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MLN – February 2026 monthly update

Operational Update12 February 2026MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for January was -3.0%, while

the adjusted NAV return was -3.2%. This compared with our

global benchmark, S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index

(50% hedged to NZD), which was +1.1%.

Market Environment

January was notable for a sharp factor rotation. High quality

companies underperformed low quality by 10% - one of the

sharpest one-month differentials we have seen. And growth

underperformed value by 5%, which is again one of the

sharpest months we have seen. Global equities rose in January

with Japan and emerging markets outperforming the US.

Portfolio

The AI winner-loser narrative was once again a driver

of diverging performance in markets, with the 25%

outperformance of semiconductor versus software stocks

particularly stark. ASML (+33%) was our top contributor for the

month, driven by overwhelming demand for its advanced chip-

making equipment. ASML received $13 billion of orders for its

lithography tools in the fourth quarter. This was nearly double

what the market expected as AI chip manufacturers rapidly

build new capacity to meet high demand. Leading chip maker

TSMC is running near 100% capacity for its advanced chips,

while memory chip makers like Micron are also “sold out” until

the end of the year. We took the opportunity to reduce our

position in ASML after strong share price performance (+90%

since the end of August).

Old Dominion (+10%) has been impacted by the longest

freight recession in the US for 20 years. While the cycle has not

yet turned a corner, January saw the strongest demand relative

to supply since 2022. Given Old Dominion is the most efficient

operator, consistently shows best-in-class service metrics (on

time delivery and low damage claims) and has a track record

of maintaining these leading service levels when the freight

recovery returns, we believe Old Dominion is the best placed

carrier to benefit from a recovery in the freight market.

Dexcom (+10%) was up in January, after being down 1%

in the fourth quarter of 2025. Dexcom has faced several

execution missteps over the last year as it manages rapid

growth in its business. While this dented investors’ confidence,

the company is now moving past these headwinds. Dexcom’s

sales of continuous glucose monitors were ahead of

expectations for the quarter, and Dexcom increased its user

base by 25% in 2025. With penetration of the large Type-2

non-insulin using diabetic population only just beginning, there

is a long runway for growth ahead.

Software stocks were the biggest detractors in January,

with Salesforce (-20%) down on fears that the traditional

software model could be disrupted by AI. These fears were

reignited as AI company Anthropic launched its own enterprise

AI agent “Claude Co-Work” to rave reviews. The software

sell-off was compounded by software earnings releases that

were below expectations. Microsoft (-11%) saw the largest

single-day decline since 2020 after signalling that its massive

AI investments may take longer to pay off than the market

expected. We have been cutting our target weighting in this

sector fairly consistently for the last 18-24 months. And we

believe that large, entrenched enterprise software platforms

such as Microsoft and Salesforce will play an important role

in the roll-out of AI to the enterprise. However, this is a fast-

changing space so we will tread carefully.

By contrast, Meta’s (+9%) earnings highlighted its AI

prowess with quarterly advertising revenue growth ahead

of expectations. Meta credited AI for these gains as users

spend more time on its apps (time spent on Instagram

Reels is up 30% year-on-year); and credited AI-driven ad

creative for driving higher conversion and therefore pricing for

advertisements. While the current AI models are impressive,

Mark Zuckerberg expects continued improvement, even going

so far as calling the current models “primitive”. Meta’s results

helped reassure the market that the large increases in AI spend

(including 70% growth in capital expenditures this year alone)

will generate a measurable return on investment.

Intuitive Surgical (-11%) was down for the month, following

a strong return in the fourth quarter of 2025. While both

procedure growth and sales of robotic surgical robots were

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

February 2026

as at 31 January 2026

SHARE PRICE

$

0.92

PREMIUM

1

1. 2

%


MLN NAV

$

0.9 1

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 31 January 2026

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.89

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

227m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$209m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

ahead of expectations, there are some concerns that growth

could slow in 2026 as health systems in some countries

including the US, UK and Japan are facing pressure. Health

systems see surgical robots as a higher priority for spend;

and coupled with the ongoing launch of Intuitive Surgical’s

new DV5 system, we anticipate the strong sales growth to

continue.

New portfolio addition

Keyence is a leader in the development of industrial

automation and inspection equipment globally. It develops

advanced cameras, sensors, and microscopes that help

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 January 2026

GEOGRAPHICAL SPLIT

as at 31 January 2026

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

manufacturers improve productivity and ensure quality control

across end markets such as automotive and food production.

Keyence’s large direct salesforce, intellectual property portfolio,

broad product range, and disciplined culture underpin its

competitive moat. This positions the company well to benefit

from increasing factory automation globally.

Health Care26%

Information Technology22%

Consumer Discretionary17%

Financials12%

Communication Services12%

Industrial6%

Cash & Derivatives4%

Consumer Staples1%

North America82%

Western Europe11%

Asia Pacific6%

South & Central America1%

3
JANUARY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO during the month in local currency

ASML HOLDINGS

+33

%

INTUITIVE SURGICAL

-11

%

MICROSOFT

-11

%

SALESFORCE

-17

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 January 2026

AMAZON

7

%

MICROSOFT

7

%

MASTERCARD

6

%

META PLATFORMS

6

%

DANAHER CORP

4

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 25 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 31 January 2026

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(1.7%)(1.2%)+0.6%+8.4%+1.3%

Adjusted NAV Return(3.2%)(3.3%)(6.8%)+9.1%+4.3%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (3.0%)(2.7%)(4.5%)+11.8%+6.7%

Benchmark Index^+1.1%+2.3%+16.8%+17.2%+12.1%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies.

GARTNER

-20

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 January 2026

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Nov

2007

Nov

2011

Nov

2013

Nov

2014

Nov

2015

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2016

Nov

2020

Nov

2012

Nov

2022

Nov

2017

Nov

2018

Nov

2019

Nov

2021

Nov

2023

Nov

2024

Nov

2025

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be utilised

for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow further,

operate efficiently, and pursue other capital structure

initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to purchase an

ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed price on a fixed date

»There are currently no Marlin warrants on issue


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated to

it from the Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement and other

written policies. Marlin’s portfolio is

managed by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior Portfolio

Manager), Chris Waters (Senior

Investment Analyst), and Charles

Barty (Investment Analyst) have prime

responsibility for managing the Marlin

portfolio. Together they have significant

combined experience and are very

capable of researching and investing

in the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is based in

Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors

Andy Coupe (Chair), David

McClatchy, Fiona Oliver and

Dan Coman.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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