Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Global Dairy Update April 2019

Operational Update3 May 2019FCGConsumer Staples

• Fonterra to recognise high performing farms as part of new
approach to sustainability.

1

GLOBAL DAIRY

UPDATE

APRIL 2019

• Significant monthly production declines

in New Zealand and Australia. Monthly

production eased in the US and holding at

current levels in EU.

• Exports from Australia, New Zealand and the

EU continue to grow. US exports continue

to ease.

• Imports into Asia and China show strong

growth. Latin America and Middle East &

Africa down.

• Fonterra’s milk collections in March were

130 million kgMS, 9% down on last year.

• Fonterra is a finalist in the prestigious Corporate Register

Reporting Awards 2019 for its Sustainability Report.

• Pitching in to protect mudfish.

KEY DATES

Late May 2019

Q3 Business Update

1 June 2019

Measurement Date for Share Standard

2019/20 Season

September 2019

FY19 Annual Results Announcement

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

%

%

%%

%%%

Production change for

March 2019 compared

to March 2018

Production change for

March 2019 compared

to March 2018

Production change for

February 2019 compared

to February 2018

Production change for

February 2019 compared

to February 2018

Production change

for the 12 months to

March 2019

Production change

for the 12 months to

March 2019

Production change

for the 12 months to

February 2019

Production change

for the 12 months to

February 2019

0138

401

0

3

2

OUR MARKETS

GLOBAL PRODUCTION

SIGNIFICANT MONTHLY

PRODUCTION DECLINES

IN NEW ZEALAND AND

AUSTRALIA. MONTHLY

PRODUCTION EASED IN

THE US AND HOLDING AT

CURRENT LEVELS IN EU

New Zealand milk

production was down 8%

in March compared to the

same period last year.

New Zealand recorded its

second warmest March

on record. Dry conditions

continued across most of

the North Island and parts

of the South Island. Soil

moisture was below normal

for most of the North Island

and a large part of the

South Island.

New Zealand milk

production for the 12 months

to March was 3% higher than

last year, which was a weak

production year.

Fonterra collections are

reported for March, see page

5 for details.

Australia milk production

decreased 13% in February

compared to the same

period last year.

Production for the 12 months

to February is down 4% on

the previous 12 months.

Continued drought

conditions and high input

costs continue to put

pressure on Australian

milk production as a result

of reduced supplemental

feeding, increased cow

cull rates and farm exits.

Dairy Australia continue to

forecast a milk production

decline of between 7% and

9% for the season.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported for

March, see page 5 for details.

EU milk production

in February remained

unchanged from the same

period last year.

Eighteen of the 28 member

countries saw positive

year-on-year growth

including Romania, Estonia

and Poland, at 7%, 5%

and 4% respectively. The

UK, Bulgaria, and Ireland

increased 3% compared to

the same period last year.

Key exporting countries

where production declined

were Austria, France and The

Netherlands, at 6%, 3% and

2% respectively.

Production for the 12 months

to February was up less than

1% compared to the same

period last year.

US milk production

decreased 0.4% in March,

compared to the same

period last year. This is the

first year-on-year decline

since March 2013.

Tight margins, high cow

cull rates, record farm

closures and weather issues

combined to push US

production into negative

territory for the month.

Milk production for the 12

months to March was just

under 1% higher compared

to the same period last year.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%

%
To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

%%

3

OUR MARKETS

GLOBAL EXPORTS

EXPORTS FROM AUSTRALIA,

NEW ZEALAND AND THE EU

CONTINUE TO GROW. USA

EXPORTS CONTINUE TO EASE

Total New Zealand dairy

exports increased by 27%,

or 71,000 MT, in February

compared to the same

period last year. This was

primarily driven by WMP

and butter, up 39,000  MT.

Other than a slight decline

in WPC and caseinate, all

other products were up for

the month.

Exports for the 12 months

to February were up 4%, or

131,000 MT, on the previous

comparable period. This was

primarily driven by AMF, fluid

milk products, and WMP, up

a combined 135,000  MT.

EU dairy exports increased

by 12%, or 53,000 MT, in

January compared to the

same period last year. This

was primarily driven by SMP,

and fluid milk products up a

combined 47,000 MT. This

was offset by declines in

whey powder and WMP, of a

combined 7,000  MT.

Exports for the 12 months

to January were up 1%, or

65,000 MT, on the previous

comparable period. SMP,

lactose and infant formula

were up a combined

149,000 MT. This was offset

by a 110,000 MT decline in

fluid milk products and WMP.

US dairy exports declined

12%, or 23,000 MT, in

February compared to the

same period last year. This

was primarily driven by SMP,

whey powder, lactose and

WPC, down a combined

31,000 MT. This was offset by

increases in cheese and fluid

milk products of 7,000  MT.

Exports for the 12 months

to February 2019 were up

6%, or 127,000 MT, on the

previous comparable period.

Most products remain

ahead of the previous

comparable period. SMP and

WMP were up a combined

103,000 MT. This was offset

by a decline in whey powder

of 38,000 MT. Most of the

decline is due to lower

exports to China.

Australia dairy exports

increased 7%, or 4,000  MT,

in February compared to

the same period last year.

This growth was due to fluid

milk products and infant

formula up a combined

7,000 MT. This was offset by

a decline in WMP and SMP

of 4,000  MT.

Exports for the 12 months

to February were up 7%, or

53,000 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

Infant formula, fluid milk

products, and whey powder

make up most of the growth

in Australian exports, up a

combined 46,000  MT.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

671

4

Export change for the 12

months to February 2019

Export change for the 12

months to February 2019

Export change for the 12

months to February 2019

Export change for the 12

months to January 2019

%

%%%
%

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

GLOBAL IMPORTS

IMPORTS INTO ASIA AND

CHINA SHOW STRONG

GROWTH. LATIN AMERICA

AND MIDDLE EAST &

AFRICA  DOWN

Latin America dairy import

volumes¹ decreased 27%,

or 44,000 MT, in January

compared to the same

period last year. WMP was

up 9,000 MT. Almost all

other products were down,

principally SMP, cheese,

whey powder and lactose

with an aggregate decline of

43,000  MT.

Imports for the 12 months to

January 2019 were up 2%, or

40,000 MT, compared to the

same period the previous year.

SMP, fluid milk products, WMP,

infant formula and MPC were

up a combined 64,000 MT

offset by declines in cheese,

AMF, whey powder and other

powders of 21,000  MT.

Asia (excluding China) dairy

import volumes¹ increased

5%, or 21,000 MT, in January

compared to the same period

last year. SMP, WMP and fluid

milk products were up but

offset by declines in whey

powder, ice cream and cheese.

Imports for the 12 months

to January were up 6%, or

270,000 MT, compared to

the same period the previous

year. This growth continues

to be driven by fluid products,

WMP, SMP, lactose, cultured

products and infant formula

up a combined 253,000  MT.

The import market remains in

a solid growth phase.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes¹

decreased 7% or 24,000 MT

in January 2019 compared

to the same period last

year. Small growth in infant

formula, fluid milk products,

cultured products and AMF

was offset by declines in most

other product, principally

cheese, SMP butter, and other

powders down a combined

27,000  MT.

Imports for the 12 months to

January 2019 were down 6%,

or 260,000 MT, compared to

the same period the previous

year. The reduction was driven

by fluid and fresh dairy and

cheese, down a combined

225,000  MT.

China dairy import volumes

increased 11%, or 20,000  MT,

in February compared to the

same period last year. This

was driven by increases across

a broad range of products,

particularly fluid milk products,

SMP, WMP and lactose up

a combined 26,000 MT but

offset by whey powder which

was down 7,000  MT.

Imports for the 12 months

to February were up 7%, or

204,000 MT, compared to

the same period last year.

Strong demand out of China

continued with imports across

all key categories, in particular,

WMP, SMP and infant formula

and lactose, which are up a

combined 176,000  MT.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

Import change for 12

months to February 2019

Import change for 12

months to January 2019

Import change for 12

months to January 2019

Import change for 12

months to January 2019

67

6

2

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

To view a table that shows our
detailed milk collection in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%

%%%

%%%

Season to date

1 July to 31 March

Season to date

1 June to 31 March

Season to date

1 June to 31 March

Season to date

1 June to 31 March

Decrease for March 2019

compared to March 2018

Decrease for March 2019

compared to March 2018

Decrease for March 2019

compared to March 2018

Decrease for March 2019

compared to March 2018

273149

18322

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY

















5

OUR MARKETS

FONTERRA MILK COLLECTION 2018/19 SEASON

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

NEW ZEALAND MILK COLLECTION

Fonterra’s collection across

Australia for the nine

months to 31 March reached

99 million kgMS, down

18% on the same period

last season.

Fonterra collections in March

were 8 million kgMS, down

27% on March last season.

Fonterra’s share of monthly

collections continues to

reduce due to adverse

on-farm and weather

conditions, increased cow

cull rates, farm exits in key

regions, cost of inputs and

milk collection losses in a

highly competitive market.

North Island collection

in March was 68 million

kgMS, down 14% on March

last season.

Continuing warm and dry

conditions for most of the

month across many North

Island regions adversely

impacted production. Rainfall

late in March improved

conditions, but nearing the

end of the season this may

have only a limited impact

on milk production.

Collection for the season

to date reached 806 million

kgMS, up 2% on the same

period last season.

South Island collection

in March was 62 million

kgMS, down 3% on March

last season.

Central South Island

production remained strong

in March. The lower South

Island was affected by warm

and dry conditions through

most of March, adversely

impacting milk production.

Collection for the season

to date reached 540 million

kgMS, up 3% on the same

period last season.

Fonterra's New Zealand

milk collection in March was

130 million kgMS, down 9%

on March last season.

Above-average temperatures

and insufficient rainfall

across many regions

continued to adversely affect

milk production in March.

Collection for the season to

date reached 1,345 million

kgMS, up 2%, due largely to

favourable spring conditions

which are now being offset

with significant decreases in

February and March.

Full season forecast remains

at 1,510 million kgMS.

%
%

%

%

%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

MAR JAN

JUN

AUG

OCT

JAN MAR JUN AUG OCT MAR




,

, 

,

.

.

. 

. 

. 

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

FONTERRA GLOBAL DAIRY TRADE RESULTS

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity prices

and New Zealand

dollar trend

The New Zealand dollar

adjusted lower in March

following the Reserve

Bank's shift closer to easing

monetary policy settings.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

16 April 2019:

The next trading event will be held on 7 May 2019. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

1.4

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

3,507

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

15.6

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 6,460/MT

3.6

RENNET CASEIN

USD 5,544/MT

3.2

BUTTER

USD 3,269/MT

0.5

WMP

USD 4,319/MT

1.7

CHEDDAR

USD 2,482/MT

0.5

SMP

USD 6,126/MT

4.4

AMF

15,567

MT

LATEST AUCTION

556,430

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
OUR PERFORMANCE

The Co-operative

Difference

In line with key themes

emerging from its new

strategy, Fonterra has

announced details of its new

approach to sustainability

on farm. The Co-operative

Difference will make it easier

for farmers to know what is

expected today and in the

future, as well as recognise

those farmers who are

taking steps to produce

high quality milk in a more

sustainable way.

The farmer-owned Co-

operative signalled its

new strategy will put

sustainability at the heart of

everything it does, empower

the Co-op to maximise

its New Zealand heritage

and uniqueness, and help

it to remain a globally

competitive New Zealand

co-operative.

Co-operative Affairs

Managing Director Mike

Cronin says, “Sustainability

for our Co-op is about more

than the environment. It’s

about looking after our

people, caring for animals,

adapting to changing

customer and consumer

expectations, and respecting

the communities and land

where we live and work.

“We are proud of the global

reputation Fonterra farmers

have for producing high

quality milk. Farmers have

made tremendous progress

on farm to date and The

Co-operative Difference will

help us take that good work

to the next level so we can

continue to create goodness

for generations to come.”

The Co-operative Difference

will support the Co-op’s

emerging strategy

direction by:

• recognising farmers who

go beyond the minimum

requirements to supply

high-quality milk, care for

their animals, protect the

environment, support their

people and community,

and engage in their

Co-operative;

• helping other farmers

follow suit by making

existing on-farm

requirements easier

to understand and by

providing tailored, industry-

leading support services to

those who want to improve;

• providing more information

and advance notice to

farmers about our future

aspirations so they can plan

and progress towards our

shared ambitions;

• streamlining reporting and

auditing to save farmers’

time and energy, and

help the Co-op protect its

market position, strengthen

its sustainability claims, and

drive demand for products

that customers and

consumers value most; and,

• supporting farms wanting

to improve, while taking a

firmer line with those that

persistently fail to meet

minimum standards, and

exercising our rights to

suspend collection.

“Consumers and customers

increasingly want to know

that their food choices

support a sustainable

future. How we farm and

make our products needs

to reflect these aspirations

so we can remain a globally

competitive New Zealand

co-operative.

Our Co-operative’s strong

dairy heritage and pasture-

based system separates

us from the pack but we

must continue to earn our

customers’ and consumers’

trust and loyalty. The Co-

operative Difference will

help us share the good work

happening on farm through

our Trusted Goodness™

commitment,” says

Mr Cronin.

The Co-operative

Difference was developed

in consultation with farmers

who wanted their Co-op

to simplify and reduce

complexity of requirements,

provide direction on priority

on-farm improvements,

and increase pride in the

Co-op by recognising high

performing farms in a

way that aligns with the

Co-op’s values.

OUR CO-OP
8

GLOBAL

RECOGNITION

FOR FONTERRA

SUSTAINABILITY

REPORT

PITCHING IN

TO PROTECT

MUDFISH

Fonterra is a finalist in the

prestigious Corporate Register

Reporting Awards 2019,

which recognise the very

best in corporate reporting

worldwide.

As the only New Zealand

company represented this

year, the co-operative’s

Sustainability Report 2017

has been shortlisted in

the top 10 for the ‘Best

Report’ and ‘Openness and

Honesty’ categories.

Fonterra’s Director of

Sustainability Carolyn

Mortland says the team

is delighted.

“Entering awards like this helps

us to see where we’re at and

where we can get better in

terms of sharing our social and

environmental commitments.

To be named a finalist

reassures us that we’re on the

right track, and all the credit

goes to the team who worked

on the report,” says Mortland.

“We recognise the importance

of being open with all

stakeholders about our

commitments and the

progress we’re making to help

build a better future for our

communities. Our annual

Sustainability Report, which is

independently assured, is one

of the ways we do that.”

Launched in 2007 to identify

and acknowledge excellence

in corporate responsibility

reporting, the CR Reporting

Awards are the only

independent, global annual

awards in this field.

The awards are organised by

CorporateRegister.com.

The more than 50,000

reporting stakeholders who

are registered users of the

website are entitled to vote

for the best awards across the

eight categories. Online voting

is open from mid-March,

with the winners due to be

announced in May 2019.

The Best Report category

looks at five essential elements

– content, communication,

credibility, commitment, and

comparability – while the

Openness and Honesty award

is for the report that gives a

balanced picture, telling both

the good and bad news.

Further information about

the Co-operative’s progress

is available at www.fonterra.

com/sustainability.

They may be tiny, slimy and

reclusive, but the Canterbury

mudfish are well worth

protecting.

Ko ̄waro, as they’re named in

te reo Ma ̄ori, are a treasured

species for local iwi Nga ̄i

Tahu and having more of

them around helps protect

other freshwater natives

such as ko ̄ura (crayfish) and

ka ̄kahi (mussels).

Unfortunately, they’re also rare

and endangered.

Fonterra is pitching in to

help save the mudfish by

supporting Environment

Canterbury and other

groups with a landmark

project at Haldon Pasture

Springs, located between

the Waikirikiri/Selwyn River

and the Hororata River. It’s

part of the co-operative’s

50 catchments initiative,

which involves working

collaboratively with local

stakeholders to help restore

50 freshwater catchments

across New Zealand.

“As we increase our

involvement with communities

around the country to improve

the health of our waterways, it

was really important for us to

support the efforts to protect

the Canterbury Mudfish,”

says Charles Fergusson,

Fonterra’s Head of Farm

Source for Canterbury, Tasman

and Marlborough.

Fonterra is providing funding

to Environment Canterbury

to help them implement

innovative technology in what

is the first project of its kind in

the Southern Hemisphere. The

installation of an electric trout

barrier will allow mudfish to

expand into the lower reaches

of the site and stop the

predation by trout, helping to

create a safe nursery for future

projects and replenishing

drought-affected areas.

It will lead to a 10-fold increase

in spring-fed stream habitat

for the threatened mudfish –

going from 880m2 to 8,000m2

– in the Waikirikiri/Selwyn

River catchment.

Environment Canterbury

believe the technology

could revolutionise native

fish conservation at sites

threatened by trout across

the region.

“We are delighted to be

partnering with Fonterra on

this exciting and ground-

breaking conservation project,”

says Johannes Welsch,

Environment Canterbury’s

Selwyn Waihora Zone

Delivery Lead.

“Working collaboratively in

this way is a perfect example

of how, by joining forces, we

can make biodiversity and

species protection not just a

priority, but a practical reality.”

The project is expected to be

complete early May 2019, one

year after its launch.

Fonterra’s overall work to

improve water quality in

New Zealand is centred

around six commitments,

which continue to drive action

across the country. Ongoing

guidance is provided by the

co-operative’s independent

Sustainability Advisory Panel,

chaired by Sir Rob Fenwick.

Sustainability

Report

FOR THE YEAR ENDING 31 JULY 2017

FONTERRA CO-OPERATIVE GROUP LIMITED

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL JUN MAY FEB JAN MAR SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES













EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR JAN FEB DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

JUL JUN APR MAR DEC JAN FEB SEP NOV OCT MAY AUG 

MT s

















AVERAGE

9


SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU and Australia to February; New Zealand and US to March.

NOTE: Data for EU to January; New Zealand, Australia and US to February.

NOTE: Data for Latin America, Asia, Middle East & Africa to January; China to February.

SOURCE: Government milk production statistics/GTIS trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

NOV DEC JAN

JUL AUG MAY SEP FEB

OCT JUN 

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

, 

,

,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT 

QUANTITY SOLD  MT 

10


SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

MARCH

2019

MARCH


2018

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2018/19

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2017/18

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

129.6142.6(9.2%)1,345.21,313.82.4%

North Island67.979.1(14.1%)805.5791.91.7%

South Island61.663.5(3.0%)539.7521.93.4%

Fonterra Australia8.311. 3(26.5%)99.1120.5(17.8%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(16 APRIL 2019)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2018)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

15,567556,430

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

(14.2%)15.3%

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

3,5073,045

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

(5.2%)(8.7%)

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

(1.4%)–

Fonterra GDT Results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

11
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

LME (Liquid Milk

Equivalent)

A standard measure of the

amount of milk (in litres)

allocated to each product

based on the amount of fat

and protein (“milk solids”) in

the product relative to the

amount of fat and protein in

a standardised raw milk.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products, except

for Reference Products,

produced by the NZ

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.


GLOSSARY

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update April 2019
    2019-05-03

    • Fonterra to recognise high performing farms as part of new approach to sustainability. 1 GLOBAL DAIRY UPDATE APRIL 2019 • Significant monthly production declines in New Zealand and Australia. Monthly production eased in the US and holding at current levels in EU. • E…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update May 2019
    2019-05-30

    • Fonterra and The Coca‑Cola Company (Coca‑Cola) have entered into a strategic alliance that aims to capture opportunities in the growing dairy beverage category in southeast Asia. • FY19 nine‑month business update. 1 GLOBAL DAIRY UPDATE MAY 2019 • Significant monthly pr…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update February 2019
    2019-02-27

    • Anchor Chef’s Cream has been chosen by the world’s largest foodservice distributor, Sysco, as one of their top ten innovative products for 2019 – the first time a New Zealand product has ever been chosen. • Fonterra is signing up farms to supply milk for The a2 Milk Compa…”