Steel & Tube Holdings Limited logo

Steel & Tube Holdings Limited – briefing document

Investor Presentation16 February 2017STUMaterials

1
2016 annual

Update

Dave Taylor, CEO

Janie Elrick, CFO

August 2016

2016 Annual

update

Dave Taylor, CEO

Janie Elrick, CFO

August 2016

Disclaimer
This presentation, February 2017, provides additional comment on Steel & Tube’s

financial results announcement for the period ending 31 December 2016. It should be

read in conjunction with the documents attached to that announcement, which

highlight future outlook expectations of earnings, activities and market conditions.

2

Financial Highlights –H1 ending December 2016
Revenue: $254m –down $11m or 4%

Profit before Tax: Underlying$14.6 m –up $ 0.5m or 4%

EBIT Underlying:$16.1m–up $0.3m or 2%

Net operating cash flow:$14.0m –up $4.7m or 50%

Net tangible assets / share:$1.49c –down $0.10

Net debt:$114.8m –up $17.5m

Dividend / share:9 cents/share –consistent

3

Overview H1 2017
Improving performance invariable markets

4

Global

Markets

Local

Markets

Operating

Performance

Impacts

•Domestic market increasingly more competitive

•S&T’s focus aimed at improving margins

•Preparing S&T Plastics for new contract commitments

•Overhead reduction through restructuring

•Ongoing investment to update capabilities including Composite Floor Decks Ltd

acquisition

•NZ volumes 860 tonnes, compared to 980 tonnesin the last construction peak

•Construction buoyant however activity variable

•Manufacturing remains resilient

•The rural sector has indicated renewed investment due to higher dairy payout,

optimism returning, other rural sectors positive

•Global steel prices firming, following significant increases to key input costs; iron

ore, coking coal and international freight. Volatility expected to continue

•Excess capacity in both raw materials and finished steel remains with Chinese

commitment to remove excess/aged steel making capacity and coal mines

•Anti-dumpling legislation continues and Chinese exports reduced by 3%

Overview H1 2017
Operating performance

5

Quarter 1

Price

Increase

Volumes and

Market

Share

Managing

costs

•Business restructuring. H1 costs of $800k with annualisedbenefits of $2.8m

•Costs: resolution of quality issues, litigation and M&A activity $2m.

•Preparing S&T Plastics for new contract commitments impacted EBIT by $1.6m

•Remain on track with strategic targets

•Volumes and share retained in most product categories

•Short term price and margin focus led to some volume impact and loss of share

particularly in Reinforcing and commoditisedsteel products

•Volume loss is primarily in low margin product

•Monitoring closely to achieve optimum outcome

•Despite global pricing increasing, NZ pricing proving difficult to shift up

•Inconsistent behaviourfrom competitors

•Reinforcing prices at multi-year lows despite construction activity

•S&T’s focus on pricing and margins saw margins increase; 22.7% -25.4%

•With global steel prices firming, new price increase February 2017

Overview H1 2017
Continued rejuvenation

6

Facility

upgrades

ERP

Inventory

CFDL

Acquisition

•Selective procurement at end of H1 in anticipation of price increase

•Stock weeks remain at 13~14, despite higher stock weeks from Stainless and

MSL businesses offsetting reductions in other parts of the business

•SKU rationalisationcontinues ~90,000 to 55,000 (excluding MSL)

•Pilot “go-live” occurred 3 October 2016

•Implementation proceeded as expected, initial issues, but nothing fundamental

•Good feedback for the rest of the business go-live, which is aimed for April-June

2017

•New Dunedin facility to open February 2017

•Christchurch Distribution facility re-development $10m, early 2018

•Christchurch Processing facility –Goodman facility, opening late 2017

•$15.9m (incl. $3m earn-out)

•Expected Annual revenue $22m, EBIT $4.5m~$5m

Building

Capability

•Leverage capabilities across all parts of S&T

•Ongoing L&D investment

•Bench strength continues to improve

Overview H1 2017
Acquisitions

7

S&T

Stainless

MSL

S&T Plastics

Integration

savings

•Longer term strategic investment; reflects significant upgrades required to NZ

“water infrastructure”

•Focus on preparing the plant for the next tranche of schemes

•Remedial activity, higher than expected (H1 impact $1.6m)

•Resourced with experienced plastics capability

•Significant commitments awarded for 2017-18 currently at $27m

•Continues to perform well and will exceed business case revenue in F17

•Benefitting from competitor closures

•ERP platform for back-office integration and business enabler

•Inventory and warehouse management to be aligned, commencing late 2017

•Synergies already achieved: ‘One Company’, supply chain, freight rationalisation,

etc.

•On track to deliver business case earnings

•Significant synergies with other parts of S&T business

•Annualisedrevenue ~ $22-$23m, EBIT $4.5-$5m

CFDL

•Continues to outperform acquisition expectations

•Comflorbusiness reflects growth in construction activity

•Stainless & Engineering steels consistent with overall market

•Pilot for ERP, insight and learnings for the remainder of the Group

Overview H1 2017
Product conformance

8

Commerce

Commission

& SE 62

Mesh

•CC investigation, 3 companies to be prosecuted and 2 others issued warning

•CC intends to prosecute S&T for the inadvertent use of a testing laboratory logo,

and for S&T application of the testing methodologies under the standard

•Prosecution does not relate to the performance of the mesh product

•All S&T mesh is now tested by IANZ accredited laboratories

•Class action –no direct contact with promoters

New Zealand Markets
Diversification across sectors, significant presence in buoyant construction sector

Source: S& T Research

9

Source: SBB & S&T Financial reports
Strong performance, despite falling steel prices

10

•Falling steel prices

since 2011, have been

offset by improved

business performance

•Steel prices have

started to recover

paving the way towards

improved results in the

medium term

Business Performance
In-line with previous guidance

Source: S&T financial reports

11

*

* Sale of Bowden Rd $6.2m

Business Performance
Cost management

12

One-off

Business Performance; EBIT comparison
Price impacting base business, acquisitions performing well

13

14
Balance Sheet

Liquid assets, gearing sound

Business Performance
Operating cash remains strong

Source: S&T financial reports

15

Outlook
Improved earnings expected –second half

16

Global Pricing

S&T Plastics

Significant factors

•Price increase expected across most product

categories February 2017 onwards

•Plant prepared to deliver new contracts

•$27m: $8m in H2 2017

Costs and

Restructuring

•Legal & one-off costs $1.9m

•$2.8m annualisedsavings

•ERP –further rationalisation

CFDL Acquisition

•Full 6 months performance

•Amortisationof customer relationships will

impact EBIT $1.5-$2.5m

F17 EBIT outlook consistent with F16 EBIT

Outlook
Further out

17

Global Steel

Environment

Domestic market

Significant factors

•Pricing volatility likely to continue for both raw

materials and finished steel

•Excess capacity likely to remain despite

Chinese efforts to reduce

•Anti-dumping actions to remain

•NZ demand to remain around 860 tonnes

•Stainless volumes to increase

•Competition to remain intense

S&T Strategy

•Strengthen ‘One Company’ ethos

•Reposition underlying cost structures

•Enhance capability and reach

•Integrated value propositions

•Leverage technology

Outlook
Improving performance

18

Global

Markets

Local

Markets

Operating

Performance

Financial

Outlook

With increased prices in F17, and one-off costs minimised

expect significantly higher earnings in F17

•Focus on delivering the renewed strategy and initiatives

•Aquaduct potential to be realised

•Synergies from MSL to continue to be delivered

•Almost 10% price increase 1 July 2016, early days but promising

•The New Zealand economy, appears remarkably resilient, particularly

our key sectors –construction & manufacturing

•The rural sector has re-aligned to new dairy payout, optimism

returning, other rural sectors positive

•World steel demand remains soft, with oversupply in both raw

materials and finished steel, encouraged by prices increased in early

2016, iron ore firming, and steel pricing following

•China commitment to remove excess/aged capacity

19
2016 annual

Update

Dave Taylor, CEO

Janie Elrick, CFO

August 2016

Thank you

Global Markets
Steel production

•Domestic demand for steel in China has

risen recently with banks easing credit

•Exports out of China has been dropping

over the past 6 months

•Steel prices have started to firm across

most products and geographical

locations

Source: World Steel Association & SBB

•Global steel output has dropped by 0.8%

during 2016 compared to PCP led by

China which dropped 1.2%

•China has shed 45 MT of capacity in

2016 and plan to do more this year

•Indian steel production however grew

and is third after Japan

20

Global Markets
Steel and raw material price movement

•Iron ore prices increased to USD 80/ tein

spite of increased capacity in Australia and

Brazil. Uneconomic mines closed in China

contributed

•Coking coal price spike has eased due to

Chinese working days restriction relaxed

•Finished steel prices still firming

•Chinese steel exports have reduced by

3% in 2016

•Expect Chinese steel capacity reduction to

continue in the medium term

•India is now the third largest steel

producer after Japan and increasingly

looking to export

21

Source: Steel Business Briefings-SBB

Global Markets
Stainless steel prices and production

Source: Steel Businesses Briefings and International Stainless Steel Forum

22

•Production declined marginally in 2015 and

current trends indicate a drop in 2016

•China is the leading producer and is

following the global trend

•Demand forecast is positive despite the

current downtrend

•Prices correlate closely with nickel prices

which remain volatile

Global Markets
Exchange rates

•The NZD has

appreciated in recent

months against key

currencies

•Remains elevated

against the AUD

23

Source: ANZ Bank

New Zealand Markets
Material volumes

Source: Stats NZ; S&T Research

•Total steel demand is marginally down year

on year.

•Construction activity supports steel demand

•Stainless steel demand is recovering due to

viticulture and improved dairy prices

•Fastenings market growing and less

vulnerable to volatility

New Zealand Markets
Key sector trends –building consents

25

•Non Residential building consent by

floor area reduced 20% in 2016

•Canterbury reduced by 34%, Auckland

by 24% and all other regions by 9%

•Conversely, consents by $ value shows

a growth of 4% nationally

•Residentialconsent by floor area

increased by 12% in 2016

•Auckland increased by 11%, more than

off-setting a 9% reduction in Canterbury

•All other regions increased by 25%

Source: Stats NZ

New Zealand Markets
Key sector trends –rural

Source: ANZ Bank

•With international dairy prices

firming to 2½ year high, forecast

pay-out increased to $6.55/kgms

•The improvement in prices has

been attributed to increased

buying demand, particularly China

•The increased pay-out is likely to

be above the direct cost of many

of the dairy farmers which is

estimated at $5/kgms

•Likelihood of investment returning,

impacting stainless demand

•Meat and wool prices while

volatile, seems to be more stable

26

New Zealand Markets
Key sector trends –manufacturing ($m)

•Output continues to firm

•Solid growth from non food

and non petroleum sectors

•Equipment and machinery

manufacturers nearing pre

GFC levels

•Metal producers growing at

a slower pace

•Export markets for

manufactured goods

remain resilient in Australia

and USA

Source: Stats NZ

27

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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