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MLN - June 2025 Quarter Newsletter

Operational Update17 July 2025MLNFinancials

1
A roller-coaster quarter, reminding us that the

impact of politics is transient

Marlin ended the June quarter with gross performance up

+6.0% and the adjusted NAV return was +5.1%, compared with

our global benchmark which was up +7.7%.

Global stock markets began the quarter in turmoil and ended

with a powerful recovery.

We often talk about how hard it is to predict the impact of

politics on stock markets. In the last three months the US

implemented sweeping tariffs across the globe; bombed

three nuclear sites in Iran resulting in a 20% spike in oil prices;

Republican’s proposed a government spending bill that would

add $2-$3 trillion to the US government deficit; US long-term

interest rates rose, driven by both tariff related inflationary fears

and excess US Government debt fears; and US GDP for the

March quarter was released, contracting 0.5%.

And after all that the S&P 500 stock index ended the quarter

+11% at all-time highs!

We used the April sell-off to reposition the portfolio: 1. Adding

to oversold tariff-impacted names Intuitive Surgical and Meta;

2. Upgrading the quality by buying Costco and Hermès, funded

by reducing weight in the lower quality Icon and Greggs; and 3.

Trimming defensives United Health and Boston Scientific to add

to Amazon, KKR and Nvidia.

Portfolio update

Nvidia (+46%) led performance. The stock was pressured

in April by trade war fears, export restrictions to China, and

concerns about an artificial intelligence (AI) bubble. We added

significantly during the dip. Nvidia beat earnings, Trump eased

trade tensions, and sovereign demand is expected to offset lost

China revenue. Enthusiasm for AI agents—tools that enhance

corporate workflows—helped dispel fears of an AI hype cycle.

Netflix (+44%) and Microsoft (+33%) emerged as relative tariff

winners early in the quarter as their service-based products are

not impacted by US tariffs. Netflix’s subscriber growth continues

to beat expectations as it continues to roll-out new subscription

tiers to appeal to a wider range of customers. Microsoft’s Azure,

its cloud computing platform, continues to grow ahead of

expectations at 35%.

Dexcom (+28%) reported US sales which were well ahead

of expectations. The company also received FDA approval

for its 15-day sensors. Longer lasting sensors means fewer

sensor changes, lower cost of goods sold, and higher margins.

Dexcom’s ability to improve health outcomes (lower the rate

of diabetes) and reduce costs for the healthcare system is

becoming increasingly important with greater scrutiny on rising

healthcare costs globally.

ASML (+21%) benefitted from ongoing investment in AI, which

is fuelling demand for AI-related semiconductor chips. TSMC,

the world’s leading semiconductor manufacturer and ASML’s

largest customer, reported a 40% increase in revenue last

month, primarily due to strong demand for AI accelerators. This

surge in demand for advanced chips supports further orders for

ASML’s cutting-edge lithography equipment.

Floor & Décor (-6%) was weak given its exposure to tariffs

(it imports around 50% of its products) plus the knock-on

effect of disruptive tariffs to demand. The company reduced

its store roll-out target for the year given this uncertainty. It has

a diverse global supply chain which gives it the flexibility to

absorb proposed tariff impacts and puts it in a better position

than competitors. Floor & Décor has already seen competitors

increase prices by up to 50%, which could potentially widen

Floor & Décor’s price gap and enhance its value proposition.

UnitedHealth (-40%) was a defensive haven during the tariff

sell-off, outperforming the S&P by 20% at one point. We used

that strength to continue to reduce our position in the company.

In May, a rare earnings miss caused a 30% share price decline,

shaking investors’ confidence in this historically stable business.

US health insurers have faced challenges as reimbursement

pressure in government programs and rising healthcare costs

squeezed profit margins. We have a very small position and are

reviewing our thesis.

Icon (-17%) and its clinical research peers continue to be

impacted by reduced R&D spending from pharma and biotech

clients post-COVID. Recovery was expected this year, but high

interest rates, macro uncertainty, and unclear regulatory direction

have delayed investment. We had been reducing our position

ahead of earnings due to these concerns.

New portfolio additions in the quarter

Costco is a leading global warehouse club, offering high-quality

products in bulk at low prices. The company is the third largest

retailer in the world by revenue and operates more than 900

warehouses. Costco serves 137 million members by providing

a wide range of goods—from groceries and electronics to

household items. Costco’s ability to leverage its scale to

consistently deliver the lowest prices creates a strong moat.

This, combined with its customer-centric culture has led to sales

per square foot double that of its nearest competitor. Costco’s

has substantial opportunity to expand its warehouse footprint

both in the U.S. and internationally.

¹

Share price discount to NAV (using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

as at 30 June 2025

1 April 2025 – 30 June 2025

MLN NAVDISCOUNT

1

$

0.954.0

%$

0.91

Share Price

QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER

PERFORMANCE
as at 30 June 2025

Disclaimer: The information in this newsletter has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity brief. The information

and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness. The newsletter is not intended to constitute

professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the newsletter

contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740, New Zealand

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

Headquarters Company

%

Holding

China

Tencent Holdings3.9%

France

Hermes International3.9%

Ireland

Icon1.9%

United Kingdom

Greggs Plc2.5%

United States

Alphabet5.6%

Amazon.Com7.7%

ASML Holding NV5.0%

Boston Scientific4.0%


Costco Wholesale Corp1.0%

Danaher Corporation5.1%


Dexcom Inc4.5%

Edwards Lifesciences Corp.2.9%

Floor & Décor Holdings4.6%

Gartner Inc4.0%

Intuitive Surgical Inc5.6%

KKR & Co Inc1.1%

Mastercard6.0%

Meta Platforms Inc4.1%

Microsoft6.9%

MSCI Inc2.4%

Netflix3.2%

Nvidia Corp2.7%

salesforce.com3.4%

Tradeweb Markets Inc1.0%

UnitedHealth Group Inc1.2%

Zoetis Inc2.7%

Equity Total96.9%

New Zealand dollar cash0.4%

Total foreign cash1.0%

Cash Total1.4%

Forward Foreign Exchange1.7%


TOTAL100.0%

PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS

SUMMARY

as at 30 June 2025

COMPANY NEWS

If you would like to receive future

newsletters electronically please email us

at enquire@marlin.co.nz

Dividend Paid 27 June 2025

A dividend of 1.91 cents per share was paid to Marlin

shareholders on 27 June 2025, under the quarterly distribution

policy. Interest in Marlin’s dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

remains high with 38% of shareholders participating in the plan.

Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount to

market price. If you would like to participate in the DRP, please

contact our share registrar, Computershare on 09 488 8777.

3 Months

3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+4.4%+1.3%+7.3%

Adjusted NAV Return +5.1%+10.9%+7.3%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return+6.0%+13.7%+10.1%

Benchmark Index¹+7.7%+16.4%+13.7%

1

Benchmark index : S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (hedged 50% to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance

return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital

allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV value,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and

currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price

performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to

shareholders. It assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan,

and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money), at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder

return in this newsletter are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP measures are

described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at

marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies.

SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO DURING THE

QUARTER IN LOCAL CURRENCY

NVIDIA

+46

%

NETFLIX

+44

%

KKR & CO

+41

%

MICROSOFT

+33

%

UNITEDHEALTH

-40

%

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Ltd

14 July 2025

KKR is a leading alternative asset manager benefitting from

the rising allocations to alternative assets by pension funds,

sovereign wealth funds and high-net-worth individuals. KKR

has a wide moat given its strong track record of returns and the

stickiness of assets under management. KKR’s brand and track

record helps with fundraising and attracting investment talent.

Tradeweb operates electronic marketplaces for fixed income

and equities, connecting over 2,800 clients. Its scale, real-

time pricing, and superior liquidity have allowed it to take

market share from competitors for the last 7+ years through

implementing innovative trading protocols. The adoption of

electronic trading will continue to be a tailwind.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.