Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Global Dairy Update February 2020

Operational Update28 February 2020FCGConsumer Staples

• Fonterra completes the sale of DFE Pharma.
1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• Monthly production in New Zealand down.

EU and US in line with expectations.

• Monthly exports from the US show strong

growth. New Zealand, Australia and EU

monthly exports decline.

• December imports into China continued to

grow. Latin America, Asia and Middle East &

Africa monthly imports down in November.

• Fonterra’s Te Awamutu site moves to pellet.

Key Dates

29 February 2020

Final Date for Applications to

Supply Fonterra

18 March 2020

FY20 Interim Results

Announcement

20 April 2020

Share Standard Compliance

2019/20 Season

May 2020

FY20 Q3 Business Update

FEBRUARY 2020

• Fonterra’s milk collection across New Zealand

for the eight months to 31 January reached

1,079 million kgMS, down 0.3% on last

season. Australian milk collection for the

season to 31 January decreased 16.0% to

69.7 million kgMS.

• Fonterra has updated its forecast milk collection

for the full season to 1,515 million kgMS.

%
%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

Change for December 2019

compared to December 2018

Change for December 2019

compared to December 2018

Change for the 12 months

to January2020

Change for the 12 months

to January 2020

Change for the 12 months

to December 2019

Change for the 12 months

to December 2019

0.90.00.7

6.30.40.4

1.1

1.6

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

Monthly production in

New Zealand down.

EU and US in line with

expectations

New Zealand milk

production¹ was down 0.7%

on a litre basis in January (up

1.1% on a milk solids basis)

compared to the same period

in the prior year.

A combination of dry

conditions across the

North Island and heavy rain

at the bottom of the South

Island adversely affected milk

production in January.

New Zealand milk production

for the 12 months to January

was 1.6% lower than last year.

Fonterra collections are

reported for January, see page

5 for details.

Australia milk

production was stable in

December compared to the

same period in the prior year.

Production for the 12 months

to December was down 6.3%

on the previous 12 months.

Dairy Australia has

reaffirmed its full season

production forecast to

decline by 3% to 5%.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported

for January, see page 5

for details.

EU milk production

increased by 1.1% in

December compared to the

same period last year.

Production growth can

be seen from key milk

producing countries such as

Germany (1.1%), France (1.1%)

the Netherlands (2.8%) and

Poland (1.8%).

EU milk production for the

12 months to December was

up by 0.4% compared to the

same period last year.

US milk production²

increased by 0.9% in January,

compared to the same

period last year.

January milk production

continued to grow, driven

by a large increase in herd

sizes and greater milk yield

per cow.

Milk production for the 12

months to January was 0.4%

higher compared to the

same period last year.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 New Zealand production is measured in litres.

2 US milk production is reviewed by USDA at the end of each month/quarter and annually in February and therefore is subject to change..

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

Monthly exports from the

US show strong growth.

New Zealand, Australia and

EU monthly exports decline

Total New Zealand

dairy exports decreased

by 1.9%, or 8,235 MT, in

December compared to

the same period last year.

This was primarily driven

by WMP, SMP and infant

formula, down a combined

14,314 MT, and partly offset

by an increase in butter, up

10,590  MT.

Exports for the 12 months to

December were up 8.3%, or

271,761 MT, on the previous

comparable period. This was

primarily driven by WMP,

fluid milk products, infant

formula and SMP, up a

combined 256,551  MT.

EU dairy exports

decreased 2.5%, or 11,345  MT,

in November compared to

the same period last year.

This was mainly driven

by decreases in fluid milk

products and SMP, down

a combined 17,687 MT and

partially offset by an increase

in butter exports of 7,661  MT.

Exports for the 12 months to

November were up 7.7%, or

410,147 MT, on the previous

comparable period. SMP,

fluid milk products, butter,

cheese and lactose were the

main drivers of this growth,

up a combined 425,887  MT.

US dairy exports

increased 16.8%, or

28,404 MT, in December

compared to the same

period last year, marking the

third consecutive month of

export growth. The increase

was driven primarily by SMP,

up 18,880 MT in addition

to WPC and WMP, up a

combined 9,991 MT. The

decline in whey exports of

prior months has stabilised.

Exports for the 12 months to

December 2019 were down

5.1%, or 123,882 MT, on the

previous comparable period.

The decrease was driven

by whey, WPC, lactose and

AMF, down a combined

126,474  MT.

Australia dairy exports

decreased 9.5%, or 6,873  MT,

in December compared to

the same period last year.

This was primarily driven

by SMP, infant formula and

cheese, down a combined

6,505  MT.

Exports for the 12 months to

December were down 2.2%,

or 16,635 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

Declines were recorded

across a broad range of

products with SMP, WMP,

cheese and whey, down

60,282 MT but partially

offset by sustained increases

in fluid milk products, up

42,158  MT.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%

%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for December 2019

compared to December 2018

Change for December 2019

compared to December 2018

Change for December 2019

compared to December 2018

Change for November 2019

compared to November 2018

Change for the 12 months

to December 2019

Change for the 12 months

to December 2019

Change for the 12 months

to December 2019

Change for the 12 months

to November 2019

16.89.51.9

2.27.75.1

2.5

8.3

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

December imports into

China continued to grow.

Latin America, Asia and

Middle East & Africa

monthly imports down

in November

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹

decreased 11. 6%, or

19,336 MT, in November

compared to the same period

last year. This was driven

by decreases in SMP, infant

formula, WMP and AMF,

down a combined 19,461  MT.

Imports for the 12 months

to November 2019 were up

0.3%, or 5,863 MT, compared

to the same period the

previous year. Increases were

driven primarily by fluid milk

products, WPC and SMP, up

by a combined 55,483 MT and

largely offset by decreases

in whey, infant formula and

cultured products, down a

combined 52,474  MT.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

decreased 0.7%, or 2,860  MT,

in November compared to

the same period last year.

Decreases were recorded

in WMP and fluid products,

down 15, 685 MT, partially

offset by an increase in SMP

and ice cream imports, up a

combined 7,948  MT.

Imports for the 12 months

to November were up 2.7%,

or 129,724 MT, compared to

the same period the previous

year. Growth was recorded

across SMP, fluid milk

products, cheese and butter,

up a combined 131,279  MT.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes¹

decreased 3.6%, or 12,409  MT,

in November compared to

November 2018. Decreases

were recorded principally in

fluid milk products and WMP,

down a combined 22,396  MT.

This was partially offset by an

increase in SMP, whey and

infant formula, up a combined

10,624  MT.

Imports for the 12 months to

November 2019 were down

3.2%, or 133,762 MT, compared

to the same period last year.

This was driven by cheese,

WMP, butter and fluid milk

products, down a combined

200,812 MT, and partly offset

by a large increase in infant

formula of 110,259  MT.

China dairy import

volumes continued to

increase, up 13.8%, or

33,326 MT, in December

compared to the same

period last year. This is driven

primarily by increases in WMP

from New Zealand and SMP,

up a combined 32,220  MT.

Imports for the 12 months to

December were up 11.2%, or

318,219 MT, compared to the

same period last year.

Strong demand out of

China continued across all

key categories.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%%

%%%

Change for November 2019

compared to November 2018

Change for December 2019

compared to December 2018

Change for November 2019

compared to November 2018

Change for November 2019

compared to November 2018

Change for the 12 months

to November 2019

Change for the 12 months

to December 2019

Change for the 12 months

to November 2019

Change for the 12 months

to November 2019

13.80.711.6

2.73.211.2

3.6

0.3

The outbreak of the

COVID-19 coronavirus

will potentially impact

import numbers after

December 2019.

To view a table that shows our
detailed milk collection in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%

%%

%%%

Season to date

1 July to 31 January

Season to date

1 June to 31 January

Season to date

1 June to 31 January

Season to date

1 June to 31 January

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2020

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

13.54.32.30.5

16.00.30.70.3

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY

















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collection 2019/20 Season

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collection

Fonterra's Australia

collection in January was

9.2 million kgMS, down

13.5% on January last season.

Season-to-date collection

reached 69.7 million kgMS,

down 16.0% on last season.

Fonterra milk collections

continue to be impacted

by challenging on-farm

conditions and a highly

competitive milk supply

market which has seen losses

primarily to milk brokers.

North Island milk

collection in January was

96 million kgMS, down 2.3%

on last January.

Season to date collection

was 660.2 million kgMS,

down 0.7% on last season.

Continued dry weather

throughout January has

impacted pasture growth

rates, however this is

being partially offset by

supplementary feed.

South Island milk

collection in January was

73.8 million kgMS, up 4.3%

on last January.

Season to date collection

was 418.8 million kgMS, up

0.3% on last season.

Favourable weather

conditions across Canterbury

have continued, resulting

in good pasture growth and

strong milk production.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collection for January, was

169.8 million kgMS, 0.5%

ahead of the same month

last season.

Season-to-date collection

was 1,079 million kgMS,

down 0.3% on last season.

The impact of heavy rain

and flooding across parts

of the lower South Island

in early February and the

recent drought declaration

in Northland is still

being assessed.

%

Forecast milk collection for the

2019/20 season

1, 5 15M

kgMS

Forecast Fonterra

Milk Collection

Across New Zealand

Fonterra has updated its forecast milk collection to 1,515 million

kgMS for the 2019/20 season.

Fonterra’s New Zealand milk collection forecast is 1% lower

than our previous forecast of 1,530 million kgMS due to

ongoing challenging weather conditions across several parts of

New Zealand.

%
%

%

%

%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

FEB SEP FEB

MAY

JUL

SEP

DEC

FEB MAY JUL DEC




,

, 

,

.

.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity

prices and New

Zealand dollar trend

The dollar began 2020 with a

period of inactivity however,

as the month progressed

geopolitical concerns

surrounding US-Iran tensions,

and the developing COVID-19

epidemic, pushed the dollar

lower to end the month near

64.5 US cents.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

18 February2020:

The next trading event will be held on 3 March 2020. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

2.0

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

3,203

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

27.4

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 4,090/MT

3.9

BUTTER

USD 9,873/MT

0.8

RENNET CASEIN

USD 2,854/MT

2.4

SMP

USD 2,966/MT

2.4

WMP

USD 4,379/MT

3.6

AMF

USD 4,526/MT

5.2

CHEDDAR

27,391

MT

LATEST AUCTION

480,510

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Our Performance

Fonterra completes the

sale of DFE Pharma

Fonterra has announced

that it has completed

the sale of its 50% share

of DFE Pharma to CVC

Strategic Opportunities II.

As previously announced

in September 2019,

this sale was subject to

regulatory approvals from

competition authorities

and these have now all

been received.

Fonterra CFO,

Marc Rivers, says the

completion of this

sale is a key milestone

in strengthening the

Co-op’s balance sheet,

with cash proceeds of

$554 million, comprising

of the original sale

proceeds of $537 million

plus $17 million in

settlement adjustments.”

Fonterra has also entered

into a long-term supply

agreement with DFE

Pharma which will see it

continue to supply lactose

from its Kapuni site.

In March 2019, Fonterra

advised it was reviewing

its share of DFE Pharma,

a 50 per cent joint

venture with Royal

Friesland Campina.

DFE Pharma was

identified as part of a full

portfolio review being

undertaken by Fonterra

to re-evaluate every

investment, major asset

and partnership, to ensure

they were still right for

the Co-op.

While DFE Pharma

is performing well,

it needed significant

capital investment for

future growth.

In addition, Fonterra

believes DFE’s future

growth will be increasingly

outside of lactose-based

excipients and, as a

result, over time DFE will

become even less core to

the Co-op’s business

ASK AN EXPERT

dfepharma.com/productfinder


Oral Solid Dose

Primellose

®

Primellose

®

is DFE Pharma’s product brand name for Croscarmellose

Sodium. It is made in a dedicated pharmaceutical plant in Foxhol,

The Netherlands. Primellose

®

croscarmellose sodium is suitable for a

variety of tablet and capsule formulations. Primellose

®

is effective in

combination with both insoluble filler-binders and slightly soluble to

soluble filler-binders at concentrations of 2%w/w - 6%w/w. It is also a

choice for formulations which require non-starch products. Primellose

®


is effective when used intragranular and/or extragranular in granular

formulations.

In pursuit of excipient excellence

WE

WORK

WITH

YOUR

PRODUCT

IN MIND

WE

WORK

WITH

YOUR

PRODUCT

IN MIND

Our Co-op
8

Fonterra's Te Awamutu

site moves to pellet

power

Fonterra is taking another

step forward in its

commitment to renewable

energy as it announced that

its Te Awamutu site will be

coal free next season.

Until now the site has used

a combination of fuels to

process milk - including coal.

This latest move, follows a

trial last year and means it

will switch from using coal

at the end of this season,

starting the 2020/21 season

powering the boiler with

wood pellets.

Fonterra’s Sustainable

Energy and Utility

Manager Linda Thompson

says it’s an exciting step

for the Co-operative

and, in particular, the

Te Awamutu team.

“It really demonstrates that

sustainability, doing what’s

right for the long term good,

is very much at the heart

of how we’re working and

thinking about our future.”

Last year, Fonterra

announced a series of

environmental targets

relating to its coal use,

manufacturing emissions and

water efficiency, packaging

and farm environment plans.

“The move to wood pellets

at Te Awamutu will save

the Co-operative about

84,000 tonnes of carbon

emissions every year,

that’s the equivalent of

taking around 32,000 cars

off the road and will

reduce Fonterra’s national

coal consumption by

approximately 10 per cent.

“It’s a positive step forward

as we look to reduce

emissions and work towards

net zero carbon emissions

by 2050.”

The Te Awamutu site is one

of three North Island sites

that are currently using

coal. Ms Thompson says the

Co-operative knows it’s got

a big challenge ahead of it

to get out of coal but it’s one

that it’s up for.

“There is no one single

solution for us to transition

out of coal. We know we

can’t do it alone, that’s why

working with others like

wood pellet supplier Nature’s

Flame and the Energy

Efficiency and Conservation

Authority (EECA) are

so important.”

Taupo-based Nature’s Flame

will be supplying the pellets

made from sustainable

wood fibre residues from the

surrounding areas.

John Goodwin, Nature’s

Flame’s Operations Manager

says they’re excited to be

partnering with Fonterra.

“We’re encouraged about

the growth of the bioenergy

(wood pellets) industry and

we’re proud to be part of

something that’s good for

the environment and our

local communities.”

EECA’s Chief Executive

Andrew Caseley says

“this project fully aligns

with EECA’s purpose to

help decarbonise the

New Zealand economy.

“This is the largest boiler

conversion project to

biofuels to date, and this

is why it has received

$200,000 in funding

from EECA’s technology

demonstration programme.

It also has the added benefit

of establishing a more viable

and large scale wood pellet

supply chain.”

For a full run-down of

Fonterra's environmental

commitments and targets –

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES













EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

JUL JUN APR MAR DEC JAN FEB SEP NOV OCT MAY AUG 

MT s













AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU and Australia to December; New Zealand and US to January.

NOTE: Data for EU to November; New Zealand, Australia and US to December.

NOTE: Data for Latin America, Asia, Middle East & Africa to November; China to December.

SOURCE: Government milk production statistics/GTIS trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

JAN OCT

FEB JUL

AUG

MAY

SEP

NOV

DEC

JUN

,
,

,

 ,

,

,

,

,

, 

,

,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

10


Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

JANUARY

2020

JANUARY


2019

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2019/20

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2018/19

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

169.8169.00.5%1,079.11,082.6(0.3%)

North Island96.098.3(2.3%)660.3664.8(0.7%)

South Island73.870.84.3%418.8417.80.3%

Fonterra Australia9.210.6(13.5%)69.783.0(16.0%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(18 FEBRUARY 2020)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2019)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

27,391480,510

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

11. 1%0.0%

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

3,2033,363

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

(3.2%)12.8%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

(2.0%)–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

11
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products, except

for Reference Products,

produced by the NZ

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update February 2020
    2020-02-28

    • Fonterra completes the sale of DFE Pharma. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Monthly production in New Zealand down. EU and US in line with expectations. • Monthly exports from the US show strong growth. New Zealand, Australia and EU monthly exports decline. • December imports…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update March 2020
    2020-03-31

    • Fonterra announced its Interim Results on 18 March. • Fonterra completes sale of Dennington. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Monthly New Zealand production flat and Australian production steadies. Increase in EU and US production. • Monthly exports from the US and EU grow. N…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update January 2020
    2020-01-30

    • Fonterra to streamline Chilean operations. • Fonterra appoints interim CEO Greater China. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Monthly production in New Zealand, EU and US relatively flat on last year. Australia continues to decline. • Exports from New Zealand and the EU show str…”