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MLN – December 2024 monthly update

Investor Presentation11 December 2024MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for November was up +5.3%,

while the adjusted NAV return was up +5.0%. This compared

with our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap

Index (50% hedged to NZD), which was up +5.0%.

Market Environment

US markets had a strong month in November on the back of

Donald Trump being re-elected as US President. The US S&P500

(+5%) outperformed Europe (flat), emerging markets (-4%) and

China (-5%). This is due to potential stimulatory moves such as

tax cuts, removing regulatory roadblocks to investment, and

tariffs to be imposed on foreign goods.

In the US, there was significant activity happening behind the

scenes. For example, profitless technology (think cryptocurrency,

Coinbase, ARKK

2

etc.) was up circa 27% and Tesla was up circa

39% given Elon Musk’s association with Trump.

Outside of that, small caps and value related stocks sharply

outperformed growth (e.g. Russell 2000 +10%, Financials +10%,

Industrials +7% vs. Nasdaq +5%). Also, there was a broadening

out in US tech, with a new term coined the Mag70 (previously

the Mag7). This occurred in anticipation of a more favourable

M&A backdrop under Trump’s administration, which potentially

unlocks strategic M&A value for smaller technology companies.

Portfolio

Salesforce (+13%) benefited from improved sentiment around

software stocks; and positive reception of its new AI Agentforce

product. Software companies have been through a period of

sluggish growth the last two years as customers digested high

IT spend during COVID; and as IT budgets were shifted towards

AI projects. But we are seeing signs that software spend is

recovering which has led to improving sentiment across the

sector. The AI Agentforce product was unveiled in September

and has received strong initial feedback from customers.

Agentforce is an autonomous AI agent that can interact with

customers or employees; for example, helping automate patient

appointment scheduling for doctor clinics. While Agentforce is

largely in the testing phase with these customers, this has the

potential to be a material growth driver for Salesforce.

Netflix (+17%) continued to rise following a positive earnings

report in October, driven by strong subscriber growth and

margins. The month featured the highly publicized Tyson-Paul

boxing match, which drew 60 million households, and with two

NFL games scheduled for Christmas Day, Netflix is positioning

itself as an attractive advertising platform. Additionally, the

company’s ability to increase prices in its largest markets, the

U.S. and Canada, along with the untapped potential of its

advertising business, creates a positive outlook for Netflix moving

forward.

Amazon (+12%) had a solid November on the back of positive

third quarter earnings result. The main theme in the quarter

was margins in both AWS and ecommerce. AWS recorded

its highest ever quarterly operating profit margin at 38%, the

result of measured spending and revenue growth reaccelerating

after a period of measured customer spend post pandemic.

Amazon’s ecommerce margins continue to improve post the

large investment made into its logistics infrastructure. While

North American ecommerce margins were better than expected

in the quarter, Amazon’s international ecommerce margins

were the star. This quarter showed that Amazon’s international

ecommerce business continues to close the profitability gap to

North America as more of its international markets mature.

Floor & Décor (+9%) reported better than expected earnings

at the end of October, driven by cost discipline. Floor & Décor

continues to take market share against a tough macroeconomic

backdrop for flooring. Given the share price weakness in the last

two months, we added weight during November.

Danaher (-2%) and Icon (-5%) declined on Trumps’ election,

and also in Icon’s case, continued underperformance following

its guidance downgrade last month as several large pharma

customers reduced their R&D budgets, and biotech spend has

been slow to recover. Trump selected Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to

be Health and Human Services secretary, and while specific

policies have not been announced, given Kennedy’s history of

anti-pharma and anti-FDA rhetoric, this was seen as negative

for drugmakers and portfolio companies like Danaher and Icon

that provide services or products to these customers. That

said, his nomination is far from certain. Firstly, Kennedy needs

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

2

ARK Innovation

MONTHLY UPDATE

December 2024

$

0.92

SHARE PRICE

as at 30 November 2024

WARRANT PRICE

$

0.02

DISCOUNT

1

9.5

%


MLN NAV

$

1.0 2

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 30 November 2024

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.00

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

218m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$205m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

to get senate approval, and he is not necessarily a consensus

candidate; and many changes to federal agencies would

require Congressional oversight or legislation change, so major

changes to the status quo could be challenging. But markets

and companies do not like uncertainty. Until we get more

clarity around policy – we may see biotech and pharmaceutical

companies being hesitant to start new development projects,

which would also be a temporary headwind for companies like

Icon and Danaher.

Alphabet (-1%) was soft during the month after the US

Department of Justice (DOJ) released its proposed solutions for

the anti-trust case they won against Alphabet in August. The

solutions proposed by the DOJ are wide ranging and include

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 30 November 2024

32

%

10

%

19

%


FINANCIALS

20

%

GEOGRAPHICAL SPLIT

as at 30 November 2024

4

%

WESTERN

EUROPE

80

%

NORTH

AMERICA

18

%

16

%


ASIA PACIFIC

HEALTH CARE

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

1

%


CASH &

DERIVATIVES

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

options requiring Alphabet to split off parts of its business such

as Chrome and requiring Alphabet to open its data and IP of

its search engine to competitors. This is to reduce Alphabet’s

dominant position in global internet search. A final decision on

solutions will be decided by the judge in August 2025. Alphabet

is appealing the initial judgement against them and the remedies

judgement will also likely be appealed later in 2025. The case

likely has several years to play out before a conclusion is

reached, we continue to monitor developments closely.

3
NOVEMBER’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

(in local currency) during the month

NETFLIX

+17

%

SALESFORCE

+13

%

AMAZON

+12

%

FLOOR & DÉCOR

HOLDINGS

+11

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 30 November 2024

AMAZON

8

%

MICROSOFT

7

%

ALPHABET

6

%

MASTERCARD

6

%

FLOOR & DÉCOR

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 18 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 30 November 2024

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+0.1%(2.3%)+10.5%(9.2%)+7.3%

Adjusted NAV Return+5.0%+4.3%+18.9%+1.7%+8.8%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +5.3%+5.2%+22.7%+4.0%+11.8%

Benchmark Index^+5.0%+7.8%+28.6%+8.7%+10.7%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies.

DEXCOM

+9

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 30 November 2024

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Nov

2007

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2024

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be utilised

for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Marlin announced a new issue of warrants on

29 April 2024

»The warrant term offer document was sent to all Marlin

shareholders in early May 2024

»Warrants were allotted to all eligible Marlin shareholders

on 16 May 2024

»The new warrants (MLNWG) commence trading on the

NZX Main Board from 17 May 2024

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $1.04, adjusted

down for the aggregate amount per Share of any cash

dividends declared on the shares with a record date

during the period commencing on the date of allotment of

the warrants and ending on the last Business Day before

the final Exercise Price is announced by Marlin

»The Exercise Date for the Marlin warrants is 16 May 2025


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated

to it from the Board to invest according

to the Management Agreement

and other written policies. Marlin’s

portfolio is managed by Fisher Funds

Management Limited. Sam Dickie

(Senior Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters (Senior Investment Analyst),

and Daniel Moser and Charles Barty

(Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing the Marlin

portfolio. Together they have significant

combined experience and are very

capable of researching and investing

in the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is based in

Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Andy

Coupe (Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy and Fiona

Oliver.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.