Chorus Limited/Announcement
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Chorus Investor presentation

Half Year Results24 February 2019CNUCommunication Services

25 February 2019
H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019
H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

Disclaimer

This presentation:

• Is provided for general information purposes and does not constitute investment advice or an offer of or invitation to purchase Chorus

securities.

• Includes forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance. They involve known

and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond Chorus’ control, and which may cause actual resultsto

differ materially from those contained in this presentation.

• Includes statements relating to past performance which should not be regarded as reliable indicators of future performance.

• Is current at the date of this presentation, unless otherwise stated. Except as required by law or the NZX Main Board and ASX listing

rules, Chorus is not under any obligation to update this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

• Should be read in conjunction with Chorus’ audited consolidated financial statements for the year to 30 June 2018 and NZX and ASX

market releases.

• Includes non-GAAP financial measures such as "EBITDA”. These measures do not have a standardised meaning prescribed by GAAP and

therefore may not be comparable to similar financial information presented by other entities. They should not be used in substitution for,

or isolation of, Chorus' audited consolidated financial statements. We monitor EBITDA as a key performance indicator and we believe it

assists investors in assessing the performance of the core operations of our business.

• Has been prepared with due care and attention. However, Chorus and its directors and employees accept no liability for any errorsor

omissions.

• Contains information from third parties Chorus believes reliable. However, no representations or warranties (express or implied) are

made as to the accuracy or completeness of such information.

2

Agenda
>HY19 overview, connections and trends4-6

>Active wholesaler strategy, fibre demand and rollout7-10

>Financial results12-14

>Capex 15-18

>FY19 guidance update19

>Capital management, debt, Crown financing20-22

>New start: Transition to a regulated utility 23-26

>Innovation and data demand27-30

>Our focus for H231

>Connections and market trends, UFB programme overview32-35

25 February 2019

Kate McKenzie, CEO

David Collins, CFO

Kate McKenzie, CEO

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

3

Appendices

25 February 2019
H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

H1 FY19 result overview

4

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15

-

2

-

4

-

12

-

1

-

4

13

-

1

-

9

5

0

-

9

C H O R U S U F B

Z O N E *

R U R A L

L O C A L F I B R E

C O M P A N Y U F B

Z O N E

INDICATIVE CONNECTION

CHANGES BY ZONE

Copper (no broadband)Broadband (fibre or copper)

Q2

>Total fixed line connections decreased by 40k to

1,486,000 (H1 FY18:-43k)

▪copper lines with no broadband decreased by 38k,

mostly in Chorus UFB areas

▪1k reduction in data services over copper

>Total broadband connections decreased by 1k to

1,186,000 (H1 FY18:-5k)

▪strong growth in Chorus UFB areas, offsetting

reductions in LFC areas

▪VDSL and vectoring upgrades helping limit rural

wireless effect

▪Note: disconnections typically higher in Q2

Connection movements by Zone

* Includes planned UFB1, 2 and 2+ coverage

**Excludes 17k fibre premium and data services (copper) connections

Q1

Q1

Q1

Q1

Q1

Q1

Q2

Q2

Q2

Q2

Q2

Change in

connections

(‘000s)

5

Total connections at 31 Dec**1,099,000202,000168,000

Broadband connections922,000153,000111,000

Copper (no broadband)

connections

177,00049,00057,000

25 February 2019

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

see Appendix A for connection trends by product category

>84,000mass market fibre connections added in H1
▪71% of mass market fibre connections on 100Mbps

▪44,000 connections on gigabit plans (FY18: 30,000)

▪glide path announced for 1Gbps pricing:

•Residential: $60 from July 2019; $56 from July 2020

•Business: $75 currently; $70 from July 2019; $66 from

July 2020

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

50Mbps100Mbps200MbpsGigabitEducationBusiness 100Mbps+Other

% of

plans

Total mass market fibre uptake by plan type

$41.50 monthly

$45 monthly

$65 monthly

625 February 2019

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

Fibreconnections pass 500k

$55monthly

7
Active wholesaler strategy continues

10k proactive fibre installations in H1

25 February 2019

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

FibreFixed

Wireless

Intention to change

broadband technology

>7k via Chorus door knocking; 3k in association with

retailers

>Total 21k installations since activity began in FY18

▪~14k have activated service to date

▪Chorus-led installations to date resulted in 40%

uptake after 6 months; 70% after 12 months

▪off-net customer uptake slower at ~30% activation

within 6 months, but with minimal effort and reflects

contractual barriers to churn

8
Record fibre demand and customer satisfaction

Achieved 50%‘fibre in a day’ target

25 February 2019

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

JulyAugSeptOctNovDecJanFebMarAprilMayJune

Fibre installations

FY18FY19

9
Demand continues to accelerate in new build areas

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

0612182430364248546066

Fibre orders completed as a % of fibre

capable addresses (by months available)

2013 Jan-June2013 July-Dec2014 Jan-June2014 July-Dec

2015 Jan-June2015 July-Dec2016 Jan-June2016 July-Dec

2017 Jan-June2017 July-Dec2018 Jan-June

25 February 2019

>Time taken to achieve 30% uptake has

shortened from 2 to 3 years for initial

UFB rollout years, to 6 months for most

recent areas

▪step change occurred in 2015, coinciding

with arrival of Netflix in NZ

>Strong rate of uptake in UFB2 areas

▪Hokitika: 43%

▪Horotiu: 52%

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

UFB rollout and uptake
>51% UFB uptake at 31 Dec (30 June: 45%)

504,000 connections (30 June: 415,000)

981,000customers able to connect (30 June: 932,000)

738,000 premises passed (30 June: 700,000)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

UFB rollout and uptake

UFB connectionsUFB available addresses

Planned footprint% Uptake (RHS)

No. of

connections

Uptake

Premisesto pass by Dec 2022~1,054,000*

Customers able to connect ~1.36 million

*Includes estimated 43k greenfieldspremises for UFB1

Uptake

1025 February 2019

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

Financial performance
David Collins, Chief Financial Officer

25 February 2019

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

Income statement
H1

FY19

$m

H2

FY18

$m

H1

FY18

$m

Operating revenue489491499

Operating expenses(171)(167)(170)

Earnings before interest, tax,

depreciation and amortisation

(EBITDA)

318324329

Depreciation and amortisation(196)(195)(192)

Earnings before interest and income tax122129137

Net interest expense(79)(74)(70)

Net earnings before income tax435567

Income tax expense(13)(17)(20)

Net earnings for the period303847

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

1225 February 2019

>Increasing as a result of long life assets

>$500 million bond issued in December, Crown

funding notional interest increasing

>Total connections decreasing

H1
FY19

$m

H2

FY18

$m

H1

FY18

$m

Fibre broadband (GPON)13610890

Fibre premium (P2P)373840

Copper based voice566469

Copper based

broadband

181202219

Data services copper101314

Field Services393535

Value added network

services

161617

Infrastructure121112

Other243

Total489491499

copper revenues declining as customers migrate to fibre or competing

fibre/wireless networks. Annual increase in regulated copper line and

broadband pricing in mid December.

>increase in chargeable network relocation and subdivision activity

>revenue growing as fibre uptake increases

>some churn to lower input fibre services or other networks

Revenue

13

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019

H1
FY19

$m

H2

FY18

$m

H1

FY18

$m

Labour 373439

Provisioning324

Network maintenance384443

Other network costs181915

IT262727

Rents, rates and

property maintenance

131311

Regulatory levies867

Electricity978

Consultants423

Insurance221

Other131112

Total171167170

>6% reduction in staff numbers from H1 FY18; offset partially by CPI increases

>fault volumes reducing overall, helped by fewer extreme weather events and

retailers using API tools to reduce unnecessary truck rolls

Expenses

>increase in third party requests for network relocation activity

14

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019

>rates increasing as fibre network expands

Gross Capex
15

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

H1 FY19 gross capex of $395m vs H1 FY18 $391m

25

26

39

64

331

301

H1 FY19H1 FY18

CommonCopperFibre

Fibre capex increased to 84% of gross capex (H1 FY18:77%) as fibre

connections spend grew and copper capex reduced

$395m

$391m

25 February 2019

Capex: common and copper
CoppercapexH1 FY19

$m

H2 FY18

$m

H1 FY18

$m

Network sustain192916

Copperconnections111

Copper layer261816

Product122

Customer retention costs121829

Subtotal396864

16

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019

>ongoing investment in poles, proactive

maintenance and roadworks projects

>reduced spend following end of ~$20m VDSL

vectoring rollout in FY18

>reducing as incentives are more targeted and RSP

focus shifts from VDSL to fibre uptake

CommoncapexH1 FY19

$m

H2 FY18

$m

H1 FY18

$m

Informationtechnology171817

Building& engineering services7119

Other130

Subtotal253226

Capex: Fibre
FibrecapexH1

FY19

$m

H2

FY18

$m

H1

FY18

$m

UFB communal119118113

Fibre connections & layer 2161149145

Fibre products & systems7710

Other fibre connections &

growth

363728

Customer retention costs885

Subtotal331319301

>UFB1 rollout $78m; UFB2/2+ rollout $41m

>95,000 new installations in H1 FY19 (H1 FY18: 77,000)

Cost per UFB1 premises passed (CPPP): ~$1,662 vs $1,500 -$1,600 guidance

38,000 premises passed (H1 FY18 32,000) included 13,000 UFB 2/2+ premises

~80,000 brownfields premises to be completed in H2 FY19

17

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

>pole replacement programme and growing housing demand

25 February 2019

>targeted RSP campaigns to drive fibre uptake and win back off-net

connections

Capex: Fibre connections & layer 2
Fibre connections & layer 2 capexH1 FY19H2 FY18 H1 FY18

Layer 2 (long run programmeaverage of $100 per connection)$9m$16m$16m

Premium business fibre connections$4m

600 connections

$5m

600 connections

$6m

800 connections

Single dwelling units and apartments connections$100m

95k connections

$79m

79k connections

$84m

77k connections

Backbonebuild: multi-dwelling units and rightsof way

* Estimated 55-60% requiring backbone build now completed

$48m

9.5k completed

$49m

7.3k completed

$39m

5.8k completed

TOTAL SPEND$161m$149m$145m

Cost per UFB1 premises connected (CPPC): $1,038* vs $1,000 -$1,150 guidance

* excludes layer 2 and includes standard installations, some non-standard single dwellings and service desk costs

95,000 single dwelling unit and apartment connections completed (includes 5,000 UFB2)

Layer 2 spend reducing as UFB1 rollout comes to an end; ongoing spend for UFB2/2+, growth and bandwidth demand

Connections capex of $161m

18

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019

FY19 guidance -updated
H1 FY19 updatePrior FY19 guidance

FY19 EBITDA

No change$625 –645m

FY19 Gross capex

No change$820 –$860m

Fibre capex

$685m -$715m$660m -$690m

Fibre connections &

layer 2 capex

$310m -$340m (based on mass market 175,000-

195,000fibre connections, and 19,000backbone

builds and including service desk costs)

$280 –$310m (based on mass market 155,000 –

175,000 fibre connections,and 14,000 backbone builds

and including service desk costs)

Copper capex

$75m -$95m$90m -$110m

Common capex

No change$55m -$70m

UFB1 Cost Per Premises

Passed (CPPP)

No change$1,500 -$1,600

UFB2/2+ communal

capex

No change$90m -$110m

(based on estimated starting premises of 45,000 to

55,000 and premises handed over of 25,000 to 35,000)

UFB1 Cost Per Premises

Connected (CPPC)

No change$1,000 -$1,150

(excluding layer 2 and including standard installations

and some non-standard single dwellings and service

desk costs)

19

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019

▪supplementary dividend of 1.68cps payable to
non-resident shareholders

▪record date: 19March2019

▪payment date: 16 April2019

▪Dividend Reinvestment Plan applies with

3% discount to prevailing market price; open

to New Zealand and Australian resident

shareholders

Capital management & FY19 dividend

H1 FY19 interim dividend of 9.5cps, fully imputed

>The Chorus Board considers that a ‘BBB’ credit

rating or equivalent credit rating is appropriate

for a company such as Chorus. It intends to

maintain capital management and financial

policies consistent with these credit ratings.

>During the UFB build programme to 2020, the

Board expects to be able to provide shareholders

with modest dividend growth from a base of

20cps per share paid for FY16, subject to no

material adverse changes in circumstances or

outlook.

20

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019

>FY19 dividend guidance of 23 cps, subject to

no material adverse changes in circumstances or

outlook.

Debt
Term debt profile

As at

31 Dec 2018

$m

Borrowings2,362

+ PV of CIP debt

securities (senior)

137

+ Net leases payable238

Sub total2,737

-Cash(281)

Total net debt2,456

Net debt/EBITDA3.82 times

Financial covenants require senior net debt/EBITDA

ratio to be no greater than 4.75 times

S&P rating down driver adjusted debt/EBITDA

greater than 4x for a sustained period

>At 31 Dec, debt of $2,362m comprised:

▪Long term bank facilities of $350m undrawn;

▪NZ bond: $400m and $500m

▪Euro Medium Term Notes $1,462m (NZ$ equivalent at

hedged rates)

NZ

$M

21

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019

677

400

500

785

7272

107

137

14

33

60

72

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

CIP debt securities available

Face value of CIP debt securities issued

EUR EMTN

NZ Bond

GBP EMTN

25 February 2019
H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

22

Crown financing

$800m received at 31 December from Crown Infrastructure Partners (CIP)

388388

24

76.576.5

278

105

U F B 1

E Q U I T Y

U F B 1 D E B TU F B 2 / 2 +

E Q U I T Y

U F B 2 / 2 +

D E B T

AS AT 31 DECEMBER

drawnundrawn

>up to $1.33 billion available by 2023 (57:43 equity/debt)

▪CIP equity securities

•unique class of security with no right to vote at shareholder meetings, but

entitle the holder to a right to repayment preference on liquidation

•an increasing portion of the securities will attract dividend payments from 30

June 2025 onwards

•the dividend rate is based on 180 day NZ bank bill rate, plus 6% p.a. margin

•may be redeemed at any time by cash payment of total issue price or the

issue of Chorus shares (at a 5% discount to the 20-day VWAP for Chorus

shares)

▪CIP debt securities

•unsecured, non-interest bearing and carry no voting rights at shareholder

meetings

•Chorus is required to redeem the securities in tranches from 30 June 2025 to

2036 by repaying the issue price to the holder

New start: transition to a
regulated utility

Kate McKenzie, Chief Executive Officer

25 February 2019

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019
H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

24

Implementation of new fibreframework

UFB1 rollout contract ends Dec 2019

Chorus can charge up tothe product price caps

agreed with Crown Infrastructure Partners. Price caps

‘frozen’ until 2022, with annual CPI adjustment in July

•voice only: $25

•30/10Mbps: $42.50

•100/20Mbps: $46

•200/20Mbps: $55

•1Gbps: $65

•Direct FibreAccess Service: $355

Unbundled fibre(commercial price) to be available in

UFB1 areas from January 2020.

Transition period:

1 December 2019 to January 2022

Start of first regulatory period under new RAB

framework

Price caps and CPI adjustments continue for voice

service, broadband service (product to be

confirmed) and Direct FibreAccess Service

Price caps are removed from other products

Unbundled fibreto be available in UFB2/2+ areas

from January 2026

First regulatory period:

1 January 2022 to January 2025

Input methodologies: emerging views paper due in May; draft decision in November

>Commerce Commission granted deferral until 1 January 2022

25 February 2019
H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25

Key implementation parameters

ParametersChorus view

Asset valuationRABto include all assets supporting fibreaccess services, including fibrein LFC areas.

Valuation method defined by Act as actual cost incurred for post 2011 assets; book value

for pre-existing. The Commission has acknowledged real financial capital maintenance as

key principle underpinning the building block model.

DepreciationAct requires straight line depreciation for initial RAB valuation.

Allocation of shared

costs between fibre

access and other

services

No method prescribed in Act. The Commission will need to determine allocation for initial

RAB valuation and then principles for cost allocation after the implementation date.

Precedent is accounting based cost allocation, but more complexity for telco networks

given high degree of asset sharing and rapidly growing fibreuptake.

Unrecovered lossesAct prescribes adding an asset to RAB to enable recovery of financial losses on

investment prior to implementation. The Commission has proposed using a building block

methodology.

Crown financingAct requires actual cost of Crown financing to be considered in valuing the financial

losses asset, but no method prescribed. Commission should recogniseCIP financing was

not costless given contractual terms and financing structure.

WACCWACCto be set for loss calculation period andfor post implementation period. Nature of

Chorus/fibrebusiness and international comparators support WACC uplift.

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION
26

Copper deregulated in fibre areas from January 2020

Fibre uptake is above 71% in 10 exchange areas

Exchangearea

(>1,000

connections)

RegionFibre penetration:

% of total Chorus

connections

Fibre penetration:

% of Chorus

broadband

connections

WhitbyWellington82%83%

CorstorphineDunedin74%78%

LynmoreRotorua73%78%

NgongotahaRotorua73%77%

Halfway BushDunedin73%79%

North East ValleyDunedin72%76%

Kelvin GrovePalmerston North71%79%

Browns BayAuckland71%76%

BelmontWellington71%74%

GlenitiTimaru71%77%

25 February 2019

▪within our UFB1 areas, there

are ~350 nodes (approx. 200

customers) with fewer than

10 copper connections

remaining

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION
27

Innovation

Fibre to the desktop (Passive Optical LAN)

concept trials in two schools and two new office

premises (UCG, Network for Learning)

data centre sites on track for Q3 completion

end-to-end management interface selected

Network capability

Network edge computing

trialling 10 Gigabit PON and wireless PON

wi-ficapable ONT now being deployed

25 February 2019

Passive fibre infrastructure for ~400 desks, removing

need for legacy IT rackspaceand related investment.

28
Stream big

Shift to online delivery steps up

new Freeview smartvudevice streams

channels without need for TV aerial or

satellite dish

Vodafone leveraging Sky Sport via

their Vodafone TV platform

Spark launching sports streaming

service

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019

>Traffic at peak time has almost doubled since 2017
29

Data demand isn’t slowing

>Monthly average data usage per connection on our

network grew to 235GBfrom 210GB (June 2018)

▪315GBon fibre (June:297GB)

▪174GBon copper (June:160GB)

25 February 2019

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

Network throughput (

Gbps

)

Time of day

30
1,000 Gigabytes per month by 2023...

Video content and 4K, 8K to drive usage

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019

Application requirements in Mbps

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

June 2019June 2020June 2021June 2022June 2023June 2024

Chorus forecast: average monthly

broadband usage (GB)

CopperFibre

GB

Source: Cisco VNI, Forecast and Trends, 2017-2022

25 February 2019
Our focus for H2

connecting more customers to fibre, while continuing to lift satisfaction levels

growing broadband connections and enhancing our product portfolio

continuing to shape our business for a fibre future

31

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

To achieve our objective to return to modest EBITDA

growth in FY20, subject to no material changes in

expected regulatory environment or competitive

outlook

Appendices
25 February 2019

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

0
200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000

1600000

30-Jun-1730-Sep-1731-Dec-1731-Mar-1830-Jun-1830-Sep-1831-Dec-18

Data services (copper)Fibre premium (P2P)

Fibre broadband (GPON)VDSL

Copper ADSLUnbundled copper (no broadband)

Baseband copper (no broadband)

25 February 2019

31 Dec

2017

31 March

2018

30 June

2018

30 Sept

2018

31 Dec

2018

Unbundled

copper

68,00062,00053,00045,00039,000

Baseband

copper

(no broadband)

290,000279,000268,000255,000244,000

Fibre broadband

(GPON)

362,000394,000433,000479,000517,000

VDSL

(includes naked)

320,000325,000321,000309,000295,000

Copper ADSL

(includes naked)

499,000465,000433,000402,000374,000

Data services

(copper)

7,0006,0006,0005,0005,000

Fibre premium

(P2P)

13,00012,00012,00012,00012,000

Total connections

1,559,0001,543,0001,526,0001,507,0001,486,000

Fibre (GPON)

VDSL

Copper ADSL

Unbundled copper

Baseband copper

Appendix A: Connection trends

33

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

25 February 2019
-

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

Broadband uptake by retailer (all technology)

SparkVodafoneVocus2degreesTrustpowerROM

Source: IDCSource: IDC

-

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

NZ broadband market –by technology

Chorus xDSLChorus mass market fibreChorus premium fibre

Local fibre companies (UFB)Other fibre networksOther xDSL

Vodafone cableFixed (mobile) wirelessLegacy fixed wireless, satellite

34

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

Appendix B: NZ market trends

~120,000 brownfields premises across UFB1 and UFB2
expect to claim another ~18k UFB1 greenfieldspremises already passed in prior years

25 February 2019

Appendix C: UFB programme overview

FY19 is peak communal build year

Programme guidanceNotes

UFB1 communal$1.75 -$1.8 billion

Tracking towards the top end of guidance

and excludes growth (e.g.additional splitter

investment)

UFB1 cost to

connect (CPPC)

$1,050 -$1,250

Fora standard residential connection,

including layer 2 and service desk costs,

and in 2011 dollars. Tracking towards the

top half of the range.

UFB2* communal$505 -$565 million

Combined guidance range for UFB2 and 2+

UFB2* cost to

connect

$1,650 -$1,850

In2017 dollars and including layer 2,

backbone costs for MDUs and rights of way

with 10 or fewer premises and service desk

costs

* combined UFB2 and 2+ rollout plans

35

H1 FY19 RESULT PRESENTATION

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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