Meridian Energy Limited 2025 Interim Results
Release
M e r i d i a n E n e r g y L i m i t e d ( A R B N 1 5 1 8 0 0 3 9 6 ) A c o m p a n y i n c o r p o r a t e d i n N e w Z e a l a n d
L e v e l 2 , 9 8 C u s t o m h o u s e Q u a y , W e l l i n g t o n 6 0 1 1
m e r i d i a n e n e r g y . c o . n z
Stock Exchange Listings NZX (MEL) ASX (MEZ)
Winter ‘24 hedging costs impact interim financial result
26 February 2025
Meridian Energy has reported a net loss after tax of $121 million for the six months ending 31
December 2024, compared to a net profit after tax of $191 million in last year’s interim result.
Operating cash flows were $50 million, down from $303 million in the same period last year. These
results were heavily impacted by the cost of hedge contracts for winter 2024 in the face of 1 in 90-
year record low inflows and an unexpected and unprecedented shortage of domestic gas. The hedge
contracts included calling the largest demand response option with New Zealand’s Aluminum Smelter
(NZAS).
EBITDAF
1
fell from $443 million to $257 million and underlying net profit
2
fell from $175 million to a $5
million loss. Both of these are non-GAAP measures.
“The combination of particularly low hydro inflows, low wind and gas shortages made the operating
environment for the first half of this financial year as tough as I can recall experiencing,” says Meridian
Chief Executive Neal Barclay.
“We took a hit for New Zealand. Meridian put this country’s security of supply first and as New
Zealand’s largest renewable electricity generator, our balance sheet tends to underwrite the mitigation
of extended droughts, and that’s one of the ways the country benefits from having large and
financially strong gentailers. While the situation was particularly challenging, we know we rely on
Mother Nature for our fuel and accept the financial impact droughts bring. We prepare the business to
deal with these kinds of eventualities, including maintaining a strong and flexible balance sheet.”
“There is plenty of time before the coming winter, but we are highly focused on managing risks to
winter 2025 security. We have reached a new agreement with NZAS for them to reduce demand by
50MW and are looking for simple rule changes to access this country’s existing contingent hydro
storage. The bigger issue, though, is the structural and significant shortage of domestic gas. New
Zealand needs to take urgent action to address this. Gas is the biggest factor in setting spot and
future electricity prices,” says Neal Barclay.
1
Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation, unrealised changes in fair value of hedges and asset related
adjustments. EBITDAF is a non-GAAP financial measure but is commonly used within the electricity industry as a measure of
performance as it shows the level of earnings before impact of gearing levels and non-cash charges such as depreciation and
amortisation. Market analysts use the measure as an input into company valuation and valuation metrics used to assess
relative value and performance of companies across the sector.
2
Net profit after tax adjusted for the effects of changes in fair value of unrealised hedges, electricity option premiums and other
non-cash items and their tax effects. Underlying net profit after tax is a non-GAAP financial measure. Because they are not
defined by GAAP or IFRS, Meridian’s calculation of such measures may differ from similarly titled measures presented by other
companies and they should not be considered in isolation from, or construed as an alternative to, other financial measures
determined in accordance with GAAP. Although Meridian believes they provide useful information in measuring the financial
performance and condition of Meridian’s business, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these non-GAAP
financial measures. A reconciliation of underlying net profit after tax is included on page 3.
m e r i d i a n e n e r g y . c o . n z
PG 2
With a challenging first half to the financial year, the Meridian Board has decided to maintain the
interim dividend at the same level as the prior period, and declared an interim ordinary dividend of
6.15 cents per share. The dividend reinvestment plan will apply to this interim dividend at a 2%
discount.
Mr Barclay says that Meridian has continued to build strong momentum to set the business up for
future growth. This year, the company expects to commit over $1 billion of capital to new development
projects.
“The relatively fast decline in gas resources has put even greater emphasis on the need to deploy
new renewable developments as quickly as possible and also get more out of our existing fleet of
hydro and wind generation. In that regard, we’ve had a few wins recently. We’ve reinstated capacity in
the generation fleet after resolving transformer issues at Manapōuri and West Wind, and we’ve begun
commissioning our Ruakākā grid scale battery. We’ve also made great progress in advancing a
development pipeline that that will deliver additional megawatts for many years to come,” says Neal
Barclay.
Meridian recently announced:
•
A finalised consent for its 120MW Ruakākā solar development (February)
•
Consent for its 90MW Mt Munro Wind Farm near Eketāhuna (February)
•
A Scheme Implementation Agreement as part of its bid to acquire the remaining shares in NZ
Windfarms (February)
•
A
Power Purchase Agreement with Harmony Energy / First Renewables in respect of their
joint venture to build the 150MW Tauhei Solar Farm in the Waikato. (January)
•
A 50-50 joint venture with Nova Energy Limited to build the 400MW Te Rahui solar
farm at Rangitāiki near Taupō.(December).
The first half of FY25 has also seen tremendous progress in Meridian’s Retail business. Having
completed a strategic reset and restructure to enable the business to meet changing technology and
consumer needs, the company has launched three new products (Smart Hot Water, Smart EV
Charging and the Four Hours Free Plan), with more to come over the remainder of the financial year.
“Customers are responding to these changes, with record numbers signing up. As of 1 January, we
had achieved our highest ever market share of electricity connections, with 16.58% across the
Meridian and Powershop brands. Our brands also led the industry rankings for new connections in
December, with Powershop first and Meridian second, and more than 4,000 connections that month
across both brands,” says Neal Barclay.
“The business has weathered an extraordinarily difficult set of circumstances and leveraged our
financial strength to ensure the lights stayed on for New Zealand. At the same time, we’ve not backed
away from our strategic goals one bit and our customer market share has continued to grow as has
our renewable development pipeline.”
m e r i d i a n e n e r g y . c o . n z
PG 3
ENDS
Neal Barclay
Chief Executive
Meridian Energy Limited
For investor relations queries, please contact:
Owen Hackston
Investor Relations Manager
021 246 4772
For media queries, please contact:
Lachlan Forsyth
Media & Content Manager
021 243 5342
---
A shift
in energy
MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDCONDENSED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS as at and for the six months ended 31 December 2024
MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDMENU
01
Contents
CONDENSED INTERIM
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
02Income Statement
The income earned and operating expenditure
incurred by the Meridian Group during the
six months.
02Comprehensive Income Statement
Items of income and operating expense that
are not recognised in the income statement
and hence taken to reserves in equity.
03Balance Sheet
A summary of the Meridian Group assets
and liabilities at the end of the six months.
04Statement of Changes in Equity
Components that make up the capital and
reserves of the Meridian Group and the changes
of each component during the six months.
05Statement of Cash Flows
Cash generated and used by the Meridian Group.
NOTES TO THE CONDENSED
INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
06About this report
07S Significant matters in the six months
09NNon-GAAP measures
10A Financial performance
A1. Segment performance
A2. Income
A3. Expenses
14B Assets used to generate and sell electricity
B1. Property, plant and equipment
B2. Intangible assets
15C Managing funding
C1.Capital management
C2.Earnings per share
C3.Dividends
C4.Borrowings
17D Financial instruments used to manage risk
D1.Financial risk management
20EOther
E1. Group structure
E2. Contingent assets and liabilities
E3. Subsequent events
21Signed report
Independent auditor’s report
GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDMENU
02
Income Statement
FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024
UnauditedUnaudited
Note
2024
$M
2023
$M
Operating revenueA2 2,255 2,111
Operating expensesA3(1,700) (1,701)
Depreciation and amortisationB1, B2(225) (164)
Asset related adjustments(8) 11
Net change in fair value of energy hedgesD1(441) 44
Interest expenseA3(42) (31)
Interest income 4 6
Net change in fair value of treasury hedgesD1(11) (13)
Net (loss)/profit before tax(168) 263
Income tax benefit/(expense) 47 (72)
Net (loss)/profit after tax(121) 191
Earnings per share (EPS, in cents) – basic and dilutedC2(4.7) 7. 4
Comprehensive Income Statement
FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024
Unaudited Unaudited
2024
$M
2023
$M
Net (loss)/profit after tax(121) 191
Items that may be reclassified to profit or loss:
Net gain/(loss) on cash flow hedges 1 (7)
Income tax on the above items– 2
1 (5)
Other comprehensive income/(loss) for the period, net of tax 1 (5)
Total comprehensive (loss)/income for the period, net of tax(120) 186
The notes to the condensed interim financial statements form an integral part of these financial statements.
GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDMENU
03
The notes to the condensed interim financial statements form an integral part of these financial statements.
Restated*
UnauditedUnauditedAudited
Note
31 Dec 2024
$M
31 Dec 2023
$M
30 Jun 2024
$M
Current liabilities
Payables and accrualsS2 228 443 565
Employee entitlements 15 15 21
Customer contract liabilities 18 15 10
Current portion of borrowingsC4 490 382 234
Current portion of lease liabilities 3 3 3
Financial instrumentsD1, S2 118 64 86
Current tax payable– 44 85
Total current liabilities 872 966 1,004
Non-current liabilities
BorrowingsC4 1,167 1,009 1,113
Deferred tax 2,857 2,071 2,949
Lease liabilities 27 28 27
Financial instrumentsD1, S2 163 103 142
Term payablesS2 60 63 62
Total non-current liabilities 4, 274 3, 274 4,293
Total liabilities 5,146 4,240 5,297
Net assets 7, 8 4 5 5,885 8,246
Shareholders’ equity
Share capital 1,834 1,719 1,729
Reserves 6,011 4,166 6,517
Total shareholders’ equity 7, 8 4 5 5,885 8,246
* The Balance Sheet has been restated due to a change in presentation in the current period.
Refer to the Significant Matters section Note S2 for more information.
Balance Sheet
AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2024
Restated*
UnauditedUnauditedAudited
Note
31 Dec 2024
$M
31 Dec 2023
$M
30 Jun 2024
$M
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents 111 221 221
Trade receivables 297 458 536
Customer contract assets 13 13 12
Financial instrumentsD1, S2 110 170 233
Current tax receivable 23 ––
Other assets 52 42 49
Total current assets 606 904 1,051
Non-current assets
Property, plant and equipmentB1 12,059 9,031 12,192
Intangible assetsB2 71 80 62
Financial instrumentsD1, S2 236 99 224
Other assets 19 11 14
Total non-current assets 12,385 9, 221 12,492
Total assets 12 ,991 10,125 13,543
For and on behalf of the Board of Directors who authorised the issue
of the condensed interim financial statements on 25 February 2025.
Mark Verbiest
Chair, 25 February 2025
Julia Hoare
Chair, Audit and Risk Committee, 25 February 2025
GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDMENU
04
The notes to the condensed interim financial statements form an integral part of these financial statements.
Statement of Changes in Equity
FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024
$M
Share
capital
Share
option
reserve
Revaluation
reserve
Cash flow
hedge
reserve
Retained
earnings
Shareholders
equity
Balance at 1 July 2024 (audited) 1,729 3 8,145 –(1,631) 8,246
Net (loss)/profit for the period – – – – (121) (121)
Other comprehensive income
Net gain/(loss) on cash flow hedges – – – 1 – 1
Income tax relating to other comprehensive income – – – – – –
Total other comprehensive income, net of tax – – –1 – 1
Total comprehensive income/(loss) for the period, net of tax – – – 1 (121) (120)
Share-based transactions(3) – – – (2) (5)
Dividend reinvestment plan 108 – – – – 108
Dividends paid/reinvested – – – – (384) (384)
Balance at 31 December 2024 (unaudited) 1,834 3 8,145 1 (2,138) 7, 8 4 5
Balance at 1 July 2023 (audited) 1,700 3 5,879 5 (1,600) 5,987
Net profit for the period – – – – 191 191
Other comprehensive income
Net gain/(loss) on cash flow hedges – – – (7) – (7)
Income tax relating to other comprehensive income – – – 2 – 2
Total other comprehensive income/(loss), net of tax – – – (5) – (5)
Total comprehensive income/(loss) for the period, net of tax – – – (5) 191 186
Share-based transactions(1) – – – – (1)
Dividend reinvestment plan 20 – – – – 20
Dividend paid/reinvested – – – – (307) (307)
Balance at 31 December 2023 (unaudited) 1,719 3 5,879 –(1,716) 5,885
GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDMENU
05
Statement of Cash Flows
FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024
UnauditedUnaudited
Note
2024
$M
2023
$M
Operating activities
Receipts from customers 2,410 2,044
Interest received 4 6
Payments to suppliers and employees(2,165) (1,605)
Interest paid(44) (38)
Income tax paid(155) (104)
Operating cash flows 50 303
Investing activities
Purchase of property, plant and equipment(104) (143)
Purchase of intangible assets(20) (12)
Purchase of other assets(4) (11)
Investing cash flows(128) (166)
Financing activities
Borrowings drawnC4 256 167
Borrowings repaidC4(5) (5)
Shares purchases for long term incentive(6) (2)
Lease liabilities paid(1) (1)
Dividends C3(276) (287)
Financing cash flows(32) (128)
Net (decrease)/increase in cash and cash equivalents(110) 9
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the six months 221 212
Cash and cash equivalents at end of the six months 111 221
The notes to the condensed interim financial statements form an integral part of these financial statements.
ABOUT THIS REPORTNOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
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About this report
IN THIS SECTION
The summary notes to the unaudited
condensed interim financial statements
include information which is considered
relevant and material to assist the reader
in understanding changes in Meridian's
financial position and performance.
Information is considered relevant
and material if:
the amount is significant because
of its size and nature;
it is important for understanding
the results of Meridian;
it helps to explain changes in
Meridian's business; or
it relates to an aspect of Meridian's
operations that is important to
future performance.
These condensed interim financial
statements are for Meridian Energy
Limited (Meridian), its subsidiaries,
controlled entities, interests in associates
and joint arrangements (Group).
Meridian is a for-profit entity domiciled
and registered under the Companies
Act 1993 in New Zealand. It is a Financial
Markets Conduct (FMC) reporting entity
for the purposes of the Financial Markets
Conduct Act 2013. Meridian is dual listed
on the New Zealand Stock Exchange
(NZX) and the Australian Securities
Exchange (ASX). As a mixed ownership
company, majority owned by His Majesty
the King in Right of New Zealand, it is
bound by the requirements of the
Public Finance Act 1989.
These condensed interim financial
statements for the six months ended
31 December 2024 have been prepared:
• in accordance with Generally
Accepted Accounting Practice (GAAP)
in New Zealand as appropriate for
interim financial statements, complying
with the New Zealand equivalents to
International Accounting Standard 34
Interim Financial Reporting (NZ IAS 34)
and International Accounting Standard
34 Interim Financial Reporting (IAS 34),
as appropriate for a for-profit entity;
• using the same accounting policies,
methods of computation, significant
estimates and key judgments as
disclosed in the 2024 Annual report,
unless stated otherwise;
• on the basis of historical cost,
modified by revaluation of certain
assets and liabilities;
• in millions of New Zealand dollars
(NZD), unless otherwise noted; and
• with certain comparative amounts
reclassified to conform to current
period presentation.
The information in these condensed
interim financial statements should be
read in conjunction with the 2024
Annual report.
SIGNIFICANT MATTERSNOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDMENU
07
This section outlines significant matters
which have impacted Meridian's financial
position and performance.
S1 New Zealand Aluminium
Smelter (NZAS)
As detailed in the 2024 Annual report, the
new NZAS contracts starting 3 July 2024
cause a significant change in how income,
expenses, assets and liabilities are classified
within these Interim financial statements.
The main changes are as follows:
• the main contract with NZAS
changes from being an executory
contract to being a financial
instrument (derivative); and
• the demand response agreement
(DRA) changes from being a derivative
to an executory contract with an
associated embedded derivative
recognised.
The below table notes where the NZAS related income, expense and balance sheet
values are presented, for the current and comparative periods.
UnauditedUnaudited
INCOME STATEMENT
31 Dec 2024
$M
31 Dec 2023
$M
Operating revenue – 88
Operating expenses(88) (319)
Net change in fair value of energy hedges(214) (3)
BALANCE SHEET
Financial instruments – current asset 29 7
Financial instruments – non-current asset 29 –
Financial instruments – non–current liability(82) –
Payables and accruals(9) (65)
IN THIS SECTION
S Significant matters in the six months
SIGNIFICANT MATTERSNOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDMENU
08
S2 Restatement of
presentation of Financial
Transmission Rights
Meridian has amended its balance sheet
presentation of Financial Transmission
Rights (FTRs). FTRs are Level 1 electricity
derivatives used to manage locational
price risk. Meridian previously disclosed
FTRs gross, with:
• acquisition cost classified as a liability
(in Payables and accruals for current
amounts due, and in Term payables
for non-current amounts due); and
• the hedge value classified as assets
(in Financial instruments).
As FTRs are net settled, Meridian has
changed its balance sheet presentation
in the current period and restated the
prior year. The effects of this change in
presentation on the consolidated balance
sheet are shown in the below table:
Restated
BALANCE SHEET
UnauditedUnauditedUnaudited
31 Dec 2023
$M
31 Dec 2023
$M
Change
$M
Financial instruments – current asset170225 (55)
Financial instruments – non-current asset99118
(19)
Financial instruments – current liability6463 1
Financial instruments – non-current liability103102 1
Payables and accruals443499 (56)
Term payables6383 (20)
S3 Hydrological and
market conditions
The current period has seen significant
volatility in energy prices, resulting from
periods of low hydro lake storage and
on-going tightness in the gas market.
The occurrence of high wholesale
prices at the same time as reduced
hydro generation capacity has had a
negative impact on Meridian's financial
performance, as compared to the
comparative period.
NON-GAAP MEASURESNOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDMENU
09
Meridian uses non-GAAP financial
measures within these condensed
interim financial statements and
accompanying notes. The limited use
of non-GAAP measures is intended
to supplement GAAP measures to
provide readers with further information
to broaden their understanding of
Meridian's financial performance and
position. They are not a substitute
for GAAP measures.
As these measures are not defined
by NZ GAAP, IFRS, or any other body
of accounting standards, Meridian's
calculations may differ from similarly
titled measures presented by other
companies. The measures are described
here, including references to relevant
notes to the condensed interim
financial statements.
EBITDAF
EBITDAF stands for earnings before
interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation,
unrealised changes in fair value of
hedges, impairments and gains and
losses on sale of assets.
EBITDAF allows the evaluation of
Meridian's operating performance
without the non-cash impact of
depreciation, amortisation, unrealised
fair value movements of hedging
instruments and other one-off or
infrequently occurring events and
the effects of Meridian's capital
structure and tax position. This allows
the reader to compare operating
performance with that of other
electricity industry companies.
Meridian uses this measure within
Note A1 Segment performance.
Energy margin
Energy margin provides a measure of
financial performance that, unlike total
revenue, accounts for the variability
of wholesale energy markets and
the broadly offsetting impact of
the wholesale prices on the cost of
Meridian's energy purchases and
revenue from generation.
Meridian uses this measure within
Note A1 Segment performance.
Net debt
Net debt is a metric commonly used
by investors as a measure of Meridian's
indebtedness that takes account of
liquid financial assets.
Meridian uses this measure within
Note C1 Capital management.
IN THIS SECTION
This section contains explanations
of non-GAAP measures that are used
within the notes to the condensed
interim financial statements.
N Non-GAAP measures
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCENOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
10
This section provides an analysis of
Meridian's financial performance for the
six months by key area including operating
segments, revenue and expenses.
A1 Segment performance
The Chief Executive (the chief operating
decision-maker) monitors the operating
performance of each segment for the
purpose of making decisions on resource
allocation and strategic direction. The
Chief Executive considers the business
according to the nature of the products
and services, as set out below:
Wholesale
• Generation of electricity and its sale
into the wholesale electricity market.
• Purchase of electricity from the
wholesale electricity market and its
sale to the Retail segment and to large
industrial customers, including NZAS
representing the equivalent of 25%
(31 December 2023: 36%) of Meridian's
generation production volume.
• Development of renewable electricity
generation opportunities.
Retail
• Retailing of electricity and
complementary products through
two brands, Meridian and Powershop.
• Electricity sold to residential, business
and industrial customers on fixed
price variable volume contracts
is purchased from the Wholesale
segment at an average annual
fixed price of $137 per megawatt
hour (MWh) (2023: $133 per MWh).
Electricity sold to business and
industrial customers on spot (variable
price) agreements is purchased from
the Wholesale segment at prevailing
wholesale spot market prices.
• Agency margin from spot sales is
included within "Contracted sales,
net of distribution costs and hedging".
Other and unallocated
• Other operations that are not
considered reportable segments,
including licensing of the Flux developed
electricity retailing platform.
• Activities and centrally based costs
that are not directly allocated to
other segments.
The financial performance of the
operating segments is assessed
using energy margin and EBITDAF
(for defintions see the Non-GAAP
Measure page) before unallocated
central corporate expenses. Balance
sheet items are not reported to the Chief
Executive at an operating segment level.
IN THIS SECTION
A Financial performance
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCENOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
11
Group
FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER
Wholesale Retail
Other and
UnallocatedInter-segmentUnauditedUnaudited
2024
$M
2023
$M
2024
$M
2023
$M
2024
$M
2023
$M
2024
$M
2023
$M
2024
$M
2023
$M
Contracted sales, net of distribution costs and hedging 291 296 704 670 – – – – 995 966
Costs to supply customers, net of hedging (1,631) (1,334) (653) (660) – – 719 729 (1,565) (1,265)
Net cost of other hedges (15) 51 – – – – – – (15) 51
Generation spot revenue, net of hedging 1,042 885 – – – – – – 1,042 885
Inter-segment electricity sales 719 729 – – – – (719) (729) – –
Virtual asset swap margins (9) (3) – – – – – – (9) (3)
Other market revenue/(costs) (3) (5) (1) – – – – – (4) (5)
Energy margin (see reconciliation on next page) 394 619 50 10 – – – – 444 629
Other revenue 2 2 13 9 16 10 (5) (5) 26 16
Hosting expense – – – – (2) (2) – – (2) (2)
Energy transmission expense (37) (36) – – – – – – (37) (36)
Energy metering expenses – – (26) (25) – – – – (26) (25)
Gross margin 359 585 37 (6) 14 8 (5) (5) 405 582
Employee expenses (16) (16) (20) (18) (32) (32) – – (68) (66)
Other operating expenses (40) (35) (21) (19) (23) (23) 4 4 (80) (73)
EBITDAF (see reconciliation on next page) 303 534 (4) (43) (41) (47) (1) (1) 257 443
Depreciation and amortisation (225) (164)
Asset related adjustments (8) 11
Net change in fair value of energy hedges (see reconciliation on next page) (143) 11
Interest expense (42) (31)
Interest income 4 6
Net change in fair value of treasury hedges (11) (13)
Net (loss)/profit before tax (168) 263
Income tax benefit/(expense) 47 (72)
Net (loss)/profit after tax(121) 191
A1 Segment performance continued
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCENOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
12
UnauditedUnaudited
RECONCILIATION OF ENERGY MARGINNote
2024
$M
2023
$M
Energy sales to customersA2 1,178 1,203
Generation revenueA2 1,051 892
Energy expensesA3 (1,094) (1,136)
Energy distribution expensesA3 (393) (363)
Realised energy hedges (see below) (298) 33
Energy margin 444 629
UnauditedUnaudited
RECONCILIATION OF EBITDAFNote
2024
$M
2023
$M
Operating revenueA2 2,255 2,111
Operating expensesA3 (1,700) (1,701)
Realised energy hedges (see below) (298) 33
EBITDAF 257 443
UnauditedUnaudited
RECONCILIATION OF NET CHANGE IN FAIR VALUE OF ENERGY HEDGES
2024
$M
2023
$M
Realised energy hedges shown within energy margin (see above) (298) 33
Unrealised changes in the fair value of energy hedges (as noted on previous page) (143) 11
Net change in fair value of energy hedges per the Income Statement(441) 44
A1 Segment performance continued
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCENOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
13
A2 Income
OPERATING REVENUE
Six months ended 31 December
UnauditedUnaudited
2024
$M
2023
$M
Energy sales to customers 1,178 1,203
Generation revenue 1,051 892
Energy-related services revenue 5 5
Other revenue 21 11
Total operating revenue 2,255 2,111
A3 Expenses
OPERATING EXPENSES
Six months ended 31 December
UnauditedUnaudited
2024
$M
2023
$M
Energy expenses 1,094 1,136
Energy distribution expenses 393 363
Energy transmission expenses 37 36
Energy metering expenses 26 25
Hosting expenses 2 2
Employee expenses 68 66
Other expenses 80 73
Total operating expenses 1,700 1,701
INTEREST EXPENSE
Six months ended 31 December
UnauditedUnaudited
2024
$M
2023
$M
Interest on borrowings 46 40
Interest on option premiums– 1
Interest on lease liabilities 1 1
Less capitalised interest(5) (11)
Total interest expense 42 31
Capitalised interest
Meridian capitalises interest expense relating to building new assets. The average rate
used to determine the amount of borrowing costs eligible for capitalisation was 5.71%
(2023: 5.58%).
ASSETS USED TO GENERATE AND SELL ELECTRICITYNOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
14
B1 Property, plant and equipment
POSITION AS AT
UnauditedUnauditedAudited
31 Dec 2024
$M
31 Dec 2023
$M
30 Jun 2024
$M
Opening net book value 12,192 8,989 8,989
Additions 81 200 375
Disposals – (6) (17)
Adjustment of Right of use assets 1 (3) (3)
Generation structures and plant revaluation
– revaluation reserve
– – 3,152
Depreciation expense(215) (149) (304)
Closing net book value 12,059 9,031 12,192
Fair value and revaluation of
generation structures and plant
Within property, plant & equipment,
generation structures and plant are carried
at fair value. Revaluations are performed
with sufficient regularity to ensure that
carrying value does not differ materially
from that which would be determined
using fair values at balance date.
A review and assessment of key inputs
included in the valuation of generation
structures and plant has been undertaken
as at 31 December 2024, indicating that
the carrying value was materially in line
with fair value and therefore a revaluation
was unnecessary (2023: assets were not
revalued). Generation structures and
plant were last revalued at 30 June 2024.
This section shows the core tangible
and intangible assets Meridian uses in
the production and sale of electricity
to generate operating revenues.
B2 Intangible assets
POSITION AS AT
UnauditedUnauditedAudited
31 Dec 2024
$M
31 Dec 2023
$M
30 Jun 2024
$M
Opening net book value 62 73 73
Additions 22 22 37
Impairment(3) – (18)
Amortisation expense(10) (15) (30)
Closing net book value 71 80 62
Capital Commitments
At 31 December 2024, Meridian has
capital commitments of $50 million
(2023: $165 million).
IN THIS SECTION
B Assets used to generate and sell electricity
MANAGING FUNDINGNOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
15
This section summarises Meridian's capital position and returns to shareholders.
C1 Capital management
POSITION AS AT
UnauditedUnauditedAudited
Note
31 Dec 2024
$M
31 Dec 2023
$M
30 Jun 2024
$M
Share capital 1,834 1,719 1,729
Retained earnings(2,138) (1,716) (1,631)
Other reserves 8,149 5,882 8,148
7, 8 4 5 5,885 8,246
Drawn borrowingsC4 1,582 1,383 1,331
add: Lease liabilities 30 31 30
less: Cash and cash equivalents (111) (221) (221)
Net debt 1,501 1,193 1,140
Net capital 9,346 7,07 8 9,386
Net capital is defined by Meridian as the combination of shareholders equity,
reserves and net debt.
C2 Earnings per share
UnauditedUnaudited
BASIC AND DILUTED EARNINGS PER SHARE (EPS)31 Dec 202431 Dec 2023
Net (loss)/profit after tax ($M)(121) 191
Weighted average number of shares used in the calculation of EPS 2,596,488,167 2,583,937,890
Basic and diluted EPS (cents per share)(4.7) 7. 4
IN THIS SECTION
C Managing funding
C3 Dividends
DIVIDENDS DECLARED AND PAID
Six months ended 31 December
UnauditedUnaudited
2024
$M
2023
$M
Final ordinary dividend 2024: 14.85cps (2023: 11.90cps) 384 307
Total dividends paid 384 307
Dividends declared and not recognised as a liability
Interim ordinary dividend 2025: 6.15cps (2024: 6.15cps) 160 159
Meridian's objective when managing
capital is to provide appropriate returns
to shareholders whilst maintaining a
capital structure that safeguards its
ability to remain a going concern and
optimises the cost of capital. Refer
to note C1 in the 2024 Annual report
for further details on how Meridian
manages its capital.
v
Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP)
Meridian operates a DRP under which
shareholders can elect to receive dividends
in additional shares rather than cash.
For the September 2024 final dividend
payment, new shares were issued at a 2%
discount to the prevailing market price of
Meridian shares around the time of issue.
Meridian investors were issued 18,204,174
new shares with a value of $108 million
(2024: 3,838,342 shares with a value of
$20 million).
Shares issued in lieu of cash are excluded
from dividends paid in the Statement of
Cash Flows.
Subsequent event –
dividend declared
On 25 February 2025 the Board declared
a partially imputed interim ordinary
dividend of 6.15 cents per share.
MANAGING FUNDINGNOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
16
C4 Borrowings
UnauditedUnauditedAudited
31 Dec 2024
$M
31 Dec 2023
$M
30 Jun 2024
$M
Commercial paper
100 198 25
Drawn bank facilities
181 24 –
Retail bonds
700 550 700
Export credit agency facility
15 25 20
US Private placement notes
586 586 586
Face value of borrowings
1,582 1,383 1,331
Deferred financing costs
(2) (2) (2)
Fair value adjustment on hedged borrowings
77 10 18
Total carrying value of borrowings
1,657 1,391 1,347
of which
Current portion of borrowings
490 382 234
Borrowings
1,167 1,009 1,113
Total carrying value of borrowings
1,657 1,391 1,347
Meridian has committed bank facilities
of $915 million of which $196 million
were drawn at 31 December 2024
(2023: facilities of $650 million of
which $49 million were drawn).
Where facilities have expiry dates,
these range from August 2025 to
April 2027. $350 million of facilities
are evergreen and have no expiry dates.
All borrowings are Green Debt
instruments under Meridian's Green
Finance Programme. Further information
is available on the Green Finance
section of Meridian's website.
Within borrowings there are longer
dated instruments with fixed rate
coupons which are not in hedge
accounting relationships. As at
31 December 2024, the fair value is
$24 million higher than the carrying
value (2023: fair value $4 million higher
than carrying value). This is driven by
the fixed rate Retail bonds.
The below table details changes in Meridian's borrowings over the current and
comparative reporting period.
UnauditedUnaudited
2024
$M
2023
$M
Balance 30 June
1,347 1,236
Borrowings drawn
256 167
Borrowings repaid
(5) (5)
Change in fair value adjustments on hedged borrowings
1 13
Movements due to changes in foreign exchange rates
58 (20)
Balance 31 December
1,657 1,391
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS USED TO MANAGE RISKNOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
17
This section summarises the financial
(hedging) instruments Meridian uses
to manage risk.
D1 Financial instruments
A summary of financial instruments
and their impact on Meridian's financial
position and performance is noted
opposite, grouped by type of hedge.
There were no changes in valuation
processes, valuation techniques or types
of inputs used in the calculation of fair
values and their movements during the
period. Refer to the 2024 Annual report
for information about the fair value
hierachy of our inputs.
Fair value on the balance sheet
Fair value movements
in the income statement
UnauditedUnauditedAuditedUnauditedUnaudited
31 Dec 202431 Dec 202330 Jun 202431 Dec 202431 Dec 2023
Level
Assets
$M
Liabilities
$M
Assets
$M
Liabilities
$M
Assets
$M
Liabilities
$M$M$M
Treasury hedges
Cross currency interest rate swap (CCIRS) –
interest rate risk
2(51)–(26)(10)(39)(13)––
CCIRS – basis and margin risk24(3)–(3)–(1)––
CCIRS – foreign exchange risk2129–46–71–––
Total CC IRS82(3)20(13)32(14)––
Foreign exchange hedges2––3–1–––
Interest rate swaps237(19)35(14)44(14)(11)(13)
Total treasury hedges119(22)58(27)77(28)(11)(13)
Energy hedges
Market traded energy hedges110(74)54(46)79(15)(119)1
Other energy hedges388(103)123(94)152(111)(107)52
Energy options371–34–93–(1)(9)
NZAS358(82)––56(74)(214)–
Total energy hedges227(259)211(140)380(200)(441)44
Total hedges346(281)269(167)457(228)(452)31
of which
Current110(118)170(64)233(86)
Non current236(163)99(103)224(142)
Total hedges346(281)269(167)457(228)
IN THIS SECTION
D Financial instruments used to manage risk
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS USED TO MANAGE RISKNOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
18
Analysis of fair value movements on energy hedges
The following table provides an analysis of fair value movements on energy hedges. In Note A1 Segment performance,
realised movements on energy hedges are presented within Energy Margin and EBITDAF.
UnauditedUnaudited
Six months ended 31 Dec 2024Six months ended 31 Dec 2023
$M
Market
traded
energy
hedges
Other
energy
hedges
Energy
optionsNZASTotal
Market
traded
energy
hedges
Other
energy
hedges
Energy
optionsNZASTotal
Realised movements in energy hedges(44) (83) 24 (195) (298) (6) 38 1 – 33
Unrealised movements in energy hedges(75) (24) (25) (19) (143) 7 14 (10) – 11
Total fair value movements in energy hedges(119) (107) (1) (214) (441) 1 52 (9) – 44
Level 3 financial instrument analysis
The following provides a summary of the movements through EBITDAF and movements in the fair value of level 3 financial instruments:
UnauditedUnaudited
31 Dec 202431 Dec 2023
$M
Other
energy
hedges
Energy
options NZAS Total
Other
energy
hedges
Energy
options NZAS Total
Net change in fair value of energy hedges:
Realised movements(83) 24 (195) (254)381 – 39
Unrealised movements(24) (25) (19) (68) 14(10) – 4
Total net change in fair value of energy hedges(107) (1) (214) (322) 52(9) – 43
Balance at the beginning of the period4193(19)115(5)33–28
Fair value movements in the Income Statement(107)(1)(214)(322)52(9)–43
Remeasurement51(28)209232(18)––(18)
New hedge recognised–7–7–10–10
Balance at the end of the period(15)71(24)322934–63
D1 Financial instruments continued
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS USED TO MANAGE RISKNOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
19
Fair value technique and key inputs
In estimating the fair value of an asset or
liability, Meridian uses market-observable
data to the extent that it is available. The
Audit and Risk Committee determines
the overall appropriateness of key
valuation techniques and inputs for
fair value measurement. The Chief
Financial Officer explains fair value
movements in his report to the Board.
Where the fair value of a financial
instrument is calculated as the present
value of the estimated future cash flows
of the instrument (DCFs), a number of
inputs and assumptions are used by
the valuation technique. These are:
• forward price curves referenced to
the ASX for electricity, published
market interest rates and published
forward foreign exchange rates;
• Meridian's best estimate of volumes
called over the life of energy options;
• discount rates based on the market
wholesale interest rate curves,
adjusted for counterparty risk;
• calibration factor applied to forward
price curves as a consequence of
initial recognition differences;
• NZAS continues to operate to
31 December 2044; and
• contracts run their full term.
The table below describes the additional key inputs and techniques used in the valuation of level 3 financial instruments:
Financial asset
or liabilityDescription of input
Range of significant
unobservable inputsRelationship of input to fair value
Other electricity
hedges and NZAS,
valued using DCFs
Where quoted prices are not available or not relevant
(i.e. for long dated contracts), Meridian's best estimate
of long-term forward wholesale electricity price
is used. This is based on a fundamental analysis of
expected demand and the cost of new supply and any
other relevant wholesale market factors. It takes into
account any fixed discount applicable at inception.
$56/MWh to $77/MWh
(30 June 2024: $56/MWh
to $77/MWh) (in nominal terms,
excludes observable ASX prices).
An increase in forward wholesale electricity
price increases the fair value of buy hedges
and decreases the fair value of sell hedges.
A decrease in forward wholesale electricity
price has the opposite effect.
NZASThe NZAS CFD and DRA contain price adjustments
for inflation, subject to movements in average annual
aluminium price. Actual and forecast Consumer Price
Inflation (CPI), as published by the New Zealand
Treasury, is used as an input. This is adjusted for the
probability of CPI increases applying to the contracts.
Meridian assesses probability of CPI increases by
historical analysis of aluminium prices.
31 December 2024: CPI 0%–2%,
Probability 54%
30 June 2024: CPI 0%–2%,
Probability 54%
For the CFD, as CPI rises, its value increases.
A decrease in CPI has the opposite effect.
For the DRA embedded derivative, as CPI
rises, the value decreases. A decrease in
the CPI has the opposite effect.
D1 Financial instruments continued
OTHERNOTES TO THE GROUP FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
MENU
20
E1 Group structure
No changes occurred to Meridian's Group structure in the six months
ended 31 December 2024.
E2 Contingent assets and liabilities
There are no contingent assets or liabilities as at 31 December 2024
(31 Dec 2023: Nil, 30 Jun 2024: Nil).
E3 Subsequent events
In January 2025 Meridian signed a Power Purchase Agreement with
Harmony Energy/First Renewables in respect of their joint venture to build
the Tauhei Solar Farm. The Tauhei Solar Farm is due to be completed in late
2026 and will generate 280 gigawatt hours of electricity each year. Meridian
will purchase 100% of the output from the farm for its first 10 years of operation.
In February 2025, Meridian entered into a Scheme Implementation Agreement
(SIA) with NZ Windfarms Limited (NZWF) to purchase the remaining shares (80.01%)
in NZWF via a court-approved Scheme of Arrangement for $0.25 cash per share, this
corresponds to a total equity value for NZWF of $91 million as at 19 February 2025.
The Scheme is subject to NZWF shareholder approval, High Court approval, and
other customary conditions relating to regulatory approvals and certain events
or occurrences prior to implementation, as detailed in the SIA.
There are no other subsequent events other than dividends declared on
25 February 2025 (refer to Note C3 Dividends for further details).
E Other
INDEPENDENT AUDITOR'S REPORTMERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDMENU
21
The Auditor-General is the auditor
of Meridian Energy Limited (the
“Company”) and its subsidiaries (the
“Group”). The Auditor-General has
appointed me, Anthony Smith, using
the staff and resources of Deloitte
Limited, to carry out the review of
the condensed consolidated interim
financial statements (“interim financial
statements”) of the Group on his behalf.
Conclusion
We have reviewed the interim financial
statements of the Group on pages 2 to
20, which comprise the balance sheet as
at 31 December 2024, income statement,
comprehensive income statement,
statement of changes in equity and
statement of cash flows for the six months
ended on that date, and notes to the
interim financial statements, including
material accounting policy information
and other explanatory information.
Based on our review, nothing has come
to our attention that causes us to believe
that the interim financial statements of
the Group do not present fairly, in all
material respects, the financial position
of the Group as at 31 December 2024
and its financial performance and cash
flows for the six months ended on that
date in accordance with NZ IAS 34
Interim Financial Reporting and
IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting.
Basis for Conclusion
We conducted our review in accordance
with NZ SRE 2410 (Revised) Review of
Financial Statements Performed by the
Independent Auditor of the Entity (‘NZ
SRE 2410 (Revised)’). Our responsibilities
are further described in the Auditor’s
Responsibilities for the Review of the
Interim Financial Statements section
of our report.
We are independent of the Group in
accordance with the independence
requirements of the Auditor-General’s
Auditing Standards, which incorporate
the independence requirements of
Professional and Ethical Standard 1
International Code of Ethics for Assurance
Practitioners issued by the New Zealand
Auditing and Assurance Standards Board.
In addition to this review and the audit of
the Group annual financial statements,
our firm carries out other assurance
assignments for the Group in the areas
of greenhouse gas inventory assurance,
limited assurance of the sustainability
content in the integrated report, audits
of the securities registers, audit of
the fixed rate bond registers, and the
solvency returns of Meridian Energy
Captive Insurance Limited, as well as a
review of the vesting of the executive
long-term incentive plan, and supervisor
reporting, which are compatible with
those independence requirements. We
also provide non – assurance services to
the Corporate Taxpayers Group of which
Meridian Energy is a member, along
with a number of other organisations.
Principals and employees of our firm also
deal with the Group on arm’s length terms
within the ordinary course of trading
activities of the Group. These services and
trading activities have not impaired our
independence as auditor of the Group.
Other than these engagements and arm’s
length terms transactions, we have no
relationship with, or interests in the Group.
INDEPENDENT AUDITOR’S REVIEW REPORT
TO THE SHAREHOLDERS OF MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
INDEPENDENT AUDITOR'S REPORTMERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDMENU
22
Directors’ responsibilities for
the interim financial statements
The directors are responsible on behalf
of the Group for the preparation and
fair presentation of the interim financial
statements in accordance with NZ IAS 34
Interim Financial Reporting and IAS 34
Interim Financial Reporting and for
such internal control as the directors
determine is necessary to enable the
preparation and fair presentation of the
interim financial statements that are free
from material misstatement, whether
due to fraud or error.
The directors are also responsible for
the publication of the interim financial
statements, whether in printed or
electronic form.
Auditor’s responsibilities for the review
of the interim financial statements
Our responsibility is to express a
conclusion on the interim financial
statements based on our review. NZ SRE
2410 (Revised) requires us to conclude
whether anything has come to our
attention that causes us to believe that
the interim financial statements, taken
as a whole, are not prepared, in all
material respects, in accordance with
NZ IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting
and IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting.
A review of the interim financial statements
in accordance with NZ SRE 2410 (Revised)
is a limited assurance engagement. We
perform procedures, primarily consisting
of making enquiries, primarily of persons
responsible for financial and accounting
matters, and applying analytical and other
review procedures.
The procedures performed in a
review are substantially less than those
performed in an audit conducted in
accordance with International Standards
on Auditing (New Zealand) and
consequently do not enable us to obtain
assurance that we would become aware
of all significant matters that might be
identified in an audit. Accordingly we
do not express an audit opinion on
the interim financial statements.
Anthony Smith, Partner
for Deloitte Limited
On behalf of the Auditor-General
Christchurch, New Zealand
25 February 2025
MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDCONDENSED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS as at and for the six months ended 31 December 2024
meridian.co.nz
---
2025
Interim Results
Presentation
MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED26 February 2025
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
2
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Neal Barclay –Chief Executive
Meridian’s West Wind Farm near Wellington
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
3
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Key points
1
Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation, unrealisedchanges in fair value of hedges and asset related adjustments.
1
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
4
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Changing fuel mix
$10B of new generation investment in the last 15 years
by generators.
Through a period of flat electricity demand and
uncertainty on the future of NZAS.
Geothermal, wind and some solar has met thermal
capacity retirement.
Resulting in a more renewable electricity system, but
one still dependent on thermal fuel storage to firm
hydro drought.
That electricity system managed the record 2024
winter drought, despite a lack of available gas for
generation.
And is now solving that structural issue of gas
unavailability.
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
1975198019851990199520002005201020152020202520302035204020452050
TWh
Wholesale market generation mix
BESS + Demand Response
Thermal
Grid Solar
Distributed Solar
Geothermal
Wind
Hydro
Source: Meridian
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
5
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
A world class electricity system in NZ
Source: BCG, Meridian
EU
1
UKJapanUSAAus
3
NZ
Affordability
Real Ave. Electricity
Price 2023
$NZ/MWh
2
Security
•Recent energy
conservation, high LNG
import dependency
•Nuclear decommissioning
•Declining gas reserves,
LNG used to balance
•Aging infrastructure
•High LNG import
dependence
•Nuclear decommissioning
•Aging energy
infrastructure
•Gas supply shortage, drove
2021 domestic reservation
policy
•Susceptible to 'Dry years'
WEC Security Score
Sustainability
% Zero carbon
electricity
~40%~60%~30%~40%~35%~90%
WEC rank
4
82310229
650
529
589
590
792
777
276
232
222
264
368
531
181920151721221623
1.EU prices, reflect Generation Weighted Average Prices for combined Italy, Germany and France energy profiles
2.Nominal Enerdataprices adjusted to Real 2023 NZ$ using Reserve Bank of New Zealand inflation figures
3.Australian Industrial prices reflect wholesale prices + 45% transport premium
4.World Energy Council
Data sources: MBIE Quarterly Nominal Fuel Prices; CMEMWA -Energy Trilemma Report 2024, EnerdataHousehold and Industrial Electricity Prices, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Ember National Energy Mix
Residential
Industrial
325
309
309
347
492
180
161
171
202
334
371
181920151621221723
274
272
266
265
273
149
145
139
139
137
161718152021222319
488
491
526
468
427
331
306
315
262
291
181915161721222320
435
475
450
416
364
185
103
148
331
141
181917152122162320
367
363
356
348
330
191
164
207
227
171
181915162122172320
NZ able to deliver energy
consistently and affordably,
even through dry years due to
market's hedged position
67.761.172.766.668.270.3
LNG importing markets –tend to have higher prices
Fr=6Ger=7Ita=25
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
6
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
1 May 24 - 15 Aug 241 Sep 24 - 31 Nov 2419 Dec 24 - 20 Feb 25
GWh
Meridian total inflows
actualaverage
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
Jan-24Feb-24Mar-24Apr-24May-24Jun-24Jul-24Aug-24Sep-24Oct-24Nov-24Dec-24Jan-25Feb-25
GWh
Waitaki daily inflow differences to average (cumulative)
lowest inflows on record
64% of average
-995GWh to average
Fuel scarcity
Meridian experienced 1 in 90 year, record low May to mid-
August inflows.
That was preceded by calm and dry conditions, and meant
cumulative inflows were below average for much of 2024.
Largest NZAS Demand Response option was called.
Lack of available gas for electricity generation saw existing
hedge cover fail.
Large industrial gas demand reduction in the short term then
followed.
Including demand response, Meridian acquired 800GWh of
hedges ($258/MWh average cost) to manage fuel scarcity.
Source: Meridian
Source: Meridian
0
50
100
150
200
250
200020022004200620082010201220142016201820202022202420262028203020322034203620382040
PJ
Calendar Year
Gas production
actualforecast
Source: Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment, HīkinaWhakatutuki
2
nd
highest inflows on record
150% of average
+1,603GWh to average
1,100GWh of spill
lowest inflows on record
45% of average
-1,448GWh to average
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
7
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Contingent storage
Lake TekapoLake PūkakiLake Hawea
220GWh of additional
storage available between
October and March if
storage falls below
Contingent Storage Release
Boundary.
Between April and
November, the 220GWh is
controlled storage.
545GWh of additional
hydro storage available;
▪331GWh if storage falls
below Contingent
Storage Release
Boundary.
▪214GWh if the System
Operator declares an
Official Conservation
Campaign.
67GWh of additional
storage if storage falls
below Contingent Storage
Release Boundary.
Contingent storage
Contingent storage is fuel that physically exists in the
system today.
It is intended to be available for generation at specific
times to mitigate high risk of drought.
In November 2024, Meridian again requested
amendments be made to make access to contingent
storage practically available.
The existing buffer applied in calculating contingent
storage release does not reflect actual risk of serious
energy shortage.
The buffer was temporarily amended during
September and October 2024 because of this
inconsistency.
Meridian’s request is to make this amendment
permanent now, so the market can be confident
contingent storage will be available when needed.
Source: Transpower
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
8
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Government focus
Action to bolster energy securityNext steps on Electrifying NZ
Reverse the ban on offshore oil and gas
exploration
Establishing a one stop shop fast track
approvals and permitting regime
Remove regulatory barriers to the
construction of facilities to import LNG as a
stop gap
Amendments to the RMA to speed up
resource consenting
Ease restrictions on electricity lines
companies owning generation
Stronger national direction for renewable
energy
Ensure access for gentailersto hydro
contingency
A new regime for offshore wind
Improve electricity market regulation (via a
sector review)
Updated regulatory settings for electricity
networks and new connections
Energy Competition Task Force work programme
Package 1Package 2
Consider requiring gentailersto offer firming
for PPAs
Requiring distributors to pay a rebate when
consumers export electricity at peak times
Introduce standardisedflexibility productsRequire all retailers to offer time-of-use
pricing
Look at benefits of virtual disaggregationRequire retailers to better reward consumers
for supplying power
Investigate level playing field measures as a
regulatory backstop
Reward industrial consumers for providing
short-term demand flexibility
Regulatory focus –2024 fuel scarcity
Government’s focus is on initiatives many of which are
already underway or part of existing policy programme.
Task Force programmeis largely derived from the
Electricity Authority’s existing work programme.
Timeframes for the Task Force’s programmeare
condensed. Consultation papers are expected in early
2025, with possible code changes from mid 2025.
Aside from contingent storage, little will immediately
address the lack of, or reliability of available fuel in a
significant drought.
The fundamental issue is how the electricity sector
further responds to gas supply decline and low confidence
in the future of gas industry.
A Government Policy Statement on electricity was
released in October 2024.
Closely followed by terms of reference for the ministerial
review of the electricity sector.
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
9
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Transmission and distribution costs
Final Commerce Commission decision in November
2024 on regulated revenues for Transpowerand
distribution companies for the next 5 years.
Regulated revenue increases are significant, more
than 40% above the current regulatory period.
Much of the increase is attributable to inflation and
higher regulated cost of capital.
Remainder of the increase is attributable to
increased network investment.
The Commission has applied smoothing to reduce
the step change in costs to customers on 1 April
2025.
Cost increases are significant, with the Commission
estimating increases of $120 to $300 for households
in the next year (5% on average).
Transmission lines near New Zealand’s Aluminium Smelter in Southland
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
10
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Transformer replacement
New transformer from existing supplier installed at
Manapōuri.
Unit 6 returned to service in December 2024, with
the first of seven new control and protection
systems as part of the station’sAutomation
Upgrade Project.
Unit 4 remains out of service until the first of two
new transformers are delivered in late 2025, from a
new supplier.
Leased transformer installed at West Wind in
October2024, returning the farm to full capacity.
New West Wind transformer installed by late 2025.
And up the West Wind Farm access road
Transportation of a transformer across Lake Manapōuri
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
11
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Construction and development
First grid injection at RuakākāBattery Energy
Storage System, April 2025 operational date.
RuakākāSolar consent finalised, final investment
decision (FID) expected in March 2025.
Environment Court consent granted for Mt Munro
Wind Farm.
JV with Nova for stage 1 of TeRahuiSolar Farm
(200MW of 400MW), 50-50 offtake, FID expected
in April 2025.
TeRereHau Wind Farm FID expected in June 2025.
Scheme Implementation Agreement (SIA) signed
with NZ Windfarms.
Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) signed for
150MW TauheiSolar Farm offtake.
Meridian’s RuakākāBattery Energy Storage System near Whangārei
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
12
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
13
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Mike Roan –Chief Financial Officer
Benmore Hydro Station in the Waitaki Valley, South Canterbury
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
14
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Wholesale market operation
Wholesale electricity markets are inherently
volatile.
Particularly in this country, with the system’s low
storage hydro backbone and increasingly
intermittent renewables.
High wholesale prices are part of how the system
operates, signaling fuel scarcity.
And offering the financial incentive for more
expensive forms of generation and demand
response to be made available.
The winter 2024 drought has shown the extent of
gas unavailability for electricity generation,
particularly compared to previous low hydro
inflows periods.
Spot gas prices are increasingly the driver of
wholesale electricity prices, rather than hydro
storage levels.
To update
5.70
5.85
6.00
6.15
6.15
11.20
11.55
11.90
14.85
16.90
17.40
17.90
21.00
0
5
10
15
20
25
20212022202320242025
CPS
Financial Year ended 30 June
Dividends declared
Interim dividendFinal dividendTotal
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
10
20
30
40
2018201920202021202220232024
$/MWH
$/GJ
Electricity, gas and coal proxy pricing
Spot gas
Indo coal at Huntly
Spot OTA electricity (RHS)
Source: Enerlytica
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
15
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
395
394
425
443
257
297
315
358
462
692
709
783
905
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
20212022202320242025
$Ms
Financial Year ended 30 June
EBITDAF
InterimFinal half-yearTotal
187
225
265
303
50
244
236
244
364
431
461
509
667
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
20212022202320242025
$Ms
Financial Year ended 30 June
Operating cash flows
InterimFinal half-yearTotal
Operating cash flow and EBITDAF
-83% decrease in operating cash flows.
-42% decrease in EBITDAF.
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
16
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Meridian’s new ordinary dividend policy
Meridian’s ordinary dividend policy is to make distributions at a dividend payout
ratio, within an average over time, of 80% to 100% of Operating Free Cash Flow,
subject to the Board’s due consideration of:
▪Meridian’s working capital requirements and its medium-term
investmentprogramme;
▪a sustainable financial structure from Meridian,recognisingthe Company’s
targeted long-term credit rating of BBB+ by S&P; and
▪the risks from short and medium term economic, market and catchment
hydrology conditions and expected financial performance.
Operating Free Cash Flow is calculated as Operating Cash Flow, less the annual
capital cost of maintaining Meridian’s asset base and systems (Stay in Business
Capital Expenditure).
Dividend
Interim ordinary dividend declared of 6.15cps (flat on
1H FY24), 85% imputed.
Dividend reinvestment plan will apply to this interim
dividend at a 2% discount.
Dividend Reinvestment Plan Dates
Ex dividend date6 MarchStrike price announced13 March
Record date7 MarchDividend paid/shares issued25 March
Elections close10 March
5.70
5.85
6.00
6.15
6.15
11.20
11.55
11.90
14.85
16.90
17.40
17.90
21.00
0
5
10
15
20
25
20212022202320242025
CPS
Financial Year ended 30 June
Dividends declared
Interim dividendFinal dividendTotal
Dividendsdeclared1H FY251H FY24
centsper shareimputationcentsper shareimputation
Ordinarydividends
6.1585%6.1580%
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
17
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
257
443
-185
+10
0
-1
-1
-9
0
100
200
300
400
500
EBITDAF
31 Dec 23
Energy marginOther revenueHosting
expense
Transmission
expenses
Metering
expenses
Operating
expenses
EBITDAF
31 Dec 24
$M
Movement in EBITDAF
Movement in EBITDAF
1H FY25 EBITDAF -42% (-$186M) decrease on 1H
FY24.
5% higher retail contracted sales revenue on 1%
lower volumes.
-11% decrease in 1H FY25 hydro generation
volumes.
-24% decrease in 1H FY25 financial contract sales
volumes.
Higher average cost paid to supply customers and
financial contracts.
Significant hedge and demand response costs to
manage record low winter inflows.
+$10M increase in other revenue from metering
contract changes and transformer settlements.
+$9M (+6%) increase in 1H FY25 operating costs.
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
18
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
444
629
+21
+13
+18
+157
-167
+29
-162
-89
-6
+1
0
300
600
900
Energy
Margin 31
Dec 23
Mass market
sales
C&I salesNZAS salesGeneration
spot revenue
Cost to
supply
customers
Derivative
sales and
purchases
Cost of
derivative
sales and
purchases
Demand
response
payments
Net VASOtherEnergy
Margin 31
Dec 24
$M
Energy margin movement
Energy margin
5% revenue growth in mass market and corporate and
industrial segments from higher average prices.
Winter fuel scarcity drove an -11% decrease in 1H FY25
hydro generation volumes.
Higher generation spot revenue and customer supply
costs from higher wholesale prices.
24% lower financial contract sales volumes reflecting
the lack of discretionary generation.
$200M in hedge costs and demand response to
manage record low winter inflows.
$17M of close out costs largely due to market making
costs through low market liquidity.
physical +$42M
financial -$228M
Refer to pages 37-38 for a further breakdown of energy margin
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
19
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
1
Volume weighted average electricity price received from retail customers, less distribution costs
Retail customers
Mass market
+$21M (+5%) growth in mass market revenue from
higher average sales price and large business
volume growth.
Modest declines in other mass market segment
sale volumes.
Corporate
-4% decrease in corporate sales volume at a higher
net average sales price.
Corporate sales revenue increased +$13M (+5%).
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
20
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
113
93
51
127
158
0
50
100
150
200
20202021202220232024
$/MWH
Six months ended 31 December
Meridian average generation price
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
2009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
GWh
Financial Year ended 30 June
Meridian's combined catchment inflows
90 year average
Generation
1H FY25 inflows were 126% of average, heavily skewed
to spring and early summer inflows.
Winter fuel scarcity drove an -11% decrease in 1H
FY25 hydro generation volumes.
Wind generation increased 306GWh (+42%), despite
calm winter periods with additional Harapaki
generation and return to full 143MW capacity at West
Wind in October 2024.
Wholesale price volatility during 1H FY25 reflected
fuel scarcity. Average daily prices in August 2024
ranged between $800MWh and $1MWh.
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
GWH
Six months ended 31 December
Meridian hydro generation
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
GWH
Six months ended 31 December
Meridian hydro generation
6 month hydro25 year average
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
21
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
101
98
123
139
148
107
120
126
142
208
218
249
281
0
100
200
300
400
20212022202320242025
$M
Financial Year ended 30 June
Operating expenses
InterimFinal half-yearTotal
281
249
+11
+4
+8
+6
+2
+1
200
220
240
260
280
300
FY23Remuneration
uplift
New staffingContractorsICTInsuranceOtherFY24
$M
FY24 operating cost movement
Operating expenses
Operating expenses $9M (6%) higher than 1H FY24.
Growth in 1H FY25 from workforce changes,
remuneration increases, transformer costs, retail
transformation and finance and generation control
system upgrades.
Expecting FY25 operating costs of between $298M
and $304M (previous guidance between $302M and
$308M).
281
249
+14
+9
+6
+2
+1
200
220
240
260
280
300
FY23Staff costsContractorsICTInsuranceOtherFY24
$M
FY24 operating cost movement
304
↑
298
156
↑
150
148
139
-2
+3
+3
+2
+3
100
110
120
130
140
150
Opex
31 Dec 23
Workforce
changes
Remuneration
increase
Asset
maintenance
ContractorsICT costsOpex
31 Dec 24
$M
1H FY25 operating expenses movement
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
22
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
22
29
6
13
2
1
12
16
3
0
10
20
30
HarapakiRuakākā BESSDevelopment
costs
Retail systemsOtherWorkplace
facilities
ICTAsset
maintenance
Retail systems
$M
Capital expenditure
33
92
171
163
104
53
83
175
186
86
175
346
349
0
100
200
300
400
20212022202320242025
$M
Financial Year ended 30 June
Capital expenditure
InterimFinal half-yearTotal
Capital expenditure
Capital expenditure of $104M in FY25.
$32M stay in business spend and $72M growth
investment.
Spend in 1H FY25 from Harapakicompletion,
RuakākāBattery, retail transformation, finance and
generation control system upgrades, asset
maintenance.
Expecting FY25 capital expenditure of between
$220M and $250M (previous guidance between
$295M and $325M).
Growth $72MStay in Business $32M
250
↑
220
146
↑
116
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
23
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
149
145
181
175
-5
82
88
134
184
231
233
315
359
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
20212022202320242025
$M
Financial Year ended 30 June
Underlying net profit after tax
InterimFinal half-yearTotal
227
145
201
191
-121
188
306
-106
238
415
451
95
429
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
20212022202320242025
$M
Financial Year ended 30 June
Net profit after tax
InterimFinal half-yearTotal
1
Net profit before tax
2
Net changes in the fair value of unrealisedenergy hedges and treasury hedges
3
Net profit or loss after tax adjusted for the effects of changes in fair value of unrealised hedges, electricity option
premiums and other non-cash items and their tax effects
A reconciliation of NPAT to Underlying NPAT is on page 42
Below EBITDAF
-$154M decrease in NPBT
1
from the net change in fair
value of hedges
2
(-$2M decrease in 1H FY24).
+$61M (+37%) increase in depreciation from June 2024
asset revaluation and Harapakicompletion.
-$8M of asset related adjustments in 1H FY25, mainly
impairments and transformer disposal losses.
+$13M increase in net finance costs from higher funding
costs and completed Harapakicapitalisation.
Negative tax expense on pre-tax losses.
Resulted in a -$121M net profit after tax.
-$5M underlying net profit after tax
3
largely from lower
EBITDAF and tax with higher depreciation, financing
costs.
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
24
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
32%
1%
36%
30%
1%
Sources of funding as at 30 June 2024
NZ$ bank facilities drawn/undrawn
EKF - Danish export credit
Retail Bonds
US private placement
Commercial paper
210
35
148
383
556
450
150
0
200
400
600
202520262027202820292030+
$M
Financial Year ended 30 June
Debt maturity profile at 30 June 2024
Drawn debt maturing (face value)Available facilities maturing
Debt and funding
December 2024 total borrowings of $1,657M
1.
Total funding facilities of $2,302M, of which $719M
were undrawn.
All facilities classified under Meridian’s Green
Finance Programme.
Net debt to EBITDAF at 2.2x (1H FY24: 1.3x).
Credit rating maintained at BBB+/Stable.
1
Including $24M fair value adjustment
310
334
200
183
556
175
364
80
0
200
400
600
800
CY25CY26CY27CY28CY29+CY30+
$M
Debt maturity profile as at 31 December 2024
Drawn debt maturing (face value)Available facilities maturing
39%
1%
30%
26%
4%
Sources of funding as at 31 December 2024
NZ$ bank facilities drawn/undrawn
EKF - Danish export credit
Retail Bonds
US private placement
Commercial paper
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
25
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Final thoughts
ManapōuriHydro Station in the Fiordland National Park
1H FY25 was challenging with record dry
winter conditions.
Followed by record low inflows in the last
two months.
Additional hedge and DR costs of $25M+
now expected in Q3.
680MW of development projects now
consented representing $1B capital
commitment.
Customer product set evolving.
Enhancing hydro storage is a solution to
gas scarcity.
MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED26 February 2025
Questions
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
27
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Additional
information
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
28
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Segment results
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
29
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
EBITDAF reconciliation to the income statement
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
30
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
2,435
2,569
2,750
2,822
2,847
1,684
1,883
1,920
1,984
1,902
4,119
4,452
4,670
4,806
4,749
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
20202021202220232024
GWH
Six Months ended 31 December
Retail sales volumes
Residential, SMB, AgriCorporateTotal
119
122
121
123
125
122
126
125
127
129
106
117
117
120
129
347
365
363
370
383
0
100
200
300
400
500
Jun-21Jun-22Jun-23Jun-24Dec-24
ICP (000)
Customer connections
Meridian North IslandMeridian South IslandPowershopTotal
Retail
Customers
+4% increase in customers since June 2024.
Residential, business, agrisegment
-1% decrease in residential volumes.
Slight decrease in small business volumes.
+1% increase in agrivolumes.
+8% increase in large business volumes.
+4% increase in average sales price.
Corporate segment
-4% decrease in volumes.
+10% increase in average sales price.
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
31
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
JanJanFebMarMarAprMayMayJunJulJulAugSepSepOctNovDecDec
GWh
Meridian's Waitaki storage
Average 1979-2018201920202021202220232024
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
2009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
GWh
Financial Year ended 30 June
Meridian's combined catchment inflows
90 year average
Hydrology
Inflows
1H FY25 inflows were 126% of historical average.
January 2025 inflows were 43% of average.
Storage
Meridian’s Waitaki storage at 31 December 2024
was 135% of historical average.
By 31 January 2025, this position was 104% of
average.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
GWH
Financial Year
Meridian's combined catchment inflows
Dec YTD92 year average
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
32
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
113
93
51
127
158
0
50
100
150
200
20202021202220232024
$/MWH
Six months ended 31 December
Meridian average generation price
5,911
6,402
6,574
6,227
5,561
765
709
640
720
1,026
6,676
7,111
7,214
6,947
6,587
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
20202021202220232024
GWH
Six Months ended 31 December
Generation volumes
HydroWindTotal
Generation
Volume
1H FY25 generation was -5% lower than 1H FY24
with -11% lower hydro generation and +42% higher
wind generation.
Price
1H FY25 average price Meridian received for its
generation was +25% higher than 1H FY24.
1H FY25 average price Meridian paid to supply
customers was +40% higher than 1H FY24.
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
33
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
257
443
+34
-5
+157
-300
-66
-6
+1
+10
0
-1
-1
-9
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
EBITDAF
31 Dec 2023
Retail contracted
sales
Wholesale
contracted sales
Generation spot
revenue
Cost to supply
customers
Net cost of
hedges
Virtual asset
swaps
Other market
costs
Other revenueHosting expenseTransmission
expenses
Metering
expenses
Employee &
other operating
expenses
EBITDAF
31 Dec 2024
$M
Movement in EBITDAF
1H FY25 EBITDAF
Energy margin -$185M
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
34
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
EBITDAF to NPAT
*Net changes in the fair value of unrealisedenergy hedges and treasury hedges
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
35
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
444
+433
+271
+291
+1,042
-1,212
-89
-264
-439
+441
-17
-9
-4
0
350
700
1,050
1,400
1,750
2,100
Mass market salesC&I salesFinancial contract
sales (incl NZAS)
Generation spot
revenue
Cost to supply
customers
Demand response
payments
Cost to supply
financial contracts
Hedging fixed
costs
Hedging spot
revenue
Contract close
outs
VAS marginsMarket costsEnergy Margin
$M
Energy margin
Energy margin
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
36
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
444
629
+21
+13
-5
+157
-167
-89
-44
-84
+52
-34
-6
+1
0
200
400
600
800
Energy Margin
31 Dec 23
Mass market
sales
C&I salesFinancial
contract sales
(incl NZAS)
Generation spot
revenue
Cost to supply
customers
Demand
response
payments
Cost to supply
financial
contracts
Hedging fixed
costs
Hedging spot
revenue
Contract close
outs
VAS marginsMarket costsEnergy Margin
31 Dec 24
$M
Energy margin movement
Energy margin
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
37
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Energy margin
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
38
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Defined as:
Revenues received from sales to customers net of
distribution costs (fees to distribution network companies
that cover the costs of distribution of electricity to
customers), sales to large industrial customers and fixed
price revenues from financial contracts sold (contract sales
revenue).
The volume of electricity purchased to cover contracted
customer sales and financial contracts sold (cost to supply
customers).
The fixed cost of derivatives used to manage market risks,
net of spot revenue received from those derivatives, and
demand response payments (net cost of hedging).
Revenue from the volume of electricity that Meridian
generates (generation spot revenue).
The net margin position of virtual asset swaps with Genesis
Energy and Mercury New Zealand.
Other associated market revenues and costs including
Electricity Authority levies and ancillary generation
revenues, such as frequency keeping.
Energy margin
A non-GAAP financial measure representing energy
sales revenue less energy related expenses and
energy distribution expenses.
Used to measure the vertically integrated
performance of the retail and wholesale
businesses.
Used in place of statutory reporting which requires
gross sales and costs to be reported separately,
therefore not accounting for the variability of the
wholesale spot market and the broadly offsetting
impact of wholesale prices on the cost of retail
electricity purchases.
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
39
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
NZAS Demand Response Agreement
Summary of demand response options
Option
Equivalent
reduced
consumption
(MWh per
hour)
ExercisableReduction
from Meridian demand
response agreement
(MWh per hour)
Usual
Ramp-
Down
Notice
Period
DR Period
(equivalent
number of days)
Usual Ramp-Down
Period
(equivalent
numberof days)
Usual Ramp-Up
Notice Period
(equivalent
number ofdays)
Usual Ramp-Up
Period
(equivalent
number ofdays)
Maximum Calls
12518.75
3 Business
Days
Minimum 10 days,
maximum 150days
5 days3 days15 days
Unlimited, but the Option
cannotbe exercised more
than 4 times inany 12-
month period
250 37.5
3 Business
Days
Minimum 15days,
maximum145 days
10 days3 days30 days
Unlimited, but the Option
cannotbe exercised more
than 2 times inany 18-
month period
3100 75
3 Business
Days
Minimum 22days,
maximum137days
18 days5 days100 days
The Option cannot be
exercisedmore than 8
times over the Term
4185138.75
5 Business
Days
Minimum 30days,
maximum75 days
25 days5 days200 days
The Option cannot be
exercisedmore than 4
times over the Term
Stand down periods apply between the exercise of Options.
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
40
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
236
402
-351
249
-452
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
FY21FY22FY23FY241H FY25
$Ms
Net change in fair value of hedges
Meridian uses derivative instruments to manage
interest rate, foreign exchange and electricity price
risk.
As forward prices and rates on these instruments
move, non-cash changes to their carrying value are
reflected in NPAT.
Accounting standards only allow hedge accounting
if specific conditions are met, which creates NPAT
volatility.
$441M decrease in NPBT from fair value of energy
hedges from higher forward electricity prices
($44M increase in 1H FY24).
$11M decrease in NPBT from fair value of treasury
hedges from lower forward interest rates ($13M
decrease in 1H FY24).
Fair value movements
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
41
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Segment earnings statement
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
42
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Underlying NPAT reconciliation
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
43
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Cash flow statement
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
44
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Balance sheet
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
45
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
Hedging volumesbuy-side electricity derivativesexcludingthe buy-side of virtual asset swaps
Average generation pricethe volume weighted average price received for Meridian’s physical generation
Average retail contracted sales pricevolume weighted average electricity price received from retail customers, less distribution costs
Average wholesale contracted sales pricevolume weighted average electricity price received from wholesale customers(including NZAS) and financial contracts
Combined catchment inflowscombined water inflows into Meridian’s Waitaki and Waiau hydro storage lakes
Cost of hedgesvolume weighted average price Meridian pays for derivatives acquired
Cost to supply contracted salesvolume weighted average price Meridian pays to supply contracted customer sales and financial contracts
Contracts for Difference (CFDs)an agreement betweenparties to pay the difference between the wholesale electricity price and an agreed fixed price for a specified volume of
electricity. CFDs do not result in the physical supply of electricity
Customer connectionsnumber of installation control points, excluding vacants
GWhgigawatt hour. Enough electricity for 125 average New Zealand households for one year
Historic average inflowsthe historic average combined water inflows into Meridian’s Waitaki and Waiau hydro storage lakes over the last 84 years
Historic average storagethe historic average level of storage in Meridian’s Waitaki catchment since 1979
HVDChigh voltage direct current link between the North and South Islands of New Zealand
ICPNew Zealand installation control points, excluding vacants
ICP switchingthe number of installation control points changing retailer supplier in New Zealand, recorded in the month the switch was initiated
MWhmegawatt hour. Enough electricity for one average New Zealand household for 46 days
NationaldemandElectricity Authority’s reconciled grid demand www.emi.ea.govt.nz
NZASNew Zealand’s Aluminium SmelterLimited
Retail sales volumescontract sales volumes to retail customers, including both non half hourly and half hourly metered customers
Financial contract salessell-side electricity derivatives excluding thesell-side of virtual asset swaps
Virtual Asset Swaps(VAS)CFDs Meridian has with Genesis Energy and Mercury New Zealand. They do not result in the physical supply of electricity
Glossary
2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
46
MERIDIAN ENERGY26 February 2025
The information in this presentation was prepared by Meridian Energy with
due care and attention. However, the information is supplied in summary
form and is therefore not necessarily complete, and no representation is
made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. In
addition, neither the company nor any of its directors, employees,
shareholders nor any other person shall have liability whatsoever to any
person for any loss (including, without limitation, arising from any fault or
negligence) arising from this presentation or any information supplied in
connection with it.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and projections.
These reflect Meridian’s current expectations, based on what it thinks are
reasonable assumptions. Meridian gives no warranty or representation as to
its future financial performance or any future matter. Except as required by
law or NZX or ASX listing rules, Meridian is not obliged to update this
presentation after its release, even if things change materially.
This presentation does not constitute financial advice. Further, this
presentation is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or a
solicitation of an offer to buy Meridian Energy securities and may not be
relied upon in connection with any purchase of Meridian Energy securities.
This presentation contains a number of non-GAAP financial measures,
including Energy Margin, EBITDAF, Underlying NPAT and gearing. Because
they are not defined by GAAP or IFRS, Meridian's calculation of these
measures may differ from similarly titled measures presented by other
companies and they should not be considered in isolation from, or construed
as an alternative to, other financial measures determined in accordance with
GAAP. Although Meridian believes they provide useful information in
measuring the financial performance and condition of Meridian's business,
readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these non-GAAP
financial measures.
The information contained in this presentation should be considered in
conjunction with the company’s condensed financial statements for the six
months ended 31 December 2024, available at:
www.meridianenergy.co.nz/about-us/investors
All currency amounts are in New Zealand dollars unless stated otherwise.
Disclaimer
---
A shift
in energy
MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDINVESTOR LETTER for the six months ended 31 December 2024
Meridian has announced an interim
financial result that reflects the costs
of its major role in maintaining security
of supply in the face of historically low
lake levels and an unexpected and
unprecedented shortage of gas during
winter 2024.
1 Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation, unrealised changes in fair value of hedges,
and asset related adjustments. EBITDAF is a non-GAAP financial measure but is commonly used within
the electricity industry as a measure of performance as it shows the level of earnings before impact of
gearing levels and non-cash charges such as depreciation and amortisation. Market analysts use the
measure as an input into company valuation and valuation metrics used to assess relative value and
performance of companies across the sector.
2 Net profit after tax adjusted for the effects of changes in fair value of unrealised hedges, electricity
option premiums and other non-cash items and their tax effects. Underlying net profit after tax is a
non-GAAP financial measure. Because they are not defined by GAAP or IFRS, Meridian’s calculation
of such measures may differ from similarly titled measures presented by other companies and they
should not be considered in isolation from, or construed as an alternative to, other financial measures
determined in accordance with GAAP. Although Meridian believes they provide useful information in
measuring the financial performance and condition of Meridian’s business, readers are cautioned not
to place undue reliance on these non-GAAP financial measures.
We have reported operating cash
flows of $50 million for the six
months ending 31 December 2024,
down from $303 million in the same
period last year, with net profit after
tax at -$121 million compared to
$191 million in last year’s interim
result. These results reflect the
$200 million cost required to
replace hedge contracts for winter
2024 following the shortage of gas
and calling the largest demand
response option with New Zealand’s
Aluminium Smelter (NZAS).
EBITDAF
1
fell from $443 million
to $257 million and underlying
net profit
2
from $175 million to
-$5 million. Both of these are
non-GAAP measures.
The Board has announced an
interim ordinary dividend of
6.15 cents per share, the same
level as last year’s interim dividend.
The interim ordinary dividend will
be 85% imputed and Meridian’s
Dividend Reinvestment Plan will
apply to this interim ordinary
dividend at a 2% discount to the
average market price over a five-day
period ending on 12 March 2025.
The interim dividend will be paid
and new shares issued under the
reinvestment plan on 25 March 2025.
Meridian’s balance sheet remains
in a strong position, with the
company maintaining a BBB+
credit rating as defined by the
agency Standard & Poor’s.
Some key highlights of the first
six months of this financial year are
outlined below. If you’d like more
information about our financial
performance during this period,
the full financial commentary is
available at meridianenergy.co.nz
/about-us/investors/reports/
interim-results-and-reports
DIVIDEND DATES
7 March 2025
Record date
6–12 March 2025
Dividend Reinvestment
Plan price determination
period
25 March 2025
Dividend paid and
new shares issued
under the Dividend
Reinvestment Plan
INVESTOR LETTER FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
01
Hydrology
During the six months ended
31 December 2024, Meridian
experienced one in 90 year, record
low inflows from May to mid-August.
Calm and dry conditions followed,
which meant cumulative inflows
were below average for much
of 2024. Dry conditions in the
lower South Island once again see
catchment storage levels at the end
of January 2025 below average.
Gas scarcity
As a renewable energy business
we know the role that mother
nature plays. While Meridian
experienced historically low lake
levels and a severe shortage of
wind in winter 2024, the most telling
factor for the system was the acute
shortage of gas, reflected in high
wholesale electricity prices during
August 2024.
However, despite media reports,
the risk of an energy shortage
was very low and the electricity
market responded by ensuring
security was maintained, which
reduced wholesale prices. Meridian
played a significant role in this;
we incentivised NZAS to reduce
demand and made energy
available to other users.
We also underwrote gas purchases
from Methanex through hedge
contracts with other generators,
playing a significant role in
maintaining security of supply
for New Zealand homes and
businesses, at a significant cost
to the business.
Regulatory focus
The impacts of the low hydro
levels and gas shortages last
winter prompted both the
government and regulator to
announce initiatives focused on
the wider energy sector. Many
of these are part of existing work
or policy programmes. We are
supportive of these and the
Government Policy Statement on
electricity, which reinforces current
market settings and the role of the
Government and regulator.
However, most of what has been
announced doesn’t address the
immediate issue of fuel scarcity.
We believe the fundamental
issue is how the electricity sector
responds to the gas supply decline
and the low confidence in the
future of the gas industry.
We believe the most immediate
and logical solution to help
address the fuel supply issues
ahead of future winters is to use
the contingent hydro storage
that exists today.
Contingent storage
Contingent storage is something
that Meridian has been working
on since 2012 as a way to ensure
that we have as much energy
available as we possibly can.
Access to contingent storage is
likely impossible in many situations
even if New Zealand’s actual risk
of energy shortage is significant,
as was the case last winter.
We believe that New Zealand’s
security of supply regime is
not fit for purpose, as it doesn’t
give participants confidence
that contingent storage will be
available when it is needed. This
ongoing uncertainty as to whether
contingent storage will be granted
will see a more cautious approach,
requiring hydro generators to
conserve water in case access to
additional storage isn’t available.
This leads to greater reliance on
thermal generation, increased
greenhouse gas emissions and
potentially higher wholesale
market prices both in the lead
up to and during winter.
We remain focused on improving
access to contingent storage as
it’s a source of fuel the country
already has and should be used
to mitigate the gas shortage.
INVESTOR LETTER FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
02
Transmission and
distribution costs
The Commerce Commission has
now finalised regulatory revenues
for the next five years. While there
is investment in the resilience and
growth of networks, a significant
amount of the cost increases
customers will face relate to past
levels of inflation and interest rates.
Due to the significant impact that
this could have on customers,
the Commerce Commission has
applied an element of smoothing
to moderate the cost increases over
the next year and push some of
that out to later years.
With the future network investment,
which is likely around $100 billion
needed to decarbonise this
country ultimately being paid for
by customers, we believe we need
to question whether the existing
regulatory model for transmission
and distribution is fit for purpose.
Currently, the average household
bill will increase 5% on average in
the next year from regulated cost
increases. That’s before any energy
price changes are considered.
Our newly developed customer
propositions will be used to help
mitigate the impact of price
changes for customers, along
with further use of our energy
wellbeing programme.
Transformers replaced
Meridian has been operating
at reduced capacity at our
Manapōuri Hydro Station for
around two years now, due to faults
in two of the seven transformers. In
October we successfully received
a replacement transformer on site
which has taken a couple of months
to be installed and commissioned.
We were delighted to bring unit 6
at Manapōuri back into service just
before Christmas. This means that
128 more MWs are now available,
lifting station capacity from a
restricted limit of 640MW to
around 768MW.
While we are still down a unit, we
are now able to generate close to
the maximum 800MW allowed
at Manapōuri under its current
consent conditions.
Our West Wind Farm, just outside of
Wellington, returned to full capacity
in October, following installation of
a leased transformer. A permanent
replacement transformer will be
installed later this year.
Renewable construction
and development
We continue to accelerate our
renewable construction and
development programme.
Ruakākā Battery Energy Storage
System officially connected to
the grid on 16 January. We have
a few things to finalise along with
a required commissioning period
and are looking at being fully
operational by April 2025.
We recently announced a finalised
consent for our 120MW Ruakākā
Solar Farm and our 90MW Mt
Munro Wind Farm. We have
entered a Scheme Implementation
Agreement as part of our bid to
acquire the remaining shares in NZ
Windfarms. In January we signed
a Power Purchase Agreement
with Harmony Energy / First
Renewables in respect of their
joint venture to build the 150MW
Tauhei Solar Farm in the Waikato.
These followed December’s
announcement of Meridian’s intent
to form a 50-50 joint venture
with Nova Energy Limited to
build the 400MW Te Rahui Solar
Farm at Rangitāiki near Taupō.
This year we expect to commit
over $1 billion of capital to these
new development projects.
Undertaking work at Manapōuri Hydro Station, Fiordland.
INVESTOR LETTER FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
03
Customers
The last six months has seen
tremendous progress in Meridian’s
Retail business. Having completed
a strategic reset and restructuring
to enable the business to meet
changing technology and
consumer needs, the company
has launched three new products
(Smart Hot Water, Smart EV
Charging and the Four Hours Free
Plan), with more to come over the
remainder of the financial year.
We achieved our highest ever market
share of electricity connections, with
16.6% across the Meridian and
Powershop brands. Our brands
also led the industry rankings for
new connections in December,
with Powershop first and Meridian
second, and more than 4,000
connections that month across both
brands. In total across the six months
ended 31 December 2024, customer
numbers have grown by 4%.
Thank you for your support
We continue to deliver on our
strategy and help decarbonise
Aotearoa’s economy.
We are moving forward on our
new customer approach that
focuses on energy wellbeing
and new solutions in transport,
distributed generation and storage
(e.g. rooftop solar with batteries),
process heat and demand
flexibility. A supportive regulatory
approach, strong partnerships and
timely investment in transmission
and distribution are critical to this
country’s future success.
We are working hard to have assets
and fuel available for when they
are needed most and delivering
new renewable generation projects
from our development pipeline.
On behalf of the Board and the
Executive Team, ngā mihi to our
customers, the communities we
work in, our partners and our
investors. And to our talented
Meridian team, thanks for doing
the mahi to ensure we continue
to deliver on our purpose of
‘clean energy for a fairer and
healthier world’.
Meridian customers embracing solar generation for their home and EV, Waitaki Valley.
INVESTOR LETTER FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
04
MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITEDINVESTOR LETTER for the six months ended 31 December 2024
WINTER INFLOWSCUSTOMERSRETAIL
1 IN 90 YEAR LOW WINTER INFLOWS
+
4%
CUSTOMERS SINCE JUNE
+
5%
RETAIL REVENUE
V 1H FY24
HEDGESRUAKĀKĀ BESSRUAKĀKĀ SOLAR & MT MUNRO WIND
$200
M
OF HEDGE COVER COSTS
COMMISSIONING COMMENCED
AT RUAKĀKĀ BESS
FINAL CONSENTS FOR RUAKĀKĀ
SOLAR AND MT MUNRO WIND
EBITDAFDIVIDENDNZ HOUSEHOLDS
–
$186
M
-42% EBITDAF
V 1H FY24
6.15cps
flat
INTERIM DIVIDEND
NEW RETAIL PROPOSITIONS
NOW AVAILABLE TO HALF
OF NZ HOUSEHOLDS
JOINT VENTURESIGNEDREPLACEMENT
WITH NOVA FOR 400MW
TE RAHUI SOLAR FARM
SIA WITH NZ WINDFARMS,
PPA FOR 150MW TAUHEI
SOLAR FARM OFFTAKE
TRANSFORMERS AT
MANAPŌURI AND WEST WIND
V 1H FY25
VISIT MERIDIAN.CO.NZ/INVESTORS TO DOWNLOAD THE FULL MERIDIAN CONDENSED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS as at and for the six months ended 31 December 2024
---
FINANCIAL COMMENTARY FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
01
Five-year performance
1. EBITDAF is a non-GAAP financial measure of earnings before interest, tax, depreciation,
amortisation, unrealised changes in fair value of hedges, and asset related adjustments.
2. Net profit after tax adjusted for the effects of changes in fair value of unrealised
hedges, electricity option premiums and other non-cash items and their tax effects.
Underlying NPAT
2
Financial year ended 30 June
EBITDAF
1
(continuing operations)
Financial year ended 30 June
Net Profit after Tax (continuing operations)
Financial year ended 30 June
Dividend declared
Financial year ended 30 June
Capital expenditure
Financial year ended 30 June
Operating cash flows
Financial year ended 30 June
Financial
Commentary
297
315
358
462
692
709
783
905
395394
425
443
257
0
1,000
800
600
400
200
2021$M2022202320242025
188
306
-106
238
415
451
95
429
227
145
201
191
-121
-200
-100
500
400
300
200
100
0
2021$M2022202320242025
82
88
181
184
231
233
315
359
149
145
134
175
-5
-100
500
400
300
200
100
0
2021$M2022202320242025
244
236
244
364
431
461
509
667
187
225
265
303
50
0
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
2021$M2022202320242025
11.20
11.55
11.90
14.85
16.90
17.40
17.90
21.00
5.70
5.85
6.00
6.15
6.15
2021
0
30
25
20
15
10
5
CPS2022202320242025
53
83
175
186
86
175
346
349
33
92
171
163
104
0
400
300
200
100
2021$M2022202320242025
KEY
InterimFinal half-year
KEY
InterimFinal half-year
KEY
InterimFinal half-year
KEY
InterimFinal half-year
KEY
Interim dividendFinal dividend
KEY
InterimFinal half-year
FINANCIAL COMMENTARY FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
02
Meridian has announced an interim financial result that
reflects the costs of its major role in maintaining security
of supply in the face of historically low lake levels and an
unexpected and unprecedented shortage of gas during
winter 2024.
Meridian has reported operating cash flows of $50 million
for the six months ending 31 December 2024, down from
$303 million in the same period last year, with net profit
after tax at -$121 million compared to $191 million in last
year’s interim result. These results reflect the $200 million
cost required to replace hedge contracts for winter 2024
following the shortage of gas and calling the largest
demand response option with New Zealand’s Aluminium
Smelter (NZAS).
EBITDAF fell from $443 million to $257 million and
underlying net profit
from $175 million to -$5 million.
Both of these are non-GAAP measures.
Financial performance against prior comparative period
Overview
-200
$m
800
600
400
200
0
Energy
margin
Transmission
costs
Operating
expenditure
EBITDAFNPATUnderlying
NPAT
Operating
cash flow
Dividend
declared
444
37
148
257
-5
50
160
159
303
175
191
443
629
139
36
-121
KEY
Six months ended 31 December 2024
Six months ended 31 December 2023
FINANCIAL COMMENTARY FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
03
0
$m
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
EBITDAF
31 Dec 2024
EBITDAF
31 Dec 2023
Wholesale
contracted sales
Virtual
asset swaps
Generation
spot revenue
Cost to supply
customers
Other
revenue
Hosting
expense
Transmission
expenses
Metering
expenses
Employee &
other operating
expenses
Net cost
of hedges
Other
market costs
Retail
contracted sales
443
257
+34
-5
-300
-66
-6
1
10
-1
-1
+157
0
-9
Cash flows
The Board has announced an interim ordinary dividend of
6.15 cents per share, the same level as last year’s interim
dividend. The interim ordinary dividend will be 85% imputed
and Meridian’s Dividend Reinvestment Plan will apply to this
interim ordinary dividend at a 2% discount to the average
market price over a five-day period ending on 12 March 2025.
The interim dividend will be paid and new shares issued
under the Dividend Reinvestment Plan on 25 March 2024.
Earnings
Movement in EBITDAF
New Zealand energy margin -$185m
Dividends declared
1H FY20251H FY2024
cents
per shareimputation
cents
per shareimputation
Ordinary dividends6.1585%6.1580%
Meridian’s balance sheet remains in a strong position, with
the company maintaining a BBB+ credit rating as defined
by rating agency Standard & Poor’s.
DIVIDEND REINVESTMENT PLAN DATES
6 March 2025
Ex-dividend date
7 March 2025
Record date
10 March 2025
Elections close
13 March 2025
Strike price announced
25 March 2025
Dividends paid/shares issues
FINANCIAL COMMENTARY FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
04
Capital expenditure
Energy margin
Energy margin is a measure of the combined financial performance of Meridian’s retail and wholesale businesses.
$M1H FY20251H FY2024
Retail contracted
sales revenue
Revenues received from sales to retail customers net of distribution costs (fees to distribution
network companies that cover the costs of distribution of electricity to customers)
704670
Wholesale contracted
sales revenue
Sales to large industrial customers and fixed price revenues from derivatives sold291296
Costs to supply customersThe volume of electricity purchased to cover contracted customer sales-1,565-1,265
Net cost of hedgingThe fixed cost of derivatives used to manage market risk, net of the spot revenue received from
those derivatives
-1551
Generation spot revenueRevenue from the volume of electricity that Meridian generates1,042885
Net VAS revenueThe net revenue position of virtual asset swaps (VAS) with Genesis Energy and Mercury New Zealand-9-3
OtherOther associated market revenues and costs including Electricity Authority levies and ancillary
generation revenues such as frequency keeping
-4-5
Total energy margin444629
Energy margin was $444 million in 1H
FY2025, -$185 million (-29%) lower than
the same period last year, reflecting
the hedge contracts and demand
response costs mentioned above.
Meridian continues to deliver strong
sales momentum in its retail business
with sales revenue growing 5% in both
mass market and corporate segments.
Wholesale contracted sales revenue
was -$5 million (-2%) lower in 1H
FY2025. Wholesale derivative sales
volumes were -24% lower at a higher
average price than the same period
last year. Sales volumes to NZAS
were -34% lower in 1H FY2025,
reflecting load reduction called under
the Demand Response Agreement.
Costs to supply customers were
+$300 million (+24%) in 1H FY2025
with a higher average price Meridian
paid to supply customers, including
demand response costs, on 15%
lower sales volumes.
Overall, the net cost of hedging
was $66 million lower in 1H FY2025
despite higher hedging costs and a
-$17 million net position on forward
contract close outs.
Other
2
0
$m
30
25
20
15
10
5
Harapaki
Development
costs
Retail
systems
Retail
systems
Asset
maintenance
Workplace
facilities
ICT
Ruakākā
BESS
13
12
16
3
1
29
22
6
KEY
GrowthStay in business
3. The six months ended 31 December 2024
4. The six months ended 31 December 2023
Total Capital expenditure in 1H
FY2025
3
was $104 million ($163 million
in 1H FY2024
4
), of which $72 million
was growth investment and includes
the completion of the Harapaki
Wind Farm in Hawke’s Bay and the
development of the Ruakākā Battery
Energy Storage System, due to be
fully operational by April 2025.
$32 million of stay in business capital
expenditure in 1H FY2025 included
spend on retail transformation,
finance and generation control system
upgrades and asset maintenance.
FINANCIAL COMMENTARY FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
05
Generation volumes
Six months ended 31 December
Expenses
1H FY2025 saw a +$9 million (+7%)
increase in employee and other
operating costs from workforce
changes, remuneration increases,
transformer costs, retail transformation
and finance and generation control
system upgrades.
Net profit after tax
1H FY2025 saw a -$154 million
decrease in net profit before tax from
the net change in fair value of hedges
(-$2 million decrease in 1H FY2024).
Depreciation expense increased
+$61 million (+37%) in 1H FY2025 from
the June 2024 asset revaluation and
completion of the Harapaki Wind Farm.
-$8 million of asset related adjustments
were incurred in 1H FY2025, mainly
impairments and transformer
disposal losses.
Net finance costs increased +$13 million
in 1H FY2025 from higher funding costs
and completed Harapaki capitalisation.
A negative tax expense was attributed
to the pre-tax loss, resulting in a
-$121 million net profit after tax. After
removing the impact of fair value
movements and other one-off or
infrequently occurring events, Meridian’s
underlying NPAT (reconciliation on
page 6) was -$5 million, largely from
lower EBITDAF and tax, with higher
depreciation and financing costs.
While 1H FY2025 inflows were
126% of average, these were heavily
skewed to spring and early summer
inflows. Winter fuel scarcity drove
an -11% decrease in 1H FY2025
hydro generation volumes.
Wind generation increased 306GWh
(+42%) in 1H FY2025, despite calm
winter periods, with additional
Harapaki generation and return
to full 143MW capacity at the
West Wind Farm in October 2024.
1,026
6,587
5,561
720
6,947
6,227
640
7,214
6,574
709
7,111
6,402
765
6,676
5,911
0
GWh
9,000
6,000
3,000
20242020202220212023
KEY
HydroWindTotal
FINANCIAL COMMENTARY FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2024MERIDIAN ENERGY LIMITED
06
Income statement
$M
For the six months to 31 December20242023
Energy margin444629
Other revenue2616
Hosting expense(2)(2)
Energy transmission expense(37)(36)
Electricity metering expense(26)(25)
Employee and other operating expenses(148)(139)
EBITDAF257443
Depreciation and amortisation(225)(164)
Asset related adjustments(8)11
Net change in fair value of energy hedges(143)11
Net finance costs(38)(25)
Net change in fair value of treasury instruments(11)(13)
Net profit before tax(168)263
Income tax expense47(72)
Net profit after tax(121)191
Underlying net profit after tax
$M
For the six months to 31 December20242023
Net profit after tax(121)191
Underlying adjustments
Hedging instruments
Net change in fair value of energy hedges143(11)
Net change in fair value of treasury instruments1113
Premiums paid on electricity options net of interest(4)(10)
Assets
Assets related adjustments8(11)
Total adjustments before tax158(19)
Taxation
Tax effect of above adjustments423
Underlying net profit after tax(5)175
---
Results announcement
Results for announcement to the market
Name of issuer Meridian Energy Limited
Reporting Period 6 months to 31 December 2024
Previous Reporting Period 6 months to 31 December 2023
Currency NZD
Amount (NZ$m) Percentage change
Revenue from continuing
operations
$2,255 +7%
Total Revenue $2,255 +7%
Net profit/(loss) from
continuing operations
-$121 -163%
Total net profit/(loss) -$121 -163%
Interim/Final Dividend
Amount per Quoted Equity
Security
NZ $0.06150000 Interim Ordinary Dividend
Imputed amount per Quoted
Equity Security
NZ $0.02032917
Record Date 07/03/2025
Dividend Payment Date 25/03/2025
Current period Prior comparable period
Net tangible assets per
Quoted Equity Security
$2.92 $2.18
A brief explanation of any of
the figures above necessary
to enable the figures to be
understood
For commentary on the operational results please refer to the
media announcement and final results presentation.
This announcement should be read in conjunction with the
attached Condensed Interim Financial Statements for the six
months ended 31 December 2024.
Authority for this announcement
Name of person
authorised
to make this announcement
Jason Woolley
Contact person for this
announcement
Jason Woolley
Contact phone number +64 21 309 962
Contact email address Jason.Woolley@meridianenergy.co.nz
Date of release through MAP
26/02/2025
Audited financial statements accompany this announcement.
---
Distribution Notice
Section 1: Issuer information
Name of issuer Meridian Energy Limited
Financial product name/description Ordinary Shares
NZX ticker code MEL
ISIN (If unknown, check on NZX
website)
NZMELE0002S7
Type of distribution
(Please mark with an X in the
relevant box/es)
Full Year Quarterly
Half Year X Special
DRP applies X
Record date Close of trading on 07/03/2025
Ex-Date (one business day before the
Record Date)
06/03/2025
Payment date (and allotment date for
DRP)
25/03/2025
Total monies associated with the
distribution
1
$160,285,536
Source of distribution (for example,
retained earnings)
Retained Earnings
Currency NZD
Section 2: Distribution amounts per financial product
Gross distribution
2
$0.08182917
Gross taxable amount
3
$0.08182917
Total cash distribution
4
$0.06150000
Excluded amount (applicable to listed
PIEs)
$0.00000000
Supplementary distribution amount $0.00922500
Section 3: Imputation credits and Resident Withholding Tax
5
Is the distribution imputed Partial imputation
If fully or partially imputed, please
state imputation rate as % applied
6
85%
Imputation tax credits per financial
product
$0.02032917
1
Continuous issuers should indicate that this is based on the number of units on issue at the date of the form
2
“Gross distribution” is the total cash distribution plus the amount of imputation credits, per financial product, before the deduction of
Resident Withholding Tax (RWT).
3
“Gross taxable amount” is the gross distribution minus any excluded income.
4
“Total cash distribution” is the cash distribution excluding imputation credits, per financial product, before the deduction of RWT.
This should include any excluded amounts, where applicable to listed PIEs.
5
The imputation credits plus the RWT amount is 33% of the gross taxable amount for the purposes of this form. If the distribution is
fully imputed the imputation credits will be 28% of the gross taxable amount with remaining 5% being RWT. This does not constitute
advice as to whether or not RWT needs to be withheld.
6
Calculated as (imputation credits/gross taxable amount) x 100. Fully imputed dividends will be 28% as a % rate applied.
Resident Withholding Tax per
financial product
$0.00667446
Section 4: Distribution re-investment plan (if applicable)
DRP % discount (if any)
2.0%
Start date and end date for
determining market price for DRP
06 March 2025 12 March 2025
Date strike price to be announced (if
not available at this time)
13 March 2025
Specify source of financial products to
be issued under DRP programme
(new issue or to be bought on market)
New Issue
DRP strike price per financial product
$TBC
Last date to submit a participation
notice for this distribution in
accordance with DRP participation
terms
10 March 2025
Section 5: Authority for this announcement
Name of person
authorised to make
this announcement
Jason Woolley
Contact person for this
announcement
Jason Woolley
Contact phone number +64 21 309 962
Contact email address jason.woolley@meridianenergy.co.nz
Date of release through MAP
26/02/2025
=== IR PAGE TRANSCRIPT: Interim Results announcement transcript ===
TRANSCRIPTION
Company: Meridian Energy
Date: 26 February 2025
Duration: 68 Minutes
Reservation Number: 10044279
[START OF TRANSCRIPT]
Neal Barclay: Good morning, and welcome to Meridian's Interim Results Presentation for the
six months to 31 December 2024. I'm Neal Barclay, Meridian's Chief Executive.
And with me in the Co-Pilot seat for the last time is Mike Roan, our CFO. I'm
sure you're all aware that I'm stepping down on 30 June, and Mike will be taking
over as CEO from then.
And given this is my last results announcement for the company, I would
genuinely have liked it to have been an event that was nice and steady and
even a bit boring. But not to be, this time our profit announcement is packed
with drama and even a little bit of intrigue.
Now if you put aside the operating result, I couldn't be happy with how our
teams are progressing towards our strategic goals. Our renewables pipeline
has strengthened considerably. And as of today, we have five consented
projects in the Ruakaka and Te Rahui Solar developments, the Te Rere Hau
and Mt Munro Wind Farms, and the second battery at Bunnythorpe in the
Manawatū.
Despite a soft New Zealand dollar, the business case for all five looks solid, and
we plan to get at least four of them to our Board for an investment decision this
calendar year. And once completed, these projects will add more than 2
terawatt hours to the New Zealand system. Our real challenge from here is one
of human capacity as we plan to take a number of these projects forward in
parallel. But we have been working on extending our team for a few years now,
and we are on good solid growth path.
Our retail team has also been through a massive transformation. 80% of all
roles were impacted. And whilst we've created some new roles with a strong
focus on enhancing our digital capability, all up the workforce in retail has
reduced by around 10%.
Despite the disruption, we've kept our focus squarely on the customer and
developed a number of new retail propositions to help customers manage their
energy consumption more efficiently, which will save them money and save
them power, obviously, and enabling them to participate in demand-side grid
management.
Now Mike will elaborate on some of those offers a bit later. And at a headline
level, 50% of our customers now have access to new smart time-of-use
products. We'll also continue to grow our retail business and retail connections
are up 5% since June 2024.
Regardless of this progress, our operating environment has been as
challenging as I can recall in my 17 years in the business. And Meridian's
financial performance for the full financial year will be materially impacted by
the events of last winter. That fact has been clearly signalled through our
monthly operating reports and also at our annual profit announcement last
August, when the impact of last winter was already pretty apparent.
Now the underlying theme in the sector is of the rapid decline in gas availability,
which has impacted the reliability and cost of gas-backed hedges. And it's quite
clear that these costs have flowed through to the ASX forward prices.
Compounding the situation has been a unique and challenging hydrology
pattern since May last year.
An extended drought from May to August led to historically low lake levels.
Then it rained excessively through September to November causing spill across
all of our catchments. And since December, hydro catchments across the entire
country have experienced another extended drought. As of today, whilst
national storage levels are within the realms of normal, the outlook remains dry.
Accordingly, at Meridian, we are, again, taking a cautious approach to storage
management and have called on various hedge arrangements, including our 50
megawatts swap with Nova, the 25-megawatt HFO genesis and a new 50-
megawatt demand response agreement with NZAS.
Now true to recent form, both of those thermal backed hedges have been
suspended to some degree due to various physical constraints, but the energy
available is effectively reserved at this point and that will help us manage lake
levels until the dry conditions break.
So, in summary, to date in FY25, we've either been in drought conservation
mode or flood management mode and both of those put pressure on the
company's financial performance. We've said it before and it's true, these
eventualities can and do occur. It's relatively infrequent, fortunately. And that's
why we maintain a conservatively geared balance sheet and while we also look
through the near-term results when assessing the dividend.
And despite a dip in cash earnings, the Board has declared an interim dividend
consistent with last year. So, by way of recap, significant inadequately signalled
gas shortages emerged during 2024. That, combined with particularly low hydro
inflows across the country and unseasonably low wind caused wholesale prices
for electricity to lift materially throughout the winter.
But there was little risk of an energy shortfall and the market responded to
these high prices by delivering physical responses that ensure energy security
was maintained, whilst exerting downward pressure on prices. I mentioned at
our annual results announcement last year that those of us old enough to
remember when the lakes were last that low in 1992, and the country saw
rolling brownouts.
And in 2008, the lakes were nowhere near as low as they reached in 2024 and
yet we had a public savings campaign. This is certainly not where we're at
today, and I think the sector does deserve some credit for that. Meridian did the
heavy lifting on these responses. We incentivise NZAS to reduce demand and
made that energy available to other users.
And we underwrote gas purchases from Methanex through hedge contracts
with other generators. These actions were necessary to mitigate the risks and
came with significant cost, all up that cost was around $200 million for Meridian.
The spot prices at the time gained a lot of media and political intention they still
do, but who took the brunt of them, no one more than Meridian.
We took a hit for New Zealand. The only consumers affected by those high spot
prices were those that that chose to go into winter unhedged. There seems to
be a common misconception held by many market commentators’ that
generators are just sellers and are incentivised to drive wholesale prices up.
The reality is usually entirely different.
Meridian is often a net buyer, particularly during droughts. And our incentives
are usually to keep prices as low as possible. But we do understand the risks
and we accept the financial impact. We put security of supply first, and as the
New Zealand's largest renewable electricity generator, our balance sheet tends
to underwrite mitigation of extended droughts for all consumers.
That's one of the ways our country benefits from having large and financially
strong gentailers. And amongst the commotion that ensued, there have also
been suggestions that the large gentailers are failing to invest in new renewable
solutions, thus causing the issue. I think those suggestions are disappointing
and not consistent with the facts.
This graph shows the level of investment that has gone into the generation
sector in the last 15 years, more than $10 billion in total mostly in renewables,
meaning that the system has lifted from around 65% renewable to around 88%
renewable in normal hydrology conditions. Clearly, a lot more investment is
required to decarbonise our country. But developments are being racked and
stacked through the RMA system, and the run rate of new projects coming to
market is lifting further.
To date, this investment has occurred in the absence of any demand growth
and in the absence of any form of government incentive. Investment in
renewables has been driven purely by the economics, and that is relatively
unique compared to other energy systems around the world. Actual demand
growth as the economy transitions to electric will invariably incentivise and pull
through even more investment -- and just a little side note.
Despite the challenges last year, the system burned less thermal fuel than we
have in any previous and mostly less severe droughts. And while I'm in myth-
busting mode, I thought I'd share some data on how the electricity system in
New Zealand stacks up compared with other countries in terms of the Trilemma
of affordability, security and sustainability.
The data presented on this slide came from a recent report produced looking at
New Zealand's energy security options. Whilst no one is happy with wholesale
electricity prices at their current levels, when compared with most countries in
the world and many of our key trading partners, the prices consumers pay for
delivered electricity in this country stacks up very well. In respect to security,
we're there or thereabouts.
And from a sustainability perspective, we are an out and out leader. The key
point is most energy systems around the globe are struggling with aspects of
the transition to a low-carbon future. And New Zealand is performing well in that
context. I know New Zealand loves a tall poppy, but we should celebrate an
electricity system that's punching well above its weight in my view.
Like many parties, we've been contemplating whether these high wholesale
electricity prices are becoming a structural issue. I think yes and no is the
answer. When you look at average inflows over the course of last year, 2024
looks remarkably unremarkable. But when you break it down into seasons, the
story is very different. We've experienced a record setting drought, followed by
a record-setting wet period, followed by another record-setting drought.
Given the relatively small size of New Zealand's hydro catchments, these
weather events have been extremely challenging to manage, but volatile
weather is part of New Zealand's climate and there's nothing to suggest that
there's been a structural change in the weather patterns. More we've just
copped a few extremes in succession.
The decline in the gas market, however, is clearly structural and it will take
some time to overcome, at least another couple of years, I think. Beyond that,
with the pipeline of new renewables and battery systems like to be built, with
confidence that the Huntley Rankines will remain part of the system for the
foreseeable future and with further demand response opportunities, we should
start to see a reversion to the long-term trend in wholesale prices.
But there are two immediate opportunities that need to be addressed. And we
think both or either would have a significant softening effect on market prices
right now. Firstly, if Methanex can be appropriately incentivised off the
electricity system, a transparent and enduring interruptible arrangement at a
reasonable price, that will reduce risk and help immensely. We understand
conversations are underway between Methanex and the thermal generators,
but as of today, an enduring arrangement has not been struck.
Secondly, there are more hydro resources physically available, but a
combination of system rules and consent restrictions means the market can't
count on that additional hydro generation, even in extreme circumstances.
While hydro still makes up 60% of the country's electricity generation, only
about 23% of that capacity can be stored, and Meridian's own storage
represents just 15 weeks of our average generation.
So, loosening up these restrictions is the lowest cost option for the sector to
take the heat out of the energy component of electricity prices and to allow time
work through the pinch point that the demise of domestic gas has created. The
main problematic and unnecessary restrictions relate to what is termed
contingent hydro storage.
The current rules that allow hydro generators to access around 830 gigawatt
hours of additional water have evolved sporadically and do not work and that
they create an infeasibility so contingent storage cannot be accessed unless
Transpower intervenes in the market and increases the South Island hydro
storage buffer.
The infeasibility became very apparent last winter. Note that Transpower
responded to the situation by temporarily increasing the hydro storage buffers,
but it was late in the piece and going forward, this provides no certainty as to
how they may react in future drought situations.
We have a security supply regime that we believe is not fit for purpose and
does not give participants confidence that contingent storage will be available
when it's needed. Now we're working on this with Transpower and the
Electricity Authority and government officials, but the situation is yet to be
resolved.
Getting confidence that contingent storage will be available when lake levels
get to extremely low achieves two outcomes, provides larger lakes for hydro
generators to work with, meaning they will likely target lower average lake
levels. Meaning they will avoid spilling water during high inflow events, meaning
they will generate more hydroelectric energy and, therefore, a) reduce our
country's carbon emissions; and b), reduce the cost of electricity to all
consumers. It is really that simple.
The changes we are seeking will not create an environmental issue because
the contingent levels are still highly unlikely to be used. And it will not increase
the system security risk as hydro generators are heavily incentivised to manage
storage conservatively and not run out.
In particular, and speaking just for Meridian, we will still seek hedges from
thermal operators because the model cost of using hydro contingency will still
exceed the reasonable marginal cost of backup thermal, I think common sense
will prevail. I'm just hoping that happens before I leave this job.
The last one to both the government and the electricity regulator came out with
freshly worded programmes focused on the electricity sector. For the Electricity
Authority, these are generally extensions of existing work areas, albeit with
some additional fallback measures which could signal stronger interventions.
The government published an energy policy statement in October last year, and
it's something we support, that reinforces market settings and the role of the
government and the regulator, and it appears to set some ground rules for the
Minister, a review that's currently in progress. But most of what has been
announced does little, if anything, to address the immediate issues that were
the underlying driver for the 2024 situation, which is fuel scarcity.
The fundamental issue is how the electricity sector further responds to the gas
supply decline and low confidence in the future of the gas industry. And that's
against the backdrop of very asymmetric transparency of hydro and cold
storage and electricity hedge contracts compared to the gas equivalent.
Now I've talked about what I see as the most immediate and logical initiatives to
address the fuel constraints ahead of the next couple of winters. It remains
critical the sector gets these done as renewable electricity will support the
decarbonisation of a large chunk of New Zealand's non-animal-based
emissions and drive lower energy costs for all Kiwis.
I've no doubt that these outcomes will be achieved that make economic sense,
and it will provide a degree of energy dependence for Aotearoa, we just must
stay the course. Now customers across the country are about to see price
increases come into effect from 1 April. For Meridian's customers, 80% of those
increases will come from Commerce Commission approved increases to
transmission and distribution prices.
These price changes will be acutely felt by many customers. And so, our team
are looking at all the ways that we can lessen the impact, including introducing
smart products to save power and money and further use of our energy well-
being program. And while the Commerce Commission's process allows for
some investment in the resilience and growth of networks, most of the cost
increase customers will be receiving goes back to past levels of inflation and
interest rates.
And as we look forward, given we see the need for massive grid investment,
potentially as high as $100 billion by 2050, we think the 5-year pricing reset
mechanism that the Commerce Commission seems to favour will lead to
significant price fluctuations that will ultimately land on consumers, and we think
that approach needs a fundamental rethink.
Now as you're probably aware, we have been operating at reduced capacity at
Manapōuri for around two years following the discovery of faults throughout two
of our seven transformers. We landed a replacement transformer site back in
October.
That was no easy task, and it was the first time we have transported a piece of
equipment that size by barge across the lake. And as you can see by this
photo, it wasn't a great day to be out on the water with 104 tonnes of
transformer on board, but it did arrive safely. Now that unit is now fully installed,
meaning 128 more megawatts are available at Manapōuri, lifting station
capacity from 640 megawatts to around 768 megawatts.
Now while we're still a unit down at Manapōuri, the seventh unit largely provides
for redundancy as total station output is limited to 800 megawatts under its
current consent conditions. We procured two new transformers from a different
supplier to diversify our supply chain. The first of those is due to arrive in late
2025, and the second will arrive in 2026, and it will be held as a spare.
Our West Wind Farm outside Wellington has also returned to full capacity in
October following installation of a lease transformer from Transpower. A
permanent replacement will be in place later this year.
Now on to a bit of the good news as well. The first grid injection of our Ruakākā
battery energy storage facility occurred on 16th of January and will be fully
commissioned in April. The battery has had a decent commissioning period and
being the first grid-connected of this size in New Zealand, we and Transpower
have learnt a lot.
We think we can largely apply a cookie cutter approach to our next battery at
Bunnythorpe. We're still sizing up that option, but conservatively, it will be at
least 100 megawatts and 200-megawatt hours. This month, we announced that
we have obtained a final Ruakākā Solar consent, and that project is now on
track for investment decision by our Board next month.
The Te Rere Hau Wind Farm investment decision is expected in June 2025.
And our offer to buy the remaining 80% in New Zealand Windfarm shares was
enabled by cheaper finance opportunities available to Meridian investors, the
JV plus some other synergies.
Given the scheme of arrangement that has been put to the shareholders in New
Zealand Windfarms included 105% premium to the market price that they
before our offer became non-binding. And because we have the support of the
Board and other major shareholders, we expect that scheme to be approved.
In December, we announced a JV with Nova for the for the 400-megawatt Te
Rahui Solar Farm, including a 50-50 offtake arrangement, an investment
decision first 200-megawatt development of that project is expected in April. We
received the final consent for the Mt Munro Wind Farm through a relatively
tortuous environment court process, and I'd say that was for all for all parties
concerned.
The project secured consent for all 20 turbines that were included in our
application. And also, this month, we signed a PPA for 100% of the production
from the 150-megawatt Tauhei Solar Farm. This agreement demonstrates how
new entrants to the electricity sector can and are working with existing
participants like Meridian to deliver commercially viable, independent electricity
and increased market competition.
On Waitaki reconsenting, the evidence exchange process starts in May and an
environment court hearing is likely to be in the final quarter of this calendar
year. Now a picture tells a thousand words. Our renewable development
pipeline looks significantly stronger of late given the number of successful
consents we've been granted.
This pipeline will see us commit around $1 billion to future developments this
calendar year and at least 3 billion by the end of the decade. And as I said at
the start, Meridian's strategic momentum continues to build nicely. Now if it just
weren't for the pesky weather, everything would be sweet.
I'll hand over to Mike now to talk through the numbers.
Mike Roan: Thanks for joining the call this morning. Now it would be usual for me to jump
into the financials and interims, but first half performance, as Neal mentioned,
was anything but normal. So, I want to build on Neal's commentary regarding
gas before we get going as it needs additional airtime. And this slide is the
perfect way to do that. The graph on the right is particularly insightful.
That graph starts 2018 for a reason because before 2018, the electricity and
gas sectors were reasonably boring. Now that isn't really true. The electricity
sector has always been interesting. But what was true was that New Zealand
had a world-class electricity sector before 2018. That was borne out in every
piece of evidence you could find locally and internationally.
Interestingly, if you look at the international comparisons that Neal tabled, that
remains the case today. This country is a world-class electricity sector from a
pricing, sustainability and resilience perspective. We should celebrate having
an electricity system that's punching above its weight. But if you look at the
emerging local tensions, then you might reach the conclusion that things were
different.
The graph on the right largely explains why. This is because it plots electricity
prices against spot gas and coal prices. And while the coal price doesn't explain
electricity prices, the gas prices for the most part do. If you focus the grey
matter on late 2018, gas and electricity prices spiked on the back of
deliverability challenges at Pohokura.
In the subsequent five years, the graph suggests that gas issues have
continued. Now I'm the wrong person to explain what drove each of the spikes,
but they clearly show that the gas sector has struggled to supply molecules at
prices that were available pre-2018. And those increased prices flow through to
the electricity market as gas is often the marginal fuel in our sector, particularly
during periods of hydro drought.
You could say that the cost of gas is “discovered” via electricity markets as gas
prices can be opaque at least compared to electricity prices. If we roll into 2024,
the drought that impacted our business directly exposed the gas sector's issues
as the swaptions that many electricity participants carry to ensure they can
access gas with suspenders due to the lack of physical store or deliverable gas.
If I put it bluntly, we discovered that the gas sector struggle since 2018 meant it
was unable to support the electricity sector in the same way it had historically.
So, over a very short time frame, a week to be precise, we had to replace the
suspended swaptions. And for a brief period, the electricity market had to rely
on distillate while it negotiated with Methanex who is incentivised to turn down
consumption.
That ultimately resulted in the release of gas to the electricity sector, but the
cost was in the order of $30 to $40 per gigajoule if market analysis is correct,
and that cost flowed through to wholesale electricity prices. The advantage of
the wholesale electricity market is it's transparent in this regard. We don't have
to like the outcomes, but prices simply reflect and, in this instance, reflect risk.
And in this instance, spot and forward prices are reflecting the unaffordability of
gas.
For now, the government and regulator are focused on competitive issues
within the sector, and that's always a useful thing to do. But it would be hard to
find a media store about Winter 24 that didn't talk about spot prices and they
were driven by a lack of gas, not a lack of competition. And that lack of gas
needs attention from both regulators and politicians if we are to bring electricity
prices down. Finding alternate cheaper forms of energy should be the priority
number one for all of us.
Now wholesale electricity market participants have been on to this since last
August. As soon as we worked out that the gas market issues were worse than
expected, we started working to secure alternate fuels and fuel storage and
attempts to manage both the electricity price impact and security of supply.
Examination of an LNG terminal was the first move.
Unfortunately, today, it looks a little more difficult and costly than initially
expected. So more recently, the Huntly Power Station Heads of Agreement and
Meridian and other generators request to free up hydro storage have followed.
Anyone who's operated in our sector will know that there's no magic bullet that
will fix the gas sector's challenges, but more coal and hydro storage will help.
And the recently renewed focus on increasing New Zealand's hydro stores may
prove more valuable than it appears. And the reason for that is actually simple.
Hydro storage or water is a low-cost resource that has no emissions and it
doesn't link the country to global gas, coal or oil prices. It's also something that
New Zealand has plenty of and other countries do not.
So, if we're able to extend existing hydro storage lakes, wholesale and forward
prices will come down, and this asset can create durable competitive advantage
for our country.
The good news is that increasing hydro storage can be done reasonably quickly
if we have the collective will to make it happen as we're talking consent
changes as opposed to infrastructural ones for the most part. Neal presented
the obvious opportunity. Lake Tekapo and Pūkaki, New Zealand's largest hydro
storage have an additional 765 gigawatt hours of storage or 20% more storage
than currently exists across all controlled storages in New Zealand that can't be
used as part of their normal operating ranges.
To date, it's been thought of as contingent storage that is, use it only when we
have to. Well, that contingency occurred last August. The country lost access to
affordable gas, and we need to mitigate the increases in wholesale prices that
have been experienced since. This change can't happen fast enough. New
Zealanders are rightly proud of our country's hydroelectricity, but when only
23% of that capacity can be stored, we can't afford to ignore an easy way to
increase it, 2024 showed why.
For Meridian, our total lake storage equates to only 15 weeks of average
generation. So, we’re engaging with Transpower, regulators and politicians to
try to make this happen. Now the above is not a doom and gloom story, far from
it. It's just called action, and we've got the solutions at our fingertips, but action
has to play out soon as while we're throwing the kitchen sync at new renewable
investment, that investment will show up in two to three years.
Prices here and now need considerable attention to support economic growth
and our country is fortunate to have additional hydro storage that can be tapped
to do this.
You'll hear and see more from me on this topic over time. But for now, I'm going
to step back to being CFO and talk to our financial statements. And to kick
things off, I'm going to talk about operating cash flows and EBITDA. There's no
escaping the fact that when a renewable electricity business doesn't receive
fuel, it can't make as much electricity as is expected.
And the risk products we lean on during such periods come with a cost. The
first half first half numbers reflect that. When compared to the first half of last
financial year, operating cash flows fell by $253 million to $50 million. It's a very
small number for us. And EBITDA fell by $186 million to $257 million. As Neal
said, we took a hit for New Zealand and its security of supply.
If you look at Meridian's history since listing, as the graph on the right shows,
over a shorter time frame, up until this financial year, both measures have lifted
incrementally over each operating year.
And while our operating teams have had to manage droughts over that time,
the last time a drought as large as 2024 occurred was back in 2012 before this
company's listing. The reality of course is that droughts are inevitable, and this
was the year a big one emerged, and it put a big material dent in operating
cash flows and EBITDAF.
And the good news for our shareholders is that Meridian's financial structure
has been designed to accommodate a large drought and continue to maintain
dividends. So, let's move to that topic. Recognising that droughts are inevitable,
the dividend policy and balance sheet have been designed to support dividend
stability even in the face of substantial operating cash flow disruption.
So, while operating cash and EBITDAF are well down, we're able to maintain
an interim dividend of $0.0615 per share. The dividend will be imputed at 85%
and paid to shareholders on the 25th of March. We're also applying the
dividend reinvestment plan to this interim dividend. And if you choose to
participate, you once again receive a 2% discount to market for the shares
purchased.
EBITDA fell by 42% in the first half of last financial year. As you can see from
the graph, the main reason for that was energy margin or operating
performance. I'll break that down shortly. But the other smaller drivers of the fall
were increases in operating costs, metering expenses and transmission costs.
I'll also pick up on operating costs shortly, but the rate of increase is slowing
and it's lower than I forecast it might be last August. And that sees us reducing
our full year operating cost guidance. But right now, let's talk energy margin.
Energy margin fell by $185 million when compared to the same period last
financial year. As Neal and I have already canvassed, this is driven by the lack
of rain and wind that had to be replaced by demand response and swaptions.
You can see from the language on this Slide, the cost of these instruments was
substantial, $200 million to be precise.
And those payments are not a typical feature for our business, fortunately. But
they will emerge in years we are unable to make as much electricity as we'd
like, and having companies like ours big enough to weather the storm is the
benefit to New Zealand of having gentailers.
The demand response payments are not too difficult to break down. They
represent payments to NZAS for exercising all 4 blocks of the demand
response agreement with them. NZAS also provided an extra 20 megawatts of
response and ramped down quicker than was required under the contract.
So a quick thank you to the team at the Smelter. Time and again, they've
shown a willingness to work with us to put the interest of Kiwi homes and
businesses first, and that's something we really appreciate. I noted that the gas
options that we held were suspended, and we needed to buy new contracts at
much higher gas prices to replace them.
I can't go into too much detail on these as they're all confidential, but the
increase in strike price between the initial contracts and the second set was
$230 to $250 per megawatt hour. So, you can see why we're concerned about
gas moving forward.
Now I want to move to customers. Mass market customers continue to switch to
Meridian as evidenced by increasing mass market sales volumes even as
prices lifted. While overall customer sales volumes fell 56 gigawatt hours when
compared to the first half of the last financial year, the reduction was driven by
overall portfolio constraints.
As I mentioned price increases, residential prices will increase more than usual
this year given Commerce Commission approved increases in transmission and
distribution rates of return. As Neal noted, to help soften the impact on
customers, the retail team has been working on a suite of new products.
They're accelerating the rollout of a smart hot water product across both
brands. This will help customers save money by shifting hot water cylinder
heating to off-peak periods. And we'll take a reasonably chunky fixed amount of
their monthly bill for the right to do this for them.
We also have smart charging and Four Free products. The charging product
uses technology to shift EV charging to low price periods, whereas the Four
Free product gives customers the ability to seek Four Free off -peak hours of
power. So good for customers, particularly in the face of rising prices.
But getting to this point has meant a lot of work for the retail team. They've had
to reorient their operating structure, and they're currently looking at the
technology suite that supports them. We unpacked this at the Investor Day last
May and will do so again as things continue to progress.
But the key point is that bringing new products to market and at the same time,
reducing the cost of supporting those customers. It is impressive stuff. And one
of the reasons we're able to limit price increases to customers for the electricity
portion of the bill.
And customers are already responding to our shift in retail approach with record
numbers signing up. As of the first of January, we've achieved our highest-ever
market share of electricity connections with 16.6% across the Meridian and
Powershop brands. Our brands also led the power industry rankings for new
connections in December with Powershop first and Meridian second and more
than 4,000 connections that month across both brands.
Now there isn't too much on this slide that Neal hasn't already covered, but
hydro production volumes were 11% lower than in the first half of the previous
financial year, even as average generation prices lifted. Wind generation
volumes increased due to the commissioning of Harapaki and a return to full
capacity at West Wind.
This doesn't really tell the full story, though. Because if we had known that it
was going to rain cats and dogs in September, we wouldn't have exercised the
swaption contracts in August. It actually hurts a lot looking back on it, but that's
the problem with the future. You don't know how it's going to play out and
anyone who relies on weather forecasts knows that you can only see three to
seven days ahead. So, knowing what's going to happen next month is
unfortunately unknowable.
I don't show it here, but we're dealing with similar challenges this month as a
result of the new drought that's emerged. The wholesale teams executed its
swaptions, and we entered into a new demand response agreement with NZAS
this week. Time will tell whether these decisions were necessary to support this
winter's electricity security as there's still plenty of time for it to rain.
But given the cost of relying on gas, we don't want to look back and be left
wondering. This does mean that February’s energy margin delivery will be
impacted as well likely early March, possibly to the churn of $25 million. Further
out, it's too difficult to call today.
As signaled last August, operating costs continue to lift. However, they have not
lifted as directly as expected, as I touched on earlier. The graph at the bottom
right provides detail on the increases. We paid our people $3 million more to
ensure they're compensated competitively as the Harapaki Wind Farm was
commissioned in August, and we restored one transformer at Manapōuri , asset
maintenance costs lifted by $3 million.
There's also a lot of change going on within the business. We're replacing our
finance systems. The retail team made a material adjustment and the
development team is really starting to push projects through the consenting
process. Each of these changes requires support from our ICT team and the
backfill of people who are committed to those projects. So contractor and ICT
costs lifted $5 million between them.
Of course, change should also reduce costs and the $2 million reduction in cost
flows from the retail team adjustments. Given how the first half costs tracked,
we've reduced operating cost guidance from $302 million to $308 million to
$298 million to $304 million.
Now for capex. At the start of the year, I suggested we might spend between
$295 million and $325 million. That's looking more like $220 million to $250
million today. The primary reason for this is that the Ruakākā Solar farm has
been pushed to late financial year '25 given consenting delays. You heard Neal
say that we'll take this project to the Board for final investment decision in
March and the economics look good. So, it will get built.
Over the coming months and well before the end of this calendar year, you'll
see us land Te Rere Hau, the first stage of the Nova Meridian 400MW solar
farm and potentially the 90MW Mt Munro Wind Farm. All up, we expect to
commit well over $1 billion of capex to support these developments this
calendar year.
The net profit after tax level, the first half result was just as ugly as it was at
cash flow and EBITDAF levels. As I've said any number of times, net profit after
tax moves around as a result of unrealised fair value movements in electricity
and interest rate derivatives. So ,stripping these out is important to get
comparable year-on-year performance.
That's why we provide a non-GAAP measure underlying net profit after tax in an
effort to remove the effect of unrealised derivatives. But that measure was just
as ugly and across all financial measures confirms what's been and is a difficult
year. I'll leave it to you to pick through the detail that might help explain where
and why things didn't play out that well, but I can tell you what happened. We
didn't receive fuel when we needed it.
There isn't too much to talk to on this slide though you can see the impact of a
poor financial result on spot net debt-to-EBITDAF ratios. For anyone concerned
that this might impact the credit rating in some way or test our financial capacity
to develop assets, it does not. S&P used net debt-to-EBITDAF ratios that span
three years to assess our business. As they know what we know, it's
performance over time that matters and droughts are part of life.
The only other thing I'd say about this slide is that funding lines are well
diversified and that we'll be going to connect capital markets to support the
development of our assets, and that will keep our bankers and ultimately,
shareholders happy.
So, to summarise all of that, it was a challenging six months for our business,
one, thankfully, we don't experience very often, touch wood. At the same time,
the electricity sector learned something important and difficult in 2024, that is
our reliance on gas as a transition fuel or at least an affordable transition fuel
was potentially misplaced.
It still has a role to play, but that role is diminished as the cost of securing that
fuel to make electricity is too high, and it's unclear whether the physical
molecules are available anyways. The industry and country has some
challenges ahead but we've begun to tackle them.
And if we can unlock more clean, green domestic hydro storage, while investing
as fast as the consenting frameworks will allow, then we'll overcome those
challenges and the electricity sector will be able to drive competitive advantage
back into our exports.
Now before finishing up, I wanted to talk a little about this fellow sitting next to
me. As he said, this is going to be his last results announcement. And while I'm
looking forward to sitting in that seat and leading off the next one, it wouldn't be
right if I didn't spend a little time starting to frame up his legacy. I think it's how
he led our business through a very uncertain period driven by the termination of
the NZAS contract.
And to provide some context for that leadership, even as our largest customer
decided it was better to leave the country, total shareholder return grew by
170% over his tenure. Our retail team grew its sales volumes by 75%. The
development team grew the pipeline that's captured in this pack and is now
delivering development projects, and of course, that customer decided to stay.
If that isn't a legacy, I don't know what is. But the thing I've admired the most is
that thing there. Kind of right there. I know, a bit awkward, but it's that big
beating heart of his.
He not only delivered superb outcomes for shareholders and positioned the
business for the future, but he's done it in a really open, constructive and
personal way. To be a great company, you must have a great leader, and you
my friend have been exactly that.
Now you still have a few months to go, and you need sort out the current
drought before the new CEO steps in, but it's been a heck of a knock.
He kai kei aku ringa, he hua kei aku mahi.
The future remains promising due to the foundation laid by my predecessor. So
back to you, and for those on the phones, don't hesitate to give him a hard time
regardless of what I just said.
Neal Barclay: Well, thanks, Mike. I don't know how you managed to just sneak that into the
teleprompter. I wasn't expecting to make a final speech this morning, but I do
appreciate those comments. Look, I'll just sum up. And I want to make a few
concluding comments. I mean, clearly, to date, the operational conditions this
financial year have been both challenging and abnormal. And our financial
results for the six months to 31 December will reflect that.
Whilst the hydrology model assumes reversion to mean, mean hydrology never
occurs, but neither does a severe drought followed by floods and then another
drought. It's very unusual. So, for that reason, the Board are able to look
through our current results and maintain a dividend at the same level as last
year, recognising the inherent strength of our balance sheet.
The business has been building for growth for some time, and the number of
consents received over the last few months provides Meridian with some
awesome development optionality for the next couple of years. We’re hiring
capable development and construction people. And I think if you're in that
game, Meridian will be the best game in town.
I'm very interested, and we'll remain very interested to see how our customer
product set evolves as there is so much untapped potential and demand side
response. I mean, between us and NZAS, we've shown the potential. And as
we make it simple and valuable for customers, they'll get on board.
Also, and despite my new role on the Chorus Board, I still think Meridian's
decision to remain a pure-play electricity retailer will stand the test of time. I
probably would say that going to happen under my watch. I think, I mean, look,
in a nutshell, the demise of domestic gas remains the issue for all of New
Zealand and it's not just the electricity sector. But certainly, from an electricity
perspective, we need to resolve it. And solutions are emerging, but they're
going to take some time.
So, I do think we need to seriously amp up our enthusiasm for enhancing the
hydro generation available even within the existing hydro schemes and even
beyond the contingent storage that we referred to a lot in this presentation. I
think to do so will lower emissions, deliver lower energy costs, and it will do all
of that for little or no additional environment cost.
The reality is though that the RMA process as it currently works in New Zealand
will stop hydro enhancements dead in their tracks. So, I think that's the big
opportunity. The government has a role to play, and they can certainly help in
that regard.
So that's our presentation concluded. We can now move to questions. If there's
any particularly tricky ones despite what Mike said, I'll be just going. I think we'll
go to the floor here in Wellington first.
Nevill Gluyas: Hi, team. Nevill Gluyas here. Is this working? Yes, very good. Two quick ones
from me and not about the current conditions. Just following on your point about
hydro flexibility and take your points about contingent storage and the
uncertainty around that. With the reconsenting on Waitaki is still underway,
what are the prospects perhaps for revisiting whether or not minimum flows can
be addressed? That's sort of question one.
And the second point is, obviously, you've got a stream of projects you think
you're going to bring to FID very soon. Is there any reason at this point to think
that we should be thinking about a longer or sorry a higher longer run price view
than we've had in the past? Obviously, we've seen a couple of expensive
projects, I think, recently. Just your comments on that would be useful. Thank
you
Neal Barclay: Thanks, Nev. Look, on the Waitaki reconsenting process. We've got a strong
strategy there. We're going through a process to get the whole scheme consent
on exactly the same terms and conditions that it operates today. And we've got
strong stakeholder support across the valley to do that. But I think recent events
will cause us to think about some aspects of that because there is more
flexibility available in that scheme.
And as I say, I think it can be extracted for no real environmental impact. So,
we're thinking heavily about that right now. Projects and prices. Look, no, I don't
think so. We've sort of signalled our view of long-term prices and look, I can't
remember the actual range, probably that’s the strategy there. Yes, but the
projects that we are looking and the ones we've talked to today are all well
within that.
In fact, they're all sub-$100 comfortably, and that's on a levelised cost of
energy. So, we think the cost, I personally think probably more so than our
model, so the cost of new renewables will come down even more strongly in the
future. But that's still to emerge. But at the moment, certainly, these projects are
well based on those forward projections that we gave at our Investor Day last
year.
Okay. If there's no other questions from the floor, then we'll go to the phones.
Operator: Your next question comes from Vignesh Nair with UBS.
Vignesh Nair: Hi, good morning, Mike and Neal. Just a couple of questions for me. Firstly, just
on DPS. What would need to see sort of to see a step-up, I suppose, in DPS for
the full year? Sort of if you look at what the market is expecting for earnings,
sort of looking at 544 for the second half and then obviously, sort of normalising
into FY '26. So, it was somewhat surprising to see flat DPS, obviously given a
tough sort of trading environment. Just wondering what we need to see to see a
sort of growth year-on-year in DPS for the full year 2025?
Mike Roan: All right, Vignesh, that's an easy one, which is break to the current drought. You
do know that we like stable and progressive dividend. You look at the long-run
forecast for the business. You forecast it as many others do, and we know
that's possible. But you also know that we're a cautious and stable business.
So, we'll see how the rest of the financial year plays out.
Neal Barclay: I would just add to that, I mean, I'll have very little influence over the final
dividend when it gets announced in August. But I will be watching very closely.
And I will certainly express my views on it before I leave the business. I'll be
watching very closely.
Vignesh Nair: Yes. And I thought just following on from that, what sort of the time frame that
you guys have internally in mind to get back to kind of the target gearing range
of 2x to 3x set by, I suppose, S&P. On a normalised basis, you're kind of
hovering well below that apart from this sort of mild aberration with this result.
How long does it take to get to that sort of 2.5 style midpoint number from here?
Mike Roan: We see around that 2030 mark, Vignesh, but we're actually just recalibrating
our capital affordability and capital forecast. You heard the slug of investment
that we've managed to move through that consenting process. So, we're just
recutting it. So, I reckon that, that might come forward a touch, but somewhere
in that time frame, as kind of where, and I’ll know better at year-end because
we'll have completed that analysis by then. It's good to hear from you, by the
way, because I know you got cut off at our last results announcement, which
was terribly unkind.
Vignesh Nair: That's all right. I thought I'd be first in the queue this time. And final question.
Just sort of qualitatively, I wanted to hear your thoughts on sort of appetite for
the PPAs from here, obviously, with the Tauhei Solar Farm offtake that was
good to see, but you're sort of obviously running a physical short position ex
kind of the ASX hedges. Just keen to hear what the appetite is from here for
new PPAs?
Mike Roan: Yes. So, I mean it's really simple for us, Vignesh, is we're looking for the most
economic projects to be developed across the country. And we've got many
within our development pipeline, but if someone shows up with a project that
they're developing that we can support that fits into that economic mirror order
is we're incredibly interested.
So that's what Tauhei represented for us is an opportunity to move a project
forward. And I guess the word for anyone else out there is you should be bang
on our door, to test the economic merits of your project as you should be bang
on other people's doors.
So, we're open to it. And it's part of the development build as we want to get the
best economic outcome we can for ourselves and for the country.
Vignesh Nair: Okay. That's very clear. And finally, congratulations, Neal, on a phenomenal
career and hopefully you get a bit of a break from here.
Operator: Your next question comes from Grant Swanepoel with Jarden.
Grant Swanepoel: Good morning, team. First of all, Mike, congrats on your elevation. And Neal,
thanks for all your tutelage over the last seven-odd years. First question, just
following on from Neville's long run wholesale price question. So, Contact came
out and indicated that they're expecting it to move towards the top end of the
$115 to $125 and then Genesis and Mercury, both came out and said they're
similar to Contact.
So, you're the first company that's actually putting downward pressure on that.
Could it be because you're only already building or seeing costs of solar? And
Te Rere Hau as costs start coming in, you might reconsider? Wind is actually
the problematic?
Neal Barclay: No. We've got a pretty good gauge on Te Rere Hau at this stage, Grant. And
that's sort of looking, I think, it's a mid-$80 project, that one. So, I guess we're
seeing nothing in the cost of new renewables that's changed our view from last
year. Obviously, the stresses and strains firming that and the New Zealand
environment for the next few years are going to be challenging, and that's
driving near-term costs, but probably not effective for the long term.
Mike Roan: Could be something Grant...
Neal Barclay: And I don't think, Grant, just to clarify -- my comments, my personal beliefs,
there's a lot of people in Meridian that model this stuff, and we've given a
projection on that. But I fundamentally do believe that globally we’ll find ways to
bring the cost of these things down, but that will be mildly interesting, but not
that relevant in a few months' time.
Mike Roan: And we are updating our price forecast at the moment, Grant. So, there's a
piece of info for there and draft form, and they do skim the top end of our range.
So, there is -- I think there's a little bit of firming there. But I think the difference
between what we see and what others see is probably that impact of gas, how
much gas do you expect to play out on the margin versus other sources of fuel.
And you heard us talk directly this morning to our views on the unaffordability of
gas.
So, as we start to strip that out as we get support from regulators and politicians
to remove that fuel to drive prices down, then we'll wait and see. The only other
comment I would have is the draft price paths that we're working on, they do
extend the price range I mentioned a little further out. So that's probably the
only two impacts. But I want to be clear, they're not material.
Grant Swanepoel: Thanks Mike. Next question, you guys are arguing for extra storage access in
your hydro. What is the process and the timeline to potential success?
Neal Barclay: Well, when it comes to the contingent storage and the Waitaki scheme in
particular, the process is quite simple. The system operator needs to make a
change to what they call the hydro buffer levels in the South Island. That will
give everybody confidence that when lake levels get to very low levels that we
can access at contingent storage.
It's within their degree of mandate or flexibility to do that today. So, we should
be able to work that through. Like I said, it's a commonsense solution, the
country needs it, and it actually just provides the market certainty. It doesn't
create a security of supply issue at all in my in my view.
There are other opportunities around the rest of the catchments that require
engagement with other stakeholders and working through some sort of flexing
in the existing consent conditions and so forth. And we're in conversations
about those, unlikely to be achieved this calendar year, but certainly potential
for sort of 2026 and beyond, I think.
Mike Roan: So, Grant, maybe just add to that. Some can be done really quickly. Some
require consents. The infrastructure is there that require consent change and
some of them are infrastructural but the key point you can take away is hydro
should be on the table for country, given what we've seen play out in gas
markets. That's the kind of key point, and we're dusting stuff off that hasn't been
looked at in any number of years to, particularly for those longer-dated
infrastructural developments.
Grant Swanepoel: And my final question, back on to dividends. You changed your dividend policy
at FY24 year-end. And now just use consensus EBITDA and cash flow
forecast. Just to stick to last year's dividend, you have to be paying out over
100% of the adjusted free cash flow.
So therefore, you'd be above your payout ratio, just to hold dividend flat. Mike,
you mentioned stable or progressive dividend going back to the old type
dividend policy. Does that mean that they won't override in these sort of events
that we see at the moment?
Mike Roan: Yes, there's some key words, Grant, in our dividend policy, which talks to 80%
of free cash flows over time. So, it's the overtime element that matters that
gives the Board discretion to make payments in any calendar year that exceed
100% or below 80% of free cash flows.
So that's the language that's kind of important in the dividend policy. So, no
changes to dividend policy or thoughts on dividend policy, just reemphasis on
that work. I think as Neal mentioned, we don't see a structural change in
inflows. We do see what's happened this year is extremely, I mean, he hasn't
seen it, Neal said it, I haven't seen it in my career where you've had a
substantial drought substantial inflows and then another substantial drought
over a 12-month period.
So, when you see that, I think I'll come back to we're stable, we're a low-risk
business. We think about that quite carefully, but we don't see any structural
change in the way that weather patterns are emerging in New Zealand or
expect that they'll change. So, I think dividend policy settings are still right.
Grant Swanepoel: Thanks. Sorry, I do have one final question. Just on your battery now that it has
started up, the first real one in the market. Are you seeing that the returns
you're making out of that are in line with your expectation or in this sort of
environment, are you making decent returns straight up of that battery?
Neal Barclay: It's not fully commissioned until April, Grant. So, we're not seeing any returns
from it yet. The injections of power were mainly around commissioning tests.
Grant Swanepoel: Fine. Thank you.
Neal Barclay: But certainly, the modeling suggests that business case has strengthened from
when we went to fit.
Grant Swanepoel: Thanks, Neal. That’s all from me.
Neal Barclay: Thanks, Grant.
Operator: Your next question comes from Andrew Harvey-Green with Forsyth Barr.
Andrew Harvey-Green: Good morning, Neal and Mike. I just had a couple of questions, I guess, around
some of the key takeouts from the last six months and what it might mean going
forward. First one is, should we assume that the last half was pretty close to a
worst case scenario and that if you had to repeat going forward, I guess, your
learnings and hopefully, you wouldn't necessarily be exposed to very high
Methanex prices that the financial outcomes should be better in a similar
scenario or is it a kind of new normal for any downside to Meridian?
Mike Roan: I think it does set a new market, Andrew. Could you ever say it's the worst case.
I don't think anyone would be bold enough to say worst case because the
distribution is what it is, but it's been pretty bad. The challenge - so as you look
forward to the end of this year, does the first half set any form of precedent for
where we're going.
I don't think I could say Andrew, I don’t think I could say whether that's realistic.
I talked to weather forecast being only available three to seven days in
advance. So, I think I'd be wrong to try and give a financial forecast, but your
point and one that I totally agree with, it was pretty horrific. So, it definitely sets
the new benchmark.
Neal Barclay: Yes. But I would add to that, Andrew, yes, and I think where you're going with
this is we did learn. Like, for example, the suspension of the thermal swaptions
that we talked about was a surprise to our business. So, we're well alive to that
now. And whilst we understood there were some glitches in the rules around
access to contingent storage, it became really, really stark and right in front of
us last winter, which is why we're trying to get that addressed well ahead of
time.
So yes, I think if we had that same circumstance turn up again, we do better
next time. But it wasn't, hydrology wise, it was pretty extreme as well. So, we
don't expect that to continue.
Andrew Harvey-Green: Yes, and I guess the second question, which is kind of related, but we do all of
our forecasts, I guess, on a normalised hydro basis, which in essence is coming
up with a median number. I guess my question really is, is the average when
you do all of your simulation sequences various hydrological both positive and
negative. As the average, significantly average EBITDA become significantly
different to the median now?
Mike Roan: No, there's a small deviation, Andrew, but no -- we have to wait to see how this
latest series of events plays out, but it's just not a big enough piece of the
historical trace. So no, I don't think it changes the relationship that meaningfully.
Andrew Harvey-Green: Yes. Okay. That’s useful. And to be honest, they're quite relieved in terms of
forecasting this sort of stuff. Just a final reiterate the comments, Neal, all the
best for the future. And yes, thanks for all of the efforts you've done over the
last number of years. I've obviously known you a bit longer as well. So, all of
this I guess the Board is the next question?
Neal Barclay: Yes. Thanks, Andrew, for sharing that.
Operator: Your next question comes from Stephen Hudson with Macquarie Securities.
Stephen Hudson: Morning, Neal and Mike. Just two, I think, for me. Neal, you mentioned you've
seen some investments in your development team over the period. I just
wondered if you could give us a feel for sort of the team size and what kind of
changes you're implementing there?
Neal Barclay: Well, I’ve got I'll tell you that I'm seeing new faces around every week, and it's a
bit embarrassing because I don't know them all as well as I should.
Mike Roan: So, it's not as big. So, we had 52 people in the development team back in 2012,
and there's about 30 people in the team today. So not as big as we were. I
mean you see it in our development pipeline, the progress that we've made.
That was where we were adding people initially is to get out there, look for the
options, assess those options and build the consent framework for it.
Where we have started to bolster the team more directly is in the
constructability and construction of those developments because we can see
them coming at us. And so even at our best, back at that period I mentioned
where we had a larger team, we were only able to develop one asset at a time.
As we're now confident that we can deliver two, we're working on three, and
you heard Neal and I say we might have four going at any one point in time.
There's one particular individual in our organisation that you'll probably get to
know his name is Chris More, and we're looking forward to how he develops
and delivers these assets.
Neal Barclay: Yes. We've developed a sort of a hub-and-spoke type model for a construction
team. So, there's the core capability project management leadership
fundamentally in a core team and then we can expand teams into various
projects with that overarching leadership coming from the hub side of things. So
we think it's scalable. And it will have to be.
Stephen Hudson: That's useful colour. Thanks, gents. And just the second question, I suppose
we're 18 months away from a general election here in New Zealand, sort of
three-year electoral cycles, but 30-year assets lives, upstream and
downstream. You've been having conversations with politicians. Can you share
whether your confidence if any, that in particular, the opposition parties get the
whole thermal fuel scarcity issue and what needs to be done or not?
Neal Barclay: We don't have a clear beat at the moment on where the opposition stands on
that. I think we remain engaged with them and we'll continue to sort of develop
those relationships. But I think, if there's a play from anyone for our politicians
at some of these long-term policy initiatives do need to be supported from
across the house.
We need bipartisan policy settings that are going to take this country forward. If
we're sort of lurching around whether we can allow domestic gas or not allow
domestic gas, it's going to create the sorts of problems that we've seen this
year.
Stephen Hudson: That makes sense. And just to add my voice the others, Neal, congratulations
on your 17 years, and we'll miss you, and thanks very much for your help.
Neal Barclay: Thanks.
Operator: There are no further questions at this time. Sorry, I'll now hand back for closing
remarks.
Neal Barclay: Okay. Well, I think that concludes the presentation, the questions. Thank you
all. I wasn't going to say a leaving speech today because I've still got a few
months left in this job. And whilst you've seen this guy likes to cut over me in
answering questions, that's what we're going to have to put up with.
But it has been a privilege to be able to talk to investors and others at these
sorts of events, talk about our plans, talk about our successes and also our
challenges. So, I will certainly miss it. Thank you all. Cheers.
Operator: That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You
may now disconnect. Thank you.
[END OF TRANSCRIPT]
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