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Global Dairy Update April 2025

Operational Update29 April 2025FSFConsumer Staples

• Update on the Consumer divestment.
1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• New Zealand and US monthly production

increased. Australia monthly production was

flat. EU monthly production decreased.

• New Zealand monthly exports

increased. Australia, EU and US monthly

exports decreased.

• Asia and China monthly imports increased.

Latin America and Middle East & Africa

monthly imports decreased.

• Fonterra’s New Zealand milk collections for

March were 134.9 million kgMS, 0.4% above

March last season. Season-to-date collections

are 1,316.8 million kgMS, 2.6% above

last season.

• Fonterra’s Australia collections for March

were 8.7 million kgMS, 2.0% above March

last season. Season-to-date collections are

84.5 million kgMS, 1.4% above last season.

• Fonterra and Agribusiness in Schools partner to inspire future

leaders in dairy.

Key Dates

29 May 2025

FY25 Q3 Business Update

1 June 2025

Start of the 2025/26 Season

31 July 2025

End of FY25 Financial Year

APRIL 2025

%%%
%

%%%

%

Change for March 2025

compared to March 2024

Change for March 2025

compared March 2024

Change for March 2025

compared to March 2024

Change for February 2025

compared to February 2024

Change for the 12 months

to March 2025

Change for the 12 months

to March 2025

Change for the 12 months

to March 2025

Change for the 12 months

to February 2025

0.80.00.6

0.60.20.4

6.0

1.6

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

New Zealand and US

monthly production

increased. Australia

monthly production

was flat. EU monthly

production decreased

New Zealand milk

production increased 0.6%

in March compared to the

same period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to favourable weather

conditions, with increased

rainfall in the South

Island leading to higher

soil moisture and improved

pasture growth.

New Zealand milk

production for the 12 months

to March was up 1.6% on the

previous comparable period.

Fonterra New Zealand

collections are reported for

March, see page 5 for details.

Australia milk

production was flat in

March compared to the

same period the year prior.

Favourable weather

conditions and water

availability supported milk

production in Northern

Victoria. This was offset

by drier conditions

across Tasmania and

Western Victoria.

Australia milk production

for the 12 months to March

was up 0.6% on the previous

comparable period.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported for

March, see page 5 for details.

EU milk production¹

decreased 6.0% in February

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Adjusting for the leap year,

February 2025 production

was down 2.6% on last year.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower production in

Germany, France and Italy

as Europe continues to be

impacted by bluetongue

disease, forcing farmers to

reduce herd sizes.

EU milk production for the

12 months to February was

down 0.2% on the previous

comparable period.

US milk production

increased 0.8% in March

compared to the same period

the year prior.

The increase was mainly due

to increased herd sizes and

yields, with strong production

growth in Idaho and Texas.

The increase was partially

offset by California's

challenges with avian flu, with

the state's production falling

2.1% compared to the same

period last season.

US milk production for the

12 months to March was

down 0.4 % on the previous

comparable period.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 Excludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

New Zealand monthly

exports increased. Australia,

EU and US monthly

exports decreased

New Zealand dairy

exports increased 6.2%,

or 11, 528 MT, in March

compared to the same period

the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher export

volumes of cheese and

fluid milk products.

Exports to Indonesia and

China increased 78% and

22%, respectively.

Exports for the 12 months to

March were down 1.3%, or

41,307 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The decrease was mainly due

to lower exports of WMP,

AMF, and SMP, partially

offset by higher export

volumes of cheese.

EU dairy exports¹

decreased 5.1%, or 26,827  MT,

in February compared to the

same period the year prior

(down 1.7% adjusting for the

leap year).

The decrease was mainly

due to lower exports of

lactose from Germany and

fluid milk products from

Germany and France, caused

by the impacts of bluetongue

disease and foot and

mouth disease.

Exports for the 12 months to

February were up 2.8%, or

188,005 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly due

to higher export volumes

of fluid milk products

from Ireland.

US dairy exports

decreased 6.6%, or 15,473  MT,

in February compared to the

same period the year prior

(down 3.2% adjusting for the

leap year).

The decrease was mainly due

to reduced export volumes

of SMP and whey powder to

Southeast Asia.

Exports for the 12 months to

February were up 0.6%, or

15,605 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to year-on-year volume

growth for cheese exports

for 12 consecutive months,

partially offset by the impact

of US dairy prices diverging

from global market prices in

recent months.

Australia dairy exports

decreased 3.3%, or 1,916  MT,

in February compared to the

same period the year prior

(up 0.2% adjusting for the

leap year).

The decrease was mainly

due to lower February

production, which resulted

in lower volumes available

for exports.

Exports for the 12 months to

February were up 9.9%, or

64,386 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly due

to higher exports of SMP and

cheese, partially offset by

lower export volumes of fluid

milk products.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%

%%

%

%

Change for March 2025

compared to March 2024

Change for February 2025

compared to February 2024

Change for February 2025

compared to February 2024

Change for February 2025

compared to February 2024

Change for the 12 months

to February 2025

Change for the 12 months

to February 2025

Change for the 12 months

to March 2025

Change for the 12 months

to February 2025

6.6

9.9

6.2

2.8

0.6

3.3

5.1

1.3

%

1 Excludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

%

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

Asia and China monthly

imports increased. Latin

America and Middle

East & Africa monthly

imports decreased

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹

decreased 0.9%, or 1,891  MT,

in February compared to the

same period the year prior.

Adjusting for the leap year,

February imports were up

2.6% on last year.

The increase was mainly due

to higher import volumes

of SMP by the Dominican

Republic, partially offset by

lower import volumes of

fluid milk products and AMF.

Imports for the 12 months to

February were up 2.8%, or

71, 734 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly due

to higher import volumes of

cheese by Brazil and Mexico.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

increased 23.9%, or

91,707 MT, in February

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Adjusting for the leap year,

February imports were up

28.3% on last year.

The increase was mainly due

to higher import volumes by

Southeast Asia, as shipments

were front-loaded ahead of

the March tariff rollout.

Imports for the 12 months to

February were up 6.0%, or

303,847 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

higher import volumes of

fluid milk products and whey.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes¹

decreased 15.8%, or

76,917 MT, in February

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Adjusting for the leap year,

February imports were down

12.8% on last year.

The decrease was mainly due

to lower import volumes of

fluid milk products by the

United Arab Emirates.

Imports for the 12 months to

February were down 2.2%, or

128,850 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The decrease was mainly due

to lower import volumes of

fluid milk products and WMP

by Oman and Libya.

China dairy import

volumes increased by

15.5%, or 36,282 MT, in

March compared to the

same period the year prior.

The increase was mainly due

to higher import volumes of

whey powder from Germany

and fat-based products from

New Zealand, following

reduced local production

and a sharp increase in

butter demand.

Imports for the 12 months to

March were down 2.9%, or

86,735 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower import volumes

of SMP, WMP and fluid

milk products.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%%%%

%

Change for February 2025

compared to February 2024

Change for March 2025

compared to March 2024

Change for February 2025

compared to February 2024

Change for February 2025

compared to February 2024

Change for the 12 months

to February 2025

Change for the 12 months

to February 2025

Change for the 12 months

to February 2025

15.523.90.9

6.02.2

%

Change for the 12 months

to March 2025

2.9

15.8

2.8

%

To view a table that shows
detailed milk collections in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%%

%%

Season-to-date 1 July to 31 March

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 June to 31 March

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 June to 31 March

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 June to 31 March

compared to prior season

Change for March 2025

compared to March 2024

Change for March 2025

compared to March 2024

Change for March 2025

compared to March 2024

Change for March 2025

compared to March 2024

2.02.0

1.3

1.20.4

1.43.52.6

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY























5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collections

Fonterra's Australia

collections in March

were 8.7 million kgMS,

2.0% higher than March

last season.

The increase was mainly

due to favourable weather

conditions in Northern

Victoria, partially offset by

drier conditions in Western

Victoria and Tasmania.

Fodder reserves are helping

buffer impacts in Tasmania.

Season-to-date collections

are 84.5 million kgMS,

1.4% above last season.

North Island milk

collections in March

were 68.2 million kgMS,

1.2% lower than March

last season.

The decrease was mainly

due to unfavourable pasture

conditions from dry weather

across Northland, Waikato,

Manawatu-Whanganui

and Taranaki.

Season-to-date collections

are 761.5 million kgMS,

3.5% above last season.

South Island milk

collections in March

were 66.6 million kgMS,

2.0% higher than March

last season.

The increase was mainly

due to warm weather with

increased rainfall throughout

the month, which led to

higher soil moisture and

improved pasture conditions.

Season-to-date collections

are 555.3 million kgMS,

1.3% above last season.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collections for March were

134.9 million kgMS, 0.4%

above March last season.

The increase was

mainly due to improved

pasture conditions in the

South Island from favourable

weather, partially offset

by lower collections in

the North Island from

drier weather.

Season-to-date collections

are 1,316.8million kgMS,

2.6% above last season.

%%

%%

%
%

%

%%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

APR  JUN  SEP  JAN 

APR 

AUG  FEB  NOV 







,

, 

,



.


.



.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity prices and New Zealand

dollar trend

Financial market volatility, including in foreign exchange,

spiked sharply in early April as governments, investors, and

consumers began assessing the potential global economic

impact of the US trade tariff announcements on 2 April.

While the broader consensus is still forming, the prevailing

expectation is for global growth to be softer than previously

anticipated. This outlook has contributed to declines in equity

market valuations, rising US Treasury yields, and a weakening

US dollar as confidence in US economic outperformance fades.

In response, the NZD/USD exchange rate rebounded swiftly

from levels near 55 US cents to around 60 US cents.

Fonterra GDT results at

trading event 378

15 April 2025:

The next trading event will be held on 6 May 2025. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

2.0

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

4,674

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

12.7

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 2,950/MT

8.9

SMP

USD 4,160/MT

2.7

WMP

USD 7,554/MT

0.1

BUTTER

USD 6,838/MT

2.0

AMF

USD 4,923/MT

1.9

CHEDDAR

12,735

MT

LATEST AUCTION

490,947

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Our Performance

Update on the

Consumer divestment

During April, Fonterra

provided an update in

relation to the divestment

process for its global

Consumer business and

integrated businesses

Fonterra Oceania and

Sri Lanka.

Fonterra is actively

undertaking a dual-track

process, pursuing both a

trade sale and initial public

offering (IPO) as potential

divestment options.

As part of preparing

for a potential IPO,

the Co-op has named

Anne Templeman-Jones

as Chair-elect of the Audit

and Risk Committee for the

Mainland Group Board.

Fonterra Chair Peter McBride

says Anne’s extensive

experience in both executive

and Board roles across a

range of sectors will be

valuable to the Mainland

Group Board.

“Anne’s career spans the

banking and financial

services, consumer goods

and energy sectors. She has

spent 25 years as a banking

executive in global roles,

and her governance roles

include nine years with the

CBA Group, including six

as Chair of the Group Audit

Committee, two years as

Chair of Blackmores Group,

and seven years on the Board

of Worley Limited, including

five years as Chair of the

Audit and Risk Committee,”

says Mr McBride.

This appointment follows

the Co-op’s announcement

in March that Elizabeth (Liz)

Coutts ONZM has been

appointed as Chair-elect for

the Mainland Group Board.

Fonterra also continues

to progress the trade sale

process, including engaging

with potential purchasers

of the Consumer and

associated business.

The Co-op advises that it

is now at the stage where

some potential purchasers

may pre-emptively seek

regulatory approvals, which

is a standard step ahead of

any deal being agreed.

Our Co-op
8

Fonterra and

Agribusiness in Schools

partner to inspire future

leaders in dairy

In New Zealand, the

future of our primary

industries depends on the

bright, innovative minds

of tomorrow.

At Fonterra, we are

committed to inspiring

the next generation by

showcasing the vast career

opportunities available in

dairy from agribusiness and

food production to supply

chain management and

innovation, the opportunities

in dairy are as diverse as they

are exciting.

That’s why we’re proud to

announce our partnership

with Agribusiness in Schools,

a programme developed

in collaboration with the

Ministry of Education,

NZQA, and industry

leaders to prepare the best

students for careers in the

primary sector.

The programme offers

NCEA Levels 2 and 3 courses

integrating agri-science and

agri-business. Designed

for students with a passion

for science and commerce,

it develops essential skills

for the primary sector. It’s

a crucial step in nurturing

the future leaders who

will drive the innovation

and sustainability of

our industries.

Through our partnership,

Fonterra will collaborate

with Agribusiness in Schools

to offer industry expertise,

mentorship, and practical

insights into the dairy sector.

Additionally, we are offering

a teacher scholarship to

support the development of

Agribusiness educators.

Together, we’ll enrich

educational resources to

highlight dairy’s importance

in the curriculum, strengthen

agricultural education,

and develop a future

talent pipeline for the

primary sector.

Fonterra’s Managing

Director of People &

Culture, Kate Daly, speaks

to the importance of

supporting the next

generation of leaders in the

primary industries.

"At Fonterra, we’re

committed to investing

in equipping young

New Zealanders with the

skills they need to thrive

in the primary sector.

Partnering with Agribusiness

in Schools allows us to reach

more students, including

those in schools without

traditional agriculture

programs, ensuring they

have the knowledge and

opportunities to succeed.

The primary sector is vital

to New Zealand’s economy,

and by engaging early, we’re

helping develop the next

generation of innovators and

leaders. This collaboration

ensures more young people

gain the skills needed for a

sustainable future in dairy

and beyond."

Kerry Allen from

Agribusiness in Schools

also shares the excitement

of this partnership and

its potential to benefit

students, educators, and the

dairy sector.

"We’re excited to have

Fonterra as a partner and

sponsor of Agribusiness in

Schools. Their support will

raise awareness of dairy

sector opportunities and

highlight the programme’s

benefits to farmers and the

broader primary sector.

Fonterra’s expertise will help

shape curriculum content,

ensuring students gain

the skills needed to thrive.

Together, we’re building

a strong talent pipeline,

connecting classroom

learning with real-world

applications, and inspiring

students to pursue dynamic

careers in dairy.

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL 

JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES

,















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR  FEB  JAN  DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s



 







 

AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s













AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU to February; New Zealand, US and Australia to March.

NOTE: Data for EU, US and Australia to February; New Zealand to March..

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa, Latin America to February; China to March.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra analysis.

10

Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

MARCH

2025

MARCH

2024

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2024/25

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2023/24

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

134.9134.40.4%1,316.81,283.42.6%

North Island68.269.1(1.2%)761.5735.53.5%

South Island66.665.32.0%555.3547.91.3%

Australia8.78.52.0%84.583.31.4%

2024/25 season

forecast Farmgate

Milk Price (FGMP)

update

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

FGMP (NZD)

NZD/USD RATE AT

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

AVERAGE

CONVERSION

RATE FOR

2024/25

SEASON

PERCENTAGE

OF FORECAST

FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

EXPOSURE

FOR 2024/25

SEASON

HEDGED

PERCENTAGE

OF FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

OPTION

COVER

REMAINING

IN HEDGED

AMOUNT

RANGE MID-

POINT

20 Mar 2025$9.70-

$10.30

$10.000.58090.598193%11%

05 Dec 2024$9.50-

$10.50

$10.000.58600.601886%16%

As at the most recent update to the 2024/25 season forecast Farmgate Milk Price on 20 March 2025:

• Fonterra had hedged approximately 93% of the full year forecast USD cash flows related to the

2024/25 season Farmgate Milk Price.

• Of that 93%, approximately 11% was hedged with foreign exchange options which had not yet expired

or been exercised.

• If the remaining 7% of the forecast USD cash flows were to be hedged at the 20 March 2025 spot

rate of 0.5809, the average NZD/USD conversion rate for the 2025 season would be 0.5981.

• Also shown for information are the equivalent measures at the date of the previous forecast of the

2024/25 season Farmgate Milk Price on 5 December 2024.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

JAN

OCT FEB

JUL AUG MAY SEP NOV DEC JUN 

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT 

QUANTITY SOLD  MT 

11


Supplementary Information

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(15 APRIL 2025)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2024)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

12,735490,947

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

(18.4%)1.7%

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

4,6744,122

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

25.2%24.5%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

2.0%–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

12
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

Cultured Products

Fermented milks that are

prepared by using starter

cultures and controlled

fermentation including

yoghurt, yoghurt drinks, sour

cream, crème fraiche.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products,

except for Reference

Products, produced

by the New Zealand

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate.

WPI

Whey Protein Isolate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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