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MLN – August 2026 monthly update

Investor Presentation16 August 2026MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance return for July was +3.1%, while the adjusted

NAV return was +2.9%. This compared with our global benchmark, S&P

Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD), which was

down -3.6%. It was pleasing to see a month of strong performance for

Marlin, particularly in a volatile market.

Team expansion and portfolio review

In July we strengthened the team managing the Marlin portfolio with the

addition of two investment analysts, Daniel Moser and Ashton Olds, who

join Chris Waters and Christian McIntyre. We now have four analysts

focused on the portfolio, which has allowed us to increase our research

coverage and assign sector specialists to key market sectors like

Technology, Consumer and Healthcare.

Over the last few months, we have undertaken a comprehensive review

of our existing portfolio positions, while identifying a handful of companies

that may be attractive additions. As a result, we expect to make several

changes in August to further broaden the portfolio’s sector and geographic

diversification . We will provide an update next month on these changes.

Market Environment

Global equity markets were volatile in July, delivering a modest decline that

masked one of the sharpest intra-month rotations seen in years. The S&P

500 ended the month little changed (down around 0.1%), but only after a

violent round trip: the Nasdaq fell more than 10% from its early-June high

to enter its second correction of the year by late July, before rallying in the

final days of the month on standout earnings from Microsoft and Amazon.

Semiconductor stocks bore the brunt of the sell-off, with the Philadelphia

Semiconductor Index (SOX) falling around 20% in July. TSMC’s sharply

higher capital spending guidance, Samsung and SK Hynix’s own capex

plans, and reports of progress on Chinese domestic lithography tools

all raised questions about the risks a surge in chip supply could create.

Marlin’s avoidance of selected cyclical semiconductor stocks, like SK Hynix

(-32%) and Micron (-31%) helped relative performance during the month.

Middle East tensions also resurfaced, with a fragile US-Iran ceasefire

breaking down and renewed attacks around the Strait of Hormuz driving

Brent crude up by around 24% over the month, peaking near US$100

a barrel – a reversal of the de-escalation seen in June. Meanwhile, the

US Federal Reserve, under new Chair Kevin Warsh, left interest rates

unchanged at its July meeting, but the market’s reaction was unusually

negative, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to its highest level since

January 2025 amid concerns that policymakers are falling behind on

inflation.

Portfolio

The Marlin Portfolio significantly outperformed its benchmark in July.

The single biggest driver was our long-standing underweight to

semiconductors: after detracting from relative performance for much of

the past year as the sector rallied strongly, this positioning proved highly

beneficial as the SOX recorded its worst month since 2008.

Strong stock selection amongst our largest holdings, particularly Microsoft

and Dexcom, provided a further meaningful contribution.

Microsoft (+25% in local currency) was our largest contributor, driven

by a strong fiscal fourth-quarter result that addressed concerns around

its AI investment cycle. Azure growth accelerated to 43%, ahead of

expectations, with management forecasting approximately 45% growth

for the September quarter and further acceleration thereafter. Unchanged

capital-spending guidance provided encouraging evidence of improving

returns on AI investment, while Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassed 30 million

paid seats with accelerating additions. The Microsoft result, as well as

Amazon (discussed below), reinforced our view that the hyperscale cloud

players remain one of the best ways to invest in the AI thematic, without

some of the risks we see with investing in more commoditised parts of the

semiconductor sector.

Dexcom (+24%) rebounded strongly following another quarter of

improved execution. US revenue grew 11%, international sales exceeded

expectations, and the company continued to gain share from Abbott

across both markets. Operating margin was approximately 300 basis

points ahead of expectations, supported by manufacturing improvements

and the more efficient 15-day sensor. Management raised the midpoint

of full-year revenue guidance and lifted its margin outlook, and a positive

clinical trial result in the non-insulin-treated Type 2 diabetes population

further strengthened the case for the multi-year expansion of the

addressable continuous glucose monitoring market.

Amazon (+14%) rose after AWS cloud growth accelerated to 37% – its

fastest pace in eighteen quarters – with AWS operating income reaching

US$16.6 billion. Amazon’s own AI and semiconductor businesses have

each surpassed a US$25 billion annualised revenue run-rate, further

evidence that AI investment is translating into demand. Third-quarter

operating income guidance of US$22.5–26.5 billion, well ahead of the

prior year, reinforced confidence despite a near-term swing to negative free

cash flow as infrastructure investment continues to ramp.

ASML (-18%) was our largest detractor, despite a strong second-quarter

result in which revenue of €9.33 billion beat expectations and full-year

guidance was raised to €43–45 billion. The shares fell sharply late in the

month on reports that China has begun manufacturing its own immersion-

DUV lithography tools domestically. They have only built a handful of

machines so far, well behind ASML’s technology, but enough to unsettle

investors about the durability of ASML’s China franchise. We think the

market’s reaction has been overdone given the small scale of the near-

term threat, but it added to a broader de-rating across the semiconductor

complex during the month.

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using the net asset value per share, after expenses, fees and tax, to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

August 2026

as at 31 July 2026

SHARE PRICE

$

0.71

MLN NAV

$

0.82

WARRANT PRICE

$

0.0 1

DISCOUNT

1

13. 8

%

TSMC (-15%) fell even as it reported a record quarter, with profit up 77%
to a new high, comfortably ahead of expectations and driven by continued

AI-processor demand. The share price weakness instead, reflected profit-

taking across crowded semiconductor positions and renewed investor

scrutiny of the AI infrastructure spending cycle, compounded late in the

month by concerns around cheaper Chinese AI models and China’s

progress in domestic chip-making equipment.

The common thread across many of July’s market moves was a

reassessment of the AI investment cycle. Investors increasingly

distinguished between companies where heavy investment is translating

into accelerating revenue growth, such as Microsoft and Amazon, and

those where the returns on rising capital intensity remain less visible. We

view this as greater selectivity within the AI theme, rather than a wholesale

rejection of its long-term growth potential.

July’s recovery in quality stocks, and de-rating of the market’s most

crowded areas, is consistent with the broadening in market leadership for

which we have been positioning. While one month does not establish a

lasting trend, we believe the disconnect between our portfolio companies’

underlying fundamentals and their relative valuations remains significant,

creating attractive opportunities for patient, long-term investors.

New portfolio additions/ exits

We did not add or exit any new stocks during the month.

2

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

KEY DETAILS

as at 31 July 2026

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE FEE

HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high-water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.85

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

231m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$163m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 July 2026

GEOGRAPHICAL SPLIT

as at 31 July 2026

Information Technology26%

Consumer Discretionary21%

Health Care19%

Financials14%

Communication Services11%

Industrials7%

Cash & Derivatives2%

North America76%

Asia Pacific10%

Western Europe9%

South & Central America4%

Central Asia1%

3
JULY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO during the month in local currency

MICROSOFT

+25

%

DEXCOM

+24

%

GREGGS

+18

%

ASML

+17

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 July 2026

MICROSOFT

8

%

AMAZON

7

%

MASTERCARD

6

%

META PLATFORMS

5

%

TENCENT

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 26 stocks and cash.

PERFORMANCE to 31 July 2026

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(8.3%)(14.8%)(20.6%)(2.2%)(8.1%)

Adjusted NAV Return+2.9%+0.5%(5.8%)+3.1%(1.1%)

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +3.1%+1.1%(3.6%)+5.7%+1.1%

Benchmark Index^(3.6%)+3.2%+22.3%+17.1%+10.9%

^Benchmark index: S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for dividends (and other capital management initiatives) and after expenses, fees, and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the percentage change in the adjusted NAV,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies.

SALESFORCE

-18

%

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 July 2026

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$5.00

$4.00

$3.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.00

Share Price Total Shareholder Return

Nov

2007

Nov

2011

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2013

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2014

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2015

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2008

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2009

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2010

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2016

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2020

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2012

Nov

2022

Nov

2017

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2018

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2019

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2021

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2023

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2024

Nov

2025

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from a financial adviser should be

taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund performance can

and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted to be

paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends received,

interest income, investment gains and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased capital rather

than a regular income stream have the opportunity to

participate in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan

(DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3% discount

to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on 1 October

2007. As a result, dividends paid to New Zealand tax

resident shareholders have not been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be utilised

for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Marlin announced a new issue of warrants on

16 February 2026

»The warrant term offer document was sent to all Marlin

shareholders in late February 2026

»Warrants were allotted to all eligible Marlin shareholders

on 23 April 2026

»The new warrants (MLNWH) commenced trading on the

NZX Main Board from 24 April 2026

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $0.87, adjusted

down for the aggregate amount per Share of any cash

dividends declared on the shares with a record date

during the period commencing on the date of allotment of

the warrants and ending on the last Business Day before

the final Exercise Price is announced by Marlin

»The Exercise Date for the Marlin warrants is 23 April 2027


MANAGEMENT

The Manager has authority delegated

to it from the Board to invest according

to the Management Agreement

and other written policies. Marlin’s

portfolio is managed by Fisher Funds

Management Limited. Ashley Gardyne

(Senior Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters (Senior Investment Analyst),

and Christian McIntyre, Daniel Moser

and Ashton Olds (Investment Analysts)

have prime responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together they

have significant combined experience

and are very capable of researching

and investing in the quality global

companies that Marlin targets. Fisher

Funds is based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Fiona

Oliver (Chair), David McClatchy,

Dan Coman and Simon Flood.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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