on

the back end of the financial year, as we traded reasonably strongly in the first six

months to 31 December 2023. As of now we are challenged by the environment I

have outlined to you.


Our safest course of action, which we have been following for some time, is to re-build

our profitability based on the market we see in front of us; not wait until the market

comes right or returns to normal. This is our new normal and we must deliver

satisfactory shareholder returns based on what is in front of us.


Our dealerships reacted quickly and are well on the new journey but not all are not

there yet.


Our thanks and appreciation for all that has been achieved is directed to Alex and his

Team, especially our Dealer Principals and their management teams for again

delivering in an increasingly challenging environment.



Property

As the economy tightened, we made the prudent decision to slow and defer some of

our property developments. We have maintained progress on the very important

initiatives around Southpac Trucks in the lower north Island and the facility re-build in

Masterton, which is essentially an all new look for that dealership.


We are diligently progressing our enhanced representation options for Ford in

Rangiora, a significant growth corridor north-west of Christchurch.





Governance

Last year the Shareholders’ Association gave us a ‘fail’ rating in some areas of our

governance disclosures.


First and foremost, I want to re-iterate that we know our Shareholders expect the

Board and Management to remain clearly focused on the financial strength and

performance of the Company. This is to ensure it continues to provide the solid

returns that underpin the dividend stream you expect from your investment.


I made a commitment at our last Annual Meeting that the Board would review our

disclosures and public facing material and this has been done. We have broadened

the website disclosures in a number of areas and of course this year is our first year

reporting on Climate Related Disclosures. I want to acknowledge the extensive work

done in the CRD area over the past two years that has been led by June Gibbons.

This has enabled the Company to be fully compliant in terms of its reporting

obligations under the CRD regime. It has been a huge journey, so thank you June

and the Group Office team.


We have no doubt that climate change is a real issue. Equally, I am confident the

work we carry out in our annual risk reviews was meeting the need to identify the risks

to our business, be they short, medium or long term, as this is not new to us. The

team’s work has been thorough and I have to say that there are elements of the

process and their detailed requirements that were onerous and bordered on being of

no real benefit to anyone – company, shareholders or stakeholders in general. We

can only hope that common sense prevails and the reporting requirements are

thoroughly reviewed and re-focused on only ‘stuff’ that actually matters. There is no

benefit to CMC Shareholders to add cost for no material benefit.



Near Term Outlook

I’ve given you a graphic and purposely negative picture of the trading environment our

businesses have experienced and continue to face. The six months we are currently

in remains ‘tough’ as we sort our way through cost reduction requirements across the

Group. This is an over-supplied so over-competitive market, where some of our

competition are ‘moving the metal’ just to keep cash flowing. The market and the

economy remain flat at best. At our core, CMC is a ‘new vehicle’ retail and service

business that rides the wave of consumer confidence and discretionary income.


Our view of the forward market is dominated by the immediate economic issues we

can all see. New Zealand should not underestimate the potential disruptive influences

that lurk off-shore and the potential for further supply chain disruption from global

conflicts. These could impact exchange rates and oil prices at any time – one gets

the feeling we are inches from that in the Middle East.


So here are some comments you won’t hear from me today:

- green shoots

- I think the worst is over

- lower interest rates will solve all our challenges





We could catastrophise on many fronts but I prefer to go back to what I said earlier.

We must continue to be the architects of our forward performance and it is up to us to

make the changes necessary to create the success needed to reward our

Shareholders. We have a strong product and brand portfolio and we have new

product to bring to market. These basics have held us in good stead over the years

and I know this is what Alex and the Team focus on.


Let me finish by passing on my personal thanks to our Board and to Alex and his

Management Team across the Group. Most importantly, thank you also to our

Shareholders and commercial partners for your support and continuing loyalty to the

Company at all levels.



A J Waugh

Chair

The Colonial Motor Company Limited


8 November 2024

---

106
th

Annual General

Meeting 2024

Agenda
1.Welcome and Introduction

2.Address from the Chair

3.Resolutions

4.Presentation from the CEO/GM:PPT

5.General Business

6.Light lunch and refreshments

Report from the Group
Chief Executive

Alex Gibbons

106

th

Annual Meeting

8 November 2024

Thank you
Despite the trading profit being down this year, in what can only be

described as a tough trading market, our people have rolled up their

sleeves. This has resulted in dealerships maintaining, or in many

instances growing, their relative market share.

Our people are committed, loyal and highly capable and we thank

them all for their contributions as we forge ahead this year.

We couldn’t achieve what we do without our brand partners. CMC

continues to stand side-by-side with you.

-
5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

198419841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720172018201920202021202220232024

Monthly New Vehicle Registrations since 1984

Deregulation

(Assembly & Used

Imports)

GFC

Pandemic, lockdowns

& government

regulation

Source: MIA Total Industry Registrations

0%
10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

01/2003/2005/2007/2009/2011/2001/2103/2105/2107/2109/2111/2101/2203/2205/2207/2209/2211/2201/2303/2305/2307/2309/2311/2301/2403/2405/2407/2409/24

Monthly New Vehicle Registrations Mix: Passenger and SUV

Passenger/SUV: Battery ElectricPassenger/SUV: Hybrid, PHEVPassenger/SUV: ICE

Source: MIA Total Industry Registrations

0%
10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

01/2003/2005/2007/2009/2011/2001/2103/2105/2107/2109/2111/2101/2203/2205/2207/2209/2211/2201/2303/2305/2307/2309/2311/2301/2403/2405/2407/2409/24

Monthly New Vehicle Registrations Mix: Light Commercial

Light Commercial: Hybrid, PHEV, Battery ElectricLightCommercial: ICE

Source: MIA Total Industry Registrations

Ford backing
electric


As the light vehicle market

pivots towards electric, Ford

New Zealand is right on time

with their new models.

CMC has invested

significantly in Ford facilities

and our people across New

Zealand. It’s great to see

popular models arriving in

their various next-generation

electrified forms.

Mazda
Mazda continues to focus

on refreshing their SUV

lineup.

The CX80 is the latest addition,

available with both Hybrid and

PHEV powertrains.

Heavy Duty
Trucks

It is an important time for Southpac

as the team prepares for the arrival of

Next Generation DAF.

We can’t say much about the new

model, other than it’s an ‘all-new’

state-of-the-art truck in every respect.

Southpac will be unveiling further

details as 2025 unfolds.

Model changes on this scale are

exciting but also disruptive. In the

short-term, Southpac will maintain

elevated inventory to support

customers while the factory is re-

tooled ahead of the new model’s

launch.

Light Duty Trucks
Our JAC journey continues to build

momentum, albeit with a long

road ahead.

The work of our distribution company,

NZ Automotive Limited (NZAL), over

the last year was focused on

implementing the critical building

blocks; vehicle specifications,

compliance, testing and establishing a

sales and service network.

2025 will mark an important milestone

as the Diesel Automatic range arrives

to support the existing EVs.

We know it will take NZAL and dealers

several years to establish a foothold in

the light-duty truck market. However,

we continue to see this market as an

important strategic investment

for CMC.

Major Capital Projects
CMC continues to

support and invest in

long-standing,

strategic partnerships,

customers and people

across the Group.

However, trading

conditions are tough

and a prudent

approach is required to

navigate today's

market.

Palmerston North

Greenfields property development and the

heavy truck facility are progressing.

South Auckland

Review underway to determine the future

long-term facility requirements to support

franchise partners in the region.

Avon City Motors

The dealership requires a larger premises in

Rangiora to support growing Ford sales, used

vehicles and commercial servicing.

Fagan Motors

The dealership showroom rebuild is

on track for completion in early 2025.

Ruahine Motors

Dealership rebuild is on hold

as we navigate current market

conditions.

Dunedin City Motors

A building extension has been added to support Ford

parts in the region, in addition to upgrading the Mazda

showroom’s exterior.

Nelson

CMC acquired a dealership facility in

a strategically important location.

The property is currently leased.

Industry
•Registrations in decline

•Oversupply

•New entrants

•Competition driving down margins

•Clean Car Standard

•Hybrid/PHEV favoured over BEV

CMC Dealers today

•Sales volumes stable, ahead of the market

•Robust processes, training and management

•Invested in first-class dealership facilities

•Brand partners launching new models

•Competition driving downmargins

•Returned to higher inventory costs

CMC Dealer outlook

•Perform well relative to the market

•Margins will remain under pressure

•Lower interest rateswill lessen inventory

costs, but the cost of doing business remains

high

•Well positioned tocapitalise’when’ the

market recovers

•Too early to determine where the market is

heading

New Vehicles

Industry
•Market volumes stable

•Market disruptions shift vehicle values rapidly

•Vehicle margins returned to normal levels

•Lower value used vehicles in higher demand

•Influx of 'near new' used vehicles

•Clean Car Standard

CMC Dealers today

•Sales volumes increased, ahead of the market

•Internal focus on systems and processes

•Used operationssupport the new vehicle

franchise/s

•Limited exposure to lower value used vehicles

•Higher exposure to mid/high value used

vehicles

CMC Dealer outlook

•Perform well relative to the market

•Continue supporting existing franchise car

dealers, rather than looking to establish a

standalone used vehicle brand

•Increased investment available to dealers to

grow their capability and operations

Used Vehicles

Industry
•Industry and market challenged

•Market volume decline

•Oversupply

•New entrants

•Shift away from high HP tractors

•Poor used tractor disciplines

CMC Dealers today

•Labour of love at present

•Maintaining market share

•Competition driving down margins

•Realigning inventory to meet changing

demand

•High inventory costs

CMC Dealer outlook

•Awaiting a rebound in the market

•Focus on supporting customers, who are also

doing it tough

•Realigning cost structures and inventory mix

to meet the market

Tractors

Industry
•Market volumes stable but forward outlook

cooling

•Lingering backlog of trucks awaiting

bodybuilding

CMC Dealers today

•Sales volumes stable, strong market share

•Operating sub-optimally to clear the backlog

•Starting to feel the impact of the slower

economy

•High inventory costs

CMC Dealer outlook

•Perform well relative to the market, with

potential disruption around the DAF model

transition

•Short-term inventory requirements remain

elevated

•Cooling market over the course of this year

Heavy Trucks

Data Analytics & Reporting
Over the last 18 months CMC has been quietly enhancing our in-

house analytical tools, digital reporting and knowledge sharing.

This has resulted in our management teams having faster

access to in-depth department analysis, improving their ability

to identify opportunities and share them with frontline teams.

This, coupled with our use of external industry experts, is

working to ensure our dealers stay ahead.

Internal Focus
Continue aligning dealership cost structures to the market

Grow digital capabilities & data analytics to give our dealers the edge

Build on our used vehicle momentum

Brand Focus

Get behind next generation vehicles and back our long-term partners

to succeed

Build a strong foundation for future success with Light-Duty-Trucks

Prepare for the launch of the next generation DAF

External Focus

Continue delivering a first-class ‘local’ customer experience

Drive efficiency and productivity to deliver long-term returns for

shareholders

1,976
539

39

297

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

DieselPetrolLPGElectricity Used

CMC Group Emissions FY24 TCO2e

Climate Related

Disclosures

CMC's first climate statement was

published in the 2024 Annual Report.

Climate risks are integrated into our

existing strategic risk framework.

Our decentralised business model

supports adaptation to potential

physical impacts. However the core

industries we operate in are exposed

to regulatory and social impacts.

We continue to work with our

franchise partners, suppliers and the

industry to find opportunities to

reduce our impacts.

Thank you
On behalf of the Management Team, we would like to thank

our Shareholders for their continued support and long-term

focus.

It’s a tough market out there, particularly for new vehicle

dealers, but CMC is open for business and we are ready to

tackle the challenges this year will bring.

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