Independent Investment Valuations & FY19 Earnings Guidance
Infratil Limited 5 Market Lane, PO Box 320, Wellington, New Zealand Tel +64-4-473 3663 www.infratil.com
8 April 2019
Independent Investment Valuations and FY19 Earnings Guidance Update
In conjunction with the preparation of the financial statements for the financial year ended 31 March 2019
Infratil has commissioned independent valuations for several investments held within the International
Portfolio. The valuations are required for the 31 March 2019 financial statements to determine year-end
accruals for performance fees payable to Infratil’s external manager, Morrison & Co Infrastructure
Management Limited (“Morrison & Co”).
Infratil advises that it has received draft 31 March 2019 independent valuations for its investments in
Canberra Data Centres (“CDC”), Longroad Energy Holdings (“Longroad”) and Tilt Renewables (“Tilt”). The
independent valuations indicate significant shareholder gains with the following valuation ranges for those
investments (as compared to Infratil’s carrying value as at 30 September 2018):
Portfolio Entity
Draft Valuation Range
as at 31 March 2019
NZ$ millions
Carrying Value
as at 30 September 2018
NZ$ millions
Canberra Data Centres 841 – 942 487.8
Longroad Energy 128 84.5
Tilt Renewables
i
650 – 785 427.8
The valuations are the first independent valuations that Infratil has commissioned for those entities since
acquisition of CDC or establishment of Tilt and Longroad in 2016, and reflect the following material
developments within those investments:
• Since Infratil’s acquisition in September 2016, CDC’s run rate EBITDAF has increased from A$50
million per annum to A$90 million per annum as at 31 March 2019. CDC is currently forecasting run
rate EBITDAF of A$135 million as at 31 March 2020 (which is substantially contracted). This growth
reflects the significant investment in additional data centre facilities in Canberra and the acquisition of
an existing data centre in Sydney which has enabled extensive expansion opportunities. The
investment in new data centre facilities has been coupled with the successful execution of new
customer contracts for data centre facilities in Canberra and Sydney.
• Since the establishment of Longroad in October 2016, Longroad has executed two significant
development projects. Project Phoebe, a 250MW solar generation project in Winkler County, Texas,
which was sold to Canadian investor Innergex Renewable Energy and Project Rio Bravo, a 238MW
wind farm project in Starr County, Texas, which was sold to Sammons Renewable Energy. As at
31 March 2019, Longroad has 4 advanced development projects totalling 800MW and a pipeline of
longer-term development projects in multiple markets in the United States. Longroad also holds
685MW of operating assets and wind turbine inventory which are reflected in the 31 March 2019
valuation.
• The movement in the Tilt valuation since September primarily reflects Infratil’s increased stake in Tilt
following the takeover offer ($49.8 million) and Infratil’s contribution to Tilt’s recent equity raise ($178.9
million) and implies a mid-point valuation of NZ$2.34 per Tilt share.
Infratil Limited 5 Market Lane, PO Box 320, Wellington, New Zealand Tel +64-4-473 3663 www.infratil.com
Increase in estimated Performance Fees payable to Morrison & Co.
The International Fund Management Agreement (between Infratil and Morrison & Co) requires Infratil’s
International Investments to be independently valued at 31 March 2019. The Agreement allows for
incentives to be payable for performance in excess of a minimum hurdle of 12% per annum in three
separate areas:
• An Initial Incentive Fee at the end of the third financial year in which Infratil holds an eligible
investment. Infratil’s investments in CDC, Longroad, Tilt and the ANU Purpose Built Student
Accommodation Concession (“ANU PBSA”) are required to be assessed as a single group to
determine whether an Initial Incentive Fee is payable at 31 March 2019. The ANU sale was
conditional at 31 March 2019 and is expected to settle prior to 30 April 2019 (as announced on 1
April 2019).
• A Realised Incentive Fee for non-New Zealand portfolio investments assets sold during a period
compared to benchmark hurdles. No International investments were realised during the period.
• An Annual Incentive Fee for the balance of International portfolio assets assessed as a group
compared to benchmark hurdles. At this stage no Annual Incentive Fee is expected to be payable in
the year ended 31 March 2019.
As at 30 September 2018, Infratil had accrued an Initial Incentive Fee of NZ$29.4 million. Based on the
above valuation ranges for CDC, Longroad and Tilt, together with the conditional sale of Infratil’s
investment in ANU PBSA, Infratil now estimates that the Initial Incentive Fee payable as at 31 March 2019
will be between NZ$95 million and NZ$105 million.
Infratil’s Chairman Mark Tume said that “the independent valuation increases underline the material
shareholder value created through Infratil’s investment strategies in recent years. The Board also notes
that the excess returns for these assets above the International Fund Management Agreement hurdle of
12% per annum is a very positive outcome in light of the current low interest rate environment”.
Infratil advises that further information will be provided at the Infratil Investor Day on 10 April 2019. The
Initial Incentive Fee will be finalised as part of the 31 March 2019 year-end process, which will be reported
on 17 May 2019.
FY19 Earnings Guidance Update
Infratil advises its Underlying EBITDAF
ii
guidance for the year to 31 March 2019 is now revised from
NZ$580 to NZ$620 million to NZ$535 to NZ$545 million. The revision to the FY19 guidance arises from the
following:
• A net increase in the estimated contribution from CDC, primarily resulting from the receipt of CDC’s
draft 31 March 2019 investment property revaluations (+NZ$60 million).
• The conditional sale of Infratil’s interest in the ANU PBSA for $A162 million (NZ$169 million), as
compared to a carrying value as at 30 September of NZ$107.7 million, resulting in an increase in the
estimated Initial Incentive Fee payable to Morrison & Co (-NZ$12.6 million).
• Increase in the estimated Initial Incentive Fee payable to Morrison and Co, primarily as a result of the
31 March 2019 valuations of CDC and Longroad (-NZ$59 million).
• As previously announced on 14 December 2018, the forecast Longroad Rio Bravo development gain
which was originally forecast in FY19 is now expected to be recorded in FY20 (-NZ$16.3 million).
• Additional Longroad operating costs and Infratil’s first-time recognition of its estimated US tax expense
(-NZ$20 million).
Infratil Limited 5 Market Lane, PO Box 320, Wellington, New Zealand Tel +64-4-473 3663 www.infratil.com
• Movements in forecast contributions from other portfolio entities (-NZ$10 million).
No change to FY19 Dividend Guidance
Infratil advises there is no change to its dividend guidance for FY19, although the final dividend for FY19
will be finalised as part of the 31 March 2019 year-end process, which will be reported on 17 May 2019.
Any enquiries should be directed to:
Mark Flesher, Investor Relations, Infratil Limited mark.flesher@infratil.com
i
The Tilt carrying value at 30 September 2018 reflects the market price for Infratil’s shareholding of 182.8 million Tilt ordinary shares
as at that date. As at 31 March 2019, Infratil holds 306.7 million Tilt ordinary shares.
ii
Underlying EBITDAF is a non-GAAP measure of financial performance, presented to show management’s view of the underlying
business performance. Underlying EBITDAF for Infratil’s subsidiaries represents consolidated net earnings before interest, tax,
depreciation, amortisation, financial derivative movements, revaluations, and non-operating gains or losses on the sales of
investments. Underlying EBITDAF for Infratil’s associates (Canberra Data Centres, Longroad Energy, and ANU Student
Accommodation) includes Infratil’s share of its associates’ net profit after tax, other than for RetireAustralia where underlying profit is
used when presenting the Group’s Underlying EBITDAF. Underlying profit is a common performance measure used by retirement
companies and removes the impact of unrealised fair value movements on investment properties, impairment of property, plant and
equipment, one-off gains and deferred taxation, and includes realised resale gains and realised development margins.
Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time
Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.
- KFL — Kingfish Limited: KFL – May 2019 monthly update2019-05-13
“1 Monthly Update May 2019 A word from the Manager Market Environment New Zealand equities as measured by the S&P/NZX50G index were up +1.7% in April, with the flagship index breaking through the 10,000 point milestone, albeit lagging most major global equity market indices. A…”