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MLN – December 2025 monthly update

Operational Update9 December 2025MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for November was -0.7%,

while the adjusted NAV return was -1.0%. This compared with

our global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index

(50% hedged to NZD), which was +0.5%.

Market Environment

Global markets were largely flat in November, but there was a lot

of rotation under the hood. A strong earnings season in the US

was offset by the uncertain impact on economic growth created

by the prolonged US government shutdown and a sell-off in

heavyweight technology companies.

The third-quarter earnings season was strong, with 81% of

companies in the US S&P 500 Index beating expectations with

earnings growth of 13% year-over-year. Technology companies

were particularly strong, with earnings growth expectations for

2025 for the Magnificent Seven increasing to more than 20%

compared to 15% only seven months ago. Despite strong results,

the US market only rose 0.2% in November as doubts about high

valuations and optimistic profit expectations in the AI ecosystem

limited further gains. Technology stocks underperformed defensive

sectors such as healthcare, which is a reversal in the wider trend

seen throughout the year.

Portfolio

The past few months have reminded us how rapidly sentiment

toward stocks can change, even when the underlying earnings

power of the business is stable. All three of our top performers this

month had been detractors from performance in prior months.

Alphabet (+14%) continued its recent performance into

November as it is increasingly seen as a leader in the AI race,

with dominant positions across the whole AI value chain. This

month, Google launched Gemini 3, its latest artificial intelligence

model, to high acclaim – with Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff

singing its praises. This model was trained using Google’s internal

semiconductor chips (or TPUs), creating a possible alternative to

Nvidia GPUs in some use cases. And with companies including

Meta and Anthropic both signing deals to use Google’s TPUs this

creates a further revenue tailwind for the business. That said, we

appreciate that the AI market is a dynamic and fast-moving space

and have reduced our position size given the outperformance.

Intuitive Surgical (+7%) had another strong month, following

a 22% gain in October. Intuitive had been underperforming on

concerns over hospital spending and procedure growth, but

strong earnings results put those concerns to rest. Procedure

volumes are still growing 17% per annum, twenty-six years after

the first Intuitive surgical robot was sold in 1999, highlighting the

large growth runway for surgical robotics. However, following a

33% gain since the October lows, we have reduced our position

size.

Dexcom (+9%) bounced back this month, following

underperformance in October on continued execution issues,

compounded by conservative earnings guidance for 2026.

Dexcom has been through a period of growing pains over the last

18 months as it builds out manufacturing and salesforce capacity

to meet the high demand for continuous glucose monitors.

While the company is moving past these issues, with a new CEO

starting in 2026; and the current CEO on medical leave, we felt it

was prudent to slightly reduce our position size. Our medium-term

view on Dexcom remains positive – operating in an effective two-

player market with high barriers to entry, a long runway for growth

as it begins selling to the large Type-2 non-insulin using diabetic

market: and an ability to save real costs for health systems at a

time when government healthcare spend is under scrutiny.

Zoetis (-11%) fell as earnings came in below expectations,

with the company facing a combination of macroeconomic and

competitive headwinds. While two competitive product launches

in the last twelve months have been a headwind, actual market

share losses have been limited. However, Zoetis’s new flagship

pain drug Librela is facing slower-than-expected growth given

social media concerns around safety (despite positive data from

real-world outcomes); and with increasing macroeconomic

headwinds, near-term growth is below our original expectations,

and we have reduced our position size. With a steady pipeline of

new drugs and an eventual return to growth in wider vet visits, we

expect growth to accelerate in the medium term.

Salesforce (-11%) was caught up in a wider software sell-off,

with the S&P 500 Application Software index off 9% for the month

on AI disruption fears that have troubled the sector this year.

Sentiment on application software companies has turned negative

as investors worry that AI will displace traditional enterprise

software, even as software companies like Salesforce are showing

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

December 2025

as at 30 November 2025

SHARE PRICE

$

0.94

DISCOUNT

1

1. 6

%


MLN NAV

$

0.9 5

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 30 November 2025

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.91

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

225m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$211m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

good early progress in its own AI initiative called Agentforce;

and as the company has not seen any real impact on company

earnings. Despite Salesforce’s share price being off 30% this year,

analyst’s expectations for earnings in the next couple of years are

effectively unchanged.

Amazon (-5%) has given back its outperformance post earnings

last month. Amazon was partly caught up in the wider tech selloff

in recent weeks but also faced questions around its AI offerings in

the face of Alphabet’s strong AI showing. We are more positive,

with Amazon’s AWS cloud business seeing growth accelerate in

the latest quarter and deals with Anthropic and OpenAI supporting

further growth. Amazon’s own internal AI chip (Trainium-2) is

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 30 November 2025

GEOGRAPHICAL SPLIT

as at 30 November 2025

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

starting to gain acceptance with companies like Anthropic,

growing +150% in 3Q, and already a multi-billion-dollar business.

While facing some delays in the launch of the third-generation

Trainium chip, we anticipate the improved performance of the new

chip will drive further acceptance and revenue growth.

Health Care26%

Information Technology24%

Consumer Discretionary15%

Financials13%

Communication Services12%

Industrial5%

Cash & Derivatives3%

Consumer Staples2%

North America79%

Western Europe14%

Asia Pacific7%

3
NOVEMBER’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO during the month in local currency

ALPHABET

+14

%

DEXCOM

+9

%

ZOETIS

-11

%

NVIDIA

-11

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 30 November 2025

AMAZON

7

%

MICROSOFT

7

%

MASTERCARD

6

%

META PLATFORMS

6

%

DANAHER CORP

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 22 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 30 November 2025

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(1.6%)(5.6%)+10.2%+8.4%+1.2%

Adjusted NAV Return(1.0%)+1.5%+1.0%+11.8%+5.1%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (0.7%)+2.2%+3.5%+14.7%+7.6%

Benchmark Index^+0.5%+6.4%+16.3%+17.4%+12.7%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies.

SALESFORCE

-13

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 30 November 2025

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Nov

2007

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2011

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2013

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2014

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2015

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2008

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2009

Nov

2010

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2016

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2020

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2012

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2022

Nov

2017

Nov

2018

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2019

Nov

2021

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2023

Nov

2024

Nov

2025

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be utilised

for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow further,

operate efficiently, and pursue other capital structure

initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to purchase an

ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed price on a fixed date

»There are currently no Marlin warrants on issue


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated to

it from the Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement and other

written policies. Marlin’s portfolio is

managed by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Chris Waters (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Charles

Barty (Investment Analyst) have prime

responsibility for managing the Marlin

portfolio. Together they have significant

combined experience and are very

capable of researching and investing

in the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is based in

Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Andy

Coupe (Chair), Carol Campbell,

David McClatchy, Fiona Oliver

and Dan Coman.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.