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Global Dairy Update August 2026

Operational Update31 August 2026FCGConsumer Staples

• Fonterra cream cheese just the right mix for
Japanese bakers

1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• New Zealand, Australia, EU and US

monthly production increased

• New Zealand, Australia and EU monthly

exports increased. US monthly

exports decreased

• Latin America, Asia, Middle East & Africa

and China monthly imports decreased

• Fonterra’s New Zealand milk collections

for July were 22.4 million kgMS, 8.0%

above July last season

• Season-to-date collections are

40.2 million kgMS, 7.4% above

last season. Collections at this time of

the season typically represent less than

3% of the full season forecast

• Fonterra expands customer innovation capability

in Chengdu

• We're reviewing the

GDU and want your

feedback. Complete

this short survey to

tell us what you find

most valuable and what

you would like to see

more of

Key Dates

24 September 2026

FY26 Annual Results Announcement

12 November 2026

Fonterra Co-operative Group Annual Meeting

August 2026

Have your say –

Change for July 2026
compared to July 2025

Change for July 2026

compared to July 2025

Change for May 2026

compared to May 2025

Change for June 2026

compared to June 2025

Change for the 12 months

to July 2026

Change for the 12 months

to July 2026

Change for the 12 months

to May 2026

Change for the 12 months

to June 2026

2.27.9

0.54.53.2

1.4

4.5

6.0

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

New Zealand, Australia,

EU and US monthly

production increased

New Zealand milk

production increased

by 7.9% in July compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher collections

in the North Island from

favourable pasture

conditions, and abundant

supplement feed.

New Zealand milk

production for the

12 months to July

increased 4.5% on the prior

comparable period.

Fonterra New Zealand

collections are reported for

July, see page 5 for details.

Australia milk production

increased 6. 0% in May

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher production

in Victoria, up 6. 7% year on

year, with all regions except

South Australia recording

higher collections.

Rainfall was above

average for most of

eastern Australia, but drier

conditions in northern

regions kept demand for

feed elevated.

Australia milk production

for the 12 months

to May increased

0.5% on the previous

comparable period.

EU milk production1

increased 1.4% in June

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher production

in Germany and the

Netherlands, up 5.2% and

11.4%, respectively.

EU milk production for

the 12 months to June was

up 4.5% on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to higher production in

Germany, up 151.6m kgMS

or 6. 3%, with France and

the Netherlands up 4.5%

and 7.0%, respectively.

US milk production

increased 2.2% in July

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was due to

herd growth, with the US

herd up 185,000 head, or

2.0%, on July last year. Yields

are also higher, with milk

volumes per cow up 0.2%

on July 2025.

US milk production for the

12 months to July increased

3.2% on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to higher production

in California, Kansas

and Texas with average

year-on-year production

increases of 3.5%, 23.0%

and 5.1%, respectively, for

the last 12 months.

New ZealandAustraliaEuropean UnionUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 Excludes UK.

%%%

%%%%

%

3
OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

New Zealand, Australia

and EU monthly exports

increased. US monthly

exports decreased

New Zealand dairy

exports increased 5.5%, or

14,782 MT, in July compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher export

volumes of cheese and

WMP, supported by casein

and whey powder.

Exports for the 12 months

to July were up 3.6%, or

128,470 MT, on the prior

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to higher export

volumes of WMP,

supported by butter, MPC

and MPI.

EU dairy exports

1

increased 16.4%, or

93,139 MT, in June

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher export

volumes of SMP from

Ireland, and fluid milk

products Poland.

Exports for the 12 months

to June were up 4.5%, or

296,466 MT, on the prior

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to higher export

volumes of SMP from

Germany and Ireland

partially offset by higher

export volumes of lactose

from the Netherlands and

infant formula from Ireland.

US dairy exports

decreased 0.9%, or

2,416 MT in June, compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to lower export

volumes of SMP and

lactose, down 11,301 MT and

8,171 MT, or 19.1% and 18.6%,

respectively.

Exports for the 12 months

to June were up 9.9%, or

279,883 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to higher export

volumes of cheese, whey

powder and butter, partially

offset by lower export

volumes of SMP, WPC

and WPI.

Australia dairy exports

increased 7.1%, or 3,664M T,

in June compared to the

same period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher export

volumes of cheese, fluid

milk products and SMP,

partially offset by lower

export volumes of WMP,

dairy spreads and butter.

Exports for the 12 months

to June were down 1.8%, or

12,167 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower export

volumes of SMP, butter,

and other powder,

partially offset by higher

export volumes of fluid

milk products.

New ZealandAustraliaEuropean UnionUSA

%%%

%%

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

%

Change for June 2026

compared to June 2025

Change for June 2026

compared to June 2025

Change for June 2026

compared to June 2025

Change for the 12 months

to June 2026

Change for the 12 months

to June 2026

Change for the 12 months

to June 2026

0.9

1.8

4.5

9.9

7.1

16.4

1 Excludes UK.

%

%

Change for July 2026

compared to July 2025

Change for the 12 months

to July 2026

5.5

3.6

4
OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

Latin America, Asia,

Middle East & Africa

and China monthly

imports decreased

Latin America dairy

import volumes

decreased 11.5%, or

27,153 MT, in June

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower import

volumes of SMP by Mexico

and fluid milk products by

the Dominican Republic.

Imports for the 12 months

to June were down 4.2%,

or 112,268 MT, on the prior

comparable period.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower import

volumes of fluid milk

products by the Dominican

Republic, infant formula

and SMP by Mexico

and WMP by Brazil

and Venezuela.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes

decreased 11.6%, or

63,743 MT in May on the

prior comparable period.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower import

volumes of phosphoamino

lipids, down 62,505 MT, or

80.2 %, partially offset by

higher imports of SMP and

fluid milk products.

Imports for the 12 months

to May were up 2.2%, or

123,569 MT, on the prior

comparable period.

The increase was mainly due

to higher import volumes

of phosphoaminolipids by

Vietnam, partially offset by

lower import volumes of

whey powder by Indonesia

and WMP from Thailand.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes

1

decreased 51.1%, or

244,74 4 MT, in June on the

prior comparable period.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower import

volumes of SMP by Egypt,

and the United Arab

Emirates, and cheese and

fluid milk products by

Saudi Arabia.

Imports for the 12 months

to June were down 19.7%, or

1,024,191 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower import

volumes of fluid milk

products and WMP by

the United Arab Emirates,

partially offset by higher

imports by Turkey.

China dairy import

volumes decreased

30.8%, or 82,245 MT, in

July compared to the same

period the year prior.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower import

volumes of whey powder

from the US and WMP

from New Zealand and

the EU.

Imports for the 12 months

to July were down 4.1%, or

120,392 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The decrease was

mainly due to lower

import volumes of fluid

milk products and SMP,

partially offset by higher

import volumes of WMP

and cheese.

Latin AmericaAsiaMiddle East & AfricaChina

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%%%%

%%

Change for June 2026

compared to June 2025

Change for July 2026

compared to July 2025

Change for May 2026

compared to May 2025

Change for June 2026

compared to June 2025

Change for the 12 months

to June 2026

Change for the 12 months

to May 2026

Change for the 12 months

to June 2026

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

30.811.611.5

2.219.7

%

Change for the 12 months

to July 2026

4.1

51.1

4.2

%

To view a table that shows
detailed milk collections in

New Zealand compared

to the previous season –

Season-to-date 1 Jun-31 Jul

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 Jun-31 Jul

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 Jun-31 Jul

compared to prior season

Increase for July 2026

compared to July 2025

Increase for July 2026

compared to July 2025

Increase for July 2026

compared to July2025

6.6

3.5

8.28.0

8.07.4

Volume (m Litres/Day)

JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMay

2026/27

2025/262024/25

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

New ZealandNorth IslandSouth Island

New Zealand Milk Collections

North Island

milk

collections in July were 20.5

million kgMS, 8.2% higher

than July last season.

The increase is mainly due

to favourable weather and

pasture conditions.

Temperatures, and soil

moisture were in line with

historical averages for July,

with below average rainfall,

meaning reduced pasture

damage from pugging.

Season-to-date collections

are 34.5 million kgMS, 8.0%

above last season.

South Island milk

collections in July

were 2.0 million kgMS,

6. 6% higher than July

last season.

The increase was mainly

due favourable weather

conditions, with above

average temperatures for

most of the South Island

supporting pasture growth,

despite excessively wet

conditions in many regions.

Soil moisture was above

average for parts of Otago

following rainfall 4.5 times

the historical average and

below average for parts

of Canterbury.

Season-to-date collections

are 5.7 million kgMS, 3.5%

above last season.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collections for July were

22.4 million kgMS, up 8.0%

on July 2025, and a new

July record for Fonterra.

The increase was mainly

due to favourable pasture

conditions and feed

availability in recent

months, supporting

farmers milking deeper

into winter.

Season-to-date collections

are 40.2 million kgMS,

7.4% above last season.

Collections at this time

of the season typically

represent less than 3% of

the full season forecast.

%%

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%

%%
%%%

%

To view more

information, including

a snapshot of the rolling

year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT Price IndexNZD/USD Spot Rate

Aug 24Aug 25Dec 25Apr 26Aug 26Apr 25Dec 24

900

1,000

1,100

1,400

1,200

1,300

0.54

0.56

0.58

0.60

0.64

0.62

Price Index

NZD / USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity prices and New Zealand

dollar trend

Recent gains for the USD were partially reversed during

August as relatively benign inflation data together with

policy action from the US Treasury, designed to dampen

long-term bond yields, undermined the relative attraction

of the US currency and overshaded any underlying

safe-haven demand stemming from persistent geopolitical

uncertainties. Independently, the NZD has been bolstered

by more positive economic forecasts and expectations the

Reserve Bank of New Zealand will further increase interest

rates in coming months - the NZD appreciated to above

59 US cents.

Fonterra GDT results

at trading event 410

18 August 2026:

The next trading event will be held on 1 September 2026. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average

product price from

previous event

2.1

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

3,899

USD

Fonterra product

quantity sold on GDT

000’ MT

36.9

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 4,552/MTUSD 5,993/MT

3.45.9

BMPAMF

USD 3,484/MT

7.0

SMP

USD 3,744/MT

0.6

CHEDDAR

USD 3,589/MT

3.1

WMP

USD 5,129/MT

2.2

BUTTER

Latest Auction

73,594

MT

36,874

MT

Financial Year‑to‑Date

7
Our Performance

Fonterra cream cheese just the right mix for

Japanese bakers

Cream cheese made

from Fonterra farmers'

milk is transforming

Japan's bakery and

dessert landscape as

local chefs look for

ingredients that bring

taste, texture and

versatility to familiar

products as well as more

premium formats.

Japan is one of

New Zealand’s largest

dairy export markets,

accounting for about

15% of cheese exports,

second only to China.

Fresh and cream cheese

products have doubled

over the last three years

and now make up a

fifth of new product

development in Japan,

signalling a clear shift

in how cream cheese is

being used to create new

exciting options.

Bakers are using cream

cheese instead of

milk powder to make

traditional shokupan or

Japanese milk bread.

In this format, cream

cheese is kneaded

directly into the dough

rather than used as a

filling. The result is a loaf

with a soft, airy crumb,

subtle sweetness and

enhanced visual appeal.

The gentle flavour profile

allows the natural tang

of cream cheese to

come through without

overpowering the bread.

In baking, cream

cheese maintains

its structure during

heating, contributing

to both texture and a

premium finish. This

approach aligns with

Japanese consumers’

preference for everyday

foods that offer a

sense of indulgence

and craftsmanship.

When it comes to

desserts, smooth, rich

single-serve cheesecakes

remain a popular

format, particularly

in convenience-led

channels. These products

focus on delivering

a creamy, satisfying

cheese flavour with a

clean, light mouthfeel

that avoids heaviness.

Cream cheese plays a

central role in achieving

this balance, providing

richness, smooth

texture and consistent

flavour delivery even

in high-volumes.

Such cheesecakes

demonstrate how reliable

performance and clean

taste allow chefs to meet

consumer expectations

for indulgence in smaller,

accessible portions.

At the more premium

end, layered or hybrid

cheesecakes continue

to showcase dessert-led

innovation. These

formats typically

combine a dense baked

cheesecake base with

a lighter, creamier

top layer, often using

a mix of baked and

no-bake techniques.

Cream cheese provides

the foundation for

both layers, enabling

contrasting textures

within a single product

while maintaining a

cohesive flavour profile.

These desserts also offer

flexibility for seasonal

flavours, fruit inclusions

or decorative finishes.

Fonterra’s Darfield site

plays an important role in

supplying cream cheese

to Asia, including Japan,

where customer demand

continues to build.

Site Manager Blake

Aston said the team

had focused on lifting

capacity through

smarter operations and

new technology.

“We’ve worked hard to

unlock more capacity

at Darfield, which

puts us in a stronger

position to support

customers as demand

for cream cheese grows

across Asia.”

“What’s exciting is

seeing how customers

in Japan are using cream

cheese in new ways,

from familiar bakery

favourites through

to more premium

dessert formats.”

These examples highlight

some of the ways

Fonterra’s cream cheese

is adding value in Japan’s

fast-growing bakery and

dessert scene. Backed

by consistent quality,

clean dairy flavour and

functional reliability, it’s

playing a versatile role

across many applications

- elevating traditional

favourites while

enabling new ideas and

future trends.

Our Co‑op
8

Fonterra expands

customer innovation

capability in Chengdu

Fonterra has opened

its upgraded Chengdu

Application Centre,

bringing New Zealand

dairy expertise

closer to customers

in one of China’s

fastest-growing regions.

First opened in 2015, the

Chengdu Application

Centre has moved to a

more central location in

the city’s Jinjiang District.

With the upgraded

facilities, Fonterra’s

technical experts, chefs

and customers are now

better empowered

to develop, test and

showcase food and

beverage products.

Teh-han Chow, CEO

Greater China, Fonterra,

says the investment

builds on Fonterra’s

nearly half-century

presence in China and

reflects the Co-op’s

focus on staying close

to customers in a fast-

moving market.

“China’s foodservice

sector is evolving quickly,

and our customers

are looking for dairy

solutions that help them

respond to changing

consumer tastes with

speed, quality and

confidence.

“Through our upgraded

Chengdu Application

Centre, we can co-

create more closely with

customers, develop more

relevant applications,

and bring the benefits of

premium New Zealand

grass-fed dairy to more

Chinese consumers

across Southwest China

and beyond.

“By bringing our

technical expertise

closer to customers in

Chengdu, we can better

understand local needs,

move faster on new

ideas and help turn those

insights into practical

foodservice solutions.”

New modern kitchens

will allow customers

to see how Fonterra

products perform in

applications such as

cakes and beverages,

supported by seminars,

demonstrations and

virtual learning sessions

led by Anchor™

Food Professionals

advisory chefs.

Chengdu, the megacity

capital of Sichuan

province, is known

for its spicy food and

teahouse culture. In

2010, it became the

first city in Asia to be

named a UNESCO City

of Gastronomy, making

it a natural place for

Fonterra to expand its

local investment.

Alongside sites in Beijing,

Shanghai, Guangzhou,

Shenzhen and Wuhan,

Chengdu is one of six

Fonterra application

centres in China. This

network helps Fonterra

work closely with

customers to understand

changing food trends,

support innovation, grow

demand for New Zealand

milk and deliver more

value for farmer

shareholders.

Production
AustraliaAverage

United States

New ZealandEU

Jul 26Feb 26

Jan 26Dec 25Oct 25Sep 25Aug 25Apr 26Jun 26May 26Mar 26Nov 25

Liquid Milk (m Litres)

-200

0

1,200

800

1,000

400

600

200

Exports

Australia

United States

New ZealandEU

Apr 26Mar 26Feb 26Dec 25Nov 25Oct 25Sep 25Aug 25Jul 26Jun 26May 26Jan 26

MT (000

s

)

-60

-30

0

90

120

60

30

150

Average

Imports

Middle East & AfricaLatin America

AsiaChina

Apr 26Mar 26Jan 26Dec 25Sep 25Oct 25Nov 25Jun 26Jul 26Aug 25Feb 26May 26

MT (000s)

-300

-250

-100

-50

-150

-200

0

100

50

Average

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy

Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-

year changes in imports,

exports and production

for a range of countries

that are important

players in global

dairy trade.

NOTE: Data for Australia to May; EU to June; New Zealand and US to July.

NOTE: Data for EU, US and Australia to June; New Zealand to July.

NOTE: Data for Asia to May, Middle East & Africa and Latin America to June; China to July.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra

10

Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the

right shows Fonterra

milk solids collected

in New Zealand and

Australia compared to

the previous season.

Milk Collection1

(million kgMS)

July

2026

July


2025

Monthly

Change

2026/27

Season

2025/26

Season

Season

Change

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

22.420.88.0%40.237.47.4%

North Island20.518.98.2 %34.531.98.0%

South Island2.01.96.6%5.75.53.5%

2025/26 season

Forecast Farmgate

Milk Price

(FGMP) update

2026/27 season

Forecast Farmgate

Milk Price

(FGMP) update

Announcement

Date

Forecast FGMP /

Range (NZD)

NZD/USD

Rate at

Announcement

Date

Forecast

Average

Conversion Rate

for 2025/26

Season

Forecast

Foreign

Exchange

Exposure for

2025/26 Season

Hedged2 (%)

Foreign

Exchange

Option Cover

Remaining

in Hedged

Amount2 (%)

28 May

2026

$9.70 /

$9.60-$9.80

0.59010.590595%12%

23 March

2026

$9.70 /

$9.40-$10.00

0.58210.589495%16%

Announcement

Date

Forecast FGMP /

Range (NZD)

NZD/USD

Rate at

Announcement

Date

Forecast

Average

Conversion Rate

for 2026/27

Season

Forecast

Foreign

Exchange

Exposure for

2026/27 Season

Hedged2 (%)

Foreign

Exchange

Option Cover

Remaining

in Hedged

Amount2 (%)

13 July

2026

$9.25 /

$8.00-$10.50

0.57620.584658%13%

28 May

2026

$9.75 /

$8.00-$11.00

0.59010.592346%8%

As at the most recent update to the 2025/26 season forecast Farmgate Milk Price on 28 May 2026:

• Fonterra had hedged approximately 95% of the full year forecast USD cash flows related to the 2025/26 season

Farmgate Milk Price.

• Of that 95%, approximately 12% was hedged with foreign exchange options which had not yet expired or

been exercised.

• If the remaining 5% of the forecast USD cash flows were to be hedged at the 28 May 2026 spot rate of 0.5901, the

average NZD/USD conversion rate for the 2025/26 season would be 0.5905.

• Also shown for information are the equivalent measures at the date of the previous forecast of the 2025/26 season

Farmgate Milk Price on 23 March 2026.

As at the most recent update to the 2026/27 season forecast Farmgate Milk Price on 13 July 2026:

• Fonterra had hedged approximately 58% of the full year forecast USD cash flows related to the 2026/27 season

Farmgate Milk Price.

• Of that 58%, approximately 13% was hedged with foreign exchange options which had not yet expired or been exercised.

• If the remaining 42% of the forecast USD cash flows were to be hedged at the 13 July 2026 spot rate of 0.5762, the

average NZD/USD conversion rate for the 2026/27 season would be 0.5846.

• Also shown for information are the equivalent measures at the date of the opening forecast of the 2026/27 season

Farmgate Milk Price on 28 May 2026.

1 Numbers have been rounded so may not appear to add, multiply or reflect percentage changes.

2 Hedged percentages shown are as at the most recent month end prior to announcement date.

Weighted Average PriceQuantity Sold
Nov 25Oct 25Aug 26May 26Sep 25Feb 26Mar 26Dec 25Apr 26Jun 26Jul 26Jan 26

7,000

13,000

19,000

37,000

25,000

31,000

43,000

3,200

3,500

4,000

3,800

4,400

4,700

5,000

Weighted Average Price

(USD/MT)

Quantity Sold

( MT)

Fonterra GDT

results

This chart shows

Fonterra GDT prices and

volumes over the past

12 months.

Fonterra GDT

results

This table provides

more information on the

latest results, including

a snapshot of the rolling

year-to-date results.

Last Trading Event

(18 August 2026)

Year-to-Date


(From 1 August 2026)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

36,87473,594

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

9.3%8.0%

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

3,8993,858

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period last year

(10.0%)(10.9%)

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

2.1%-

11


Supplementary Information

12
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

Cultured Products

Fermented milks that are

prepared by using starter

cultures and controlled

fermentation including

yoghurt, yoghurt

drinks, sour cream, and

crème fraiche.

DIRA

Dairy Industry

Restructuring Act 2001

(New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk

supplied in New Zealand

to Fonterra by farmer

shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk

products (evaporated

milk and sweetened

condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade,

the online provider

of the twice monthly

global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids,

the measure of the

amount of fat and

protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference

Products

All dairy products,

except for Reference

Products, produced

by the New Zealand

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price,

which are currently

WMP, SMP, BMP, butter

and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein

Concentrate.

WPI

Whey Protein Isolate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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